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I’m writing you today from Asia with a passionate plea to our country — to its citizens and especially to our leaders in Washington.
We are now the laughing stock of Asia. Our dollars are no longer respected; our ambitions, no longer mimicked.
Our way of life, often based on consuming far beyond our means, is being flat-out rejected.
I can’t even exchange a $100 bill on the street here anymore: Most of the street money changers will take euros, Singapore dollars, even Chinese yuan. But fearful of losing their shirt with sinking exchange rates, they don’t want U.S. dollars.
Not long ago, I never traveled without my American Express card. Now, it sits in my office safe. Many in Asia no longer accept the card anymore. MasterCard and Visa are still OK, but they’re also losing market share to locally grown cards like Aeon.
The running joke in Singapore, Hong Kong, Bangkok, and Kuala Lumpur is that the U.S. is the place where even your pet could get a credit card or a home mortgage.
So to Asians, the crisis we’re going through is our own fault. And although it was also caused by blunders in Western Europe and other regions, truth be told, they are mostly right.
The message is clear: We need to immediately stop living beyond our means. But can we?
Consider the facts:
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Through August, the federal deficit has already hit $1.38 trillion, or TRIPLE last year’s all-time record deficit of $454.8 billion. And in September alone, the administration expects another $200 billion in red ink, bringing the total for the year to $1.58 trillion.
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The U.S. government’s official debt is now at an all-time high of $11.8 trillion. That’s over $100,000 for each and every household in America.
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Both the administration and its opponents agree that, over the next 10 years, the cumulative federal deficit will be another $9 trillion, bringing the burden per household up to $177,000.
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The Federal Reserve is also in hock up to its eyeballs, with more than $2 trillion in liabilities on its balance sheet. That brings the total burden up to $194,000 per household.
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Perhaps worst of all, the unfunded government IOUs that are now starting to come due on Social Security, Medicare, and Federal pension payments are also ballooning higher and now stand at an estimated $104 trillion, or $886,000 per household.
Grand total: Each and every household in America is indirectly responsible for a debt burden of over 1 MILLION DOLLARS!
Bottom line:
Even assuming they can save 5 percent of their income year after year … and even assuming every single penny of their savings is thrown into the pot … in order to pay off the U.S. government’s debts and obligations, each American family — and descendents — would have to toil for the next 429 years.
Problem is, we haven’t borrowed all that money from ourselves. We’ve borrowed more than half of the outstanding national debt from overseas investors, who now fund fully 50 percent of our debt addiction.
But now …
America’s foreign creditors are haunted by the spectacle of Washington’s spending binge and are starting to recoil in horror.
That’s why in April, U.S. bond purchases by foreign central banks plunged 41 percent from the month before, while purchases by foreign private investors dropped 7 percent. All in a single month!
Yet even as investors flee in increasing numbers, our government continues to ramp up spending — trying to hawk even more U.S. debt to foreign lenders.
The Obama administration largely ignores the fact that overseas investors are getting tired of footing the bill for our borrow-and-spend addiction … and are also becoming increasingly skeptical of our ability to pay our debts.
The result: More foreign central banks, overseas fund managers, and investors flee, leaving the U.S. government with no choice but to pump out more and more unbacked paper dollars and dump them into the economy — further eroding their value.
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Central banks over the last year have been actively replacing portions of their dollar reserves with the euro, the Canadian and Australian dollars … and gold. China alone recently announced it has quietly increased its gold reserves by more than 75 percent over the last seven years.
So it should come as no surprise that the widely watched U.S. Dollar Index, a measure of the dollar’s performance against a basket of six of the world’s major currencies, has plunged 15.1 percent since its high of March 4.
As you can see from the accompanying chart, that now puts the greenback in free-fall territory.
It’s plunging against the euro, the Japanese yen, the British pound, the Swiss franc, the Canadian dollar.
It’s even sliding against the currencies of lesser-developed economies like the Thai baht, the Philippine peso, the Indian rupee, the Malaysian ringgit, the Indonesian rupiah, and the Vietnamese dong.
And it leaves …
The U.S. and All Americans
Between a Rock and a Hard Place
Either …
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U.S. consumers and the U.S. government must slash spending drastically, accepting a deeper economic decline or …
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They will perpetuate the borrow-and-spend cycle, destroying the U.S. dollar and, ultimately, our standard of living.
I’d like to hear your thoughts on how we might get out from under this mess we find ourselves in — and, more importantly, what YOU are doing to protect yourself, your family, and your retirement from the dollar’s demise.
Just click here to post your comments and weigh in on this issue.
Best wishes,
Larry
Related Posts
- Heads up: U.S. Dollar Sinks to New 12-Month Lows! (09/16/09)
- Bernanke’s Secret Debt Solution (09/15/09)



{ 759 comments… read them below or add one }
To moderator. (Not for posting)
I just made a submission that had three links in it. They were:
http://www.infowars.com
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=7535755025025800195
For some reason they did not show up correctly. Not sure why. Can you correct the code for these links for me?
Thanks
Jay
moderator Reply:
September 17th, 2009 at 6:31 pm
Sorry, we do not post external links.
The first thing we should do is get out of the two wars we are fighting. Between the costs pertaining to the war in money and lives it is dragging us down considerably.
I’mk a retired expat currently living in the UK. My Social Security is deposited into my UK bank monthly. The £/$ exchange rate obviously affects mjy income. What you outline about the US debt is very frighening. Just how safe is Social Security and its relationship to the pound sterling?
Howard Hale
I got out of the market Jan 08. Have not ventured back. What safe investment income producing vehicles would you recommend for a retiree?
Your article is scary……makes investment decisions more global for growth…agree?
SteveC
Larry
The solution is easy - TERM LIMITS.
I have invested in TBT and SLV to take advantage of the expected rise in interest rates and the devaluing of the dollar. I fear the BRIC and Emerging Markets are getting over valued and hesitate to invest there at this point. Can you provide some data on whether you think they have run up to fast?
Among other things, I own physical gold and silver. They often move in tandem, but either can move on its own for different reasons. I know that many think gold investing is silly, yet time and time again, gold shows strength when the dollar is faltering. Silver may be one of the most undervalued metals and is at an historic low relative to the price of gold.
For the long haul I think that commodity investments are wise, especially nergy, agriculture and water. It would not hurt to own some farmland if you can do it.
It seems to be Obama’s intent to let the dollar rot–he wants ALL of us to sink to poverty-level living, because in his mind, that is social justice. Socialists and Communists have never produced a profitable job, have never run a profit-making business, and this one is badly lacking in the leadership department.
He went to law school–not business school. He learned how to help build loopholes into legislation to help his favorite constituency–not to truly make the world a better place. He never learned about the dollar and how it affects all of us, and he never learned how production and savings is the only way out of economic holes.
He WANTS us all to be poor and hurting, so we can experience what it is to be in poverty…even if it racks up the greatest expense we’ve ever encountered. He wants it so badly that he (and the Dems) are MAKING STUFF UP to steer its coming (health care reform, global warming, the so-called “savings crisis”, etc.).
I got news for him–I, for one, am NOT going to do my part! I and so many other frugalites have saved all these years, and are now blissfully choosing among the many discounts (houses, cars, etc.). When they say to buy low and sell high, it isn’t just for the stock market–it’s for EVERYTHING! Now is precisely the time we should be spending our hard-earned savings we’ve built up during boom times, but sadly, no–the people who need stuff the most can’t afford to buy it, and can’t access credit needed to take part, because they blew their wads buying HIGH, then having to sell off (or otherwise lose it) when LOW.
Then along comes Obama to tax it all into oblivion, and steer us into Socialist oblivion. And he wonders why we’re in such opposition to his proposals…
Only stupid consumers (and stupid policy people) are between a rock and a hard place–the rest of us are scooping up cheap stuff like there’s no tomorrow (and there might not be if Obama gets re-elected).
I believe we have reached a tipping point. Clearly a nation that has lived beyond its means as long as we have cannot reasonably be expected to change it’s course, and live frugally enough to repay it’s indebtedness. At about this point the interest on the national debt begins to crush any attempt at fiscal prudence. Thus, as a nation, the only path is down. Individually, each has a choice. One can prepare for the coming calamity, and chaos. (Move to the country, get self sufficient, store food, and real money coins….. though our only safety is in the savior YAHUSHUA) Or move to a less profligage country… (My brother suggests Belize, as a nation where they speak English, have a relatively stable system, and are certainly behind the US in the downhill slide.). Or bury your head in the sand and hope that the calamity somehow spares you.(which seems highly unlikely, unless you plan to die in the next few days.)
Impeach Obama — Not possible but the first step of radical surgery.
Next November 2010 - Vote out all the tax-and spend legislators and replace with fiscally conservative replacements. Now that can stop the Obama Admim.
Until this takes place let’s hope for the best cause Geitner and Obama are relentless to destroy the USA !!
Larry —where can I buy gold builion cpins outside of the US and store safely there. I’m with you –the crash is coming
Not sure what to do. Sounds like the dollar will continue to plung. I have thought about buying gold but cant stomach the 30-35% up front commision the gold companies seem to want. I am a trader by nature and starting off 30% in the hole seems crazy. Could use some ideas.
Your comments scare the heck out of me.
I am quietly buying gold stocks and gold of several forms, both bullion and rare gold. I can’t buy very much at one time, but am buying some every year. If we can’t use it (we are seniors), it will be there for our children and grandchildren. I can’t do anything about the government debt–only try to protect our family.
Great article in Money and Markets this morning. You ask what we are doing to prepare for the inevitable that will result from our monetary policy……
Just like town hall meetings, I have been sharing with my friends and family these issues for the past three years. Thankfully, many of them are doing as I have by buying physical metals (gold & silver).
My alternate inflation hedge has been the purchase of foreclosed homes as long-term rentals. Frankly, I am surprised Money & Markets doesn’t talk about foreclosed properties as a great way to protect from inflation.
Again, I very much enjoy your articles
protect myself? have bot gold and silver for years last time i bot silver bars fm TD Bank they were ancient looking tarnished! i realized they were the last ones at the bottom of the shelf cant get silver coins any longer gone am short us treasuries short us dollar long agric stocks, energy, oil service starting to look at rare earth metals paid off mortgage long ago no debts but our city council aka idiots think there is no recession and spend money like crazy on frills such as new hockey rinks we stockpiled food for y2k then just kept doing it for bird flu etc could hold out maybe 3 months medicines too
Is it possible as a last ditch effort to stave off total collapse that the US government would liquidate most or all of its gold reserves? I doubt that we have 11 trillion for just the current debt, but the consequence would be falling gold prices, and maybe a flood back into the dollar or just a flood back into other currencies? Just a thinking about the US government end game scenario here.
Larry,
I notice you are not in the USA. Where in the world do I/we go to avoid this insane train ride the USA is on? Or do hunker down in rural USA with our guns, gold and god-fearing friends? Or do we really have any opportuities to avoid the inevitable?
Brad
larry. go take a look at “debtor revolt begins now” a video…came out wed…now has 100,000 or so hits…google it …and watch what is coming….steve
I agree with Larry’s assessment. I believe our federal bureaucracy is out of control, have no fiscal discipline and are/have ruined this country. We have not felt the full effects of our debt burden but we will with a declining standard of living, etc. Rep. Pete Stark has it all wrong when he equates debt with wealth. We are a debtor nation and the bill has come due. Unfortunately, all of us will be punished for the sins of our elected officials.
Larry, to try to protect ourselves financially right now, I have about one quarter of our investible assets in precious metal related stocks as well as about 4% in physical gold. Also about 10% in oil-related ETF’s and about 6% in asian related ETF’s. The rest is in either government backed short term bonds or money market accounts (which I worry about). Thx for all you are doing to keep us informed!!!
The best thing thing US can do, even though it is going to be difficult, is to let the marketforces of supply and demand run it’s course in the markets. Stop having the government bailing out everyone and stimulating the economy to much, because if you do it´s not capitalism anymore then it´s socialism which Americans use to hate so much…
Mr. Edleson ,
I was hoping YOU could tell me! what to do .
Which Asian ETF is the right one now or is the dollar down ETF better at this point with the drop this severe already.Plus some are saying this high value Euro ,franc , will hurt Europe more then us trade wise. could they be right
After buying gold,silver, commmodities ,emerging ,overseas bonds in the european area with 25% ,should we dump it all in ?
Is there any way they could stop trading GLD like they did last week with DXO? since I usually don’t keep precious in the basement.
One problem ,when you sell GLD or SLV ,you get paid in Dollars ,then what !
I’m doing the same thing I have done all my life . Don’t buy anything that will cost me interest except for a mortgage & I paid those off as soon as I could.
Larry, When I look at the charts light Yahoo finance (1) I don’t see the drop you are talking about. I see change but not 75% decline. I cannot verify your claims.
(1) http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=USDAUD=X&t=5y&l=on&z=m&q=l&c=
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=USDEUR=X&t=5y
I think we need to start at the top (i.e., the federal, state and local governments) and reduce or eliminate departments like Energy that do little or nothing based upon the initial mandates. Stop automatic raises for Congress, forbid by law the ability of former members of Congress to moved into lobbying positions when they leave Congress for ten years. Revise the tax code to establish a simple flat tax with NO exceptions.
Dear Larry,
I’m a 21st Century Super Trader with some modest amount of cash, want to invest to take advantage of the falling US dollar, on which I am certain, but don’t know the best form and time?
What do you recommend —
Karl
1. the way they have been printing out the dollars, if they wanted to they could print enough to pay off the debt. It’s just another ponzi scheme.
2. the corporations and banksters are causing the problems and reaing the benefits. They own the government.
3 Get rid of the federal reserve
4. Ron Paul has it right.
1. cut spending — nation wide
2. Have the president, representatives, and senators eliminate their benefits and join Medicare & S.S. program like all the rest of us.
3. Adjust import policy that products and services being imported, 20% must be produced in the continental USA. That is in addition to what is already produced here now,.
4. Return to historic values that have guided this country in the past.
5. Adjust welfare so that those receiving must do some form of social work
6. All leaders lead by example rather than words.
Wish I had an answer. We should have addressed this issue long ago.
This was not a subject to be discussed in polite company.
How long before the Piper get paid??
glad I live in Australia larry!!!!
Hi Larry,
First appreciate allt eh work you do to give us insight into the world markets and would like the opportunity to work with you someday as it sounds fascinating :).
I am abosultely in agreement with you that we all responsible for this crisis not the rest of the world. A few years ago I asked myself a question ” if every American decided not to pay their monthly credid card or mortgage obligation what would ahppen to this country” well my answer is the current time as people are not making payments because they don’t have the money.
In my opinion, this could have been resolved easily if the goverment would have taken all those bailout dollars and paid of the first mortgage of each ameircan’s home as that would have given banks the money and people would have their homes “free and clear”and use the extra income to pay other bills or make purchases which would have helped jump start the economy.
As long as our goverment doesn’t help create jobs it is going to be a tough ride because they can keep spending their credit lines but if the income source is not there to pay it off it’s worthless and as much as everyone speaks of saving money people have no income so how can they save :)
Thank you for all the knowledge you share with us as it’s priceless and please continue the good work.
Bhavna
Larry,
Many of the analysts I follow besides yourself state we are beyond the possibliity of digging ourselves out of this mess. That said, I would start by reinstating confidence in the markets by transparency of the Fed, and a fair playing field for all. Laws on illegal naked short selling need to be enforced, and fairness in position limits on both the short and long side should be in place. Right now, position limits are a mockery and appear to be used as a tool for price fixing. Furthermore, we should reinstate the uptick rule, and allow for cram down mortgages. The creation of jobs that produce goods and services rather than paper promises should be a focal point. The US has many resources on its own soil such as base metals, and oil and gas but sit in the ground due to the red tape of environmental issues. It is possible for a clean environment and oil extraction to co-exist but current laws do not make it easy. Alternative energy could also provide many jobs to get the economy churning again.
My investment philosophy through all of this has been to own honest money which I define as gold and silver. This said, I do not want to limit myself here, as an individual must own what is in immediate demand. On this basis, agriculture, water, oil and gas, and electricity make sense although these items tend to be cyclical. At this time, my favorite investment is gold and silver for the following reasons:
We now know the (1) Hong Kong transfer of gold to its own shores is in process, then there is (2) Germany wanting its gold back from NYC, and then there is (3) Barrick trimming the hedges, and then there is the (4) possibility it was China as the counterparty to the banks short positions in the precious metals, then there is the possibility (5) China may back out on their oil and gold derivative contracts, and then there is the fact (6) China is promoting its citizens to purchase silver and gold, and then there is the (6) US government imposing tariffs on China tires, then there is MOPE in the media conveniently released upon a gold takedown stating the worst recession since the 1930s may be over. Its this last point that makes me especially bullish on gold.
Larry you and the group have been reporting our real world situation for a while so this is a rehash for many readers. With this update it seems ‘the fat lady is about to sing’!
In the past I have emailed short messages to Congress and the president to “STOP SPENDING!”. Your newsletters are not political but perhaps you should include suggestions for monitary policy changes that we could use as a format to protest. I use the free congress.org web site.
I have to draw my own conclusion to this article that screams buy gold and short the dollar.
Thanks
Bring back Lincoln’s Greenback !
“Web of Debt - REVIVE LINCOLN’S MONETARY POLICY: AN OPEN LETTER TO PRESIDENT OBAMA” … http://www.webofdebt.com/articles/lincoln_obama.php
My opinion?
Everyone’s wrong for blaming America for the whole world’s foundering economy. No one forced the Asian countries, or anyone else to think of the U.S. as their selling market.
At the same time, I do think that OUR problems are our fault. Between consumer spending, state & local spending, & federal spending, we’ve actually mortgaged our grandchildrens’ futures!
I also believe that our national economy is drowning in a sea of illegal immigration. I don’t care how hard we work, or how heavily we’re taxed, we CAN NOT support the people of the U.S. & of Mexico & central America all at the same time!
Unless we become willing to lower our standards of spending a lot right now & for several years to come. We WILL be loweriing the standards of living for our children & our grandchildren for their entire lifetimes!
It’s impossible to borrow & spend, or to tax & spend our way out of the hole we’ve dug ourselves in to. Only truly honestly & sincerely looking at our spending habits, learning how to live within our individual & national incomes, while still reserving a fraction of those incomes to pay off our debts. Can ever work to get us back to where we should be.
I don’t honestly expect our country or our citizens to do so. So, all I can see on our horizon are intensely dark & dense storm clouds.
That’s my opinion.
Joe
Larry;
Anyone with an IQ out of the single digits can see that this entire “insolvent mess” is not in the least “accidental” or caused by “ignorance & stupidity” and rather has been planned for ages and is playing out as its’ planners envisioned. Any other interpretation is simply not credible…
JW
It,s a very scary situation and I don,t see any way out of this unless the whole country bites the bullet,that,s everybody, government and the citizens.I don,t see that happening so the next best thing to do is to protect ourselves.
Do you have any advice on opening an account in a foreign country and which one would be the best?Do you think buying a piece of property somewhere else would be advisable?
Any suggestions on this would be helpful.Thank you
In my own simple way, what I am doing about our current state of affairs is to go green as in recycle Congress!!!
Larry: Very good commentary today on how Asia is perceiving us at this time
You asked how are we protecting ourselves vs an eroding dollar. I’m out of debt and have an equity portfolio which is about 40% in precious metals, about 40% in energy with emphasis on Canadian trusts (ERF, PWE, Crescent Point, Pembina Pipe, etc) These provide income as well as, hopefully, a dollar hedge. The other 20% is allocated over speculative Patrick Cox recommendations, some geothermal, Sprott Resource Corp, Hyflux, etc.
I’ve “drunk the Kool Aid” on Gold Resource Corp, (GORO) an on the verge of production Oaxaca, Mexico gold/silver miner run by the Reid family of Denver. Mgmt owns 24%, Hochschild owns 24% and Tocqueville 18%. If you’re not familiar with this one you might look at the website company presentation. THANKS FOR YOUR WORK. KEEP YOUR CARDS AND LETTERS COMING. Brad Fowler
MODERATION??
The American Empire must start closing up shop. I’m with Chalmers Johnson on this one. Our network of bases, our habits of military spending, and our penchant for interventionism must come to an end. Once you become serious about military spending, you signal to the rest of the world that your are serious about getting your finances under control. Long, complicated subject, but without seriously reevaluating our empire, very little progress can be made.
I believe that the drama will roll-on to its final climax. Americans will not elect polititians who call for sacrifice, until conditions are so dire that they will release their own self-interest for the greater good. Unfortunately, by the time this happens they will be so disgusted with government that our Republic will be in great peril. In the meantime, each individual must begin to develop the means to live “sustainably.” Working with schools, non-profits, and businesses, we can (and are) creating educational life-style centers that will demonstrate ways that we can live more efficiently and effectively as communities. I would be happy to share more information about this process with those who have an interest.
I just returned from a trip to China and Hong Kong and was totally impressed with their monetary structure. It is based on a CASH transaction society. We didnt use our credit cards once the whole 15 days.
As for what I am doing to protect myself; I am trading stocks with very few long term holds and buying silver any time it goes down
Causes of the mess
1) Since the 2008 meltdown, outstanding derivatives have increased from $529 Trillion to 1.44 quadrillion
2) I am being paid 1/100th of 1% on my money market funds
Effects of the mess
1 ) The meltdown has has no effect on the burgeoning derivatives market
2) Low interest rates destroy capital by encourageing investments in non-productive assets.
Correcting the mess
1) Bring some regulatory sanity to the derivatives markets
2) Increase interest rates to where the savings rate is greater than the inflation rate. Stop punishing savers.
Conclusion
The probability that either of the two above policies will be implemented is just about 1/100th of 1%.
OUR FATE IS SEALED.
Dana Willard
Dear Larry
I would like your feedback on this issue. The biggest uncontrollable cost in America-both for the government and the consumer is healthcare. 70 percent of all bankruptcies are related to health care bills. The health insurance industry has been given carte blanche on whether they want to pay your bill or not, cover you or not, disrupt the political and economic climate or not.
Relief on the federal level is dead. However, in Pennsylvania there are two house bills which support a single payer bill for the residences of the state. All citizens would be covered, long term care and dental would be included. Businesses would pay 10 percent of their payroll, and each working citizen would pay 3 percent of their income. The insurance industry would be out of business in the state, and billions of dollars would be saved. So far I have not heard any objection from any business, mayor, or municipality in the state, when they are fully informed of the prospect.
The Chinese are not only laughing at America about the dollar. Other nations who are responsible to their citizens, cannot believe how America operates their health care system. The biggest obstacle, in America, to acquiring wealth is the area of long term care which other civilized nations deal with effectively. In those nations, the wealth of a family can be transfered to the heirs and charitable giving. In America, the health care industry siphons it away, Only in America, does a large indusrty like General Motors go under, because it cannot compete with other manufacturers which do not need to add the cost of a workers health care to the price tag.
I hope that your thoughts on this subject expand outside of party and economic lines, and take into consideration, a world view about America’s health care.
Thank You
Tom Harner
MDC Subscriber
I always like your commentaries Larry and want to thank you for your inciteful reports.
I think we are entering into an inflationary cycle coming out of a deflationary cycle and though it is troubling with the poor growth and the possibility of quick rises in interest rate to further disturb the recovery the absence of another economy of measureable attributes limits alternatives to the US. Instead of investing in Asia probably the investment will go to other US assets that are inflation resistant ex Gold or agriculture. China is a great country that exibits great economic figures but the quality of their products and lack of real wealth creation is concerning. The toys are of mediocre safety and the steel though rust proof rusts quickly (from personal experience) and the safety record or quality of many other products is still mediocre. Despite all the problems in the US, Europe and Canada they are still economies of a magnitude that will not be replaced at least not this cycle. However the consumers in the West should look at the value of products and not remain complacent and spend on cheap unwanted luxuries without saving. For that to happen they need a wake up call that may come from high interest rates following the inflationary wave to come where they will be encouraged to save. I will still think of GLD, SLV and Gold miners in Canada, the US and Mexico ex. GG, HL, ABX,.. and agriculture ETF ex DBA as an inflationary hedge as well as multinational companies with high profit margins that are resistant to inflation induced reduction in profits like ex. Starbucks …
I think Asia has a bright future but it will not replace the US and Canada at least not in the next decade. When they can afford to pay attention to safety, health, quality and transparency then maybe we might rush to the East. Take care and lots of regards.
Ramzi
spend a little less than you earn would be a good thing for everyone to be aware of..
I have been in buisness for over 50 years and the only people that have done serious damage to my wealth has been people who have one thing in common. They are the people who have become so seriously successful that any notion of common sense has completely dissapeared. It is inevitable that they will do serious damage to themselves - Hitler, Madoff et al - as well as doing emense damage to others. They are the ones to watch. America is full of them.
Unfortunately there is no quick fix and I am afraid to say that until the corruption is wiped out of government the direction the us is on will continue impairing the US and its citizens and their wealth.
I must say I took some drastic measures recently to protect my wealth and freedom from a tyranical and corrupt government. I started to take stock of my family’s life back in 2003 and downsizied our home to become mortgage free. We lived mortgage free until 2005 when we sold our home and began renting. We were living in the US then and had just receivied our citizenship in 2005. We were completely debt free, renting. In 2007 when the financial crisis hit I became increasingly concerned about the safety of my money in the banks long term and decided to move back to Canada and gave up my ciitzienship, worried about the long reaching arm of big brother USA. The talk about pooling personal pension accounts, bank defaults, FDIC underfunding, corporate pension underfunding, wealth taxes, exit taxes, and death taxes increasing, etc. We retired, took lump such pensions and moved North. While the economy and unemployment are not much better, the banks are more stable and I sleep a whole lot better. My money has been safe from the stock market jirations thanks to you and the entire Weiss team.
A loyal member since 2002.
i say slash spending hell if it ruins rest of world lets get our house in order.
We must begin to reverse our mindless reaction to increasing taxes on ourselves.. So we begin to pay off our debts to ourselves and the rest of the world. Yes, some more frugallity in our daily lives will also be needed, and that will slow down “recovery”.. But we need to bite the bullet and pay for the services we demand from our government, or else discontinue them.. Radical disdain for being taxed to pay for services and benefits we demand of our government can no longer be the mantra of politicians of the right wing, or any other wing.. Let’s move towards economic maturity.. All classes must pay more except the very lowest rung of the ladder.
where is goid going to go, considering the plight of the US dollar..and the US economy, generally?
Have been turning my IRA to gold stocks and gold. will get into some energy stocks, and have have limited my
expenses and icreased savings but want to get free of my dollars and into more spendable safer currency.
No debt, everything paid for and have been trying my best to keep my job. So far, so good. Am close to retirement but see no safe haven their as the politicians keep pissing our money away on this war thing
not thinking they have no money to wage it. We are paying suppliers with ious and they do not even know it.
Reading all I can on the real problem, the fed and it’s funny money and the role they have played in taking our government and our freedoms away from us. Presidents are just thir clandetine agents and the plan is to, since 1910 when the fed was concieved, to rule the world and that means take America down. Well thier plan is on schedule and nothing we do will change that unless we dump them, go bankrupt and reform our currency tied to Gold. No fiat currency ever survives and when they go they kill the economy in a slow and painful way and all the people in it. Ron Paul is right and should be allowed to step up and solve this horrendous crime against America. We have been hijacked by the International Banking Cartel.
Thanks Larry. Your insight as ever is incisive and objective and rises above politics and Bloomberg spin.
The way out for the US and other developed economies is to get back to our roots. We became wealthy by taking base materials out of the ground, applied our energy and ingenuity to them and created products which had added value which we sold to other people. We lost our way by relying on others to do this for us, taking on non self liquidating debt to buy these products and neglecting our manufacturing which competed in vain for the self liquidating credit we squandered. By becoming paper pushers we over administrated and over regulated those productive parts of our economy whilst under regulated that part which made a lot of money for relatively fewer people but at great risk to all.
We get out of this fix by identifying new greener low energy technologies which our creativity can invest in and harness the fruits of a new industrial revolution. If we do not do it, another nation will and we will be enslaved buying this technology from them.
I live in the UK, am GBP denominated but share the dollar concern. This affects all in the west. I envisage a near future where much FIAT money will increasingly be mistrusated as is your experience with the dollar in Asia. The alternative is exactly as you define, namely real wealth in commodities which cannot be forged. I hold gold which in GBP terms has not actually increased much in value lately but I see the dollar gold price edge shakily upward which is further proof of the dollar’s slow motion demise. A tipping point will be reached when a critical mass of ordinary people (and chinese authorities) will look outside the dollar as a haven for their savings and at this point gold and other tangibles will move forwards with momentum as you predict. Gold seems already to have started trading independently again and not merely in knee jerk to the dollar’s devaluation.
This economy is one big old leaky Titanic, and the number of liferafts is limited. Prices for seats on those means of survival will rise as more people realise that the outcome is inevitable. Buy a seat whilst they are affordable. Commodities will soar as ordinary folk wake up to the illusion of paper money and opt for tangible assets. It’s a sad day, and many Americans and British will cling to their paper currency out of a sense of patriotic loyalty which is laudable and yet misplaced. After all, the Fed and other elected and unelected bodies have acted to debase the dollar and the pound. They may be devious or just incompetent. Either way they no longer deserve our blind loyalty.
No alchemist ever tried to create paper money from wood pulp. That’s an easy trick. They knew anyone could just run the presses. Instead they tried to make base metals into gold, and failed. It’s time to trust in things which can’t be faked. Buy commodities, tangibles, gold and other precious metals and favour the shares of those who produce these staples. They haul muck out of the ground and apply effort to make it shiny. It’s real wealth. It’s the past and it’s the future. Trust to it.
250K “I” bonds
250K Vanguard short term bonds AVER 4 YEAR
250K GDX
100k MAPLE LEAVE COINS
250k REALESTATE, NO MORT
150K 401K FOREIGHN ETF’S
100K METALS CPU,FCX,GDX, SLV
2 CARS NO PAYMENTS
50K COMPANY STOCK
150K 401K CONSERVATIVE MUTUAL FUND
Larry,
I am starting a new business; new for me, that is. I’ve been an E. S. L. teacher for the last 26 years, but layoffs hit me beginning this September, and my income’s been cut in half, so I have to do something. I’m going into the liquidator business, where one finds merchandise that’s hard to move, and buys it at a very low price for resale to another at a higher price, but a much lower price than the original retail, or even wholesale would have been. That’s what I’m doing about this crisis. I’m responding to your article on the web under Martin Weiss’s name.
That’s what I’m doing about the current monitary mess. Can’t just sit around with my thumb in my mouth;the clowns in Washington are too dangerous, from ignorance, stupidity, and sheer malicious, deliberate intent to live off other people’s money. Maybe, if enough of America’s productive people can get up, dust ourselves off, and go back to work through self-employment, we can kick out the bastarda in government, who want to eat us by living at our expense.
Good luck, brother. Martin and his whole group of staff and friends are O. K. with me. Good folks, trying hard. I wish you the best in everything.
Sincerely,
Ed White, Jr.
What I’m doing is “nothing.” I don’t go out to eat. My mortage and autos are paid off. I turn lights off when I leave a room.
When I do go out I try to get as much done as I can in one trip.
I shop at walmart etc. and I don’t eat as good as I once did.
I’m retired and on a fix income so it will be getting worse.
Hi Larry, I am in the UK. I am currently advised by Fat Prophets here, they are a Hard Assets positive
stance, as are you. I moved my pension bias to Asia in January. We have moved money into property
in New Zealand (sadly into holiday property) $, the currency has appreciated strongly since we bought some few years ago, and the country is supported by the business it’s naibour does with China, NZ probably has the largest milk export, plus other soft comodities. The Antipodeans have no
banking crisis, interests will be going up soon in Oz. and in NZ, from a higher starting point, we are in the wrong asset sector, residential prices are going up because of a Shortage, it will take more time for tourisim to grow . Otherwise here in UK, we are worse than you, we are nontheless glad to be invested atleast in the right area of the globe, who knows what will happen to the Euro, we would not buy that now. It will take time for our investments to get back to what we paid, sometimes you just cannot get everything right! Keep up the good work Larry, you basicly under pin our feels and the advise we are buying from F.Prophets.
Hi Larry,appreciate your perspectives,i live south of you near pattaya thailand,and yes,we are being highly questioned here sir.ive been an investor since the early 80’s[most of my life]and thus have weatherd a few tough environments,but this one is a doozy.Thanks partly to your direction,i was barely scathed in the decline last year but admit i missed the rebound largely.it caught me by surprise and simply ran away on me.such is life.however,i do believe lower prices are in the future as soon as the IV drip wears off the patient.i rely on your service to analyze these complex,rather scary times,as i frankly find them dumb founding,and irresponsible.ive adapted to a more realistic standard of living here in Asia,and find the simplicity and comfort of living within my means is a good way to go.Im one who thinks we will recover from this insult but never quite fully.i will cost average in and diversify,keep costs low and live within my means.fundamentals i guess.thank you for all your wisdom,and keep us all informed..
Dear Larry
You have said before in previous letters it is not possible to go back to a gold standard. History has shown that people who attain positions of power can never be trusted. From my readings, all the great empires of the past had one thing in common- they all had debased currencies due to their fiscal recklessness and arrogance. Inflation is after all, stealth theft of the peoples money. If people understood fiat money and its’ implications I doubt people would go for it, and the government would be shackled, as they should be, in their attempt to govern the people, as the founding fathers wanted. I think a currency backed by something the government can’t create out of thin air is the way to go. When they control money they have the power to put the American people on steroids or take them off of steroids at will. I’d rather see the free market with restraints than people guessing at what they think the money supply should be, they are not God. Your thoughts would be appreciated, sincerely Ned Martorana
Larry:
It is not likely that the American people have the luxury of going back to the old days of excessive materialsm as their most hallowed values. My own husband made a career from the construction of an excess of glitsy, shoppertainment malls that now pepper our country. In the post-mall era, we are likely to be growing veggies and bartering with farmers: whiskey for eggs and milk. Build up your whiskey pantry! It sounds like a joke, but some economists foresee a strong barter economy.
It might be possible to take back our country from the liberals, provided writers such as you get some
editorial space to wake up those in a stupor, charmed by sweet talk from socialists. Even if
their stupor is cracked, it is necessary to turn a large ship: the masses who want and welcome a govt. that takes care of them; they don’t see that actually, there are no FREE lunches.
So many millions of people love “free money,” but don’t connect those gifts with the tax system.
Education of the masses seems to be the only thing to be done now; otherwise, our goose is cooked
as far as a free enterprise system; the men who created our republic must be doing a flip by now./
Larry, I agree with all that is said.
Washington through GS & the PPT have been supporting the market all summer via light volume hoping to bring the consumer around to start spending again, this did not work.
What it did was drive oil higher, Washington spending highter and drove the overseass investors away from out bond market. Currently Washington has to buy their own auction through overseas banks to keep people thinking there is a market for treasuries.
Coming shortly Washington will pull the plug on the market (to scare) driving money into treasuries.
Good Luck over there in Bangkok, spent a year over there during 1966 - 1967, I’m sure there are many changes.
i appreciate the point you are trying to make re the chinese and the dollar.
but its time to see the other side.
the chinese are holding a lot of dollars because of a trading advantage based
on the weak yuan.by chinese design and american laissez faire
no matter what becomes the
‘reserve currency’ the yuan and other currencies will have to rise versus the dollar
and why should WE worry about safeguarding the chinese hoard?
do not for a minute forget shady,deceptive, and downright illegal chinese business
practices ( un?officially santioned). they may have stolen an equal measure of intellectual
property all the while accumulating wealth on the backs of chinese coolies
also i think you are wrong to lump all asians together– ask them what they think
of the chinese ‘dollar’ as THE reserve. they have more experience of the chinese than we
Larry,
The solution is simple, IN THEORY, but even if it were to be implemented it would take “forever” to implement. First all efforts to bail out any sectors must cease and desist IMMEDIATELY. Secondly Obamacare must slow down which would involve, among many other things, Obama spending more time in DC and less on the “campaign trail” for his health care program. Next giving taxpayers’ money to groups like ACORN must stop; ACORN should fund itself. The need for so many czars boggles my mind, particularly those who are socialist and who advocate more spending. The czars need to be dropped because the president has a cabinet!
As for what we are trying to do we do hold gold and oil stocks, though the roller coaster ride is making me seasick. You have been very clear that we can expect short term turbulence, but I don’t recall that being subjected to the equivalent of Hurricane Katrina striking and spawning 12 tornadoes in the same place at the same time as a magnitude 8 earthquake is triggered. Nonetheless, I definitely pay attention to your words of wisdom and to those of the Weiss Research Group.
Thank you very much.
Sincerely,
Joe Wallach
We need to elect Steve Forbes, as our Pres. and have you and Martin, guide us with your market experience. I follow you and have for quite some time, though not rich, feel confident with your judgment. China, Gold, natural resources and natural gas, are what I’m doing but again, do not have much money in them but value your advice.
Jay Andersen
What to do…
quit trying to be the world’s policeman and …
limit our spending to truly humanitarian causes (including agriculture).
Radically reduce or even remove our military presence from all first-world nations, such as Japan, Korea, Germany, England, etc. (unless those nations want to fund at 100% our presence).
Tie our military presence in 2nd world (Turkey, Brazil, etc.) countries to economic development programs in those countries, using our military bases and other resources to prime the pump of economic development in those countries.
Tax at plus or minus 80% all annual income in excess of one million dollars per household and expand “Charitable giving” by definition and by extent: i.e. make it possible for a tax-payer to fund a “charter school” or to give extravagantly to our public education; likewise in the areas of food, health, national parks, and so on so as to incentivize the rich. Use Bill and Melinda(?) Gates’ giving as an example of how the rich could help humanity.
I could go on and on. Basically punish avarice and reward beneficence and make incentives that promote further beneficence and disincentives that promote further avarice.
Very Good Information and well written. Thank You!! Toronto Canada
I have paid down my debts-mortgage on home and a small Florida condo (Treasure Island cost $150000), credit cards, etc. so that I now have zero liabilities. I have invested in some gold and foreign ETF’s in Asia.
I was investing in real estate in Florida (lots in Cape Coral) from 2000-2006 and I sold out totally, against my realtors’ advice, from 2005-2006, making very nice profits on most of it (100% - 400% returns-will never see this again -I’m now 62.
I am wondering if I should put my remaining US dollars in foreign bank accounts and if so which countries? I went to a Swiss bank when on vaca three years ago
and they told me to bring in cash. I never followed up on this, unfortunately.
I live off a federal govt pension -34 yrs hard labor as an agent.Nancy
Vote all of congress out and put fiscally responsible Libertarians in.
Thanks, Larry, for the headsup. I don’t have any money to speak of. My household hunkered down for minimal expense a few years ago. However, our daughter is flying to Delhi to spend a few months there with a benevolent ministry. I hope that the little wad of $$ that she has will keep her housed and fed for a few months.
To answer your question–I’m doing anything to protect assets, don’t have any assets except the classic American one, the house. But what I will be doing is what hopefully most Americans will be doing in days to come–networking, sharing resources with friends, neighbors, churches,etc to keep folks above the rising tide of illiquidity.
We did have a fascinating two weeks in China this summer. I could see firsthand what is happening there; their economic machine is running on six cylinders while ours is stalled. According to your report today, we are fortunate to have been there in July instead of now.
Thanks for your timely perspectives. Keep up the good work. If I ever do have any real assets, you’re my source for direction.
Carey Rowland, author of Glass half-Full
Bravo Bravo Larry. I am a fan of yours(subscribe to uncommon wisdom and real wealth)
It is sad for an old fellow like me( a teenager at the end of WWII) to watch our country go from powerhouse to laughing stock in the first decade of the new century. What have we done to our children and grandchildren. Keep up the good work
It sickens me to watch in horror as all of this unfolds. It appears as if Obama and the crowd have a plan to destroy everything we have fought for. We need to pull together as americans, find leadership among ourselves and fight using every option available to us. No Guns or Damageing Riots, but leverage ourselves against them. our shear numbers could make a huge impact…………Think economic sanctions from an American vrs American Goverment Perspective. Our moto, Opt to stop the madness.
Vaya Con Dios
Concerning your comments on the value of the dollar… I am deeply concerned about the direction that it is going and the freefall against most currencies. I just do not see our politicians in Washington changing the direction of the spending of the past too many years and especially the past 1 1/2 years. It seems that individual consumers and businesses have seen the light by trying to pay off their debts and cutting on their spending habits, but the government seems (1) to be trying to make up for that spending or (2) trying to encourage consumers to spend to buy cars, houses, and now appliances. I mean how much money can be spent to support low interest/mortgage rates, support companies such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and then give new home buyers tax credits. And that does not include the FHA; the government now provides mortgages for 86% of all housing purchases. Oh by the way, I have not mentioned health insurance… somehow we are told it will cost us no additional costs???!?!?!
The final comments is that those of us who express our concerns are now called “Terrorists” and “racists”. Just read Huffington Post today and read the comments… Just because I disagree with the Obama Administration, I am a racist! So now I am a terrorist and a racist and whatever else they want to call me. And they see nothing wrong in calling me a racist either, because they believe it.
Larry,
This may sound lame to you…or unrealistic…or outright crazy. But this is all happening because we have drifted away from God and the devil is in the details.
I can say without doubt that the Obama administration has given the dollar’s decline a jump start to send it off the cliff…for they secretly hate the capitalist system and see any crisis as an opportunity to get more of their agenda pushed through. Globalists have been seeking for ways to form a one world government for decades and evil men like George Soros and Maurice Strong are behind most of the attempts to seek to establish another world currency by crashing the dollar (which is the closest thing to a world currency). Now that Soros has bankrolled Obama into office with his 600 million campaign contribution, it is full steam ahead and spend, spend, spend. You don’t have to be a genius to see where that philosophy will lead to…visions of wheel borrows full of Marks to buy a loaf of bread.
So if I see all of these secularists and humanists and marxists collectively manipulation the world’s markets towards this train wreck…how can I say that it is spiritual above all else. For it is spiritual warfare broken out big time and publically. The connection between those on earth and the heavens is our consciences or the lack there-of. For God is the one who instills an active conscience into every human on earth. Believe me…it doesn’t happen through evoilution or brain nerve synapses. God is real and so is the devil and so are the spiritual realms. God sets this moral compass into our souls and then we, with free will, can either protect and nurture that conscience or slowly kill it through sinful activities. The more habitual our sinful behaviors get, the more our consciences are destroyed. So we are now looking at an administration that doesn’t give a rats ass about goodness and is hell bent (pun intended) towards the destruction of all that we have held to be normal and moral. They seek to re-create our government into a Marxist regime and they use the playbook “rules ofr radicals” by Saul Alinski and they are godless and selfcentered narcissists and they are in the middle of this massive transformation. They lie about just about anything (and who is the prince of liars?), they confuse issues by playing both sides on many issues (good cop-bad cop), they circunvent our very Constitution with the appointment of these czars and they seek an end to capitalism so that they can have communism and gain total control. And most of the public is asleep in the midst of this upheaval.
Conservative talk radio is one of two places where we hear the truth on this. The other place is from the various Marian visionaries around the world. Trust me…God is watching and He is not happy and we are being warned to pray, pray, pray and fast. You may not think that prayer can help. But it can and it is about all that we can do right now. Satan’s plan in all of this is to continue with his final attack on humanity (materialism is the latest “ism” he uses to punk us all) and prayer is literally like passing ammunition up to the heavens to do battle with Satan. You can believe this and see the truth for what it is…or you can go ahead and just think that these things spin out of control with no apparent ryme or reason. Everything happens for a reason. This as well.
What if the U.S. were to do a reverse split on the dollar i.e. like printing new dollars for old dollars in a ratio equal to gold holdings? Would that make the dollar king and every other currency a fiat currency and thereby establishing supremacy for the dollar again?
If you have ideas, email me
This entire mess could have been addressed and even avoided by a responsible congress. The political farce that passes for government is utterly untenable and has to be corrected, and I almost don’t care by what means. Certainly term limits, restrictive control of Lobbiests and the reckless and unfettered actions of greedy lawyers has to be addressed. But by whom? These abusses are all controlled and perpetrated by lawyers. So,there can be little hope. As for the larger problems they have created, deficits and other debts, there is even less hope, especially when one realizes that any recovery hangs by the same cord that dangles a dirty bomb.
Just as doctors must practice some degree of defensive medicine, we investors must practice defensive investing. I am defending against our government by investing a portion of my family’s wealth in things which are valued worldwide, such as precious metals and other currencies, and investing overseas. Clearly the US’s debt cannot be retired, ever, using 2009 dollars. I believe the creeping method of addressing this will be partial default and wealth confiscation, with perhaps increased inflation sometime in the future–if we can avoid Japan’s deflationary fate. If this government that is so dependent on foreigners for working capital has to decide between defaulting on its promises to us or to those other governments, prepare to be disappointed.
Higher taxes will grab more of the fruits of our labors. People who have “too much” money will be excluded from Social Security and some Medicare benefits. House Democrats have already held hearings on confiscating our IRAs and 401(k)s. My wife and I have all but stopped contributing to our retirement accounts for fear of losing them in the name of socialism’s siren call of “fairness.” Can’t happen here? You mean like eavesdropping on our private communications, prohibition on arming ourselves (you can’t carry a gun into the building that displays our Constitution!), or confiscating gold as Obama’s role model did?
OK, none of that is the stuff of pep talks, but I actually believe I can and will prosper BY preparing for the worst case. If I’m wrong, I’ll have done even better.
How do i buy Aussy Dollars so i can get out of usd i think you right living bamk Tiland
My thoughts on the overspending by the Congress. Yes, ultimately Congress controls the budget at least that’s part of their job description as outlined in the Constitution. The whining by both sides would be laughable if it were not so sad. Congress allows the Executive Branch to do many things which are under it’s jurisdiction. The Judicial Branch makes law and interpretation of Constitution out of whole cloth. And you wonder why the people are angry?
The Republicans have been duplicite when they were in the majority and the Dems obviously are the same. The Dems say whatever they like and the Reps. are too obsequious; it seems everyday one or another of them is apologizing. What? Reid/Pelosi/Schummer/Clinton and the list goes on are quite cruel in their statements about Reps. and the people whomever they be, who disagree w/them.
So, Congress is taking our money forceably and giving it to other countries, left organizations, immigrants and people who have not earned it. This is not a mistake..this is deliberate in its attempt to break our country in order to fit well into the one-world government and to institute whatever type of barter that is in the works.
Hi guy’s, me again sorry I forgot to check my spelling befoe sending my comments just now !
Just like to add that this Is the Transfer of power from West to East, brought about by very poor
government in the West for years, we are also hamstrung by HUGE amounts of crippling Legislation.
It might be tempting to think that the Chinese have also had a hand in our Demise of late , by giving
us enough rope to hang ourselves with, we have sold our soles for “Widgets”. It will be along time
before we the West stands astride the Globe again……
Ian Hicks.
Well Larry, as long as we have the current set of economic illiterates as well as our ‘let’s just see how long the bubble will last without us doing anything about it’ Congress in charge and driving our fiscal policy even deeper into the woods…I don’t see things changing. Well, not until the inevitable collapse at which time…I don’t even want to conceive of what it’s going to be like. Perhaps Germany in the 1920’s? But, that’s what happens when the folks in charge basically hate their own country and what it stands for. Sad…isn’t it?
Jeff Adams
Baltimore, Md
number one thing I am doing is subscribing to your news letter.
I have straddled the U.S. by buying a home outside the country, holding physical gold,
currency, and natural resource stocks. I’m not the sharpest tack in the box but even I realize
that just the interest on all the different borrowing done by individuals and government will
crush Joe Average to say nothing of the upside down pyrimid of the baby boomers.
I am worried . I live in mexico and our currency and economy is attached to the dollar.80 perecnt of our total trade is with the us.our oil exports are decreasing. Year after year. And. Close to 35 percent of gov spending idepends on oil revenues. We are the worst country in the lar in collecting taxes regarding gdp. And more than 50 percent of the population are on the categorized poverty level. What is the outlook for the future ? Same or worse as for the. US.
Hi Larry,
I am buying slv and gld. Any other suggestions???
Larry Tedesco
In your article you say the following;
“So to Asians, the crisis we’re going through is our own fault. And although it was also caused by blunders in Western Europe and other regions, truth be told, they are mostly right.”
To what blunders in Western Europe and other regions are you referring to? I find that remark very perplexing indeed. Surely the fault for the crisis rests fairly and squarely with the policies of past and present US administrations?
An obvious answer is to buy gold. Hasn’t it gone up in value 30 per cent this year?
Hello Larry Martin. Where are you at in Asia. I am located in Thailand. Unfortunately I am already retired and don’t have much funds to invest (actually none at this point). I live on social security and a va disability pension and doing well so far, but no savings yet. I am married to thai lady living in the mideast of thailand near Nakhonratchasima (Korat). Presently I am building a house and will complete it all sometime in January. Due to not having much education I have limited knowledge except for that which comes from common sense. hehe. I think that once I catch up and get the house finished in Jan. I will possibly join your investment group for some education and as far as answering your question about what I would do in the situation for the country. Tell everyone to go to work, be creative, the american people were hoodwinked with rhetoric by O-Bama and all the other liars and strip them of their powers, and unlike others I don’t apologize for my feelings. I earned the right to have them. Americans are strong and just with purpose of honesty (most part-not including those under the age of 40-hehe).Globalization is the answer to our problems but BITE THE BULLET and get americans back off their asses and restore the values we had when we founded america. You can’t take the stripes off a tiger so why butt heads and try the impossible and rehabilitae bad people. Asians don’t, ha. Personally I am going to try and learn enough to try money exchanging-4x. This comment comes from a typical american (disabled veteran) living overseas because of the cost of living in america now and the changing values. I would be honored to hear back from you. Have a great day cause when your older there are fewer of them, hehe. Rusty
Most of my 401K is in commodity related investments.
Chris
There is no will in America to take measures to prevent an eventual default on most of our national debt. The question is: what measures the rest of the world will take (in their self-interest) to moderate the fall? Without outside help (combating the self-destruct mentality of the American people and the American Government), the view is very bleak indeed.
Those who follow the markets actions, understand where we are headed. It is most difficult to turn this ship around, I’m afraid we will hit the Iceberg. Not spending , however, only increases the longevity of the recession. We ,( you and I ), can see this coming. Public awareness might help a little. I send funds,monthly to the Philippines. I’ve noticed only a small change in the rates over the past 5 years.
Saying that, i feel the conversion rate will only sink further ,over the coming year.
Larry –
There is no question whatsoever that all this is our own doing.
I can remember that before I graduated high school in the 1960s my father’s friends all getting screwed out of their pensions by MBAs in pink ties letting men go at age 64 1/2 because the company they worked for wanted out of its ties to them. And I can also remember the mass exodus of American manufacturers already capitulating to cheap labor, ruining towns all over the country and exporting all those jobs rather than choosing self-sufficiency as a country.
And don’t forget the classic American hatred of thinking, as can be seen in every dumbed-down form of debased entertainment we excel in. In other words, the great Patriots of American industry have been throwing this country’s values away for decades since the Baby Boom began, and we’ve watched helplessly because not a single elected official knew how to stand up to it. Nor were they asked to, by a populace that worshipped “free markets.”
Many of the ones that remain are determined to plunder, rather than respect, the ground, water and air that give them life itself. Do you doubt this? When you say that we are the laughing stock, it’s because we have done nothing to conserve what is inherently valuable, and raced off the cliff chasing bling. Everyone can see our mindless celebrity worship culture for the hollow thing it is. Except us. We blunder on.
So what is the answer? Bring it all back. Make things here. Go green on the environment and who cares if our country is loaded with flat-earth believers who still can’t wrap their heads around global warming? These practices are of inherent value. If that were not so, then what is China doing making deals with our biggest solar companies to harness the only battery that counts? This is not rocket science. Not at all. It is staring us in the face.
We deserve the come-uppance we’re getting. We’ve punted on all our basic responsibilities to ourselves and our surroundings for 50 years. Let’s wake up now, grow up instantly, and trim the sails back here, call on all the able-bodied to reinvent a country off of its duff.
As the government goes deeper and deeper into debt, they will cut domestic spending, and increase taxes.
Already the cost of living increase on social security has been elimiated, and other social progam will be cut,
The American people should be angry that foreign aid, and military spending continues, in spite of our financial situation. It is my belief that military spending under the Bush administration, was the straw that finally broke the camel’s back. After many years of wars, Pentegon budget increases and the increases in government bureauacracy, we are now broke. Meanwhile our infrastructure is crumbling, our land is being overrun with illegal alians, jobs have been exported, and our country is going to hell. This was once a great country, but we seem to be well on our way on “the road to serfdom”.(F.A. Hayek)
Spot on article, Larry! One scenario that popped into my mind recently regarding this is why are there still some countries buying US debt? I believe Brazil is one of those countries along with China (though somewhat reluctantly.) What are our US government officials telling our foreign neighbors?
I wonder if our own US government is (secretly) assuring foreign buyers of US debt that US citizens’ land is and will be the “collateral” for the US debt securities….since we don’t have the gold anymore to back up the securites. Maybe there is some validity to those “detention camps” that conspiracy theorists talked about back in the 1990s to hold displaced people who will have their land taken from them. Just thinking out loud.
You say it so well Larry. but what can you do?
Dear Larry: Good to get the latest from around the world. I’m 84, but active. My idea for my country is
“Put us all to work making the products and income we so desperately need.” Unfortunately, our plight is under the control of those who want it this way. I’m presently building a machine powered by gravity that will give us a new clean source of power. (Homes with their own source of free electricity) No need of highlines. I cant make this known till I get enough units built and sent around so that the PTB cant
squash me first, as they have done to so many others with ideas that threatened established monopolies.
My idea is so simple that I will soon have it running. Expect to drive a generator with it.
Thanks For this report!! It is very informative to know what the man on the street is saying, doing, thinking. This is what metters in the Asia of today because they are the ones driving the train. I am involved in importing goods from China . What a surprise to learn that the average Joe in China knows more about the value of currency than most of our elected officials,The average Joe in America,educated in government schools has no idea of what captalism is all about. I’m very concerned about the future of our country. The future of my children and grandchildren. They do not stand a chance. They will never know the America that I grew up in from a freedom or economic standpoint. I could talk all day about how I observe the Chineese and Latins come to America to follow the American dream of owning Real Estate and Automobile and are willing to work and save all of their life until their goals are met and their children are educated. These are friends of mine that look and think of the majority of native born Americans with disgust and snikers behind closed doors because they view them as lazy and willing to accept a low standard of living when they could have anything they want in America. I remember asking a friend of mine from China how he met the language requirement for migrating to America. He said ‘Very simple, I memorize English dictionary” Our native born are to lazy to learn to speak english well enough too get out of the inner city. Yet our government insist on giving to those that are too lazy to work and take care of themselves. We each must take the necessary actions to save ourselves from the doom that is coming with the decline of our currency and country.
Larry
I dont understand, the first Money and markets letter from Bryan said the dollar was headed higher, and you say its headed for a crash.
Personally l think the dollar will crash big due to your fed reserve circus, so why does Bryan think the opposite
Regards
Angela
Dear Larry.
Thank you for the invitation to comment from England.. I note that politicians in the USA and UK are still in denial, we have a disaster rapidly unolding here because the politicians of the major parties, are all frightened that others will steal their ideas. Particularly the socialists stealing the tory ideas. Until we have clear unequivocal statements from the so called experts on how to rein in public spending the electorate cannot decide who to support. I am a life long conservative, but the party is unable or unwilling to speak out and tell the people what they all understand, that we are in for a very grim few years, the deceit and lies being told by promiment politicians are becoming more than tedious. The people know that austerity, with a capital A is needed and will accept the truth.
What thet hell is it with politicians that they are unable to spell out simple truths, a desire for re-election, an innate reluctance to tell the truth, whatever the reason it reflects very badly on the so called leaders of party and country.
England is now paying the price for ten years of profligate financial socialist irresponsibility by the unelected prime minister and former chancellor. The USA is about to fall into a black hole led by another socialist president, who seems as determind as G. Brown did to ignore financial probity and economic reality.
No amount of words, speeches, promises etc can overcome the fact that the people are not being told the wholly unpalatable truth that truly drastic spending cut backs have to be made, on both sides of the atlantic.
You have promises being made about health care, surely the example of the UK is enough to convince anyone with half a brain that health care cannot be ”free”, the UK is in an awful finacial mess, with no one in government or the opposition prepared to spell out what needs to be done.
Sadly I believe that the economies of europe and the usa are about to witness another fresh financial fall.
Best wishes.
Michael.J.White.
All of this “currency chaos” is headed in one direction, and that is a global currency. This is inevitable, and I believe will happen within the next decade between 2010 and 2020. What quicker way to reconcile deficits, trade wars, and imbalances than a global currency?
The “smoke and mirrors” that we see in global finance obfuscates the truth, and the fact is the average person rarely knows or understands what is actually happening. This allows the masters of finance to do just about anything they want,on the way back to a feudal, master/servant society, which is where we are headed.
America, as we knew it, as a free market economy, is history.
Thanks For this report!! It is very informative to know what the man on the street is saying, doing, thinking. This is what matters in the Asia of today because they are the ones driving the train. I am involved in importing goods from China . What a surprise it was to learn that the average Joe in China knows more about the value of currency than most of our elected officials,The average Joe in America,educated in government schools has no idea of what captalism is all about. I’m very concerned about the future of our country. The future of my children and grandchildren. They do not stand a chance. They will never know the America that I grew up in from a freedom or economic standpoint. I could talk all day about how I observe the Chineese and Latins come to America to follow the American dream of owning Real Estate and Automobile and are willing to work and save all of their life until their goals are met and their children are educated. These are friends of mine that look and think of the majority of native born Americans with disgust and snikers behind closed doors because they view them as lazy and willing to accept a low standard of living when they could have anything they want in America. I remember asking a friend of mine from China how he met the language requirement for migrating to America. He said ‘Very simple, I memorize English dictionary” Our native born are to lazy to learn to speak english well enough too get out of the inner city. Yet our government insist on giving to those that are too lazy to work and take care of themselves. We each must take the necessary actions to save ourselves from the doom that is coming with the decline of our currency and country.
There is no way out of this. We have passed the point of no return $ trillions ago. The national debt now comfortably exceeds the national wealth. Higher taxes cannot solve our fiscal problem (but that won’t stop them from trying.) In fact if Washington, instead of raising our taxes, simply confiscated all of the private wealth of America, they couldn’t pay off their debt. All they can do is burn the furniture to stay warm.
However, all we can do is buy precious metals, commodities and foreign assets and avoid tax deferred savings plans like IRA’s, 401K’s and annuities and invest in tax preferenced vehicles like munis (gulp!) and MLP’s
You paint a horrifying picture, Larry, but one I’m not unfamiliar with, in parts, at least. Like many, I simply have worked all my adult years - still do (nursing, health care) - and now being my parents’ trustee from the income they gathered via oil stocks (my dad worked 37 years for Standard Oil), I pay a WHOLE lot more attention. I am pleased to say I have re-grown my portfolio back about 50%, but I watch it like a hawk, and leave most in energy investments. I have largely put money into American companies also invested in other countries. I probably don’t keep enough in cash; I’m thinking at least a year’s worth of bills should be covered by have a cash account, although with the dollar sliding, that may not be enough.
Your thoughts? I’d also be curious on your thoughts of the Iraqi Dinar possibility of re-valuation.
Thanks!
Sylvia - wife, mom, grandma, RN, and proud Veteran!
We kick ALL the 535 Bums in Washington D.C out of office in 2010!
Over 2 million people marched on washington 9/12/2009 !!!
The media tried to play it down, But it was BIG .. We’re tired of the out
of control spending by these jerks .. Let Freedon Ring ..
I dont know what can be done to decrease our deficit???? but it seems like,if we would not have bailed out all the countries over seas,and kept our money here in the usa and just helped the people(famil’s here) we would have been a stronger country. I am sorry that people in africa and wherever that are having alot of trouble,but we are too,. by the year 2010 we are going to have a lot of serious problems here,especially with the population control. The goverment is now chipping people unaware and who knows what they are going to do once they get the project finished,I have a small motor home and when it all starts I am going to get lost into the mountains somewhere. I hope all this makes sence????
Larry,
Trust me if Americans even saved 25% of the resources(all included) they use the world would be a much better fed world-than the usa with the fed—-
Larry,
It would be helpful/useful if you included additional information with your RECOs, such as:
Beta, Liquidity, Capitolazation.
Thanks,
Wally
I strongly believe America should do everything possible to become more self sufficient. #1`Stop buying everything we use from other countries by: > Drill for oil everywhere possible in our own country. >Tax imports to help our own USA based factories compete so our own people have jobs. >Take away union powers. How can America compete if forced to pay Union wages to everyone on State jobs and union controled factories, people who turn around and spend it all on China imports. >Stop forcing our own farmers to comply to stricter animal treatment and farming standards while importing the same products from countries who have no regulations. Stop importing Ag products so we can compete. Keep the money in the US!
What am I doing to protect myself? Saving more money myself and trying to find safe places to put it. READING YOUR COLUMNS (Dollars under the mattress will soon be toilet paper) I also am watching for good deals on solar and wind power for my home farm to eliminate energy bills. >And we grow and store our lots of own home grown food.
Most importantly, make sure you and your family are Saved ! Heaven is the ONLY secure place to invest your energy ! God has not changed! Our current situation is why our American money includes the writing; ” IN GOD WE TRUST ” !!!!
I’m buying SILVER
Uses : Industry, value/money/worth, Bling
Well I know it smacks of protectionisim, but we should focus on the US a bit more. Pull back some of the world/nation building, get out of the wars we are in and start investing right here in the US. Much of my investments are now in other parts of the world like China, India and emerging markets. I am in my mid fifties and am seriously looking at becoming an expat and living in places like Ecuador, Mexico, Panama where the cost of living is much much less, healthcare costs, quality and insurance are as good or better in most cases than in the US. I have been a loyal American for decades, buying US made autos, investing in US companies and Muni Bonds etc. But now the return on investment is poor at best, and I feel as though I have been penalized for being loyal while the big banks and investment firms get bail outs. I have only a few short years until I hit 62, if SS is still around I will take all I can get and invest and spend my money and life in another country. It’s the only plan I have left that makes some reasonable sense.
You can’t tell me that with all the brilliant economic and financial minds that the gov’s have at their disposal, that they are stupid enough to continuously implement and follow policies that the rest of us “simpletons” know will only lead to major trouble. So we have to assume that it is all carefully planned and orchestrated…Sort of like running up all your credit cards to the maximum while living the high life and then simply declaring bankruptcy and erasing your debt.This is all a carefully orchestrated plan to raid the entire western financial system by the worlds ruling elite to the limit of the credit that the rest of the world is willing to “lend” them to line their pockets and then to plunge the world economies (especially the US economy) into complete chaos so as to be able to reorganize the worlds currencies into 1-3 new world currencies out of the ashes of such a crisis. Paperless currencies that they would be able to control much easier as a solution to the crisis that they created in the first place. So I say the thing to do is not to buy gold which they can simply confiscate like they will and have already done during the great depression..I would buy silver in smaller easily tradeable pieces, rural land and acreage where you can grow food or hunt, and equipement and tools which would be needed in the collapse that is coming. these things will retain their value…In the meantime I would short the US dollar through the highly leveraged forex markets and then use the immense profits to buy such items.
Many solutions were tested and proven under the pre-Clinton FmHA which some claim returned a profit to taxpayers. At the least it demonstrated the least expense of helping people to help themselves and shows innovation in handling excess debt.
My uncle and I thought a depression would appear about 1947 or 48. We were wrong because we had not based our decision on pragmatic economic evidence. It was a feeling. But, I began watching this government Fiasco evolving with Real Evidence in 1954. I knew then What was coming, I just didn’t know When, but didn’t think it would take this long either. However, it was in 1963, I Knew without any doubt the Real Consequences of the socialistic trend the country was headed in. All these years I’ve been Poo Pooed by just about everyone, my kids, friends etc. about my beliefs. Doom and Gloom as some writer bases his news letter on. Well, the Doom and Gloom
have arrived just as I suspected back in 1954 and 1963. I don’t owe a Dime, my house is Paid For, My cars are Paids For and so is everything else. I’m not wealthy, but I’m no longer interested in making money. I want my Constitutional Government back. I could write an article on why the U.S. has died and not one writer has touched on any of these thoughts. Every sales letter pushes making money. My friend, money won’t mean a damned thing if you live in a society run like the Bees and
Ants.
Here’s what must be done and Now if we’re to save our sovereignty, no excuses from the retarded in Washington DC either. Will they be done. Of course not. The Free Loaders at the moment are in control at the voting booth. Here are the solutions for Starters Only.
1. Repeal the 16th Amendment to the U.S. Constitution. I could write a long article on this.
2. Repeal the 17th Amendment to the U.S. Constitution. Absolutely Mandatory. Another arcicle
3. Bring back the Monroe Doctrine. Free trade? Of course, but Militarily You Stay Out of Our
Hemisphere and we’ll stay out of yours. We’ll only accept Gold and Silver as Payment of bills.
4. Throw the U.N. and its trash out of the U.S. and get U.S. Out of U.N. Long Over Due.
5. I think illegals and many legals could be spys and should be tried by the military with appropriate
sentences. Am I a Hard Ass? Ask the Founders of this great country what they would do.
Well, I’m coming up 89 years old and have seen it All. I didn’t spend 4 years of my life in WW II to defend what’s happening by the traitors in Washington DC, Florida State House and the City of Jacksonville. My mind is clear, my body is in good shape and we’re looking for a new home, country that is. Sorry I don’t have the time at the moment to write more of my opinions. But, why would I want to take that time anyway.
Tom Long
and we’re contemplating like any other intelligent
For starters, the US absolutely must:
1. Get out of the health care business, except for Medicare/Medicaid - government employees can buy insurance on the private market like the rest of us.
2. Get out of Iraq and Afghanistan NOW.
3. Get serious about balancing budgets - Congress take note.
4. Get back to business - that’s where America shines and if the government get out of the way, we’d generate the money we need to escape from this downward spiral.
I don’t know what to do. I’m afraid to buy the condo I now lease because real estate prices don’t seem stable enough. I got out of the stock market completely this month. I have corporate bonds and a little bid of overseas bonds/stocks and TIPS and cash. I”m thinking about silver but can’t find a reputable dealer. Also can’t decide whether to take possession of bullion or leave it for the company to hold so they can trade as they want to do. What percentage should be in silver? The tax on personally held bullion is 28%.
Hello,
Thank you for your offer to listen to readers ideas and what action we are taking…..we live in Sweden now, previously Australia until six months ago….we sold our house and business 15 months ago at very good prices and invested the money trading the short side using CFD’s until February 2009…trading is now my sole income. The US dollar is likely to fool most and actually rise much higher very soon as debt is liquidated globally in the next selling wave…the dollar will not be at risk of collapsing until near the termination of the bear market….by then there will be no conversion or buyers of dollars left…exhaustion. To be quite frank, I cannot see any way forward at all for the US, the massive debt still hanging and growing must be paid back…..there is only one way and the nature of the market will dictate how that is acomplished…default? or inflate it away?…it’s going to be one of them…..I would choose default as the likely scenario as debt is written off on a scale never witnessed in our history…….The US is bankrupt and can keep the lifelines pumping a little longer through yet more credit, but the game is over now through a global eruption that stimulus packages cannot match. Eventually, declaring bankruptcy of a nation will signal the end and only then can the US rebuild over generations to come.
Hi Larry- Under the present circumstances I don’t think we can ever pay off our national debt. Eventually the USA is going to have to go under and renig on all its obligations. We can then have two new countries called East America and West America divided by the Mississippi river. When anyone presents USA debt instruments they will have to realize that the USA is out of business, lost our lease, etc.etc. etc. Hopefully we can at that time correct all the changes that have been made that have been a detriment to the old USA..
I worry our Democracy has shown it’s flaw. Too many are draining it’s resources and too few are funding our overly Large Government.
Most of our money is in CDs. I am too afraid of the markets and don’t know what else to do.
Larry, what I fear as much as the two alternatives is the thought that we are probably in the midst of financial warfare. I believe that each scenario has almost equal probability. because our powers at be are watching and waiting. It is probably politically sounder to prevent a current deeper downturn, but it remains possible for a shift of gears if the rest of the world is leaning too much toward that result. Think of it. If we see too many adversaries dropping dollar holdings and hoarding dollar denominated hard assets., we could do an about face and pull the plug on further stimulus. A deflationary spiral might ensue, but one in which the dollar strengthens and the adversaries are stuck holding hard assets that will devalue (buyers for these items will now be absent). The problem is the two scenarios require drastically different positions to be properly hedged. One scenario would have gold , commodities, and foreign securities rallying; while the other would have those holdings getting hammered. I believe this uncertainty within the context of financial warfare is the real crux of the problem of how to be positioned. I too am a trader of some 20 plus years and this feels like one of those trades whereby you can be right and still be wrong. Larry, let me know your thoughts.
Hi Larry
I have been following you and martin for many years and I am a member of many of your services. I have found on Martin’s side the short time horizen have not been very good and have lost money on options. I was so glad to hear about your cycle program and Martin purched the rights. I am into gold, silver and comodities and find you to be dead on most of the time. I am also betting that interest rates are going higher and putting money into eastern part of the world. Thanks Tom
Well, I’m just a self educated stay at home wife and mother, therefore I’m sure, my opinion is of little value to most, with today’s ideas, but non the less they are of some value for they are mine. My husband, who is self employed, and I are of old school we save and spend. The major debt we have is our home. Every thing else is paid for except for those credit cards that are paid off at the end of the billing cycle which by the way those credit cards pay us back for using them.
We spend within our means. If it looks tight we don’t buy anything extra, only food and essentials. We might have more to spend but taxes are so high. We can’t complain too much because my husband makes below $30,000 a year. Two years ago he only net $16,000. We don’t know how we did it but we made it through the year and survived on that small amount of income.
My husband has been very wise in being secure with investing in gold. Which will save our tails if something stupid happens.
We do not have heath or life insurance. We have placed our trust in God to meet our needs. We eat good foods, I do not follow the main stream media’s ideas of healthy eating, low fat diets & avoiding high cholesterol foods, no way, give us good nutritionally dense whole foods to stay healthy, avoiding the calamities of unhealthy eating and life styles, which are the cause of I believe it’s 80% of the health related issues people are suffering with today.
I am very concerned with whats coming our way and something big is going to happen and this administration seems to think that killing unborn babies and ending the lives of the elderly are going to solve the problems of today, they are seriously wrong.
Best wishes and thanks for keeping me up to date with the economy.
Sincerely yours,
Mrs. Nerswick
Since our dollar is becoming less valuable to the foreign trade, in my opinion we must return to manufacturing more of our own goods. I understand Mr. Obama has imposed a punitive tariff on Chinese made car and light truck tires shipped to the US. To me, that is good. We must regain a manufacturing base in this country or we will be at the mercy of the rest of the world. We can’t all go to college and become professional people, Most of them don’t make anything to sell so we need to put the blue collar folks back to work. We do not owe anything to the rest of the world, I am in favor a reasonable amount of protectionism necessary to keep our economy healthy and self sufficient.
I am a subscriber of Real Wealth and I would like to know your suggestion on the best way to buy gold and silver for safety.
Hi Larry,
Thanks for your great insight and up close view of the U.S. financial situation from Asia. I agree that our financial house is not in order, but consumption itself is not bad. Irrational consumption fueled by marketing that was fueled by easy credit has been both our benefit and bane for the last forty years. I think the distinction must be made both short term and long term for the U.S. and also the difference in the established and sophisticated democracy of the U. S. and the emerging nations. Please factor these points in your view with future comments.
What can we expect from a communist president? If one simply reads his reading list and studyies the TRUTH regarding obama’s background, then reads the full “health plan” and other garbage that he’s putting before congress, you’ll understand what’s really going on: the elimination of the USA!
Dear Larry, Thank You for your newletters. I’ a guppie in a big ocean of finance. I am Canadian. I have followed your information for a few years. I have listened to your forums with Michael Weis as well.I highly regard your advice.It is no surprise about Asias concern re the $US. Please study Lyndon Larouches web site .www.larouchepac.com and http://www.larouchepub.com His webcast of the 8th will explain the history of the present crisis and give solutions. He has been speaking out for decades to deaf ears because what he says is true.. If you know of him please set aside any negative presumptions that you may have formed. He’88 years old! he is a brilliant physical economist and so dear. After the end of September is the fiscal year of the US. After that the storm will be a fury in the global markets. My family and I are storing food and survival items.Also gold and silver coin. Mostly junk silver. Getting harder to get.off the radar. Hopefully we can afford to head for the hills so to speak. God Bless us ALL, we are going to need it. Sincerely , Penelope
Great perspective, and it follows closely with what both the Elliot Wavers and Gerald Celente are saying, so sadly I suspect that we will experience a Weimar Republic like consequence of unrepayable debt. It was exactly that, brought on by war reparations demanded by the banks, not the governments, that led to the collapse of the mark, and the rise of a very dark nationalism. I hope we don’t see that, but I fear we might, and every month it looks more possible.
I have no idea what we as a thinking people can do when our government is so controlled by the banksters behind the Fed, they have already stolen our money to correct their errors on a massive scale, and they continue to scam us through their sponsorship and control of Washington. Goldman Sachs was one of the biggest donors to Obama’s campaign, so is it any wonder he thinks we should give the Fed more power. I’m more inclined to follow Ron Paul in calling for an audit, and even abolition of the private banking cartel that everyone thinks is a government entity.
I’d suggest that only a radical overhaul of the current US financial system is the only thing the vendors you are speaking of would accept. They won’t be fooled by more of the same only different, and if they aren’t then it is safe to say that at some point the international bond market will rebel as well.
As the Chinese say, we live in interesting times.
Just my $0.02 worth.
Larry, thanks for this opportunity.
I think we are in such bad condition that we may have to go through a depression to clean it up.
I’m very heavey in gold production, through a mutual fund, stocks, options and leaps.
My secondary area is stocks and mutual funds in China and Latin America.
I also have options have Leaps on three American companies that I think are in strong positions. These companies also have overseas interests.
I fear that the US is heading for a crash and not even the Republicans are concerned about it. Congress seems to have their head in the sand.
Bill
Lets face up to reality as a nation and take responsibility for our government and remove the Fedral Reserve and all the manipulation in the banking system and wall street. We as a nation have been living in a fools world based on the reputation and intregrety of its people. The day of trading fiat money for the labors of others is over and day of reckoning is nearing in the world of free trade. We have lost our manufacturing base and given away our technology. What do we have to trade with? The day of paying for foreign products with fiat paper is over. Its time to start over based on our original priciples with honest people and not those hacks that have been bought and sold by special interests. John P. Wold
We need to vote this Congress out (most of them at least) and put a halt to the Obama machine. Obviously we have leadership without experience and knowledge of monetary issues. I think Mr. Greenspan had a lot to do with this mess we are in today, also the Congressmen and women who for votes loosened the mortgage loan requirements and gave money to people irresponsibly. Case in point, my relative, whose husband is a janitor, qualified for a home over $300,000 dollars. Of course they are upside down now. Real estate people, attorneys, and politicians have created this mess and should be held accountable! The answer for all of us is to stop spending more than we have…buy gold and silver, eat rice until your debts are paid up…invest in Asia if you have any money!
What I’d like to know is if we get crushing deflation first because of collapsing credit (99% of the money supply) derivatives imploding, etc. or are we going to wake up next week to find US dollars are worth zip because the world has shunned our “reserve currency” in favor of Yuan or SDRs or even food? Makes a difference whether one stays in short Treasuries or switches to gold and Singapore $$.
1) I would institute an immediate moratorium on all legal immigration, hermetically seal our borders and ports to eliminate all illegal immigration. A side effect of this effort would be a drastic reduction in illegal drugs in this country allowing us to divert vast sums of money currently being spent on our ineffective “war on drugs” to reducing our debt.
2) I would deport all illegal aliens currently serving time in our federal prisons for non violent crimes and turn them over to the authorities in their homelands to do with them as they wish.
3) I would institute an immediate hiring freeze on all federal agencies
4) I would put a moratorium on all foeign aid since we are out of money
5) I would withdraw all of our troops out of Europe and drastically reduce the number of troops stationed in all other locations throughout the world and close many foreigh bases.I would use the saved money in part to purchase surplus airliners from the troubled airlines to convert to troop carriers to have an ever ready armada of planes ready to transport masses of troops at a moment’s notice to troubled parts of the world that need and request our help
6) I would create a core of 1000 top successful retired businessmen to do a thorough apolitical unbiased analysis of every government agency to show how expenses could be reduced 30% without effecting agency productivity, and MANDATE THAT THEIR RECOMENDATIONS BE IMPLEMENTED IMMEDIATELY WITHOUT INTERVENTION FROM THE FlOORS OF CONGRESS!!
7) I would see that term limits were instituted for all Senators and Representatives
8) [I would also like to see the terms Democrat,Republican,Liberal,Conservative,Socialist,and Progressive banned from usage in this country-It would then require everyone to actually listen to each candidate to see what they believe in before having a knee jerk reaction as to whether they would vote for them or not because of a label 8-) ]
9) I have about 10 oz of gold bullion and shares of gold etf, the rest of my retirement money I intend to spread among 6 or so of the most stable banks in the form of 6-12 month cd’s to turn over rapidly to try to keep up with the coming double digit inflation. I am hopefully about 6 mos away from retirement at 65 and prey I do not wind up living in a cardboard box under a bridge somewhere when my money runs out
Get out of the Federal Reserve, Start a new currency issued by Our treasury and start all over. Before we lose our freedoms with our moneny.
I am working on becoming as self sufficient as possible, growing all my own food, (vegetables, beef, chicken and fruit) and supplementing my energy use with wood and homemade biofuels. I am divesting my stock holdings and investing in agricultural land.
The Dollar:
In the 5th wave down in a BEAR. 4% bulls
The short term I think there could be a substantial bounce.
The Euro is worse if that is possible. It is way over valued.
Watch for an ABC correction to the upside in the dollar.
Cycles show bottom in the $ and Top in Euro this week.
In my opinion the surprise is a big rally in the $.
HI
What am I doing to protect myself?
I learned about Dr Weiss’s book, checked it out at Library
Then I bought the book he advertised on the website
I substribed to the free newsletters that you all have and read them
I subscribed to your monthly paper
and the one on Super Dividends
and now the 21 century Super trader for a year
I’m 86 years old, remember th great depression, and have invested in common stocks since 1955.
I have flown by the seat of my pants, and I don’t know what to do with the situation I face right now.
I fought in WWII and have ten stars in my battle ribbons; but I also say that we have lost everything we gained in WWII though the bad choices of politicians who sold us out in both parties.
I am hoping that you people see the way for me to not loose the little that I have.
I believe that I can follow the buy and sells of ETF’s that Ron suggests in his contact to subscribers
I hope that the combination of yourself and the other 3 people pictured and Ron will see more clearlly what actions to take to make it possible to cope in this herible situation, which is the worst one that I have witnessed in my life time. By the way I was in Tokio Bay on a CV class Aircraft Carrier when the peace treaty was signed with Japan! That ended WWII.
As you can see, my evaluation of this mess is that you folks have a better handle on what may work than I possible could, my hope is that you people get it right.
May the Lord Jesus Christ give you Wisdom and Understanding to guide many through these turbulent waters.
bob
I have bought some gold, silver and diamonds with cash and took possession.
I have bought some equipment which can be productive in any economy, inflationary or depression.
I have stockpiled the inventory I need to build the equipment which will continue to be in demand around the world.
I have paid off my house.
I have paid off all but one rental property; the one with a mortgage I consider a throw-away in the event of a depression.
I think the U.S. needs to stop spending so much money on defense and social spending and spend more on domestic manufacturing, construction and energy modernization and self sufficiency.
IF YOU CAN’T PAY FOR IT IN CASH….YOU DO NOT NEED IT.
DEBT IS TO BE AVOIDED AT ALL COST. LIVE WITHIN YOUR
MEANS……ECONOMICS 101…. IF YOU MAKE $500 PER MONTH,
HOW MUCH CAN YOU SPEND????????DUH! THAT’S RIGHT..
$500…ANYTHING ELSE IS DEFICIT SPENDING WHICH OUR
GOVENMENT AND IT’S PEOPLE HAVE GROWN EVER SO FOND
OF AND IS WHY WE ARE WHERE WE ARE. HINT: CUT SPENDING.
BALANCE OUR BUDGET…HUNKER DOWN AND GET IT DONE!
Planning to move out of here to Brazil with my Wife. She is from Sao Paulo. The United States as the worlds #1 economic power are over. We let our corporate heads ship all our jobs away and thought we could just consume and not produce anything. Good Bye United States… Hello Brazil!
Remove ALL liberal spenders from Congress - - Republican, Democrat, or Independent. No one
should be in Congress for more then 2 terms! ! ! We still have time to do this. If any one now in
Congress has been in there for more then 2 terms, VOTE THEM OUT ! ! ! THEN FIND AND VOTE
FOR THE MOST CONSERVATIVE PERSON YOU CAN FIND AND SUPPORT THEM.
push to elect Ron Paul or Mitt Romney and eliminate faud and waste in food stamps, medicaire, medicaide and so on transfer payments, and fix SS.
I think LaRouches suggestion about a new credit system where US, China, Russia and India join first sounds like a good idea. http://larouchepac.com/lpactv?nid=11734
Dear Klaus, RE: Brains, Not Bullets
I have been following Martin Weiss and your articles now for many months.
While everything you say is quite true, there very viable technical solutions
to our money problems if we would just use them.
We don’t need middle east oil at all.
For instance, there is a very crude webpage with the entire solution at
http://liquid-Nitrogen-car.suroot.com
There, ou can download a 3 minute movie and see most of the answer to
the global energy problems in a working prototype using liquid nitrogen.
This is electric technology. It has nothing that burns or pollutes..
It’s cheap. $3.60 will produce the power of a Boeing 747 jet engine
using a 12 HP electric motor and “supercharged” electricity.
with this technology. (about 80,000 HP out of a 12 hp motor)
When this technology is implemented, the need for fossil fuels will
go the way of the buggywhip…..Our arab friends can go back
to the tent and camel business which has been their mainstay
for centuries.
There is quite a lot more to this story, best told, face to face
to someone with a reasonable sized investment checkbook.
It will take some work to convert things but it is certainly doable.
But the long and short of it is the United States is insane
to continue sending our wealth to the mid-east, so they can
buy bullets to kill our children…..
who are sent there by nutcake politicians,,…….
when we can produce enough energy to run the
entire world, from thin air….the air we breath..
We can quite literally, convert the air we breath, into
all the energy we can ever use (even using some of
the politicians hot air-of which there is plenty- finally
something of value can come from Washington.),
We can use this technology to run our cars, our ships,
our submarines, our shopping centers, our factories,
light up a city, a country, or the whole world.
It is “supercharged” electricity. It does not pollute
our air……It is quiet……it is powerful.
You can doiwnload the video itself from
http://webplus.helix.assets.org.uk/lnc/Nitorgen Powered Car.wmv
The full story is at
http://liquid-nitrogen-car.suroot.com
Brains, Not Bullets will solve our problems.
It starts with inventors…..and people who
put their money where their mouth is.
P.S.
But, we have to stop our politicians from instituting
Nazi Like Tactics on our own Inventors who are trying to
bring change about, or framing our women to protect
our local drug trafficking industry which is a local custom
learned from Stalin and Hitler.
http://www.newsplex.com/home/headlines/58564852.html
It’s a different story, but interrelated…which needs national
exposure to put these thugs where they belong.
Ask your readers to send a letter to their congressman
and senator and demand an investigation of this
incident, when they send a letter about the liquid
nitrogen.
They will send a lot of corrupt local politicians to jail
if your readers will to complain.
These thugs opened Pandoras Box……..
This toothpaste is going to be tougher to put back in the tube,
than fixing the world energy problem.
But lots of help is needed.
Do your part.
Larry, First Obama and his liberal socialist group must be voted out of office. Then, we must vote in fiscally conservative statesmen, a word rarely used these days. I have no interest in which party they are from because at this point, I see very little difference in either party. We then need to establish term limits for all Congressmen and get the line item veto for the President. The next item is almost next to impossible, that is getting rid of the lobbyists. In my opinion, Congress, in general, is controlled and ruled by the large banks and special interest groups. They are the ones that control the purse strings because of the vast amounts of money needed to be elected. Greed has totally taken over! There is no fiscal responsibility at this point. Can any of this work? I seriously doubt it with the nature of man and the way it is, and with the vast amount of apathy that abides with the American people, in general. Personally, I am surviving the Recession/Depression quite well. I have never bought anything that I could not afford to pay cash for, including my own home. I have no debt! I don’t intend to start collecting a debt. When I was a child, I learned a lesson from my father, and that is as follows: One Christmas, I showed my parents what I wanted in the Montgomery Ward and Sears Robuck Christmas Catalogs. Then on Christmas Day, I opened my gift. I received two things: a Sears Robuck Christmas Catalog and a Montgomery Ward Christmas Catalog. Later, when my youngest son brought down from his bedroom a list of things he wanted for Christmas, it was very long. I asked him, “Do you need these things or do you want these things?” I told him he had better learn to separate his needs from his wants. He subsequently tore up the list. So what is the moral of all this? Know your needs from your wants! Understand that what you buy you also must maintain. By this I mean: if you buy into a lifestyle, you must be able to maintain that lifestyle. Sincerely, Al
Since the moment I entered a state university at the age of 17 in the mid-1980’s I have been in debt. I worked two jobs during college to pay my living expenses but the student loans to this day hang over my head. The 1980’s were when state schools were relatively inexpensive. But, I quit my junior year because I had the chance to take an excellent job out of state as the area I was living in was poverty level for independent students (this was 1989 last mini-recession) and I was able to take that job because I received my first credit card solicitation in the mail that summer (American Express) that enabled me to make the move, buy business clothes, and rent my first room. Eventually graduated.
In the early 90’s with this good job (in the NY financial district no less!)I had no idea about the concept of money. Not like I was spending big, just making it in the city and learning what it was like to be in my 20’s. Then came marriage, baby, and divorce. No assets but an old broken down car. So here I am 2009 - still trying to make it as a student, took out so much student loans for graduate school. Back in a recession again, working 2 small part time jobs . . . . . it makes me wonder, who are these people who are able to put a million dollars aside into savings? I have been frugal my whole life and it has not paid off, so I can see why people right now are in a panic and trying to save which means money is not flowing.
Well, you asked for our stories, here’s mine. Thoughts?
Yours,
Anne
We are in the metals recycling business and believe that hard assets is one of the best ways to protect purchasing power. Metals recycling is also a good way to generate exports since many metals are shipped to Asia because they are to labor intensive to process in the US.
Personally, we hold gold, silver, farm land and other hard assets to protect our capital.
I believe that the best way to help improve America’s competetiveness is through domestic energy production.
The US is blessed with extensive natural gas reserves which could be utilized to reduce oil imports if we converted first our truck fleet and later cars to run either natural gas or gasoline fuels.
Conerting ignitions to run bi- fuels will produce manufacturing jobs which we sorely need. By gradually converting to bi- fuel vehicles, we can add Natural gas fueling stations to the system overtime increasing use of domestically produced fuel and not dirupting transportation.
We need to go back to producing at home and using our own natural resources rather than importing them and continually increasing our trade deficit. Natural gas is the intermidiate answer to US energy security and adding manufacturing jobs.
Come on US EPA, you can make this happen. Do it for your children and grand children.
1) Cyanide
2) Indentured Servitude
3) Pray the Mayans knew what they were talking about when they predicted the end of the world in 2012, and live it up on credit (if you can still get it) for the next couple of years.
MC
Every American citizen in this country should be outraged at politicians in Washington. They have been warned for years that we were sliding down the slippery slope of financial armegadon. They didn’t listen then and they are not listening now. We should require that any politician elected to public office have a degree in accounting or economics. Attorneys will never be responsible enough to handle the taxpayers money and it is no wonder that their approval ratings are in the toilet. The American people have the power to change our countries direction by voting every incumbant out of office. They are turning our country into a third world nation and the out of control spending will change our standard of living forever. PLEASE WAKE UP AMERICA BEFORE IT IS TOO LATE.!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
The problem is not only extravagance, but dishonesty used to conceal the extravagance. And sadly, it is not only the USA, but all of the Western countries who are now finding out that they are no smarter than other people, just earlier to industrialize.
I sold all my USA shares some years ago, and now have almost no assets in the United States, or US dollars. While I agree with those who say we will not have inflation in the short term, I expect both massive inflation, & all sorts of defaults in the medium term - say over the next five to fifteen years. My solution - try to pay off debt, be very cautious with both expenditure and investment, & concentrate on preserving capital, not trying to make money. The time to look for profitable investment at reasonable risk is some time in the future.
What to do…
Radically cut back military spending: close all military bases in 1st world countries: Japan, Korea, England, Germany, etc.; refocus military spending in other countries to incorporate humanitarian needs of medicine, food, etc., and Corps of Engineers projects in transportation, and other infrastructure development.
Tax at 80% all income over one million dollars and radically expand and extend the “charitable giving” category to allow the rich more tax-free giving opportunities. Use the Bill and Melinda Gates’ foundation giving as a model. Provide incentives that appeal to man’s better nature and disincentives to items that further greed and other of humanity’s worse nature, to wit, reward giving not with more material gain, but with recognition and other non-material gain. Look at England’s system of “knighting” as one model
Larry, I’m don’t believe that most people are aware of what a mess we are in. It boggles my mind to see our elected representatives spend money for foolish things like Cap and Trade, which would really do in our economy for no gain, or government control of health care, which will also do us in. Obviously, economics is not a subject taken seriously by the educational establishments in America, they a re more interested in political indoctrination of our kids. I wish that I could see something positive, but with the present group of elected officials now running the country I don’t have much hope.
Klaus
Larry
I’ve been a subscriber of Real Wealth for years. You and Martin helped save my retirement! I have been increasing my holding in metals, oil and gas for over 3 years. I still have a a substantial amount of U.S. Treasury exposure. Any suggestions here?
Financially our government officials, especially the Congress who is accountable for the order of our “financial house”, have been a sleep at the wheel for decades and now cannot make the tough choices. It is sad and their fiscal and legislative irresponsibility is in my view unforgiveable. The political parties and their ideologies have become a higher priority than protecting the core financial and economic engine that really protects our way of life. It is a sad day for the country we love!
Roger
Thanks for
With our weak and self-serving politicans for the most part, and the socialist agenda of
our President and a Federal Reserve that should be disolved, I feel that
the standard of Living in the U.S.A. is going to go down big time and the
U.S.Dollar is doomed in the long run. Now with our stupid congress going down the road toward tarrifs we are in the U.S.A. only making more problems.
I have about 1/3 of my assets in Gold and Silver, with another 1/3 in
a low yielding tax free money, as I am wary of buying any long duration
bonds as a rate rise is inevitable. The balance of my portfolio is
concertrated in energy and a scattering of stocks, mostly in Asia. It makes
me sad to what is happening in the good old U.S.A.
This is the biggest question of our life — how to protect our assets/purchasing power for our children and grandchildren. The history of the world shows that given the choice between abdicating a country’s debts and turning on the printing presses, politicians turn on the printing presses. It seems to me that investments in commodities (what China is doing=buying up commodities and commodity production facilities) and gold (again, what China and other countries are purchasing) tell us the direction we should all take personally. If there are any other ways to preserve some future for our children, please share!
We are trying to spend a lot less on extras we don’t need, ie about 20% less per year.This may not help the economy but makes us feel better as we try to help grandchildren pay for the huge cost of colege education.
Dear Richard,
Do you know what this supposed Dec 7th meeting called “COP 15″ in Denmark is all about? According to Gold World it will be market changing?
Alan
I agree with you totally. Solving the current
crisis is not by spending more and getting
more in debt. It should be spending less and
saving more… investing in our own country.
If each family becomes responsible for their
own lifestyle, the Country will improve also.
Some economies will hurt, the fast foods, the
entertainment, maybe the travel. But in the
long run, everybody will be healthier and wiser.
The wonderful thing is, the Bible has the answer.
God’s way’s in controlling debt, it is more blessed
to give then receive and tithing 10% back to God
has proved successful for decades. A quick study
on donations to churches will provide valuable trends
and lessons.
I enjoy your commentaries, keep up the
enlightening Work.
Henry S, B.A, (Honors Economics), CA
I think longer term the dollar is toast. My big concern is two fold 1) the call between switch from deflation to inflation and 2) China’s ability to continue to support commodities in the face of short term deflationary powers.
I am 5% in gold 10% in gold companies (RBY, GBG, and NGD) looking to add to all these when/if my expected pullback in gold occurs. Until the dollar trend short term clarifies I have 10% in U.S. EE bonds at 4% and 20% in foreign CD’s as Norway and commodity countries, I have 30% in six non-correlated managed futures funds through Altegris and Alphametrix. The remainder I manage agressively in ETF’s both long and short.
I am looking to go into more gold and commodities DBA, DBB, DBC a smidge in water and alternative energy and continue to vote in short term moves with short and long index ETF’s.
f
Re the current scene, I see little alternatives except invest in physical gold, silver, foreign stocks
and inverse etfs.
There’s only one suggestion I can think of (and it applies here in the UK too) tear up any contract you have with the Fed Reserve (Bank of England) ad if you are not all assissinated for daring such a move, you are immediately free of the unwarranted interest on payments on ‘loans’ (that aren’t actual loans. i.e. there’s no loss on the other sisde, no equla consideration etc)
Then let your traesury department (if you trust them) create the money required and spend it into the economy.
Got a better idea?
Regards
Graham
Hi Larry, I have been following your advice for years and muchas gracias for the dinero you have helped me earn in gold. You ask what am I doing to keep afloat as a single mom with three kids in college? I am trading gold and living in Mexico…..Mexicans are teaching me patience, how to live and be joyful with less, and to expect to take care of yourself. Life isn’t perfect in Baja California, Mexico, but it’s a bunch better than being in California Norte (USA). The American press loves to bang on Mexico, but the rural area where I live is peaceful and lovely and none of the drug-dealing, flu infested hyperbole of the US-perspective matters in daily life here.
Thanks for your help over the years and for our future, Bobbi
I don’t subscribe to conspiracy theory on a grand scale and I apologize if this sounds as if I do.
It feels as if every move the Treasury and Fed have made in the last 18 months to 2 years has
had the effect of bolstering Wall Street at the expense of Main Street. Are we getting the govern-
ance we deserve by not doing the due diligence that we should apply in the normal course of
being responsible citizens? Ultimately I feel that Main Street has to grab Washington by the neck and force policies that are sustainable. I see no such thing happening currently and we put ourselves - through our representatives - in the position of LOSING our leadership position in the world.
yeah in australia we feel it.just holding a job is an effort.there is another wolf too take your place//goods are pretty cheap here. but wages are in decline///
Larry,
I don’t disagree with much of your premise here - I have been concerned about the growing debt (both household and federal) since the days of Reagan.
But it is a bit disingenuous for our asian partners to point fingers solely at us. Their economies have developed through exporting of our jobs to their locales. This movement of jobs has been aided by Chinese support for the Yuan, along with support for many home-grown industries (e.g. Toyota’s many cash injections over the years by the Japanese government).
The only way the US will be able to balance the deficit is if we start producing things again. A strong dollar - while it may be good for tourists and investors - prevents us from producing goods that the world will buy. Because nobody can afford widgets denominated in expensive dollars.
But if the dollar sinks, then it will be a forcing function to get home-grown industry going again, since imports will become increasingly expensive.
It will cause a great deal of pain for many here - especially those unprepared for it. People will experience increased prices without increased wages. But at least there may be some blue collar jobs recovered.
Is there another way? I don’t see one.
Laughing Stock of Asia
It is not surprising that Asia looks askance at America. We Americans have been living beyond our means for years, if not decades. Citizen apathy has allowed politicians to borrow the country into a deep hole. Political leaders believed Americans didn’t need to pay our debts (like individual families must) because our debt-to-GDP was low. How stupid!! Special interests influcence Congress to rescind 1936 law which were put in place to prevent a future banking collapse (ie - derivative trading). I wonder if ancient Rome’s national debt, citizen apathy, and the ambition of politicians caused their decline & eventual collapse into the dark ages??
Since it took decades for the US to arrive at this point, it will likely take decades to resolve. Much hardship is to befall our beloved country. My fear is that citizens will look to the US government for the “quick fix” again. Politico’s looking for re-election will glady accommodate their constituent requests. The cost will be more generational debt, more government regulation resulting in less-and-less individual freedom. Unfortunately, government intervention will not bring relief as America’s problems are systemic. In evidence, irresponsible politicians have trillions in unfunded Social Security and Medicare liabilities which make B. Madoff’s ponzi scheme a historical aberration. To pay our bills, I can envision America’s military budget being dramatically cut as we can no longer afford to be a ’superpower’. Republicans and democrats share the shame.
Though the aforementioned paragraphs are bleak, let us not forget that pain brings change. Perhaps we will see congressman being elected to a single (albeit - longer) term before returning back to their citizen roots. Perhaps a fair tax will be enacted to have citizens control their tax destiny and not politicians. Perhaps a balanced budget amendment will be enacted.
The truth is everyone needs to plan for a weaker dollar, higher unemployment, and less American spending in the next 1-10 future years. America is great, it is entrepreneurial, will experience a falling (or inflated dollar) labor rate to make America competitive, and if given less government constraints will likely overcome our country’s problems. But first, there will be major change in our country.
The answer to our economic problem is simple: BRING OUR MANUFACTURING HOME!!!
Get the crooks out of the banks & out of the regulatory bodies. Put the criminals in jail.
Two million people went to Washington D.C on Saturday 9-12 with a message of smaller government and less spending. Did this message get covered anywhere but Fox News?
Some of the things I have done over the last few years are:
- Study and load up on survival and holistic health books
- Purchase “junk” silver whenever I can find it
- Purchase solar battery units for electricity
- Stock up on dried (mostly), and some canned foods
- Stock up on medical supplies, such as pH strips (a good indicator of health status), bandages, aspirin, herbal remedies which have long-term storage value, etc.
- Stock up on heirloom, (organic, non-hybrid, non-GM) bulk seed for growing a garden as well as for bartering; seeds are as good as GOLD when it comes to bartering for something you need that someone else has stocked; everyone must eat!
Larry,
I hope you will tell your Asian friends that it is our crazy spendthrift government, not individual Americans, that is engaging in out-of-control spending. I have always lived far within my means and have no debt. Many Americans are like me. It’s the fault of the government!
As you see I´m not a countryman of yours, I live in ICELAND. And judging by your descriptionof the financial/money status and if your going like this into the future you will go our way. Perhaps you have heard of the bank collapse here in Iceland and the and almost total collapse of our money system ..
Your country seems to be sailing straight into the same predicament; Sorry that I can not give you any better advice but Spend Less Than You Earn !
Cheers
Jon
Why don’t you send this directly to OBAMA at the White house as well as to politicians such as Ron Paul; Business men: Steve Forbes, Peter Schiff, etc.
429 years to pay off debt of $1 million?
My main concern is the Obama’s administration going Communist with “Trojan Horse” legislation, such as the overhaul of the Health Care System where total financial disclosure will be required to receive medical services, as per HR 3200. Once this information is in the hands of Obama’s cronies, they may use it to re-distribute the wealth, as Obama told Joe “The Plummber.”
People are taking all their liquid funds out of banks and putting them in buried safe boxes because of the above fear, and because they are afraid the banks may collapse and the FDIC is broke.
As per your guidance in Real Wealth Report, I am waiting for a gold correction to buy gold and gold backed securities. such as GLD as well as natural resources. Natural gas may reach bottom soon and become attractive to add to my portfolio.
I am also watching currencies of countries rich in natural resources, such as Australia and Canada, to invest as a hedge against the declining US dollar.
There is no question that we are headed for big trouble if we don’t do something to get ourselves out of this mess. It is imperative that in 2010 we replace the tax and spend politicians in Congress with representatives who will right the fiscal course. I for one will get involved to unelect every tax and spend statist who believes that government programs and resitribution of wealth through hgher taxes is the answer to our problems. We are at a crossroads, and if we allow the present group of politicians to continue the present course, we will become a second rate country. We must act in 2010. It is our last chance!
Larry,
It is hard to speak to financial problems without being political, but I think you know that until it is too late the egocentric Washington Liberals will not listen or act with reason. Bernanke is an image of Greenspan and with the corrupt ties between the NY BanKs, Wall Street and the Fed (Treasury Included) we are sunk. Obama’s socialist agenda will serve to wipe out capitalism and then we will turn inward on ourselves.
I subscribe to True Wealth and Safe Money and although I don’t always invest parallel to your recommendations I am still in agreement with your predictions and forecast. I have to wonder if the day will come when you will find yourself spending even more time overseas just as many other Americans will.
Am I sour? ….No, but I am disgusted, alarmed, and downright angry. I suggest all Americans who can read, think for themselves, and look deeply for the truth find a way to divest themselves of not only dollars, but physical properties and goods that will ultimately show up on the tax rolls and possibly even government confiscation. Sorry to sound so gloom. Jim Harry, Tucson, AZ
In my opinion, we need to drastically cut spending (all individuals as well as government — everybody). That was how I was brought up. You don’t buy extras unless you have cash. I have been disgusted by our spend-spend, shop to you drop mentality for years. We need to sacrifice now (by cutting our spending habits) so we don’t ruin our currency and standard of living permanently. But we need to cut spending across the board. Ideally, we get rid of all lobbyists (in a dream world). We need to stop the government subsidies to the banks and let the big ones fall. Stop the subsidies to all so-called hypocritical capitalists who say they believe in free markets until the free markets don’t work exactly they way they want, and then they go screaming to DC for a bailout and more regulation in their industry to stifle competition. I’ve had it with the way this country is operating, and I just thank God I’m not any younger than I am. Good luck to future generations because you are going to need it (as the US becomes a third-world country).
I think the Fair Tax is our only hope. We must take away the control from Washington. The cash for clunkers and the money given to first time home buyers are examples of the government trying to control the economy. Our present tax structure has given people the wrong incentives. Our big homes are like the pyramids of Egypt. They cost a fortune and create no income, just carrying costs.
We must access our own local energy sources! That is the only way i see to quickly reduce our balance of payments deficit and create wealth. We must have cheap energy for industry and to maintain our standard of living.
I would personally like to see the FED dissolved and the money making powers returned to the Treasury where they belong. At least that would be a step in the right direction.
We need to find a leader who has the guts to admit our stupid addiction to material wealth, to state that we are living in a world economy in which we must compete and to demand that Obama and the rest of the morons in Washington stop spending money we do not have!
Unfortunately, the small percentage of Americans who have lived within their means will bear the brunt of our downfall. Their assets will be confiscated to pay the debts of those who lived beyond their means. I fear the next few, potentially several, generations of Americans will live below today’s standard of living. Doug G.
Great article! Need more individuals to present the facts in the complete & factual ways you have. I have been debt free since 1995–have followed your suggestions of investing in commodity based areas, gold primarily but some silver/ETFs.
It is a shame that the USA has gone from the largest creditor nation with worldwide respect…to the largest debtor nation in the universe and the laughing stock of even third world countries.
I will continue to follow the Real Wealth/Money & Markets as well as curtail spending, ramp up savings and ride out the storm. Not an easy task for a 71 year old retiree.
Thanks again for the leadership. Rod
I am a 45 year UK citizen born a once industrial famous city in the north. The whole East and Western world owes it to the USA to help pull it through this crisis. The USA has been instrumental in provising the catalyst for the last 70 years for the world to prosper particularly after seeing off Nazism and communism. We all should pull together and help the USA for if we do not then we in the west will surely perish and so will our children and grandchildren. The economic shift to the Orient will continue and we cannot ignore it. One day our grandchildren will be making leather bags, footballs etc for the wealthy Far Eastern Economies and we will be paid 50 cents per hour!
Larry, Is it time to short treasuries?
I agree. The dollar is doomed, Washington and Wall Street are corrupt and we are on a path of mega-inflation. I am heavy on put options and purchase of precious metals. I see the financial system being destroyed and unfortunately many folks have no clue it is coming.
First of all, get Congress to pass a law within the next two weeks, denying all Federal or State funded medical aid OF ANY SORT, from January 1, 2010 onwards, to anyone whom tests prove that he or she still smokes. That’ll save a good few pence. Either Americans start to grow up and become responsible for themselves, or they can suffer the consequences.
Secondly, get Congress to pass a law within the next two weeks, revoking for ten years the driving license of anybody whose vehicle has collided with another vehicle or with a pedestrian. This will make all Americans pay attention to their driving, and will cut the medical consequences of road accidents by at least one half.
Thirdly, devalue the US Dollar overnight by 25%. This will make all Americans poorer, but this is all that they deserve for having let their banks (with governmental connivance) ruin innocent people all over the globe - and it will automatically reduce America’s debt to the world substantially. Of course, thereafter, for a few years, no one will invest in America, for fear of further devaluations - but, in good time, even that dire consequence will gradually be reversed.
Finally - get Congress to pass a law, immediately, making it a Federal offense for anyone in the private sector to employ a illegal immigrant in any form of paid labor, so as to induce illegal immigrants to return home. This will eventually reduce the numbers of people that the government has to support and care for, and it will create job opportunities for people who live in America legally but who cannot find employment.
For my own part, 33% of my portfolio is in gold, silver, gold ETFs and 24 different mining stocks, 20% is in funds that specialize in buying shares in China and Brazil, and the rest is in various foreign currencies (Australian Dollars, New Zealand Dollars, South African Rands, Norwegian Kronor, Chinese Renminbi, etc.). And this is the case even though I am a member of the Contrarian Portfolio - because it has become evident that old Claus is far too conservative for the job, that neither he nor Martin are the world’s best pickers of stocks, and that neither of them have access to the information provided by Richard Mogey (or, if they DO have access, they simply do not consider that information to be worth very much).
Larry, I’ve been following your Real Wealth for 5-6 years. I nearly doubled my retirement fund in one year by buying precious metal funds(was NOT diversified). About that time, I opened a bank account in Canada for purpose of buying a recreational property. The Canadian dollar cost me 67 cents USD. Since that time when the dollar strengthens I add to that account. The Canadians are easy to work with. I continue to follow your advice to invest in companies outside the US. I own both bullion and gold stocks, as well as CD’s in Australian dollars. Afterall, gold bullion has beaten the S&P over the last fifteen years.
Much of your advice has been right on the MONEY! I am also considering retiring outside the US. I believe that our medical services is going to be a disaster/regimented(I’m a surgeon). Our wealth will be better protected and will allow us to live more comfortably. I’ve seen how my parents and in-laws (savers/frugal like I am) have been devastated by the actions of the Fed/federal government with the return on their savings account ridiculously low. Short of a return to liberty and the Constitution which I doubt will occur, we Americans face a dismal future.
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ADVICE(keep “ringing he bell”) Tom
Larry three years ago I sold my business,small, to a group that was small and had to finance it because there was no readily availiable financing means for them. Needless to say that my ability to pull what I have out of this country and put it somewhere else would be almost impossible. I like the rest of the world believed this country to be the most stable of any on the planet earth.
I said the above to make this statement understandable. My family has always been very conservative and have alway lived within our financial capability. I am 69 years old and can only live the retired homesteaders life because the greedy politicians of this coubtry are taking my life’s work away.
My suggestion would be to use the economic power of the federal and state governments to ignite a major growth of the economy through the private sector. In other words cut tax rates for corporations, provide tax credits for job creation, reduce taxes on investment income, do everything possible to stimulate the real estate markets.
Re: Passionate Plea From Asia
Larry, If what I heard over the weekend is correct, Americans, in general, are getting the picture; at least those who qualify for and can still get a loan. It is our irresponsible (or perhaps malicious) government that continues to go on spending when we are broke — sorry, well beyond broke, as your article pointed out. Sadly, it seems a majority of Americans still either are not aware, don’t care or don’t understand the repercussions of such a growing federal debt. We are slowing waking up to the smell of smoke, but perhaps a bit too late to put out the fire before the building burns to the ground. We need everyone’s prayers.
I have bought a tiny amount of gold, not that I wouldn’t love to have more, just can’t sink the money into it. I have a decent amount of physical silver and own stocks of silver and gold mining companies. The person who posted about the stockpiling of canned foods, seeds, basic medical supplies, etc. probably has it right on. We all hope the country will never find itself in a predicament where you need those things, but who knows at this point?
Larry,
Robert Kennedy as U.S. Attorney General had the right idea and it is well over due! All Federal Reserve debt needed to be canceled by Executive Order. Then, remove them from the control of the Nations money (debt is subjugation), and return control back to Congress! This would not however totally solve the entire problem today!
Seeing Presidents and Congress have violated their oath’s of office: these individuals need to be turned over to the World Court and all responsibility for the unlawful spending (debt) be placed on them in the world arena!
This would include George Sorros, David Rockefeller, George Bush, Obama Hussein Barrack, and all in Congress and all at the Supreme Court who have not protested on record.
And then, restart at ground zero and abide by the Constitution again!
There is no other avenue that would keep our liberties in tact!
James Palmer
Hi Larry,
Unfortunately those like you who actually see things clearly are not operating our government. We have written letters to every Congressman and Senator who is supposed to listen to us and, fortunately, our Texas guys seem to listen better than some. We have slashed spending in every possible way, from fewer dinners out, no new clothes and shoes, less travel, smaller gifts, auto and homeowners insurance policy shopping, increasing the level of the thermostat to 82 instead of 79 (during a Texas summer), cutting down on watering, etc. Every penny that we can save is put aside, either in our checking account (which, due to a promotional thing by a new local bank, earns 5% on balances up to $10,000, or in our Fidelity Investments accounts. We have subscribed to your Real Wealth Report, Nilus’ Dividend Superstars, and Claus’ MCP and, while we don’t follow all suggestions to the letter, we at least research them and follow the ones with which we agree. Hope springs eternal in the American heart, but what we see around us in not encouraging. My husband is retired and we wait with baited breath to see what will happen to our health insurance. Please keep the info coming! We have a lot of respect for you guys and your no-nonsense approach to reporting.
The only way out of this escalating mess, which by the way, is only in the second corrective wave of the great and greatest depression in history, is for the federal government to start issuing new money backed by anything of value (tangible stuff) and getting rid of the federal reserve and it’s phony, unbacked paper money. This is going to happen sooner or later and only the dumb and ignorant and arrogant fools that hang onto this current flawed paper money system will go down with it and good ridance. This is the great cleansing and armageddon referred to in the bible. This old and flawed system is going under and a new and righteous one will relace it. No amount of tweeking and stimulous will save humpty dumpty from it’s great fall. It’s far to corrupt and flawed to be saved. Get into anything tangible - even acquiring nuts and bolts which will have more barter value than paper money. And since we don’t manufacture anything anymore, such nuts and bolts will eventually be a needed commodity. Dump your paper now over and above what is needed for current living and necessity.
First of all it seems to be clear whear this debt is continuing from, Its like you said prices need to come down but the problem is the the big man is not ready to let go of his profits! If the big man would take the same percentage loss as the little guys hes selling to we could get out of this. But as you look around its ben over a year now and instead of the big guy taking a loss he acts like hes going for broke.
larry,thanks for your e-mail.my family should be ok,but i ache for the countless americans who will be blindsided by the coming sunami.our way of life really is not important but our system of government is.i live near n.o.,la. so i know the veneer of civilization is very thin.katrina-like catastrophies are much nearer than any of you can imagine.jules
I’ve moved into gold and silver. I’ll put a little more into gold and silver this week and then I will start to look into other areas with the intent to create a rabbit hole if I need to escape.
Larry,
I think we can begin to solve this mess by bringing our service people home from places they aren’t so needed anymore and stationing them at our borders to secure them. Then we should announce to the world we must use the money we have be donating to rebuild our country putting our people to work, at least for 2-3 years. After which we will then be able to return to helping more, but the rest of the world must pick up the slack for a period. We must also rid ourselves and agree in government, business, and private sector to do above board business without corruption and with the purpose of God first then country. I know this might seem pollyanish but we can do it. I believe we have about a year to prepare both financially, mentally and spiritually for a BIG problem and thus I am taking those steps.
No way out. Just a slow nasty ride down.
I have usually believed that the truth of anything lies in the fruit or the result of the actions taken. I do not believe this bankrupting of the nation’s economy is by happenstance. There are enough brains in the Fed to know that this will bring about the collapse of the dollar, leading us ever so swiftly into support of a worldwide currency. This is just one step away from worldwide governance, which has been the goal of those behind the scenes running this gov’t since the 1933 banking act that established a central bank and the IRS system. They have been patiently hacking away at individual country sovereignty as they pass more and more regulations, rules and laws. Our problem is that though many of us have known about this reality for years, we have been labeled as kooks, whackos and nutjobs. The time has come to wake up and smell the coffee This situation is no longer someone else’s problems. We are all going down together, and need to pull together to take our country back. I don’t know how exactly this will transpire, but it starts with a few good people in Washington who will quarantine that cesspool, and allow no legislation out and nothing else in. I think Glenn Beck has some good ideas we can rally around. I am going to watch him this week for details on Fox News. Perhaps since we have this movement afoot to take our country back, we can capitalize on that momentum and make something happen. We don’t have to accept this path…
I’88 yrs. Our company owns a small strip shopping center in San Diego, Ca. Back in 1990′ it seems I recall the Government announced that we were going to become the Service country of the world and let the rest of the world be the manufacturers. When I heard this I said that this was the most stupid thing I had ever heard and we would never do that. I think it has happened. I have been a manufacturer all my life. I understand the need for countries to make things and sell them around the world bringing $’s back to the United States.
What do we do now! We bite the bullet, face our mistakes, elect a honest government that believes in free enterprise, lower taxes, give small manufacturers tax incentives and restart the mighty American engine again. Bob Webb
Larry,
Taking March 4 as a date to compare the dollar’s strength is a distortion because as you must know the dollar was the safest port in the storm; good for 129 canadian cents. We need good thinking from good perspectives; many of us have illiquid assets anchored in the U.S. and the prospect of learning an Asian language or investing in foreign ,possibly unstable, cultures is daunting. South America seems closer to home. I bought gold at $500 and for decades it was under water; I bought silver at $6 and it will be useful to pay off my son-in-laws mortgage. The bubble is humanity.
Life is a wash. Rambling as usual,
Bob Willey
Larry; I think you are dead on. I was hoping the US Gov. would wake up and take us through this depression with out the Hyper inflation. However it looks like they will push us into a decade of pain, maybe more. I’m getting ready the best I can by stocking up on every thing and getting ready for a barter economy and some silver.
Ron
At the age of 75, I have never seen such a catastrophe in government as I’m seeing now. And, that includes the Depression and WW-2. It is clear that individual Washington politicians and burearcrats must immediately make a 180-degree turn away from spending and toward repairing our governmental and financial systems. Those who don’t make such a turn won’t be there, two, four, and six years from now. And, that includes both political parties. This country must turn from its headlong plunge toward a Democratic-Socialist Welfare State. We must not join the cultural suicide pact of the other Post-Christian West states.
Just as Helen above said. No way out. I disagree that this will be a slow nasty ride down. Look at Martin Armstrong’s papers of the last two years. This is a “Waterfall event”. Once we reach the edge (very soon) we will experiance a rapid, complete collapse of our fractional reserve banking and currency system. It is unavoidable at this point. Good luck to all.
The only thing I can do is to get as liquid as possible, Buy food, water, staples, commodities, and have some cash so that we can survive the store shortages that I believe are coming. As far as what I can do to affect the national scene there is really nothing. Our government is out of control. The only other thing is to just pray for our country.
Larry,
The Federal Reserve needs to be phased out within the next 12 to 18 months with its functions assumed by the Treasury of these United Ststes. Second I believe that ITC ( Investment Tax Credits )
would be a way to incourage investment back to this country. When ITC came into being the banks retained the 10% tax credit for themselves and lowered the finance rate by 1 or 2 points. By doing this they ending up paying very little tax. This could be done on a Federal and State level. Third goverment programs such as the Energy Department need to scarped. This would be a good start.
Sincerly
John Hagan
Hello Larry I hope this e-mail finds you well. My name is Bill . I am writing to you today to let you know first of all that I read all the info you send out. Now I am no money person just a regular guy who has worked hard his whole life. I have been unemployed for 2 1/2 years I am disgusted with the US policy makers and personally don’t see anyway out of this, remember that the country is basically divided 50% 50% and because of that what can be done its a log jam. Not to mention the corruption in Washing. Bottom line as troubling as this may seem I think the US has seen its best days. Now as far as the moves I have made with limited resources. I’ve taken the retirement money from Lucent Tech. when they moved there company to Asia, and put it in gold that I have in my safe 90 oz., I am selling my Harley to buy more of either silver or gold. I have stored food,water, weapons, and ammo and the reason for the guns and ammo is that if the dollar should collapse there would be mayhem to say the least. That is what I am doing to protect my self and family. Also a question when gold finally goes up enough so we can survive on it, we would like to move to Singapore, Hong Kong,or Bangkok. Is Bangkok a place you would suggest to live? Thanks for all your hard work good luck to you Larry.
Bill
Americans are spolied and greedy period! Stop blaming everything on the government and policticians and learn to live within your means, that simple!
So Larry my question would be , do we reduce the amount of cash in our portfolio or continue to maintain its status with profits and dividends filtering back into it?
Hi Larry,
Thanks for your excellent newsletters, you are so right, your comments on the US $ are absolutely correct. Even in Europe and especially eastern Europe, were the US $ was king, no one wants it, except to quickly convert it into other currencies.
Your government must make drastic decisions to stop spending, ok it will bring a major recession
on maybe even a depression in the USA. This will have repercussions elsewhere but nothing like as bad as when the USA has Hyperinflation and the complete collapse of the US $.
Asia will carry on and take over the world leadership, led by China. Europe will play a much smaller role, unless it gets its own problems sorted.
If Europe does not get its act together, then the Euro will collapse, and each country will once again have their own currency. The only alternative, is a strong independent European central Bank, with every country floating its currency against the Euro, people could save and would trade in Euro’s,
but purchase locally in their own currency. (As Margaret Thatcher wanted many years ago). This I consider will be the only way for Europe to survive. It allows each country to set their own Taxes, and if they are fiscally responsible to have top exchange rate in Euros. The spendthrift countries currencies would depreciate, and they would be poorer until they are fiscally responsible.
Thanks again and God Bless you.
Well, we are suffering from Keynesian drug addiction. Spending our way out of a hole will not work. But Supply side is too painful. And the Democrats are more interested in power and politics than the soundness of their spending policy including the nuisance earmarks, the mark of the general corruption of our Congressional government.
So, philosophically we are in it for the long haul, a general decline of American preeminence and a lower standard of living with less manufacturing and more of the pass it on work ethic of socialism. Eventually, and your are right, we will have consumed the wealth of our nation created by past generations and will begin consuming our remaining resources for sale on the world market to pay our bills. This is SOP for the rise and fall of a nation with 200 years to get here and maybe a hundred years to lose it all, with China taking the helm of world economic and likely political leadership, for better or for worse.
This can only be reversed if the world wants to continue buying our debt to support our world police power, as we have in fact prevented another general war in the world. Also we are still the bread basket of world food and of innovation in technology. As for manufacturing, I suspect there will be fewer of those jobs world wide anyway, as labor becomes less and less a part of assembly and so on.
As for the basics of survival, I believe we are a country with our heads in the sand. We limit our resource production and ship our petro dollars to the middle east, Canada, Venezuela, and Mexico. We want less petro energy but do much too little to make it work as in the end environmentalists will protest wind farms, solar farms, dams, tide farms, and nuclear power. And talk in Washington and the current administration is cheap. To paraphrase many American Indian leaders, they speak with forked tongues.
As for global warming and the health bill, like the con artists of the financial markets, you will see a lot of taxation and crushing of business to the point of another great failure. Australia backed off on a carbon tax after they logically figured out it would destroy their economy. WE JUST CAN’T SEEM TO FIGURE IT OUT. So the American dollar will continue to decline to the former status of the Peso which used to be ten cents on the dollar. To save oneself, I have invested in metals, artwork, and collectibles. Like we did in the early part of the twentieth century in Europe, the new wealth of other countries will come here to buy up our treasures, and I hope to have a few to offer to keep food on my table.
And yes, I pray for America, for its greatness is in the hearts of its people, not in its leadership so confounded by self interest and mindless agendas.
Hi Larry -
I agree to the maximum with your diagnosis of what’s actually going on but cannot see what political leeway there is in either the USA or over here in Britain. It would be political suicide for the leaders of either country to cut borrowing & spending drastically because a) we are both spoiled, self-indulgent cultures whose people long ago lost any willingness to endure austerity for the greater good and b) sharp cuts would plunge both economies over a cliff and into profound depression for a long time to come. About the only thing which has any chance of rescuing our two benighted nations is an intense ‘Green Crusade’ to develop cutting-edge low carbon technologies and a huge ‘Blitzkrieg’ to reconstruct the entire national infrastructure around them. That way we’d be playing into our historic trump-card compared to Asia - technological innovation - and we’d be leaping forward rather than looking backwards. Most importantly we would, after years of weary cynicism, have an inspiring rallying-cry for our society which might persuade the electing public to better tolerate the pain which is inevitable anyway. Not much hope, though. In the UK we have Gordon ‘dismal’ Brown at the helm, a man whose total lack of vision is matched only by his incompetent wastefulness and stealth-tax maltreatment of the hard-working and thrifty middle classes (ie - ME!). In the USA you have the utterly brilliant Barack Obama, who clearly wants to stoke-up a Sustainability bandwagon but is likely to be thwarted - like every reforming president since Roosevelt - by what I have heard described as a ‘Kleptocracy of Petro-Nazi’s’: the very oil men, arms makers, industrialists (and bankers!) who have been allowed to drive our once-proud western ship on to the rocks at full pelt. Next year, new government over here for sure - things might get more interesting then, but the pain will be with us a long time whatever happens. Jem Keen
The Commerce Clause of the 10th Amendment can do a lot for the States to re-ignite their local economies . Open up the interstate corridors for Health care market competition , all forms of Competition , so the Fed is only the Guarantee instead of the Federal Government trying to come into the states as the Chief , Cook and Bottle Washer all wrapped up into one , because what this does to the Free markets is cancels them out , makes them obsolete , but maybe thats the plan ?????
Larry,
What I’m doing is : 1. Saving my dollars for a better buying opp.
2. Holding investments in Canadian Income Trusts.
BW
I communicate as a grateful Canadian who has been educating herself, finally, thanks to you and yours. World citizens, not only Americans, have been severely impacted by their lack of financial literacy.
Canada, I learn today, is beginning to think in terms of educating its citizens about Wall Street’s personal motivations and that of many others of course. How did they - and do they still - get away with their over-greedy schemes? Now they are after the life insurances of the elderly poor! And Obama is in hot water for his rescue efforts and America is refusing health coverage for all! This is barbaric and not a good example for those of us who are assured of care, even if our health schemes are not perfect.
I fortunately learned by observation in childhood of the need to cut one’s coat according to one’s cloth and happen to have been able to put aside $ in preparation for the years after earning a living became impossible. But my moral education has firmly planted in my head ideas of social justice. I will not invest in uranium, and am appalled when I think of the miners’ lives still being ruined by working in unsafe and killing environments (not only canaries and donkeys, although that was bad enough).
I have been looking for investment opportunities in renewables but am disappointed. Blue Energy looks interesting. I certainly will not invest $ in companies selling huge tracts of rain forest for agrofuel production. Is ethical investing possible in your view?
The Republican political machine has been the most destructive force in our history. Our work force has been pauperized. The downward spiral in wages, begun with Reagan, continues. The Republicans threw out Carter’s energy self sufficiency plan 29 years ago and instead gave us the Iraq/Afghanistan Wars as their version of energy sufficiency. Baby Boomer investments were wiped out, affordable housing no longer exists. Let us not forget that Conservatives have been in power for most of the past 29 years.
Let us continue to act like decent citizens, even if we are not rewarded for it. The non-consumer trends are still in place which indicate that we are finally listening to our old Scottish (and other) aunts - “Dinna let your wants exceed your needs.”
President Obama is far better than we deserve.
Larry, I am living in the Philippines after cashing in back in Hawaii, one and half years ago. I could see the writing on the wall, people who had overextended them selves living in homes way beyond their means, having zero equity and expecting that the housing prices would continue to soar. I saw it as a pending disaster. Life here is quite different, slower paced, inexpensive and a lot of what they call poverty in the USA but amazingly those people who have nothing still smile and laugh.
I have traveled through out S.E. Asia and no expects a government hand out, they just hustle and survive on $2 a day.
I have found that in the Philippines because of the overseas workers (the number one source of income for the country) the dollar has remained steady around 48 pesos to the dollar. As the second wave of foreclosures in the US is pending and more bank failures I agree the dollar is in big trouble.
I think the people back in the states could learn a little from the folks in Asia, don’t count on the government for you old age, save, and keep on smiling.
It used to be that an investor could protect himself with FDIC insurance, but with the demise of the US dollar, the value of the FDIC coverage falls under a huge shadow. Where does an investor go now?
My suggestion is to balance the budget by starting with our oldest standing commitments (social security etc). Those are the commitments most people are counting on. Then I would move forward thru time keeping our social programs up until the time we are within 10 percent of the nations tax receipts. Its really all the social spending programs that have been added in the last 20 years that are breaking the bank. (So many things have been added to social security - medicare etc. that were not in the original bills) The 10 percent not spent would go toward paying off debt. Its not that it would pay it off so quick, but that the rest of the world would see our commitment to financial sanity. By keeping the oldest social programs we would have some hope of keeping social stability. So I would start with the oldest commitments as the most people are depending on them and only keep as many as we can pay for and remain within the governments current tax receipts.
Just purchased a Perth Mint certificaye with half silver/half gold. This gets some of the money out of the country and hopefully into a currency that will hold it’s own. Looking into currency ETF’s of Canada, Australia, Brazil. - a place to buy some. Also looking into swiss annuities - but interest rates are still too low to lock any money away.
thank you Larry for your fantastic information.
I have followed your letters since sept 08 with very small amounts or even demo accounts.
right now I’m in:
2x (double lev.) Gold ETF
call options on Silver
put options on QQQQ (EFT following the Nasdaq 100)
call options and stocks in Mining Comp.
…..and up 35% in my FOREX demo account, mostly due to Gold, Oil and Silver.
I realized I had to educate myself to make a second income as my spare tire. Im constantly learning and improving a little every month.
Losses on a demo makes you learn without going broke on the way, start trading just to see what happens.
best regards from Denmark
John
Dramatically reduce our huge Military Budget. Convert many military bases to real green zones after cleaning them up. Close many of our overseas bases completely, most are no longer needed. Provide improved medicare for all, to stimulate jobs, and save huge administrative costs, and provide real health care. No cap and trade, fine the polluters. Reverse the Bush tax cuts, and re-instate higher taxes for the richest amongst us. We are willing to pay for the common good. (something no one seems to care about in our me, me society). Sorry but survival is one thing, but wealth at the expense of the survival of others is truly frightening.
Regulate Bankers and Brokers as thoroughly as we regulate Welfare applicants and Social Workers. This alone would turn things around very quickly.
Larry,
My wife and I are going “old School” by paying off our credit cards and home mortgage and investing in gold coins. Let the banks eat crow and fail.
I am very interested in overseas investments in stocks bonds Emts stc I Have previously invetsed in foreign currencies.
The problem that you identify has been in the making for quite a while. We have encouraged consumer debt as a means to prop up an economic system that has yet to reconcile some fundamantal flaws. We cannot rely on consumers endlessly collecting more stuff as the primary (only) engine for growth. Like any successful enterprise, somehow we do need to make investments in our country that benefit the people in the process and for the future. We have continued to ignore our real problems while we spent ~2 trillion over the last 8 years on things (Iraq,tax give backs,etc) that have little or no longer term ROI and in fact have created more long term obligations. Now we have had to spend money that we do not have just to keep our financial system from collapsing in a way that probably would have been even more costly had we not stepped in to cover some of the damage.
We really are between a rock and a hard place. Our health system needs a major re write ( I am a small business owner and my largest expense is health care. It is a big problem for me but I know that if I stop paying it most of my people will have no heath insurance - because they will not pay for it out of their salaries.), we need to finally (30 years too late) reduce the dependence on oil and the middle east, we need to put inteligent regulation into the finacial markets to keep these cowboys from wrecking it (again), we need good and affordable education. The problem is that, up front, it all costs money….that we do not have…but will never have if we do not address the problems.
Its times like these that produce unexpected results. The vast majority of traders have placed bets against the dollar. Expect the opposite. The dollar may be in trouble but the next few months could witness a significant rebound. That implies that other asset classes will experience the opposite. Don’t be caught out by acting conventionally as most people intend to do.
I live in Western Australia Larry - our State is fortunate to be very heavily involved with energy expansion & production … and mineral (notably iron ore) production. Much of our export income comes from China and, recently the Chinese have been actively seeking partnerships here. In the last week deals worth A$50B and A$70B have been secured for long term LNG supply out of Western Australia. Overall, our population of ~1M people has escaped much of the worst of the GFC.
I agree with your comments about the $US in Asia. I believe US citizens should prepare themselves for a much weaker $US over the next 2 years or so. A weaker $US will, of course mean greater US international competitiveness over time (enabling a balance of trade recovery).
I believe there is a global repudiation underway of the $US as the benchmark international currency. People are angry that the US has been able to print and export their paper money & inflation worldwide for so long. The US Govt. could probably have gotten away with it for years if Greenspan hadn’t argued against regulation of the banking system during the 90’s. He is viewed by many as the architect of the current global fiasco - that he has escaped public character assassination is beyond me.
The answer to the problem in the US is to give the people the incentive to solve their own problem. Governments worldwide are adept at strangling and stifling innovation and creativity. I have the utmost confidence that given the opportunity, individuals will discover ways and means to dig their way out of this situation. The standard Govt. response to just about everything is to tax it. I often bemoan the fact that Govt’s really only exist to tax us. In the depths of the GFC … people should be aware that every response by Govt. worldwide has been to protect the fiat currencies .. not to save the people … but to maintain the Govt’s control over wealth and taxes and their own ability to make money out of nothing (paper) to pay for their stupid promises … so they can stay in control and reap the rewards of power.
It’s a sad situation when democracy is just another word for mob rule … but that’s what has happened. Govt’s have abdicated the reponsibility to govern responsibly… out of their own selfish egos.
Hi Larry!
I’ve developed a great respect for you in the past year, but I truly felt your genuine concern for the financial plight of the “average” person, especially the poor deluded American….even those 60,000,000 who had voted (twice!!!) for the ignoramous named George W. Bush.
At 80 years of age—I’ve been around the block—I simply put all my meager life savings in the silver ETF (SLV). Do you think this ETF is safe enough for awhile? I don’t want to go through the hassle of trading gold and/or silver stocks, even though I know that many will do better than the ETF. I just need enough return to keep helping my granddaughter through college.
Thanks again for your service as the Albert Schweitzer of economics.
Bill Maynard, Vermont
Hi Larry:
It’s my considered opinion that America’s leaders aren’t as stupid as you make them out to be. They now realize that there’s no way out of the mess they presently find themselves in. If people like you and I can see what’s happening and is going to happen, they certainly do as well.
They realize that the North American economy is based on people spending beyond their means — mostly by obtaining cheap credit. The North American consumer simply can’t cut their spending because either they don’t know how to because they have never had to or they are simply too far in debt to do anything about it — like America itself.
I think the present leaders have a plan and that is to at some point declare bankruptcy and create a new currency — namely the Amero. They plan on trying to get Mexico and Canada to form an ‘economic union’ where Mexico supplies the cheap labour, Canada, the raw resources and America the good old American knowhow — eg. the ‘brains’ behind the whole scheme.
I think this is the obvious and only course left for America and possibly North America. They’re milking it for everything it’s worth for now but mark my words — it’s coming.
Colin Moss
New Denver, BC
Canada
Re. Passionate Plea From Asia
Plain and simple, We are in deep sh!t
We Will not recover, it’s time to hit the reset button..
Good luck folks.
Larry, I fear it is already too late. Gold, silver, guns, and plenty of ammo is all I can think of.
I have bought USAA Precious Metals fund and gold miners etf (GDX)
I have sent a contribution to Harry Reid’s opponent. We must retake the U.S. Senate next year and
the White House in 2012.
Larry,
I am seriously thinking of moving to Thailand to live/retire.
How long have you been there?
Do you intend to stay there.
I’m going on a trip there for 5 weeks on October 16 to check it out.
Cheers,
Keven
Larry as I have said before you have the best info on the net other than Ed Steer. I don’t much care what others have to say. It is not grounded in reality.
The way out is not as easy as it might seem. As a Canadian I know we cut expenses to the boneback in 1993 and curtailed government spending so we were running surpluses. However it has really never ended. We still findourselves slashing and burning to try to maintain an unrealistic life style and system here in Canada.
As North Americans we have an incredible life style compared to the rest of the world. However you can’t buy goods from China or invest in their economy if you want to keep your own life style. They have to develope a good infra structure and proper regulations that include higher wages and better standards of living before we invest a penny in them. If you don’t what you are doing is destroying what you have built. The Wal Marts and Giant Tigers of the world will all contribute to our declining life styles.
As for the rest of the world we have to learn to exist without the US consumer strapping himself to a debt cross. It isn’t healthy for anyone. The entire world has to get used to producing things again that will benefit humanity and stop thinking you canget rich by doing nothing. War will not solve this and neither will reliance on one countries generosity.
I think the rest of the world should now help the US like they did for us in allowing all our export driven economies to thrive. It was fine when the US was running insane deficits so why is it different now. THis canbe solved but it iwll take a global effort and we all have to stop relying on the USA to do it. You will survive this. You have overcome a lot worse but we all need to help each other.
I grew up farming and investing in farmland. last year I bought quite a bite of farmland and went deeper into debt. I plan on buying a fair amount more in the next 6 to 9 months if things work out.
I feel with the week dollar and increase in economic conditions in Aisa the demand for food will increase farmland value and rental rates. I like farm land better than gold becaue i get rental income every year and appreciation.
I have the interest on 60% of my debt locked in for 5 years with the balance floating. The floating rate is 1.5% beter than the 5 year fix.
If everything goes as you predict, I should be sitting pettry good. My land will increase in value and my debt will be paid of with cheeper dollars. (higher grain prices). The only thing I will have to worry about is income taxes.
The only thing that worries me is what an old man told me years ago, “if it’s obovious, it is oboviously wrong” What could go wrong?
This recovery might not be a recovery(I don’t think it is). If the world goes into a deeper recession, the fleet to quality will increase the value of the dollar,therefore decreaseing dollar base assets.
As you know, new wealth comes out of the ground. I thinks agriculture will have to pull the US. out of the recession.
yuor thoughts
thanks
ray
Larry: How do you feel about owning farmland with debt? How do you feel about owing farmland without debt? Your comment would be much appreciated ! I am a farmer and long time member of safe money report and wrestling with this issue.
I read with amusement the apparent epiphany that you have had living in Asia: ”Our way of life, often based on consuming far beyond our means, is being flat-out rejected.” That my friend is the understatement of the century. Things have been moving south internationally long before wall street started sucking gas.
9-11 was a clear enough message that our way of life is “flat -out reject” by many throughout the world. Listen to the words behind the horror. “We don’t want become, what you are! ”We don’t want, what you are selling!” Naturally, religious and political leaders fueled this fear and loathing to further their own agendas as they alway have done.
The recent financial debacle was although, aided and abetted by others, was primarily a red ,white and blue production. It was stated clearly in your ”passionate pleas”. We have used other people’s money to live beyond our means. Just don’t be surprised when our international partners put the screws to us when we attempt to repaid outstanding debts on our SUV and wide-screens with devalued greenbacks.
When many overseas find themselves buffeted by unknown global forces that have turned their limited world upside down, America again becomes the scapegoat for all ills. Despite the fact that this particular shoe happens to fit, this bodes badly for America in future as our prosperity depends on having others as respectful and equal trading partners. The greed, overindulgence, and culture of immediate gratification and living beyond ones means only reinforces the antipathy toward America that is brewing worldwide.
Having lived overseas for 15 years, and having travelled to almost 80 nations during the last 30 years has afforded me some insight into how others view America. Place yourself into the shoes of those who have less opportunity to education, communication, travel and outside opinions. Their only view of American culture and values are those which we promote ourselves on television programs that are syndicated world wide.
The American male is most often portrayed as overweight, uncultured, ineffectual, emasculated, hapless buffoon, prone to violent outbursts, who is browbeaten by shrew-like, sexually wanton wife. The parents are verbally abused and rejected by their disrespectful, smart-ass kids, who lack even a modicum of discipline, civility or basic social skills..
Although we may smile at the sarcasm and overstated portrayal of family stereotypes, these create a lasting impression in the minds of millions who have no understanding of our cultural nuances and soundly reject what they believe to be American values and culture.
Larry, perhaps it is time for us to re-examine who we are, what are our core values and how do we want to be viewed by the rest of our world. Our economic future and security depends on the answers we find and the remedial actions that we must take.
Rick In Bali
Mostly in one and two year CDs with my Credit Union. Some money market and gold-silver stocks. paying down debt as sernior will take no more loans from now on.
in the state of florida,tax based union jobs suck up all the money.there needs to be a 20-30% wage cut across the board.all pay and benefits should be reverted back to pre bush levels.the obama handout is keeping these changes from happening.the only real construction is at mcdill afb.the military spending is everywhere.the benefits paid to public union employees is outragious compared to private industry.how can taxes from the poor pay for the union rich?the local governments are just another mini general motors.everyone knows these facts but will not speak out to protect their own bloated non productive state jobs.we need term limits and lobbyist restraints.retirement benefits for state workers cost 2 more jobs per current worker.healthcare costs need to be privatized and compet.
Unfortunately the truth is inconvenient. We are on a major downslide and the economy is not going to recover for many years to come. We are going to make Japan’s “lost decade” look like a walk in the park.
I for one am whistling through the graveyard. I am out of stocks, cash position only and offshore through swiss francs.,
Larry,
About 80% od this deficit happened under Reagan, Bush I and Bush II when they cut taxes to thier wealthy friends, but didn’t cut government spending. We could go a long way to correcting the current problems if we reinstituted those taxes. Second, we need to reinstitute the Glass-Steagall Act of 1933 which was removed by the Republican Congress of 1999. In my opinion, that allowed the backroom financial corruption that caused the financial meltdown of 2007.
Two other points. I find it interesting that the last time the gap between the wealthiest and the average citizen was this big was in 1929, shortly before the crash. Secondly, I find it interesting how few people are familiar with the predictions of Andre Kondrotiev from the 1920’s. If your predictions of the next leg down between April 2010 and October 2012 are correct, I expect many more will become more familiar with his teachings!
Hi Larry, Im not a very educated or Intellectual person, but try to gain knowledge from all sources and someone had pass your site on in a chat room. I work 2 jobs and live a lifestyle that is very modest and well within my means, and get very discouraged at people that do live beyond their means. In conversations with people from all walks of life, when they start to talk about how their in debt , i just walk away from conversation cause i know that they live on credit and think nothing of their debt in that how its effecting them personally, not that it effects everyone of us. Seeing your letter makes it more discourageing for me , i know that my faith and the thought of hope will get me through this tough time , but even more a person such as yourself help with the info you pass on want to thank you for taking the time to inform and educate a person such as my self , i have to addmitt that i dont comprehend all of info but GOD gave me the good common sense to understand your info on a laymans term . GOD BLESS you and your family,and may GOD be always at your back.
GOD BLESS and thank you again,
Adam York
I believe we should do what President Jackson did and he considered it his greatest accomplisment, he killed the bank. The majority of the American people do not realize that the federal reserve is not owned by the US Govt. but by wealthy European Bankers and Our Govt. Officals seem to play right into their hands. They also use the IRS to collect the taxes to replenish their supply of revenue. Both of these entities needs to go away and Our Elected Officials should be held accountable. I do not have a problem supporting My Country but God himself only asks for 10 % return from His people and there within lies the problem to much Ungodliness. And all whom lives in this Country should have pay something to support it .If taxes were at 10% Americans would not have the debt they have today thus helping them fulfill the American Dream and sustaining the economy.
We need to get some backbone in Washington and a return to enforcing the 10th Amendment! No where in the Constitution was the Federal government granted the right to control 1) Housing & Urban Development 2) Energy etc. These bloated non-performing agencies are just a few of those contributing to the sheer waste of dollars. Where is the change we were promised?
The government while not technically bankrupt is insolvent. An insolvent business can restore itself, but only by drastic expense reduction. Congress and the Presidents have been spending like maniacs since Eisenhower left office. Time for a real change.
As a first step why not require doctors to be recertified every few years. After all the average doctor doesn’t know as much about circulation as Olof Rudbeck (1630-1708 - the first anatomist to fully understand the lymph system) put in print over 300 years ago - and most of the medical problems that cost us money are related to circulation problems - s.a. heart disease (by definition), cancer (largely because of lymphatic system failure), and all sorts of diabetic related problems. In fact the 80,000 or so lower limb amputations Americans suffer (at up to $70,000 per) every year are mainly related to circulation problems that could be easily solved. I know because I have created methods and apparatus that have saved eight legs that the medical community had already totally failed on.
I think like Hank, we don’t have much money to dump, but we are trying to move into hard assets that can be bartered and trying to be more self sufficient.
First of all I am trying to figure out if we are or will experience inflation or deflation. I think this is the biggest debate of our time. Once I determine that outcome I will begin to put my cash to work. Currently 65% cash 35% gold and silver. I would love to see you speak to these two issues.
The disease of “easy money” for too many years has corrupted the citizens of this country. Our political system rewards those who promise the most “goodies”. In spite of all evidence to the contrary, we not only think our system is best for us, but we insist on using war to spread our system to other countries, thus continually wasting our wealth and our youth. Unfortunately, a democratic system lays the seeds of its own destruction in the efforts to equalize the benefits to all its citizenry. Assuming nothing else changes, our best hope is to promote the development of new technology, which will provide the engine to pull the economy out of the doldrums, and hope we can hang on a bit longer.
Larry ,
I am looking for a position back in Thailand . Do you have anything for me over there ? I am 39 male background in Mortgage sales and auto. I have lived out there for 12 years but can’t seem to put together any type of work so I can stay .
Can you help ?
Rog
Get back Please
Larry,
all efforts must be made to stop, or reverse, this wild government spending at all levels.
otherwise, as you state, we are toast.
best wishes, george.
What are we doing to prepare for years of depression? (1) no debts (2) paid for home and acreage (3) large garden (4) investments structured to maintain buying power, or increase buying power, as USA suffocates on ever-increasing debt, and slow murder of our dollar. (5) critical thinking skills to filter the media/government BS from reality. That is about it.
Wait for dips and buy physical gold as a portion of your investment portfolio. Move to a place where you can grow food. Help to rebuild the local community’s reliance on one another and move away from the corporate food supply. Get out of $ denominated assets. Get or use a needed skill to start your own business.
Like every great superpower the world has seen for the past several thousands of years, arrogange, corruption, and greed surpass the once moral, fiscally responsible, inginuity and entrepreneurship of every great nation. Unfortunatly, we are no exception. We are rapidly becomming a socialist state, where indivdualism will be shunned and wealth transfer will be the staus quo. Our so called representatives in government are to blame along with a citizenry that has allowed this corruption to flourish. I fear we are to late to do much about this incidious CHANGE in our once great nation. Morality in everyday life as well as in business is looked upon as being naive or unsophisticated. Our wealth or earned money will be confiscated by the IRS and spread around to finance leftist programs that reward people that don’t work, illegal immigrants and big labor bosses. If I can, I will continue to purchase precious metals including, gold, silver, and also purchase foreign currencies. If I am still allowed to say, “God bless us all” we will need it!
What is EVERYONE got REALLY ANGRY at this mess caused by both entrenched political parties?There are a number of steps we can take and it will take a lot of work by a lot of people.
1. Begin a massive communications campaign to educate and inform our fellow americans. They have grown stupid from their upper mis-education, LA/NY Times, the Blue Dress Media, Daily Show, and Bill Maher.
2. Though I generally don’t favor boycotts, do not contribute any revenue to the Blue Dress Media, such as NBC, ABC, CBS, CNN, MSNBC, NY/LA TImes.
3. Identify mainstream conservative media figures, (there are a couple) to put out content with conservative values.
4. Educate yourself - read Reagan, Goldwater, Hayek, Friedman, Goldberg, and yes, Alinsky.
5. Get involved politically at the local level to dilute the impact of liberals and leftists.
6. Become an activist and volunteer supporter of any local politician who gets it
7. Vote out the socialist Democrats in November 2010
8. Vote out Obama’s Socialist Republic in 2012
9. Remind the new Administration why we had to work so hard to purge Socialism to prevent its recurrance.
10. Once back in power, return more manufacturing to the USA, reduce regulation and taxes to encourage growth and investment. Don’t play politics with the Federal Reserve to “goose” employment in anticipation of the an election season.
We are in a bankruptcy mode in order to transition our present structure to Socialism. This is the change that was proposed during the election and all of the uniformed that voted for the present administratrion are responsible for it.
How do we get out of this mess? Socialism does not create wealth. Socialism re-distributes wealth in order to support the theory of an equalistic society. The only way out of this mess is to change the direction of our present administration and begin drilling for our own oil produced the USA. We are blessed with an abundance of enough oil resources to out produce our middle east enemies. If Amarica could build a military from scratch, strong enough to defeat Germany and Japan in the early
1940’s, It would be possible to drill and develope refinerys to get us out of this financial disaster.
The will of the American people is strong and will perservere in socialism or capitalism. The solution is here. Which do we want? The choice is ours!
I attended the fort worth 912 project and watch glenn beck and most fox programs, I am writing my senators and congressman screaming to stop the spending…we the people are trying our best to stop washington from ruining this economy…Have any other ideas I would welcome any suggestions that would increase my influence. Personaly I would like to file treason charges against the president and all members of both houses and most of the heads of treasury department and others etc, etc. just my thoughts.. I want to scream at the top of my lungs!
We can solve our financial crisis in America by demanding our congressional candidates pledge to
stop reckless spending when the 2010 election comes up. If they will not pledge to stop spending and abide by Constitution of the United States, we must vote them out.
It is our responsibility to demand our elected representatives balance the budget, veto spending bills,
and uphold the concept of borders, language and culture.
The problem started to snowball with the elimination of the higher graduated income tax rates. The brightest people in the room did not have the incentive to steal huge sums of money when they knew it would just end up going to the govt as taxes. Under the present tax code they have the wherewithal to buy politicians and the cycle is unstoppable. In the past they had to be content with their social status, leadership positions, and working for years, not months, toward retirement just like everyone else, and their business endeavors were long term affairs. Rising wages were used by workers to pay for their homes, not ridiculous credit products that could never be repaid. The taxes that used to be available to run the country are in the accounts of the top execs and the stability of the world economy is gone as a result.
Good thoughts Larry but why does there continue to be such demand for both short and long term Tresuries if there is no faith in the US economy?
Get rid of the Fed NOW, then, do like the Chinese are going to do with the fraudulent derivatives pushed by Wall Street, default on our interest debt to them. The current and future interest payments due them ALONE, will compound and grow like a mutant, malignant cancer.
We’ve definitely cutting back on spending, no longer buying big ticket items, buying only necessities
or things that our kids really needs.
No longer owning stocks except the vanguard healthcare funds, some etf that bets against financials, real estates and sp500. I see the economy will no longer recover without our govt. and peoples debt cut, If people keep borrowing and they can’t pay back will you as a bank lend them the funds? Any collateral? none…bec. they are all mostly borrowed beyond their means, govt is even worst, the spending they do is not their own money…we are paying for it. Our family is frugal and does not live beyong our means, its very unfair for them to keep borrowing without us approving it and worst is we have to pay the tabs, almost like someone stealing from you and you have to pay for it.
Over the past years we have readjusted our saving to 1/3 in gold and 2/3 in commodities and energy in the Asian markets. Our pantry is stocked for three years. Our home is totally powered by solar (electric and heat) with battery back-up. The water supply is rain water. And there is no debt.
If you think the financial picture of the US is grim, check the energy picture. Even Dr. Chu (Secretary of Energy) agrees. Our outdated grid and massive energy consumption will continue to drag the US down. This is going to take a major effort in both consumer education and new construction, especially in renewable energy sectors.
Suggestions:
1. Bring the troops home and stop spending recklessly overseas.
2. Spend on rebuilding the intra-structure of our country that is in decay.
3. Spend on renewable energy projects including educating the consumer.
3. Revamp health care to eliminate the wasteful spending. Stop health insurance companies from the delay and denial tactics. Offer coverage to all through a variety of choices including public option.
4. Stop printing money that continues to make the dollar worthless.
5. Finally … improve communications:
a. elected officials please start to communicate on a bi-partisan level for the good of the country.
b. citizens rationally talk and share ideas on how to prevent this disaster.
c. media learn to get the facts before you blurt out on air. Get back to real facts; no your opinions.
d. create a public education program that teaches consumers how to live better and spend less …
this is the “old principles in home economics education” from the 40’s through 70’s. It’s termed
consumer economics and covers all spending categories of a family (food, lodging, transportation,
insurances, saving options, and budgeting)
I found myself overextended and decided to do something about it. I can read my statements, unlike Congress and I NEVER signed onto some thing without reading the damn contract. Im well on my my way to digging myself out- NOT CONTINUING TO DIG DEEPER! If “we” are expected to bail “them” out of their frivolous spending, then BRING ON THE PITCH FORKS, and lets change a few things>
Dear Larry,
Look elsewhere to answer your question. When fiscal budegts are in defitcit such is the US now, countries devalue their currency. In what amount? Take Brazil, Argenina, Asia. Two to one, three to one, or four to one. Perhaps the US dollard shall be replaced three to one by the Americanino. Then, US exports will boom, people will want to get Americaninos, and park there money back in the US. Making exports cheap has been a long known trick in the financial world.
I am retired. I own Tips and many pre-ref munis. The falling value of the dollar makes our exports more competitive and will eventually help our economy. Sure the Chinese, the Indians and other Asia countries will sell off their long term treasuries. But the consumer saving rate has increased dramatically which in the long run may very well help the dollar.
Larry, with some of the ETF’s being converted like the DXO double oil ETF, what would your recommendation be for another Energy or Oil ETF?
I have stopped buying what I don’t need, increased gold and silver holdings, gotten into Claus’ Million Dollar Contrarian Portfolio and your FTA program as well as plunging into Martin Weiss’: World Currency Options, Million Dollar Contrarian, Crisis Opportunity ETF, and Safe Money Mr. Speculator Programs with substantial losses so far this year. Unfortunately I was only watching your recommendations in the first half of the year, but with what I’ve seen, your recommendations would have helped me to accomplish what I hoped for since beginning to invest following Weiss recommendations about the first of this year. I am wondering if the Weiss Group, who seem to be honest, intelligent, knowledgeable people can regularly update their opinions on what is going to happen in our economy, ie. inflation/deflation with best guesses as to “earliest”, “latest”, “most probable” dates (beginng and ending) for these trends to transpire as the government, and the Fed continue to “changes the game” with their bailouts, and destructive spending. Thank you, and keep doing all you can to help us survive this catastrophe.
Dear Larry,
As the dollar crashes, the only way to hold something of value is to own natural resources, water, gold, silver, energy and food companies. I lived during the last depression and it was ugly. But we were not used to having much and we tigthened our belts and ate less.
People have to buy food, need water and energy to run their cars and appliances.
This will be a rude awalening for young people who have had everything. they will have to stop buying electronics, computers and new cell phone devices because they will need to pay higiher prices for food, water and energy.
More people will plant gardens to raise their own food and therefore seed companies will do well.
We need to buy organic natural seeds because I suspect that hybrid seeds will become affected by diseases the designers never imagined.
Daniel Muray
Hello Larry. It seems to me that there is still not an awareness among most Americans that anything is fundamentally wrong. Alan Greenspan has received a great deal of criticism and blame for where we find ourselves. But I believe he not only knew exactly what was happening during his tenure, he also knew he was powerless to change anything regardless of whether or not he felt it was wrong policy. As long as this sentiment remains among our wisest leaders it will be difficult to change for the better.
Joe
Larry I’m British and we are in a worse bind than America with our debt in relation to gdp and everything else. The only answer is to protect ones wealth here is to get out of pounds and buy select gold/silver and gold/silver shares. These guys in charge are robin hood crooks in reverse. ITs been announced on the national news in the UK that the nhs(national health service)budget will have to be cut 10% over the next few years because of the bailouts and the governments only answer is to print more money. We don’t have the US luxury of being the worlds reserve currency, taxes are soon to go up in January, inflation on food has been rising all year in supermarkets. Its hard to see for the average person but we are asleep here and slowly sinking in quick sand. There are rumours the Comex, GLD and SLV has not the gold it says it has(huge Ponzi schemes) so the Chinese are telling all of Asia to take possession of physical gold and silver to “make them rich”. I fear the stink of such a scandal will be smelt around the world. the Chinese as you say are not to be underestimated and will loose face if gold or silver fall so they are buying on the dips to keep it up. gordon brown urged the g8 and g20 leaders to sell gold in April, every time he does that it leads to a huge rise. The guy is the best contrarian barometer for gold there has ever been. We all remember Browns bottom. I like Canadian currency their banks seem sound.
You only have to look at Mexico in the 1980s to see the effect in 1986 of about 40 - 50% interest it had to pay for money and the effect devaluation of the peso had on its citizens. US and other expats built houses with the interest paid on peso investment accounts from US dollars they brought down. Inflation decimated the citizen middle class. There was no credit. It was a cash economy and frequently the medium of exchange was the US dollar even though prohibited.
If the USD deflates to nothing, US effectively cancels it’s debt, held in USD by China and other countries, and at the same time cancels all the wealth of it’s citizens, if held in USD in US banks. Also wiped out are the support systems, social security, medicare, pensions, credit. Do we go back to a barter system, survive by owning and trading physical commodities, only able to keep our houses if we own them without mortgages and can pay the taxes, develop a black market, grow a victory garden.
Cancelled is the debt, the wealth, and we start again. But we have to rebuild the country not just the financial system. We won’t be able to trade, so we will have to rebuild the manufacturing base and supply ourselves. Re-creating wealth will be the excess of production over consumption. How long will it take? Ten years? Those of us who are old don’t have that time, the health, to go hack out a new life from the ashes, with all support systems and all wealth stolen….There’s not much time to get a plan going… in the meantime we are being foreclosed and the banks won’t accept a short sale proposal of 3 months standing. What a way to end a lifetime of work… And where are the carpet baggers…
First of all I am the son of a very frugal Canadian parents. We have always paid off our credit card, we buy things like cars when we have a substantial downpayment and pay the loan off early, we save money every month.
Now with the loss if nearly 40% of our annual income, we have tightened up even further. We watch, very closely now, where all discretionary money goes. We eat out less and when we do we buy less. We have severely cut back on vacations.
I wonder what it will be like for my two grown children to live in this country. With all this debt and corruption.
I am a loyal American with a son in the Air Force, and a college grad daughter working and paying her taxes.
I fear this generation of big business without vision, led by short sighted pork barrel politics has ruined this country.
We should stop trying to save the world. Lets get out of Iraq and Afghanstan. That will save both lives and dollars.
Well, lets just say that China is investing in physical assets: gold, silver, oil, and cutting exports on rare earth resources. We are doing the exact opposite, creating fiat money out of thin air while investing most of it in well fare programs (could you say that our wars in the middle east are for oil, so we are investing our money in natural resources… highly unlikely, because with all the money spent, we minus well just buy the oil we’re fighting for.) Either way this all points to one thing, commodities. To be honest, commodities and related assets are the most conservative investment you can buy in this economy! They will see steady gains for at least the next 5 years! Really, you can almost put a guarentee on it, I’ll say 99%, that if you invest in gold, silver, oil, or agriculture, you will at least see it double within the next 3-5 years… BTW the US is capsized, everyones trying to Pirate the ship called the USA before it is totally submirged under water…
Larry,
It’s obvious to anyone who is watching closely, here at home and overseas, that Obama’s wrongheaded approach and future plans are not what this Country needs! He will not change his mind and we are not so slowly going down the tubes. You hit it on the head when you said our standard of living is about to change dramatically! I don’t think the average American has a clue about this fact! What do we need to do to get their attention and how do we protect ourselves as individuals and investors? Keep up the good work!
Hal
What we must all understand is that” the only way the USA can repay all the money it has printed is to allow the dollar to fall” and take steps to save ourselves .
With inflation your house payment in 1975 was 40% of your monthly expense now it is 13% of your monthly payments . The government can do the same thing by allowing the dollar to become worth less . As a nation we must all resolve to get involved in politics and elect people to congress who are tight with the federal money . call your congress man and senator ! today !
Larry,
I think you are right. The dollar is doomed. My kids were getting credit card offers
in high school. It was crazy. We are finding out u cant run a economy on consumerism and
credit. The biggest cause of this in my opinion - u may not agree - is free trade not fair
trade which has been killing this country for years and still is by taking good paying jobs
overseas. How can we compete with countries that pay workers a fraction of what we pay
ours with no benefits and few pollution guards? Those people in Mexico who work in plants
taken accross the border still live in shacks. We need tarriffs to level the playing field in
wages and pollution control. If we dont do this our country will continue to lose jobs and
lower our standard of living. We have always had tarrifs since this country was formed
to protect our workers and raise money. If we dont start puting America first in our foreign
and domestic policy we are doomed.
RB
After reading the above blog messages, it gets very scary as to the future of the US economy. While some people exagerate the problem, I think we can all see how credit card debt used to replace lack of income is at fault for much of our high consumer debt. Why can’t our children and grandchildren understand that if they can’t pay cash now, the addition of 19-40% interest is going to make it easier later. I understand the value of cell phones and computers in business, but why do the poorest people that can’t afford the basics think they are entitled to all of these toys. Why does our government allow Fannie & Freddy to buy loans where the purchaser of the home can’t afford to pay a reasonable down payment of 15-20%? I do think the bankruptcy requirement of education in financial affairs is good. Perhaps we need to require all politicians to take that course before they run for office!
Why do you speak of the federal reserve as if they are anything more than who loans our country money ?
Way out-none.
Protection–Gold
We have been advised for some time now to put a large proportion of ones funds into the relative ’safety’ of short term, insignificant interest bearing, US Govt. Securities. And, pay little attention to the value of the dollar. It seems time to get our head out of the sand before it is too late.
Now that the issues are becoming clearer and clearer, what viable and detailed strategies would you identify as a replacement for the ’safe’ mentality of short term US Govt Securities. Don’t necessarily limit yourself to dollar denominated vehicles. Thanks.
safety
My comments are not much but it is good to hear them because this may be the position of many others.
I am doing nothing of any consequence. I am spending less. I have bought gold as advised by Martin many months ago. I am a member of the Million-Dollar Contrrarian Portfolio, hoping that this will put me ahead. That’s it!
Well all that I’ve got to say is BWAHAHAHAHAHA! It’s been about 15 years now since I wrote my treatise What is Money?, wherein I explained how and why fiat currency systems ALWAYS fail. Not one of them has ever lasted more than several decades. The current U.S. fiat currency is holding the record and it is highly unlikely that it will ever be broken, but that’s not saying very much for it. It’s like saying that Al Capone had a long streak of committing crimes. Or a serial killer murdered a lot of people. Yeah, so what? It was certainly nothing to be proud of, was it?
This fiat currency system is now on its last legs and will soon be relegated to the trash heap of history. Very few people with whom I shared my landmark work agreed with what I said, yet no one could dispute even one word of it! All that they could do was to bluster about how I was wrong, but not show any proof of where, why or how.
My researches into monetary systems and other things led me to what I call my two Magic Questions. They are; What is the EXACT AMOUNT of fraud that I am allowed to commit? What is the EXACT AMOUNT of fraud that I am obligated to endure? Without knowing what the limit is, how can we avoid going past it? There is not even ONE sector of society that you can point to where I cannot show you some amount of fraud going on. Not one. Which leads us to the only conclusion possible, that the entire society is based upon fraud and that is why it’s collapsing right before our very eyes. If you don’t believe me, go ahead and try me out. Give me just one example of where you think that there’s no fraud going on, and I will show it to you.
One of my favorite writing chores is to point out where people make mistakes in their thinking. I call it The Second Look.
Randy
I am retired & on a (much) fixed income. There isn’t much I can do at this point. I am not buying major items. I have paid off my rental units but fear vacancies as a tenant needs employment in order to pay the rent.
Our gov’t is totally destructive . The present administration has done everything it can to destroy the economy & is working hard to complete it’s mission.
Scary times.
America is bankrupt and will soon go into total financial collapse. The US continues to borrow trillions of dollars and add this new debt to previously-borrowed trillions of dollars. It is becoming nearly impossible just to pay the interest on this huge obligation. The situation is hopeless and this debt will never be repaid.
America must import 75% of its energy needs, mostly from its enemies. An economic recovery is impossible now that most manufacturing has been moved offshore. America no longer has anything to sell to the world, so it can only continue to amass more and more debt until the world no longer wants to finance its debt. That cutoff date is very near. After the cutoff date, America will begin selling off even more of its homeland to foreigners.
All entitlements, such as Social Security, Medicare and government pension funds will soon become insolvent. Banks will continue to fail at an alarming rate and the country will become more lawless. The US will begin waging war on countries that have loaned it money, in an attempt to cancel some its debt. Other lending countries will be repaid with worthless dollars after hyperinflation has totally destroyed US currency.
Individuals attempting to preserve personal wealth during the current economic disaster will achieve only temporary success. The entire global economy will soon collapse into total ruin.
Agree totally!!.
I have stocks in the metals and A couple in natural gas.
Also have traded my paper money for gold and silver for the last
15 years. It has worked very well for me. Thank you for your information.
STOP !!!
STOP all further legislation until corruption in Congress, The Senate and The White House is totally eradicated!
Wipe out the Zar concept by stopping all funding to them.
Return to strict implementation of the constitution limiting government to a very limited role as per our original foundation.
Investigate Acorn and any institution that violates our constitution and laws.
I was reading the article about how to get ofshore gold for americans here are two i use, the first companie is gold money. I use it to to store my gold and silver it sells at that days london fix price, if you want to trade try bullion-vault its system allows you to buy and sell instantly with its clients(its based on bet-fare). i have used both . Bullion vault won a queens award for inovation and in both companies you get a choice of vaults for your gold between new-york london or swizterland. I will let you guess which is the most popular.
Marianne said: “Your comments scare me.”
Sometimes the comments are better than the article itself. It’s people putting in their 2 cents worth and if you can glean just one bit of information from the comments and put it to work, then the comments should be an enlightenment not something to loathe. Seeing what’s going on with this renegade administration is scary. The future of this country is scary. But fear immobilizes you, get the courage to protect yourself and your family.
Unfortunately, I don’t think we have a way out of the mess we are in. Our Fed Chairman and our Government have led us into this quagmire. Options we have, that I see, are limited to two:
1) As advertised, INFLATE. How many American families survive is anybody’s guess.
2) Default. Here is an option no one has approached or discussed. The possibilities of repercussions are endless with this one. Is it more survivable for the American families? I think it is but who knows how our creditors would react.
I have been heavily invested in gold, silver, junior gold stocks and warrants since early 2005 and lightly invested in them for several years before. The stocks and warrants are all in Canadian dollars. I don’t see any other way to protect my family from what is in store for us!
…the problem is education (or lack thereof) …. and for this purpose, training does NOT substitute for education. That is, you can produce in your lifetime a billion widgets for wage, but if you’ve no time/inclination to read a book now and then…you and your way of life are finished. And if you over-consume, you have NOTHING to invest.
You save nothing…again..American marketing fosters that sort of thinking..know it for what it is.
IF you’ve got some time, take a look @ Mike Judge’s movie “Idiocracy”…very average guy who
thinks he’s got nothing out-of-the-ordinary going for him gets transported to the future where the population waters their crops with ‘gatorade’ (”Brawndo - It’s got Electrolytes!”), everyone sports slippery-looking synthetic apparel completely plastered with company logos a thick as a paisley, and you get your law degree from Costco ! The fruits of consumerism gone nutz!
HL Mencken noted : “Nobody ever went broke underestimating the taste of the American public.”
And that ‘taste’ is a function of marketing - “Buy now, save later” , “Buy American”, “The American Dream”
Dangerous thinking if that is the ONLY way you think.
When such a huge percentage of the American economy is consumer-based, you can see the problem.
Over the years I”ve taken the advise of people like Howard Ruff, James Cook, Martin Weiss, ect., etc.; saved, paid off debt, saved a little cash, invested in PM”s, and avoided the TV, Press, etc., that loudly represents our sorry country. Our Constitutional Republic was never intended to be run by Hollywood, or with their representatives like Oprah, Obama, Rosie, Rather, and other if their ilk. Now we stand naked from listening to people like this; broke, blind, indebted so far there is no answer but one left to consider. The same way individuals go bankrupt is the only way our nation will survive this catastrophic self-imposed downfall into the bog. As much as the repudiation of debt involves negative long-term relations, this is the only way our nation will be able to recover from this unrepayable debt crisis. Now we get to do what other nations around the world have done to us (Albiet, without thumbing our noses) while doing so. What a sorry bunch of handouts we have become.
What do you think the Canadian dollar will do?
“U.S. consumers and the U.S. government must slash spending drastically, accepting a deeper economic decline or …
They will perpetuate the borrow-and-spend cycle, destroying the U.S. dollar and, ultimately, our standard of living. ”
Larry, you said these 2 things are our choices. Notice they both involve an Argentina style collapse. A graph I saw last week shows poor & INDIGENT rates tripling in Argentina from their currency crisis. I happen to think you’re correct in your asessment.
Large masses of indigent people wandering the streets of the USA with no hope, money, job, home or future means you can kiss peace & stability goodbye. This is one of the 3 main reasons it’s tough to find certain types of ammunition for sale since the erection of Obama. No, that’s not a typo.
Larry,
I’m not the blogging type, though your email invitation today was inviting.
I have been writing as many people, TV shows and other media since the middle of 08 with this suggestion;
Our government should be the first of many US institutions to cut wages by 30~50% over night for any wage earner over 150k. Then follow this by encouraging all media, sports, fortune 1000 companies, etc. to do the same PLUS cancel all bonuses indefinitely.
As a country we have not only spent ourselves into this crisis, we have also caused this crises by not having any real standards of compensation for our celebrity class tiers 1 & 2. Since the lower-middle class wages have risen well into the 150k range, and the middle and executive class have skyrocketed well passed 500k, many think they are rich and deserving of more riches. Well I say BS!
I can see that know one wants to admit that; our compensation system over the last 30 years it what caused this current crises. That’s right!
Think about it. In every aspect of American life (large corporations, all media (including TV, Film), sports, politics, banking/wall street, mafia, etc.) we have continually over paid our “so-called” best people. I first witnessed this 30 years ago when my management was openly admitting they were receiving a bonus back of 50% of everything they saved in the bottom line. Things such as toilet paper, stationary, cleaning supplies, etc. could not be purchased without management approval even though they were all in the approved yearly budgets. I experienced this time and time again even when I worked as a Chief Engineer for 2 Hollywood Film companies in late 1990’s. Bottom line; we broke our compensation system. And in such we broke both our humanity and our financial morals.
All we can do now is take many drastic financial steps to turn back our compensation system and regain some of our morals. Anything short of these steps will be disastrous.
What am I/we doing; Well not to much other than keeping a reasonable amount of cash & silver in a safe place where I can to it, min amounts of money in many banks, investing in BRIC (but not Russia, so BIC I guess) country’s, lastly just doing whatever serious expenditures now before inflation takes off………yes, and saving the rest for a very rainy day…..month…….many years…….whatever.
Hi, Larry,
I always enjoy reading your articles, as well as Martin’s. You are thoughtful, insightful, and easy and interesting to read! Thanks for your contributions.
It would be good to admit that we are now in a “greater depression.” The “debt bubble” has truly in fact burst. We can no longer promote “economic recovery” through greater and greater spending and greater and greater debt.
It is hard to think of what our federal administration actually can do (and even harder, what it actually will do) to reverse this insane cycle.
I actually cannot think of any helpful ideas or suggestions at this time.
I will be happy to hear what you or others may say.
A commentator whom I respect, “Mish” Shedlock, says “Abolish the Federal Reserve.” I suspect that would be a very good thing to do, if it can be done.
Best, regards,
George
Dear Larry: You asked our opinion on how to get out of this economic mess — my opinion, “We the People” have to take over our government. We have to get rid of the CORRUPT politicians in Washington. That is the only way out. I am a faithful fan of Glenn Beck on Fox News. This week he will be laying out a plan on how to “clean-out” the thieves in Washington. Just look at the Tea Party march on Washington this weekend. Thousands and thousands of American people attended. I know one thing for sure, the majority of American people are downright fighting mad, including me and my husband. To answer your other question, all of our money has been taken out of the stock market and invested in GOLD. We did this one year ago. I am a subscriber to Money and Markets and appreciate all of your input. Sincerely, Alison
Larry,
Great article, but unfortunately very depressing. In an attempt to simplify this scenario, I must actually over simplify it for purposes of illustration.
Our spending, which is fed by a very wide variety of taxation vehicles is the core problem. On the spending side we are now increasing our liabilities via the sale of debt, but that’s not the only consequential aspect of US spending, albeit quite large. Our other spending is equally to blame (when focusing on the spend side of the equation). Too many give aways, to many unfunded/underfunded entitlements, and far too many programs based on faulty economic logic, which always seem to come back to us in the form of a larger price tag.
Here’s the dilema; In my humble opinion we are way beyond the need to run to safe havens such as gold (I know that this flies in the face of what you’re recommending). One might be better off storing food stock, or bullets for that matter, since I don’t believe that we can turn this situation around. When you look at the >$1M per household debt burden, and multiple centuries to pay it down, combinded with the rest of the world starting to believe that Rome (i.e. the US) is burning (out of control), I can’t see anything good on the horizon. Hope and change were never a plan, and unfortunately we’re beyond using prayer to fix our problems. This is the biggest tipping point in US history, and those in charge are pushing us off a cliff as a means to an end (which despite their belief in their infallable collective genius) will have horribly unpredictable consequences beyond anyone’s imagination (even theirs).
The inmates have taken control of the prison, break out the dusty Torahs, Bibles etc. because we’re gonna need them (soon).
Mike
Thanks, Larry, for truth! We must accept the consequences for our foolish decisions, admit our no way out and ask for wisdom from above. America is now reaping what we have sown. This is a spiritual problem; as well as, natural and emotional. An honest biblical world view vs a world political view will help us gain the only sense of true peace that can only be found in a living relationship with our Lord Jesus Christ. Our real battle is with the false religions engulfing us. Prayer works, if we can hear the Lord’s wisdom. In addition, follow Larry’s team for the best natural investments. Not a sermon–just Truth as I know it! Stop being reactive and become pro-active as in Matthew 24&25.
Hey Larry,
Interesting comments, however, I often wonder how it is that we talk about paying off the national or even personal debt ? Is this even possible ? How do you pay off debt with debt ? Is our (your)country not operating in a state or condition of bankruptcy ? Since 1933 when all the gold was removed from the system, we have been operating with debt instruments, simply a bunch of digital entries designed to offset each other by the end of each business day. Unless I do not understand how our system truly operates (in commerce), I do not understand why folks (maybe even yourself) would think for a moment that we could pay off our debt ? It simply is not possible. Please comment and bring my possible lack of understanding to truth………………..!!!
America as well as England have chucked away there manufacturing base , relying on wall street &
the city of london to create prosperity along with house price inflation , it was an illusion we were so say in a service ecconimy . the only way forward is to start investing in green technolligy and hopfully
it will lead to some manufacturing , otherwise there is going to be millions unemployed for years to come, governmemt deficiets need to be reigned in to give the wealth creating parts of our ecconimies ie the private sector some breathing space to establish a healthy manufacturing base if possible once more , every thing is being is being killed by to much taxation and government legislation .
We have been running enormous trade deficits for years. As the dollar declines, imports become more expensive and our products become cheaper. Maybe a big decline in the value of the dollar is a necessary part of our economic correction.
I’m sure you have heard the adage that, before a depression, 10% of the population holds 90% of the wealth. If you are a student of the last depression you know that this is what caused that one too. As painful as the last depression was, and I don’t advise another so severe, the only way to get money flowing again is to relieve the top 90% of some of their money. By denying them financial bailouts they are forced into supporting their own properties without the help of the populace. This causes a drain on their resources that eventually trickels down to the working class. And then the procees of the wealthy relieving the bottem 10% of their wealth begins again. By the government supporting the wealthy they are perpetuating the very thing that got us into trouble in the first place. I agree that some financial help was needed to stop a catastrophy, but the time has come for the fat cats to start feeling some of the pain.
Regards,
Arthur Faram
Hi Larry Edelson,
I concur with ur passionate plea from Asia. The way I see it for us to get out of this terrible situation is to completely cancel this quest for Empire. The expense of our military all over the world and on over 700 bases is what is draining us so terribly. It’s like cutting our wrists. I am not hopeful that our country can change course. It requires an educated electorate, but the system makes sure that this does not come about. President Eisenhower warned us of the “military industrial complex”, now called the military industrial security complex. All the moneys saved from reigning in the military can easily solve our serious debt problem. If we dont do it we will become bankrupt and the military will pack up anyway.
Dear Sir(s)
My solution, although not perfect by any means is to get people to focus on the deficits by imposing additional federal taxes (not income) but rather user taxes like we have here in Canada.
Your GDP is approx 15 trillion, Impose a Goods & Service tax of 5% on everything except grocery store food and prescribed medicines and hospital and doctor services. For lower income people your Government could rebate quarterly, based on prior years tax returns a percentage making it a “no affect”. The above should generate approx $ 600Billion plus
Secondly, the prices of gas, cigarettes, liquor, and wine, should be increased by both federal and state taxes across the U.S. and made equal to Canadian prices. This could generate another $ 600 billion plus, who knows the above additional taxes might curb smoking, binging and boozing, thereby helping curb medical costs.
I believe this would be a step in the right direction in getting yourselves out of annual deficits, like we did in Canada. We had surpluses for ten years in a row until your government botched things up with very low interest rates, all for the sake of the keeping the economy humming. Now we are now in deficit this year because of the U.S. mess.
Thank you for letting air my feeling about this serious situation we are in.
Regards
Dave
Great article Larry. Let me give you one more MAJOR instance of what the FED is doing that the average American doesn’t even understand——yet. I am an REO Broker in Denver, which is I sell Bank owned properties for the institutions. So far this year, our foreclosure filings are up 28% from 2008—which was a record year. And yet, the assignment of assets by the Banks, Fannie, Freddie is down by 40%!!!! Pretty amazing huh? That’s ghost inventory sitting out there collecting dust. Well, we are ALL paying for people to stay in their homes without making payments while the moratorium ends, a loan mod is attempted or whatever. But guess what? Fannie now ranks 2nd only to AIG in bailout funds since they just asked for another $10.6 billion to stay afloat. THAT’S OUR MONEY! At some point——-and I don’t know when—-all this toxic residential and soon to be commercial REO will hit the market. Or, we just keep handing the Banks, Fannie, Freddie etc. $10-$20 Billion per quarter. We’ll see…………….
I believe physical gold is the only safe asset to defend ourselves from a crashing dollar. The unfortunate thing is that gold is not really very liquid. You cannot easily exchange it for food, gas, rent or even dollars.
The gold dealers are already gouging 15% on purchases and when the public start to redeem gold for spendable cash, the buyers will gouge even worse upon the sale exchange. You stand to loose 30%, or more, in the buy and sell of gold alone. Holding dollars will net the same result or worse. Holding foreign currencies might have less an impact with exchange fees for now but in the future, who knows? Furthermore, are foreign currencies stable?
I have given this inevitable crash much consideration but really have no idea what will be the best way to get through it. I have friends that have gone through two such events in Mexico in the last 35 years. I think it’s time to get their input on how they coped with it.
I’ll let you know what they say.
Last April I sent copies of The Ultimate Depression Survival Guide to the president, my senators and representative, my children and a few friends. Below is an excerpt of the letter I enclosed that expresses what I can do right now:
“I am retired, and live on my Boeing Company pension, social security and investments. The pensions of many people are at risk right now. Some have evaporated already. Even the future solvency of the United States is at risk because of massive debt.
That’s why I’m worried. I fear that present policies will destroy our currency, our pensions and our savings. I can’t do anything about pensions, social security or government solvency. But I can do something about my own spending and investing. I can drive less and buy less. I can save more and stay out of debt. I can eschew all annuities, CD’s and bonds (except 90 day treasury bills). I can buy a few stocks that pay good dividends. I can purchase a small amount of gold. In short I can batten down the hatches. And I can encourage my relatives and friends to do the same.
I now believe that deflation is our only viable course of action, the lesser evil compared to inflation. Deflation will ultimately strengthen the dollar, whereas inflation will ultimately destroy it. Institutions “Too Large To Fail” can be broken up through bankruptcy proceedings. Toxic assets can be wound down in orderly fashion. Affected institutions will emerge smaller, and will be able to resume a robust business. Instead of pouring more money down an ungrateful rat hole, America should further expand spending to rebuild infrastructure. This will create jobs and provide valuable national assets as a bonus. We’ll actually get something for our money.”
I am following my own advice, but my government clearly is not. We should all be worried, VERY WORRIED! Sincerely, Ron/Kent, WA
larry,
I work with common man in Los Angeles and most people are oblivious to what’s really
happening. But, I see unemployment increasing and many small businessess barely surviving.
If prices for imports go up, due to the falling dollar, and interest rates go up to keep capital
here, then things will get worse for the average American. The recent march on Washington DC
may be only the beginning, as healthcare is the least of our problems. What’s going on
with the tradewar with China? Is this just a minor scuffle, or the beginning of a long term battle.
I don’t know what to do!!!!!! That’s why I pay you.
Hey Micheal Clancy,
Interesting comments, but just a word with all due respect……………It is never too late for prayer, as you have suggested it might be. The reality of your statement might suggest that if you believe it is too late, then you likely have never believed or had faith in prayer or your God. That is too bad, but just for the record….God is still in control !!! He never said, life would be an easy road or that no one would ever get hurt along the way, in fact if you look at the history of Christ, you will find that his biggest and most challenging time of faith came at the end of his journey (by laying down his life). That being said, it might be a wake up call for all true men of God (those that not only believe, but are actually faithful in his word), to dig in and claim God’s words of promise for their lives and hang on, because God by definition cannot go agains his word. It is up to us to hold back antichrist as long as we can.
Regards
Richard Golany
Loading up on water,food, ammo, & of course gold.
Larry I read your report not because I have any money to invest ,but because I want to see what the men and women of the your position think of the future, even if I all ready know what to except. The bottom line I have excavating company,I have in the last year and half went from roughly 67 folks working for me to now 3! I had a contract with my expartner who decided that he know longer needed my help with the company and me being the kind of man that I am I let him out of the contract I had, later to fing out it was just about greed ! AH YES GREED see we can sit around and mole this postion our country is in untill your blue in the face but it really comes down to one thing SIN , now I can go on and on about some of the things that my family is doing to help in the postion we find our selfs in but you know what has helped me the most Praying yes thats what I said Praying to the God that created me you know the one that gave himself up to die on Calvarys Tree Jesus Christ what a friend we have in this one man, a man can never have to many friends, but a friend that would die for you WOW! now that is a friend. Now Larry I dont know about your faith and what you put it in but I can tell you acording to John 3;16 God loves everyone and the only way and I do mean the only way is through his Son Jesus Christ, my hope is that you have put your faith in this one man and if not you go dust off that Bible and get in the word becuase we know our time is short on this earth and what does it profit a man to gain the whole world and lose his soul and worse cause his family to go right along with him. Thanks Larry I hope to hear back from you
Larry,
You re so right. The problem is our President does not wish to listen and continues to push for more debt by funding the war and trying to pass a health bill that no really wants if they knew all real facts. It is too bad that the congress is bent on getting that passed!
We have no ‘representation’. Our legislature and presidents don’t ask ME what programs, pork etc that I am for or against. Lobbyists have the representation. People who can provide the means for re-election almost single handedly.
I get form letters back from my contacts politely saying, “No”.
They should Audit the Fed, get the career politicians out, have line item veto. But all these have been proposed with nothing to show for them.
They say the demographics are the reason for the end of Social Security monies. But the truth is that the monies were “borrowed” extensively by Ronald Reagan through the Bush boys. “There is no lock box”. “it is just tax revenue”. Where I come from, if someone borrows without the intention of paying back, it is NOT borrowing.
Social Security was paid in good faith. Our legislators let this happen.
Credit ‘REFORM” LOL helped the lenders, not the borrowers. ID theft could be prevented if it were required to inform us at present and previous addresses of every application for credit. But the banks didn’t want the hassle.
If we try to leave this country, there is a 30% Exit Tax! The Patriot Act was not to keep terrorists out, is one theory.
We are basically financial prisoners and it took the Chinese to explain it to us.
Let the PEOPLE go through the budgets line by line and VOTE on what to keep and what to dispose of and Start Over!
Black box voting is happening, replacing paper trail, verifiable votes. Russian leader Josef Stalin said, “It is not the hand that casts the vote that has the power. It is the hand that COUNTS the vote,”
They don’t want gun control to help us. They can’t control the law breakers who have guns. But they don’t want us to be able to bear arms as the writers of the Constitution intended.
A lot to change
Our goverment, this adminstration and congress ignors our letters and request to be finacially responsible. I used to think we could choose our own retirement: but now with this ‘leadership’ in Washington we can not seem to make a good solid investment before they lose our money and we see our dollars worth less.
The process of debt buildup at all levels (public and private) have been accelerating for the past forty to fifty years. Now the chickens are coing home to roost. I believe that our leaders ??? and the American public at large have allowed this debt explosion get out of control. I can sympathize with those who are holding dollar based assets, especially currency, bonds, notes, etc. I am dismayed at the future prospects for my children and grandchildren in the USA. I do not look favorably on the other fiat based currencies as well. I say no more bailouts for anyone. Let the markets cleanse the accumulated excesses. We must reset our collective expectations and instill self discipline, honesty and integrity in our markets.
Do I think that this will happen in the near term? Hardly. At some point we will see an economic catalyst which will set off a chain reaction of events that governments and central banks cannot circumvent. We cannot contravene the collective impact of economic forces indefinitely. There will be a day of reckonong.
I have loaded my Schwab fund with gold and silver mining stocks. In addition, I have switched my IRA to about 20% gold/silver mutual funds. Next year I plan to actively campaign against every Congressman (Democrat or Republican) who is seeking re-election. All those idiots have got to go! Also, we need to impeach Obama as quickly as possible!
Yeah.It’s pretty hopeless.Due to the fact that the vast majority of Americans are short term greedy and long term stupid we end up with Obama Claus as our president.Just like kids believe in Santa Claus to provide them with gifts for free,most infantile minded American adults believe Obama Claus can do the same for them.There’s nothing I can do to stop idiot voters or about the U.S. continuing to decline except to handle my own affairs the best I can.Got Gold?Got investments in growing countries like China?Got commodity companies?I do.
we have been hijacked by the democrats and the president, they are on a course of destroying
the economy on purpose. the question is who can stop them? the Republicans have hid their
heads on the sand who do we turn to? they have insulted God by proclaiming this is not a christian
nation, we are on our own to be destroyed from within what can we do? someone has to do something. the people are speaking out and they are being treated badly and called names
who will stand up for us?
God is the answer except we have a Godless government in place all I can say God save our children.
And if you look at demographic impact on the future U.S. economy, our country isn’t going to get stronger, it is going to get weaker. 35% of all children are born out of wedlock (70% of black children). In 1948 3% were born out of wedlock. And 55% of children born are white, and 38% are black or Hispanic. I don’t want this to be a racist comment, but I would bet that these births are skewed toward the lower socioeconic levels, and as a result they are less likely to qualify for the more technical postions required for our economy to grow.
Please help. Most of us don’t have a clue about how to protect ourselves.
I’m Argentinian living in Buenos Aires and I consider myself a small investor and since my retirement I feel uncomfortable with the US Dollar performance. because a big portion of my savings are in that currency, but fortunately I converted half of my portfolio in Golod (bullion) to balance the risk. So far I was right.
In relation with what the American Authoryties should do with your currency is what my Country have done in the 80’s and 90’s. Forget about the losses and equalize
the Dollar to a real stable and solid currency. We did it in the early 90’s, 1 Peso equal to 1 US Dollar- Why not to go back to Bretton Woods? Is the only way to have a real back up for the mismanaging of your currency. But this has to be accompanied by a serious and long lasting public expenditure control and saving.
This is my modest point of view. Sincerely. Cesar Cerri
Larry
In my experience an addictive persona, such as the USA has become, will never give up until there is nothing left.
My own solution involves a self-contained environment ie. my 39 foot sailboat; with it’s proven world-wide abilities I’m planning to go where the good winds blow.
I don’t see any possible good out come to this downard course and I’m convinced that the bottom will be deeper and longer than most can imagine due to the fact that the collective addict metality will continue to dig deeper; see Stiglitz this morning.
Fair winds,
ps thank you for all the great work the whole team has done…invaluable to me.
Push our government ………………….
LETS GO BACK ON THE “GOLD STANDARD”, SMASH THE PRINTING PRESSES and do away with MEDICADE and the SSI without a full 100% investigation.
If people can smoke, drive their cars, go to casinos, they can go out and work. These folks do not need SSI/MEDICARE.
JHC
Hi Larry:
Following is the Email I clicked off to Professor Warren, Chair, Congressional Oversight Panel - TARP just minutes ago. And it summarizes the feelings I hold within.
Caught on television last week part of the exchange of questions and answers between yourself and Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner.
You showed to me how much better a person of your financial background is at questioning those summoned to congressional hearings than many of our Representatives and Senators who sit on the various committees.
In the exchange of dialogue, Geithner emphasized how important it is for financial institutions to reach a position of excess capital over and above their risks.
It is an utter shame to me that Secretary Geithner, other officials in the Department of Treasury and also the White House cannot reach the same conclusion when it comes with dealing with our country’s finances. We spend and spend. Deficit spending means absolutely nothing to them. As a country we have taken far more risks than we have excess capital. We have none and that is why, in my view, that we must continue to monetize our debt by 24/7 running of the printing press.
As a private citizen, my wife and I must balance our checkbook each month. We have no printing press to pay our bills with meaningless dollars.
While the points I make immediately above may have no direct bearing on your task as Chair of the Oversight Panel, I see you as a learned individual who would understand a citizen’s point of view.
Mahalo (Thank You) for your service.
“May you always be Blessed with the Grace of God and days of Inspiration and Passion.”
I wish i did have a solution to this problem. I need a solution of my own. I have a 401k with the county of Los Angeles. How do I protect it or transfer it without quitting?
Hi Larry:
How about a little analogy….
It’s like having cookies for breakfast. after you have three of four cookies a bowl of cheerios just doesn’t sound too appealing. Do this long enough and you may become fat and unable to compete in
even the mildest compettion…..Now,picture our previous and present administration sloving this by wearing an apron “Fresh baked cookies anyone?”
Annnyhow… what am I doing ? I am focused on paying down debt against my income producing properties. normaly I would expect to see them index with inflation, now considering employment,or the lack thereof, I am seeing,but hoping against lowered rents in the future. Also building savings,and attempting to learn how to trade FX, not successfully I might add (thank god for demo accts).
I’m just a regular guy (asst mgr at a grocery store is my main income) who’s made a few good real estate investments, enough for an easy retirement anyway, as long as I can protect them and pay them off.
I would follow much of your advice,if I had any risk capital….maybe in the future.
Well thanks for listening or reading rather.
sincerely Jim. S.
We hear so much about too much debt but I lived through the Great Depression and know that doing not enough is worse. I was nine years old in 1929. The banks and stock markets closed down without warning and this do nothing situation lasted for twelve years until 1942 when we geared up for World War II. My parents had no access to either bank account or stocks, unemployment rate was 25% and at that time women did not work, the husband was the only earner. All of the nay-sayers to government spending haven’t a clue to the alternative.
The dollar is a lost cause.
The government must buy all the gold and silver they can to base our money on it alone. A global
monetary system must be on gold/silver.
We must buy american made goods only. The rest of the world must make their product here to
sell here.
WE ARE SLOWLY BECOMING A ” THIRD WORLD” COUNTRY.
We should abandon this idiotic idea of wasteful spending on health care and cap and trade.
Larry: You’re column is scary but TRUE. The Marxist and his pals in Congress are determined to drive us into socialism and a third class country. Obama knows nothing and cares less. So he puts a heavy tariff on Chinese tires as a payoff to the unions! Shades of Smoot-Hawley. If they get a healthcare bill passed with a public option (or some other Trojan horse) leading 17% of the economy into socialism it’s all over but the shouting. Doubt we could find politicians with a spine in 2010 to repeal it. (Responsible politicians -there’s an oxymoron). I’m a small guy but have 15% of my dough in GLD and American Eagles. Got some in TIPS though nervous about that. Very small stock holdings (I’m 80) and never bought the hold a lot of stock guru advice so didn’t get hit too hard in the big downturn.
We need to take back the Congress in 2010 somehow and rein in gov’t spending. But if the parasites and knee jerk voters are in the majority it’s really over for good.
Larry,The United States government must cut spending and balance its own budget and do so on a yearly basis.If necessary a Constitutional Amendment must be passed demanding and enforcing a balanced budget law!The United States must devalue,which is already defacto occurring,and restore the currency to the Gold Standard as the Constitution and the founding fathers stated it should be.Our coinage should also be Silver as they once were!The Illegal&Unconstitutional Federal Reserve System(Private Central Banks)must be abolished and NEVER exist again in any form.Our money is to be under the direct authority of the Treasury Department who is to be directly responsible to the American people.Sound Money=Sound Government=Sound Nation=Sound People!Anything else =CORRUPTION of the HIGHEST ORDER!Sincerely,Robert Merryman
Larry, I am relying on God’s guidance and your (and other’s) sage advice to allow me to generate addded income with what’s left of my 401 k investment dollars. Your work, using cycles as a gage is truly facinating and I believe will continue to be a profitable guide.
We live in Michigan and everything we own (home, cottage, SUV, etc.) has been slashed in value by the same banks that devastated the truly great stocks I owned, as they sold them off to raise cash to survive the sub-prime mess. (I have since, painfully, learned how to protect myself with stop-losses).
I started investing with you this year and continue with a few other advisors and use IBD and VectorVest for added, daily, guidance.
Like many others, I feel cheated and angered, as I continue to see Washington reward failure and penalize the productive in our society.
I retired from a great automotive career 3 years ago and we are continuing to slash spending every month. We turn our Lincoln lease in Oct 1 and I will not replace it for a while to save more cash.
I am planning to re-fi the cottage that has some good equity, to help reduce interest costs.
We will continue to “keep the faith,” though I personally believe it will be a while before the American Dream returns in any earnest.
I am concerned as I am sure most of Americans are…my next concern is..if we invest in foreign market..wouldn’t that be like saying we have given up on America? I am retired age 68 yrs. my husban is 71.. If I invest now..how will I be guaranteed my investment will pay off either to us or our children?
I also think we as Americans’ should stand up for our country..it isn’t the America people to blame ..it is government ….of course we are responsible for electing those people to run our government…it seems to me that our government power has gone to far!!! Especially now…I as I am sure many Americans are concerned about the unconcern our president , congress and senate to do what is best for our country…paying the debt is not possible without some major resconstruction in our total way that things are done..if we give upon our country..what did all our forefathers fight and die for? I agree we waste a lot and take a lot for granted…hand outs are way over used…..it would take years to correct this mess…but…as an American who believes in my country…I don’t see how putting my money in a foreign country could help? Advise please….
Thank you
Larry - there is only one person in the media who gets this and its Glenn Beck on Fox news. He is laying out a plan on his show today at 2pm eastern for his over 4 million viewers to follow to turn the tide of what is happening in Washington DC. The Tax day tea parties were partially his initiative started last March, .He is asking American citizens to demand their representatives and congress halt the spending and pass no new legislation until we clean up the corruption that plagues our systems, namely organizations like ACORN, a host of communist czars advising our president, large corportation like GE and the Unions. Its really amazing that the most sucessful economic system is following this path. You are correct … we must rise up as Americans and put a stop to it. Thanks for bringing us the clear data and facts.
With Warm Regards,
Debra
I don’t understand why some American’s are still infatuated with our New President. He hasn’t done anything good for this country since he was elected. He’s done more harm than anything. We have spiraled downward since January 20, 2009. He’s in our face every day and it isn’t talking to us about what is concerning us ..like terrorism or where our tax dollars are being spent or helping people get jobs. He’s so fixed on passing his Healthcare bill that he’s oblivious to what is happening in the rest of the US. His CZAR’s literally scary..no one knows what these people are doing. It bothers me that our elected officials aren’t screaming outrage over these CZAR’s..who are probably doing jobs that our Congressman should be doing. The People need to be outraged and jamming their phones telling them to Stand Up Now against what is happening in Washington, DC. We have by far the worst Congressman, worst legislators, worst government that we’ve have ever had in the history of the US. The people could do a better job. It’s time to FIRE them all and start again. We don’t need to wait until the next election….get 56 people with backbones in the White House to Stand UP and let’s stop them NOW!!!
Larry,
Financial markets “Casino Games” dominate dollar volume of 1.5 trillion per day. Think about this; there is no work exchanged, no goods manufactured it is completely non productive, simply a bet. Within the Fortex currency exchange one must name the players betting against one in favor of the other. Huge sums are wagered either won or lost without a single product or work being exchanged.
This lost capital needs to be invested in workers who in turn earn wages, who then pay their mortages and for other services rendered. We need somehow to encourage these big players to invest in people and stop the Casino Games. Imagine what 1.5 trillion a day invested in working people would do for this country.
Thomas Petersen
San Diego
Larry, America has to get rid of the Federal Reserve System, and replace it with lincoln green back type money system, with no interest charge for the creation of this money. The system that replaces also has to create just the right amount of money for trade and the money needs of the American people. To much or to little is not good. The way the system works now, we have to many ups and downs in the market place. This system has been used in our past history with good results, during the time before the revolutionary war and after the civil war. This system would have worked if it wasn’t for the interference of the banking click in London, England, which is the main center and power today today in the finances of this country as well as the world. The Rothschilds were for years the main power behind this corrupt banking set up, which is factional banking which they perfected over the last 2 or 3 hundred years and still today this day their run the same ponzi game on the peoples of the world. They want a world govt. and they are going to have by hook or crook. They have been behind every war this country has been in the revolutionary war. They were behind every scheme to hook America on this ponzi game called factional banking. They were behind the formation of the Federal Reserve in 1913. They are still in power and they intend to into a world govt and world currency. Larry type in Eustace Mullins and the Federal Reserve Bank. You will get several hits on google. There are videos that tell the true story about these corrupt people and their past. I ask you to view some of these videos and books. Eustace Mullins wrote a book back in 1948 called “The Secrets of the Federal Reserve” about 200 pages, you can read it for free on line just by typing it in on google. Just the other day in the freedom march in Washington D.C. at the capital building there were people asking to do away with the Federal Reserve Sytem. Congressman Ron Paul has a bill before congress HR 1207 to audit the Fed. He alread has over 289 congressman pledged to sign it. The Senate also has a bill to audit the Fed. It shows that the people are finally finding out the true about the past and present corruption of the Federal Reserve System. We need to boot them out of this country or hang them from the statue of liberty. Please send me an email on how you feel about this. Jack Faulk
Larry I’ve really appreciated yours and Martin’s comments over the years, much insight and thoughtfullness has been given to the current condition in our country by you and Martin.
I’m a 75 year old retired SF divorced man having lost his entire nest egg in the 90’s. I’ve been able to exist on my SS check and Va Korean disability check. I’m in good health but I’m not counting on those checks as permanent for the future.
I’ve been working in networking. Many people have pooh pooped this industry over the years. But I have found that there are many legitimate companies out there with solid products and good compensation plans.
Worked right,it can provide people with additional income, some even fulltime. I said 10 years ago that this could be the salvation of the American economy.
That’s all this industry really is, are companies bringing their products to market via a group of independent distributors each purchasing that product monthly and duplicating the process with others under them, and recieving a %% of their purchase.
It’s beautiful, Donald Trump has seen this and bought a company this past March. The rollout and announcements will be made this November.
My point Larry is Americans as you well know, are accustomed to having it all, unless they change there ways and the only way their going to, is be totally broke nothing available to them no SS checks naada, and it’s a possibility isn’t it?
I was born in 34 so I know the hard times. I’m looking forward to travelling to China and Singapore next year and having extra funds for a little investing there. That’s where it’s at today, according to Tony Sagami and you. Thanks Ed Hebert
I regret to say that most (all?) politicians are equally responsible for the absolute mess they have made of the American economy. The current situation is the natural result of the out of control spending in Washington, and their ability to print money without anything to back it up. The only answer is term limits for EVERYONE, and some fiscal controls.
Humble noobish opinion of a foreigner on how to fix this mess: Face up to reality and stop trying to postpone the inevitable. The US government is trying to stop an unstoppable force, it will only hurt itself and the US in the process and will ultimately not succeed. The only way to deal with this crisis is head on, by allowing the storm to happen now, rather than later when it will be 100x worse. Firstly, let bad companies fail. Let bad banks fail. Yes, let them fail! Maybe people will learn from it, rather than thinking uncle Sam will always be there to bail you out. Of course it will cause a financial storm the likes of which the world hasn’t yet seen. But answer me this, what’s the alternative? Do you really think the current path will end up any better? I think not. Secondly, use contrarian policies, e.g. use the approach Reagan used in the 80’s: *Drop taxes*, and *raise* interest rates. Yes, drop taxes, especially for businesses, particularly small ones. This rewards people by allowing them to keep more of their hard earned and encourages entrepeneurialism. This will make people richer without resorting to the kind of artificial manipulation going on now. It will also mean that entrepeneurs will have more of an incentive to try things, which if they do will improve the economy. Higher interest rates will likewise mean that people who save will be rewarded and reckless spending beyond your means will be discouraged as there will be a significant cost to doing so. People who save will stimulate the economy by allowing banks to repair their balance sheets etc. The Reagan administration polices were successful at pulling the US out of a very deep previous recession in the 80’s, I believe something simliar would work again today. Unfortunately the powers that be doesn’t seem to have the resolve and large enough cojones to walk that path…
From my limited understanding of history, this country started out with very little, that is why Franklin started printing money in the first place. We borrowed money to establish this country, we borrowed money to fund our wars and we printed money to fund ourselves. France, England and other countries and their citizens cursed their leaders for supporting us and now the same thing is happening in Asia. Can someone comment on this?
Ultimatly, the US will go on because of our capabilities and citizens, just like before we can and should print money as in the past because capital has dried up. This is a worldwide recession so I would not put my money anywhere else but in the US, except for Gold. To protect my family I invest in myself, who has a better idea? The Chinese? Come on isn’t that just a bubble that will burst too? This is like a financial chess game, one the US will ultimately win because of the genius of our citizens keep your money invested in the US and some Gold.
After reading some of the comments here I just have to say…while I understand that Mr. Obama
is wanting to add gas to the fire…. How do you think the fire got started ?
Before you get bent…. consider who has really been behind all of this spending. The FED.
Even though Mr Bush came out and said “his admistration” was administering the first round of bail outs Bernanke & Paulson had the check made out and ran it through the bank and were awaiting the prez’s signature. Politicians ALWAYS bow to the FED.
Yes, Larry, we are pathetic. I’ve watched us dig this hole of debt for the last 50 years
and I am still stunned by the per capita size of it. Have we no common sense? How do
we feel that a government can rely on foreign largesse to continue to live beyond its
means? Why do states have to live within realistic budgets but not the feds? When
we wake up it will be too late. I’m pretty depressed at the moment. I don’t see any
way we can correct this without 30-40 years of economic shrinking everywhere in the
U.S.
There is only one cure for our economid malise, the cure was articulated almost 100 years ago by CH Douglsas and international banksters behind all of the corruption you speak of will fight and do all they can to discredit it - SOCIAL CREDIT. It is an immediate answer and the only way it will come about is by a grass roots movement of we the people. It’s wakeup time!
Thank you Larry!
What is currency anyway? It allows us to buy material objects and it helps us buy the necessities in life. You are a BIG proponent of watching the cycles. Isn’t this just another cycle and it too will pass? There is always someone yelling at us when the market is going up and when it is going down. Never fails. I say buy low and sell high and all will be well. Try not to get out of balance with the highs and lows of life.
I have placed my objectives for investing w/the precious metals, energy and other hard assets. I am going w/companies which have no or minimal debt and large amounts of cash on hand. In addition, the term is short in nature as I think the threat of another downturn is iminent due to all the economic problems globally. Still, I think the market is the best place to make $$$ despite the risks that come w/it. To place some money into a declining dollar investment would be a good idea as the Federal Reserve has chosen inflation as the least detrimental of its choices. Presently, I am moving more $$ into cash so as to be prepared for the coming downtrend. Do you think this move is to soon? Thanks for your thoughts in Uncommon Wisdom.
I believe that B.Oobama should lead by example. 1. Eliminate all unneccessary jobs. The 30 or so czars. Their positions are already covered by cabinet post. 2. Cut salaries of all congress, senators, all the way to the president. Lead by example. 3. All staffers of the congressmen and senators will be paid out of the salary of the congressmen or senators. No benefits to the staffers and no retirement. All congress will use the same retirement of the american citizens. If it is good enough for us it’s good enough for them. All medical will come under the current proposed plan. All foreign aid will be stopped. Our soldiers in croatia, africa, and other parts of europe and asia will come home. No trips overseas for congress and senate, unless they pay for it themselves. No funding to any abortion. It will be a good start.
Financial crisis solution - Uncle Sam files for Bankruptcy, and starts all over again. This has two objectives: (1) it screws all creditors who are trying to collapse our way of life as a World Super Power because they can’t do it military as WW1, WW2, plus all the other little wars showed them, and (2) Politicians, Lobbyists and CEO’s can start all over again with their self-interests-greedy-schemes (hopefully they will have learned how to get our economy straighten out, but history has a habit of repeating itself).
Thanks for taking this mess a step away from theory and ideology and moving to a personal experience level, because that’s where we have to work. Right now I am focussing on commodities and companies outside of the US and trying not to get locked into just that bias.
What probably scares me most about our present situation is that we aren’t really talking and listening to each other. Recently I have found myself looking at who the author of an opinion piece is before I read it. Is he one of “us” or “them”? Wow! Now that is dumb. It feels as though no matter who proposes something, nearly half the population is going to decide it is wrong or, if it seems to make sense that it must be a trick.
Maybe all US citizens should have to have some experience trading. If that doesn’t teach to you listen to what is being said (especially if it doesn’t seem to make sense or you don’t like it) and not just what you believe ought to be, nothing will. How many of us have trouble with that old old truth that the tape never lies? (My hand is up.)
If the trade isn’t working, get out! Pound your fist on the table and shout about how it should have later.
Now the only problem is, how the heck do we get out of this financial mess we are in long enough to clear our heads, settle down, and look at the opportunities afresh. I do believe that there are always opportunities sitting right out in plain view in the markets and in life. It’s just that we get so set in how it is “spozed-ta-be” that we can’t see them.
Do I see something that everyone else is missing? Alas, no. Right now I am afraid that I could be standing right on top of a huge opportunity and be missing it in the tumult and shouting.
“It seems to be Obama’s intent to let the dollar rot–he wants ALL of us to sink to poverty-level living, because in his mind, that is social justice.” Where were you when we entered Iraq based on faulty intelligence and created a TRILLION DOLLAR WAR? Yeah Obama wants us all to live in poverty, sure, you’ve got it! Your guy bankrupted us with his bullshit war. THOUSANDS of soldiers dead. Thousands more maimed for life. And hundreds of thousands of those pesky civilians, dead. Halliburton, suffering before the Iraq invasion, now WEALTHY. Where is your outrage over that? Hello? (cricket noises). Methinks your outrage is way too little, way too late.
As one with little to no debt and who always spends within my means, it is clear that credit-responsible Americans have been screwed. I’m not surprised that the Asians are laughing at us.
Recently read the comment that Obama’s spending spree – in current dollar terms – exceeds the spending for 1) Louisiana Purchase, 2) the Apollo Program, 2) the Korean War, 4) the Marshall Plan, and 5) NASA combined! Didn’t believe it, so did the calculation myself – and it is correct!
Moreover, the unfunded government IOUs you mentioned for Social Security, Medicare, and Federal pensions amount to nothing more than a massive ponzi scheme. If these programs were actually funded, they would consume the vast majority of each year’s budget. Maybe this is why more American believe in UFOs than in the viability of Social Security!
Our administration now tells us that they will “balance the budget” in a year or two (or three?)!?! What does that mean? Is there a plan in place to fund these IOUs and pay down the debt? Of course not.
But, we can’t blame only the current administration. This problem has been in the making for decades and has been facilitated by Democrats and Republicans alike.
What we can say about this administration is that it truly does not seem to care. In fact, Americans who are worried enough about this mess to protest are being ridiculed by the White House and Congressional leaders as “mobs,” “Nazis,” “un-American,” etc.
For the solution to the financial crisis in the US, one need only revisit the Tortoise and the Hare fable (attributed to Aesop). It is obvious that the fast road to riches did in the American economic system and seriously damaged the world economic environment. Whatever happened to the concept of earning income rather than scamming it. The Wall Street banks and other investment institutions got caught with their undeserving hand in the cookie jar. They were using all sorts of gambling scams (credit default swaps, derivatives, naked shorting, the list goes on and on) to make a quick and undeserving amount of profit. And these profits were at the peril of unsuspecting others. Until this greed mentality is addressed, nothing will change. In fact, the techniques that got the Wall Street banks in trouble are still being used today to produce the recently reported, supposedly good, results.
What needs to be done is separate true investing from all the gambling techniques being used in the market. If someone wants to bet on something happening, let him use his own money to back up those bets and let those games be kept separate from people who merely wish to participate in the fortunes (or loss if their evaluation was incorrect) of a company by investing in their shares. You could call the gambling game,”Off Wall Street Betting”.
The relaxation of the market rules done by the Clinton administration at the request of greedy lobbying groups is what started this whole destructive market meltdown. There were two laws passed by Congress which basically destroyed safeguards set up after the Great Depression. They were 1) the Gramm-Leach-Billey law passed in 1999 that was pushed through to deregulate banks, and 2) the Commodity Modernization Act of 2000. These changes rendered useless the laws that were established to prevent bank failure and which were in place since the Great Depression. Credit default swaps, which are basically insurance, were named “swaps” so that the sellers (the Wall Street banks) did not have to follow the rules demanded of “insurance”, which in fact they were. The banks did not have the funds to back up these bets.
Until the laws and regulation of the stock market and the US banking system are corrected (repeal those two laws for starters), the problems will not go away and the rich Wall Street crooks will continue to steal money from the normal population. What goes on in the stock market bears little resemblance to true investing! Isn’t it amazing how a few thousand greedy people and their rich clients can bring the world markets to its knees! And the problem is continuing now with the bailout funds! Until this root cause is remedied, I do not have much hope for the future of the average population. Until people like John Paulson are stopped in their tracks, there is no hope. Credit Opportunities Fund, a hedge fund, returned almost 600 percent recently, with John Paulson himself pocketing a reported $3.7 billion.
Good morning Larry. I read you regularly because you make a lot of sense to me. My wife and I are both retired, live modestly, and realize that, in addition to our pensions we must grow our IRA’s (with gold and energy - userx and pspfx mainly) to supplement the horrendous inflation I fear is ahead of us. We’re hoping to continue our modest, but good, life realizing the wheels could come off for all of us with the out of control spending taking place today. Mimi (my wife) grew up in Panama as a Canal brat. We go down there every year or so and have considered moving there, at least part time. We have no health issues at this time (ages 70 and 65), but realize a health catastrophe could bankrupt any one of us.
Keep up your good work, and thanks.
Howard
Whay is your solution to we seniors with limited income who have already lost a major portion of their retirement…and are most anxious for what is left?????
WHERE TO INVEST: Ok Larry, what is a safe currency to hold one’s bank account? You mention Canada, Austrailia, etc. - please give some recommendations with reason for such. Thank you! Don
It’s amazing to see how many people still cling to the idea of Democrats vs. Republicans.
Unfortunately, this is not a sporting event where your favorite team wins the cup.
Make no mistake, the only political party in this country is the corporate party! The demise we
are all facing is a direct result of politicians selling out to corporate interest. So go ahead,
point your finger at Obama, or point your finger at George all day long - You may just as well
stick your finger in a dike. Until we the people begin to see through the fog and elect those
(regardless of party), who will represent us and not corporate interest, nothing will change.
“Our ultimate security is self sufficiency.” Thanks for your work Larry.
M
Larry,
We are past being concerned. We, US citizens and all gov’t from city to Federal need to grasp the fact that you cannot spend what you do not have. I don’t think this will happen in my life time. The only goal of our elected politicians is to say what the “entitlement” people want to hear and get their votes to stay in power, and the US will go down as a second or third rate country - Broke Financially. No one had the economic guts to stop the sub prime mortgage business. It was fueled by GREED and STEALING. At 70, I am almost retired and have accumulated some retirement money. I hope that as the years go bye the money will last enough to get by, in this continuing declining value and confidence of the US $ buck. I expect that our “ecomony’ to keep spiraling down into a real depression and I do not expect our “economy” to recover for at least 10 years. Meanwhile I will try to spend more time at my cottage and burn wood in the wood stove to save on nat’l gas.The future for all of us and our grandchildren is BLEAK!
It’s not our fault if other countries buy our bonds. I agree with “Jim” , above. It’s the fault of the Fed. But it’s more than that. It’s Big Money, ie. corporations and those in high places, ie. Goldman Sachs. Hank Paulson was responsible for bailing out AIG and the others last year. It’s Wall St. raping America.
I vote that us consumers and our government cut back on spending. Yes it will hurt in the short term, but doing so will help us recover in the long term. I am cutting back on what I spend. I will no longer get another credit card for as long as I live and will shred my current one once I am done paying it off. Now the big question is can we get our government to lead by example? From what I’ve seen of our government that answer would be no. Our politicians stopped listening to the voice of the people a long time ago and are only in office for themselves. Economic growth occurs by using productivity and innovation in the private sector to create wealth for ourselves and to cover the government’s operational expenses of providing for what should be the governments only roles in our lives, facilitating this productivity and innovation in the private sector and providing for the defense of our nation against aggressor nations. And economic growth is sustained by using the fruits of our labor in the private sector wisely. Yes switching from a spend-thrift society to one that lives within its means will be difficult at first but it is necessary if we ever hope to rescue our economy from the spendthrifts.
We can only get out of this mess by increasing our productivity. We can drill for oil and produce. We can make it easier for manufacturers to produce in the US. We can convert our power generation from oil or coal to natural gas. We can reduce our transportation costs by converting to natural gas (We have an over abundance of this stuff). We must get off of the “service economy” kick and onto the “manufacturing economy”.
It is my contention that the only true wealth is the production of tangible goods. Service is needed but only as a supplement.
There is one more thing we must do and that is to educate Congress and the average American about how economics works.
I haven’t a clue as to how to go about how do do that as a good proportion of them are truly stupid.
Matthew Rensen
We need to become completely energy independent before we even think about doing anything else. We must reverse the insane path our current administration has embarked on. We must drill for offshore oil, and begin to ease other WORKABLE sources of energy into the mix. There is a coming revoluion in electrical storage devices that will reshape the way we deliver and store inergy in our homes, and this cannot happen too soon. I am talking about the storage device bein gdeveloped by Ceramatec.
Following this fundamemtal change in economic policy, there must be some sort of tax code changes which would allow and promote savings and investment like we had in the seventies and eighties. Those policies allowed for a huge increase in business activity, which will happen again if we reenact them, or ones similar.
Our economy is an emgine that cannot be stopped, once it is fueled and running. The present climate of overgoverning and choking the economy must be stopped. Can anyone say 2010?
I am presently holding 30% stocks and 70% fixed bonds & cash.
Cash is returning 1.5% and bonds 4.0%. The majority is in cash.
I am waiting until Oct. 09 to invest into more stocks as I believe
we will have at lease a 10% correction in Sept.
Don Parton
A highly respected financial columnist, writing in the Globe & Mail Report on Business, put forward the case for the American Govt. in effect “stealing” the money to make good on its debts. He stated there is abundant precedent for this, and, while it took my breath away I suspect it might have some merit. Of course the “theft” would likely be highly disguised (it seems to me at least) to the extent that even naive advisors and commentators could well miss the implications. I have no taste for conspiracy theories but considering the magnitude of the dilemma and the ever-enterprising nature of the U.S. financial system to rule something like this out would be very dangerous. I read widely in the financial press and find your columns among the very best.
Just may be, since the US govt still holds the most gold reserves. the devaluation of the dollar will just make the gold more valuable. kind of robbing Peter to pay Paul out of good old Fort Knox. It’s to get to a one world currency courtesy of the US govt.
The American people have to first take their country back from the federal polies in DC. The polies have absolutely no respect for their constituents except for one day every two years. The only way to take our country back is starting in November 2010 do not vote for anyone whose name is incumbent. After two or certainly three elections like this our elected “representatives” will start to take notice and we the people will once again become the masters instead of the other way around. Civil Servants (by the way are no longer civil or servant) need to relearn the lesson that they are there to serve the people and not the other way around. Only once we again have the ear of the polies will things start to change.
However, there is an inherent flaw with the one man one vote style of democracy. 50% or more (realistically 60%) of the people in this country pay little or no income tax yet they have the same vote as Messer’s. Gates and Buffett. Our politicians pander to these people by offering them the sun, moon and stars to secure their vote. These people will vote for whomever offers them the mostest without any consideration of the candidates qualifications. Therefore we don’t want term limits, we want one term only polies of say 6 or 8 years and then they go back to real jobs sans medical and pension benefits just like it was 235 years ago when this country got started. No re-election, no pandering to the masses, big business or lobbyists or at least not nearly as much. But since the polies are never going to vote themselves out of the cushiest job in the world, we the people can impose term limits with our power of the vote every two years, BUT WILL WE.
As for the second part of your question, I have taken adequate steps which I do not want to put down in print. I think my future is safe thanks to my frugal life style and 60 years of saving and investing. However, the government is all powerful and can confiscate everything I have, or make precious metals illegal again as they did 75 years ago, or redesign the currency and make all the currency over a certain amount in mattresses worthless, or any number of things. Just remember, “a government that is big enough to give you everything you want is powerful enough to confiscate everything you have”. When people fear their government that is called tyranny. When government fears the people that is called freedom. This citizen for one fears our ever growing larger federal government. And I fear there are many more just like me out there.
Larry,
I don’t usually send in things like this, but your appeal was excellent and succinct. So I thought I’d chip in with my two (devalued) cents’ worth.
I’m presently out of work, and my wife has drastically cut down on her hours, only doing a few hours a week from her home office (she’s a nurse delegator). I’ve been drawing unemployment for the first time in my life the last month or so. I’m sixty, my wife is fifty-five. I never thought I’d go to the public trough, but after it was explained to me that this unemployment is something I’ve already paid into, I thought I’d do it.
I’m going to start classes next week on an associate’s degree in accounting. I need to make myself employable, but I’m having misgivings about it. My age and the state of the country keep entering my thoughts. Will the country survive until I can get the degree? If so, what then? Do I have enough employable years left to make it worthwhile? Thoughts like those.
Thankfully, I’m in very good health. So is my wife. All our investments are in gold, gold stocks, natural resource stocks (in mutual funds), 90% silver, and a couple of rental houses, one in Canada. I’m really glad to have an investment like that house, denominated in Canadian dollars. It’s also a place to go to, if things really get bad in this country–although if the US becomes a really malignant monster I don’t know if a line on a map will provide us with much protection. But it’s better than nothing.
We live very frugally, as you can imagine. A lot of our resources and time are dedicated to taking care of my wife’s parents. I don’t know how long this obligation will last, but we’re here for the duration. A lot of what motivates us is trust in God, that He’s got the situation under control, and us under His protection.
As far as what we, the US, should do about this mess–I think the good doctor, Ron Paul, has about the right prescription for us. Unfortunately, it’s very painful medicine, and will not likely be taken.
Thanks for this opportunity to contribute a little.
Blessings to you,
David
The one thing that is undeniable is that we are still a great country with
great companies—-we can come back from the most extreme depths as we have proven over and over again—we need the government to work side by side with the one product that is undeniable—-our ability to procuce so much of what the World needs—-WAKE UP WASHINGTON AND GIVE THESE COMPANIES YOUR BEST EFFORT—REDUCE THEIR TAXES SO THEY CAN GROW AND DO WHAT THEY ARE CAPEABLE OF DOING CREATE THBE PRODUCTS THAT BENEFITS US ALL
1. I do not expect nor wait for the US Gov, regardless of party in power, to do anything except make the problems ever worse, meanwhile lying about most everything.
2. I am paying off my home equity loan, using part of my (SEP-IRA) savings to do so, I don’t care that the experts say not to do that. So far Ive paid it down by almost 2/3. I plan to have zero debt, including zero mortgage ASAP.
3. I’m building up cash savings in CD’s enough only to get through 4-6 months of living expenses, in the #1 safest bank on the West Coast. As for the rest ….
4. I am using EFT’s to move all avaible savings out of $US into other currencies (Yen, CA$, Brazilian Real), as well as gold and silver, (I view all stock markets as deceptive traps, and want nothing to do with purchasing common stocks or bonds.) and at the same time……
5. I am opening a bank account offshore, and will transfer as much there as I can over the next 1-2 years.
6. As I am concerned about loss of personal and especially of religious liberty in the US under the Obama administartion and state-controlled media, I am beginning the process of researching relocation to one of several countries. This would be drastic and most undesireable to me and my spouse, as I am 66 and unable to retire probably ever, thanks to my misplaced faith in the stock market and the US governent. Refugee status on religious, economic and political grounds is for the first time in my life no longer unthinkable, more for the sake of our grandchildren than for ourselves. If the election of 2010 does not show clear signs of voter rejecting Obama and the radical left agenda of total control, then this option will become a serious possibilty in 2011-12, difficult and drastic though it may be. I think of the story of Noah and the ark. We would never leave our kids and grandkids behind, but they may need whatever ark we can build, if it comes to that.
Thanbks for asking — EK
The USA needs to be ruled as mandated by the US Constitution and not by corporate influence. The USA is a republic that is suppose to rbe un by elected public servants representing the people NOT by corporations that have lobbied and influenced Congress. The Federal Reserve Bank needs to be abolished and replaced by a national bank. The assets obtained fraudently by Wall Street and the like need to be confiscated and the perpetrators prosecuted.
If, in the begginning, the govt. would have given $250,000 to every man/women that owned a home with the requirement that their mortgage was to be paid firsat, then any other debts including student loans, we would not be in thie mess. The govt would have gotten 25% back in taxes, the people would have bought new cars, savings would have gone up, there would not have been a mortgage crisis, credit cards would hasve been paid, & the citizens whose money it is any way would be happy & not national debt beyond our control. Thanks for listening. Bob
I know America is under vast economic strain,yet I just can’t see America giving up its hegemonic status.Will it be another wash,rinse and repeat,who knows?Yet the American leadersip supposes the acquiescence of China et al,is this too much to suppose?The figures are truly astounding and something has to give,yet I can’t see it being America.
Hello,
Simple idea really. Is it not possible to change the denomination of the US debts to foreign countries from US dollars to whatever the currency is of the creditor country? Surely then the devastating hyperinflation (almost sure to come) in the USA, caused by reckless money-printing, will not be a devaluing threat to other countries holding US debt.
This would enable the US people to run their own country without having to pander to international opinion. It might even help stabilise US dollar exchange rates.
Perhaps there are legal reasons this cannot be done or does the US government simply plan to avoid repaying its international debt by dramatically devaluing its currency - if all countries do this we are in for real chaos - all out financial war.
Impeach the President and all that back him. His is destroying our Gov. Lived through the last depression and we worked hard to have what we have now and he is going to take it away from us. The American people have to learn how to save and do without all those fancy toys. Somewhere along the line they weren’t taught that if you don’t have the money in the bank to write a check, you don’t write it. Very simple.
How can you blame President Obama for everything??? It seems that the only people ignoring issues are the “advisors” at your website. You give no credit for the hard work that has been done for the past 9 months and want to place “blame” on the President and his advisors. It would be nice to read some unbiased evaluations and less fear mongering at your site. You are so transparent in your political views which is really sad. This will be the last issue of your “viewsletter” that I read.
Larry,
There is no solution to this except a very steep decline in US standard of living and issuance of an entirely new currency. The American consumer will no longer be the driving engine of world economic growth and the export economies of Asia and Europe (e.g., Germany) are going to suffer enormous difficulties as they try to rapidly restructure and make up for this huge loss in their export markets. The economic lags and bottlenecks inherent in such an enormous and unprecedented worldwide readjustment cannot be predicted. However, one thing is certain, US preeminence as the world’s largest economy and sole superpower will end, resulting in an enormous void in the world’s geopolitical / geoeconomic structure. This in turn will lead to a realignment of that structure, with all the dangers to world peace inherent in such an enormous restructuring. China will surely assume a much more dominant role, as will the EU and Russia. The US’s historic relationships with Europe suggest, but by no means assure, that militarily speaking the EU and NAU will remain the preeminent military block, but the EU will be the prime shot caller, not the US.
This is actually a rosy scenario. There are much more pessimistic scenarios including one that suggests huge civil unrest and conflict in the US as the loss of wealth and power on a national and personal basis causes an enormous armed reaction against the Federal goverment and its destruction of the US economy over the past 20-30 years.
Joel
Folks come to me at 20 and ask:
How can I save for retirement? I reply, put a couple of hundred bucks into the market, you’ll be o.k.
Folks come to me at 30, some debt, no savings. They ask: “How can I save for retirement?”
I reply, “First, let’s get your debt down, while simultaneously starting a savings plan. You still have time, but you’ve got to stop spending and start savings.
Folks come to me at 40, a fair amount of debt, no savings. They ask: “How can I save for retirement?”
I reply, “You’ve got a problem. You may have to take a part-time job. You’ve got to get that debt down and save quite a bit. If your wife doesn’t work, get her a job. You’ve got to act quickly and decisively.”
Folks come to me at 50, a fair to large amount of debt, no savings. They ask: “How can I save for retirement?”
I reply, “Buy lottery tickets.”
America, it’s time to start buying lottery tickets.
rebel without a job,
tony
Dear Larry-I have a dilemma of my own making as I was not able to watch the markets closely because of illness. I didn’t sell several inverse ETF”s when I should have ,particularly SKF and I am holding them because I would lose alot of money if I sold them now. As the economy gets worse do you think they will rise in value again? If you have the time I would really like to know your thoughts on this important problem I have. I have been following you and Mr. Weiss for several years. Thank you for e-mailing me back if possible. Sincerely-Gloria Austin
I just wish that someone could talk some plain common sense to our unelected PM Brown, He wants to spend spend and spend even more. He just does not see it….other than it is not his money to spend. Our grand children and possibly theirs will be paying our off our National debt.
What a utter nut case.
Larry there is much good advice given by your readers. Unfortunately we have passed the point of no return. I am sorry to say that I don’t believe anything can stop the demise of the dollar and a greatly reduced standard or living, not uniting with Mexico and Canada, not coming up with a new currency, not even going back to a gold standard although that might help, impossible as that seems to be at this point. HOWEVER, that being said, we can slow this train wreck down so the disaster won’t be totally destructive. Congress is the one who approves or vetoes the grandiose schemes that are adding to our debt, from health care reform to energy restriction and a thousand other things. Only a replacement of 90% of the 535 people who now rule our country can slow down the crisis of the millennia. The cause is corruption, greed, and debt and most of those 535 are spending us to death with no concern of the chaos they are causing. I warned about derivatives and the coming Greater Depression (although I believe it was Doug Casey who invented the term) in my autobiography three years ago. My latest book, “The Last Days of the Late Great United States,” is not a best seller but it is the best I know. Democrat or Republican makes little difference if we are not first American. I only hope the crisis that is coming won’t be blamed entirely on us or we truly will be the laughing stock of the world, because when the dollar dies, it will take the world with it, and until a new alternative world currency is established (and it WILL BE be gold backed as our money once was - probably a Chinese or Arab currency) well, before that happens, we will see changes beyond what most can even conceive of. It is not totally hopeless but the future is going to be more different than I can say here. Prepare for change (as the president likes to call it) on a scale never before seen in this country and probably the world. There is hope but only if everyday Americans wake up and get involved. Several hundred thousand have left the US hoping to find a better life elsewhere but what is coming is a global change on a scale never before seen. This may not be next year or the year thereafter but it is coming. I think it is better to stay and fight for one’s country, because once the world currencies collapse the world will not be a better place. It is not hopeless but a time of great change is coming, and not all of it is for the best. Those who can trust in God will have an edge that others will not. Carpe’ Diem, we may not have many left!
In light of the circumstances you describe, which I believe are accurate, prudent steps to
take are to invest in gold and other commodities, foreign currencies, and U. S. companies
that do a majority of their business overseas. All one needs to do to affirm the dire situation
of the U. S. dollar is to look at the return of money market funds holding U. S. government
notes: zip, nada, 0.00%.
I suggest that all countries adopt an international currency based on “work”, It’s units would be any of several, ie.: Kilowatt-hours, Kilocalories, horse-power-hours, you name it. Once you have found the price in “currency” for an energy unit you can make the conversion. Prices will still vary from place to place, but we would all be using the same yardstick. How about it!
Larry:
I would like MAM to explore in more detail what exactly will happen if the US Govt defaults. I realize the bond holders will lose their money. But what else will happen ? Maybe go over what happened in other countries that had a default recently. Examples are Argentina ? and Russia ?
I can think of all kinds of dire scenarios, but just focus on the most likely ones.
Norman
God, gold & guns… and don’t forget the silver bu!!ets
We are a dual citizenship (Canadian/US) couple living in Canada, I am 76, my wife 61. We had no company health insurance on my retirement and moved here 10 years ago to take advantage of the good, low cost Canadian medical system, only $98 a month for full insurance for the both of us here in British Columbia. Naturally we are very concerned about the plight of the American dollar. Our IRAs and Social Security are linked to it, of course, At the present time we have been draining our IRAs down annually and they will be reach zero in 3 years, or slightly less. Presently I receive $1231 S.S. monthly and my wife will get about $675 when she becomes eligible next summer. What those dollars will be worth in future is anyone’s guess. Fortunately, we have some savings and investments to get us by but it will be a very bleak future indeed for us if the US dollar collapses. At the moment I see nothing but hard times ahead.
I am 83 years old and have a decent amount of money in IRA’s & liquid, low interest cash accounts. However, I am worried about what inflation will do to my dollars in the few years to I have left. I have never invested heavily in the stock market and am reluctant to do so now, prefering safty over risk. However, I have considered gold bullion or foriegn currency. What is your feeling on either and what do you perceive to be the strongest foreign currency.
Larry - You seem like a very intelligent gentleman so I am confused that you do not put the country’s current financial crisis at the foot of the one who most certainly deserves it.. GEORGE W.BUSH. Remember? He was the Decider-In-Chief. Americans have truly lost sight of the principles (economic and otherwise) that resulted in our being the most successful, powerful AND respected nation on God’s earth …. and need to find their way again … Let us not blame President Obama,who has been in power for only nine months, for the tragedy that has befallen our great country. Rather, let us recognize ALL the issues that put us where we are, including unprecedented waste during the Bush years. Let’s get on with recovery! Americans can do anything we really want to do. Why not put partisanship aside for a little while … and let’s all get on the same team.
PS. I am an 82-year-old lifelong Republican who also remembers the last 50 years.
Everything the government undertakes is on a large scale,and without polite projects. To assure what we are atttempting, is going to be practical and economically sound, this is a must. Remember once a government project is put into place, you can’t get rid of it. This in itself is financial disaster.
Secondly we have to many representatives, there is need for only 2 from each state. Even that may be to many to agree on anything.
Most of our elected officials lack the qualifacations necessary run anything, but their talk and rhetoric sell a lot of crap. (pardon the expression)
Politicians should not be allowed any pay raises, health benefits, or retirement, until the balance the budget.
Larry: I value your opinions highly. Thank for keeping us so well-informed. With regard to our economic debacle, we created it by buying China’s wares to the detriment of our own country’s businesses. Corporate and personal greed supplanted national loyalty. I am not buying Communist Chinese products at this time - only American-made - and finding such products is a challenge! On a personal level, I have downsized considerably with regard to spending and am not taking a distribution from my IRA account this year as is allowed for 2009. I have, for some time, been informing myself about alternatives to regular AMA-controlled medical practices and procedures and am strengthening my immune system with recommended supplements, etc. I think medical services will become less available to everyone if doctors are not going to be able to sustain their current extravagant lifestyles. The FDIC will be without sufficient funds soon, so who knows what will happen as a result? All of this - the demise of our country’s currency, social mores and values - seems to be a fullfilment of Biblical prophecy. For some time, through our corrupt electoral processes, we have put into positions of power thieves, liars, fools and unethical people. I doubt there is anything we can do to stop our country’s demise. Seemingly, all we can do is to protect ourselves and our families from the effects of what is to come and ASK God for His divine help - and then LET Him help us. Thanks for your valued insights about all that’s happening.
I cant see any other end than bankruptcy. Get it over with and start again ASAP. The longer we wait the more difficult it will be and there will be less assets on which to base a new start. By calling “a spade a spade” the people will feel cleansed (like confession); they will see and feel a new awakening and perhaps work harder with renewed spending and saving habits that will give USA a new sense of integrity and a new beginning. And due to the learning experience, a new and stronger America.
Larry,
You are our advisor what say you?
Donn
It’s too late!
First and foremost, I DO NOT take the blame for our bought and sold. dual citizen congressional traitors. Not one of them have I voted or endorsed.
As for my intentions, I will work to be productive in hard assests and goods and will no longer buy into the paper tiger of our owners the Federal Reserve, IMG, CFR, etc.
I have and will continue to resist and undue odious laws that ruin a nation and fight to maintain the Constitution and Bill of Rights. I will die on my feet as a citizwn patriot, stand loud and clear never to bend to terrorists domestic of foreign.
I’m saving as much as possible, while paying off certain debts, and investing primarily in silver, and some gold.
As a country we need to heed much of what rep Ron Paul has been saying for years, cut foreign
aid drastically, bring large numbers of our military home, especially by ending the war in Iraq, and our policing of the world, seriously begin rebuilding our infrastructure in America, support private enterprise/small businesses thereby creating jobs, close the boarders, cut way back on entitlements, especially to non-citizens, start investigating where all the so called bail out money went,
audit the Fed, and start prosecuting the criminals in Washington, and Wall street, just for starters.
This would take God doing something miraculous, although I think He has already given America up, to it’s own devices, since it has turned away from Him, again, and again. Read Romans 1:18-32
Hi you doing there?
Pretty suprise just by reading than people in China don’t accept dollars no more. That is alarming for sure, I’ve been trying to invest in Gold and a few Euros lately.
Good Luck there.
Dear Larry,
This is a very complex issue with origins in our economic culture. One aspect that is disturbing to me is the “quota culture.” Quotas are every where, either explicitly or implicitly. If we don’t make the quota, we are out. So, in order to make the quota, we will do whatever it takes.
The IRS turned into a corrupt agency because of the quota system. Many marketing/sales persons are fired for not making the quotas. Politicans are out if they do not make their vote getting quotas. We have a quota on inflation and play with interest rates to hold it back. We have a quota on mortgage initiations, so we get creative in configuring products people will not be able to pay in the near future. We have to have an increase in GDP, a quota, to do this or that.
Now, please consider that a young economy has room for those quotas. But a mature economy hardly has any space for growth. If you push a mature economy, like ours, with a growth quota, you will have to toy around with some variables that could eventually haunt you.
Think: How much of our recent economic growth, measured by GDP, has been “pushed” by government spending with borrowed money? Until when? I think time is up!
Take this example - it’s a beauty: We have reduced inflation by importing foreign products. But that’s only short run. For the money we sent out to purchase those products is coming back in the form of loans that are racking up billions of dollars in interest - every year. So our original savings have gone or are going down the drain - and getting us into more problems. Ah, but there was an implicit quota in reducing inflation!
We must stop meddling with our economy to make it work to our wishes. We must leave it alone. Our free market economy has built in inmunous qualities that allow for self corrections without our short-sighted interventions. Economic growth must take place naturally; must not be pushed with quotas. We must live within our means and stop thinking we can print our way out of evrything. It may work for a shortwhile; but in the end, we will find ourselves where we are today - practically broke and pushing harder.
Mario E. Porrata
Puerto Rico
Everything the government undertakes is on a large scale,and without pilot projects. To assure what we are atttempting
is going to be practical and economically sound, this is a must. Remember once a government project is put into place, you can’t get rid of it. This in itself is financial disaster.
Secondly we have to many representatives, there is need for only 2 from each state. Even that may be to many to agree on anything.
Most of our elected officials lack the qualifications necessary run anything, but their talk and rhetoric sell a lot of crap. (pardon the expression)
Politicians should not be allowed any pay raises, health benefits, or retirement, until they balance the budget.
I agree that we are between a rock and a hard place. Even more, I think that the current administration is beginning to realize that its unfunded mandates (Social Security) is about to run out of money in two ways. On the one hand, the number of older americans who will start drawing on SS is increasing rapidly and those americans become of the age to draw on their social security (62 years of age)–too rapidly for the system to handle it. On the other hand, the administration realizes that they “pot of money” they have been using for all these years by just putting in “IOU’s” and taking out funds needed for special programs is drying up.
It is now the challenge for Washington to find a new source of funds (pot of money) on which they can draw using IOU’s and which can also be used to “back-up” Social Security. That new “pot of money” is going to be the health care funds. By taxing everyone for healthcare, they can establish a pot of money that will work the same way as Social Security for congress– putting in IOU’s and taking out funds for what ever they might need the money for. In addition, if Social Security begins to run short of funds, they can easily transfer the money from Health Care pot to the Social Security pot of funds. Thus, keeping the game going for another 10-15 years. Only trouble is, our creditors can see it coming and won’t lend us $ unless they get a really high rate of interest. It is at that point that I hope the “Safe Money Report” and Weiss Research will begin to guide us on investing in bonds and fixed income investments. At that point, it will be the only game in town. No one will invest in stocks and the stock market becuase business will be down the drain in the U.S.
Tom
I agree with your current US financial situation and the importance of the government and personal finance management to follow the traditional OLD way of savings and spend ONLY what we have. Borrow and SPEND without regards to debt we are building, one day we will find ourselves in deep trouble. I don’t have any idea to fix the trouble we are facing only to know that we have to return to God to uphold the absolute moral standards prescribed in the Scripture. Moral decay leads to the corruption of minds and souls ending with the run-away problems.
Sincerely,
CHEN HSU
Reinstate the limit on the federal deficit AND sell bonds to citizens, as the war bonds in the second world war. We the citizens can finance this thing if we can stop incurring debt. Tell me what you think pls.
We could end our wars, stop all aid to Israel and slash the Pentagon and CIA/NSA/etc budgets by 50%. That would help A LOT.
Hi Larry,
I feel I know you very well—watch/listen to all of your reports . Did not leave my last name on purpose—have been accumilating gold bullion for years ( some platinum and silver)—as I knew this day would come.One cannot spend more than you make, and this includes GOV. at all levels. I have ZERO debts, except ongoing month -month-expenses.Because you spend a lot of time Asia, you know what you are talking about.Thank you for this excellent,but worring report,and the best of luck to you.
Denis
Endless research has indicated through several reliable sources that no one has really put all the pieces together yet until now. Everyone is an expert in their own field or little comfort zone world. If you look at the big picture, like I am, the New World Order wants to destroy the US economy. They have been at work on this for decades. Just look at history and it becomes clear to me through common sense that if something is not working, there is a reason why. Facts and figures don’t lie and should not be brushed aside. There is proof on the internet, that the clown (actually puppet)running the show, does not constititionally qualify to even be in office. Where is the outrage, protests and where is the disgrunted marine going to action? Time is our worst enemy and we don’t have much left until December 21, 2012. Must look at the big picture.
We need changes in the administration and Congress. With all the foxes guarding the hen house it is impossible to correct anything. We need to replace Bernanke and get someone sensible to run the Fed. We need higher interest rates so banks will pay a decent interest and give people incentive to save something, and also to strengthen the value of the dollar. We also need to stop derivatives gambling, or at least confine them to Las Vegas. We also need to disallow short-selling, as this has undermined many a company. We need some tariffs to protect our jobs from disappearing. But we have been sold out by a corrupt Congress and administration. They will do anything for campaign contributions, which are in reality just bribes.
.Larry, I believe that the US will not change until forced by the rest of the world to do so. Just as the Titanic continued on for some time and distance before going to her grave our country has struck the debt iceberg and is taking on water fast. The passengers on the ill fated liner continued on with their fun until it was obvious that the party was over. Now we continue to party. Only a few crew members were alarmed at first. Passengers even played with the ice on the deck! We are in the ice on the deck stage at the moment. A few “passengers” are alarmed but panic hasn’t hit the public yet. When it does all hell will break out. Personally I have divested myself of Dollar assets and paid off all debt. I would rather be a spectator than a participant in the coming unwinding.
Larry,
Great article!. I am aware of our huge government spending and have been trying to benefit by it. But I am not doing that well, I purchased TBT, GLD and UDN. Why is TBT not performing? Are there any stocks and or ETF’s that you would recommend?
D J
To Make matters worse, the monster under the bed is Global Climate Change. Long before we will be able to sort out our economy and lifestyle, the realities of GCC will hit us with a threat to human and all other higher forms of life on the planet. We will face more than economic choices as we try to maintain and expand our economy and lifestyle.
We given the choice, people will opt for what ever it takes to keep going in the short run, including sacking the “haves” for the “have nots”, mass migrations, resource wars, etc. This does not bode well for humanities chances of survival, much less our economic well being. How long can we go no before all economic discussions, even by the bobble head dolls on TV, include the related impact on climate?
Larry to begin with, we must place a moratorium on immigration both legal and illegal . This third world immigration is wreaking havoc on our education and health care system. Next we must reduce spending and the first place we need to look is our foreign policy. We have troops stationed in europe to protect europe from whom ? We have troopps in Japan as well. The war was over 60 years ago. It is high time we pull out and let the Japanese defend themselves . These are issues that cannot be ignored . We were lied into a war in Iraq and we continue to fight in Afghanistan . Our security was threatened on 9/11 because we did not have control over who was coming into our country . Clearly we have the ability to monitor and refuse entry to suspected individuals. We must enact E-VERIFY so that employers do not hire illegals which will force the illegals to go back to their home countries. These issues are our number one priority because if we aLLOW OUR COUNTRY TO BE FLOODED WITH THIRD WORLD IMMIGRANTS , WE WILL NEVER MAKE ENOUGH MONEY EVEN WITH YOU GREAT INSIGHTS TO SUPPORT THEM AND OURSELVES. Just look at California !
Now that the I-word is old news; next comes the W-word. That is War. Whether it is a trade war
over resources or a real war over resources, debt repayment, invented reasons etc. A possible
position would be to look at the much beat up SP500. Manufacturing strength must be rebuilt to
fight a war. There many empty automobile assembly lines that can be adapted to make tanks.
Remember WW II?
Largely it is our political system that is at fault. Our leaders didn’t do their job! They didn’t cause CDOs and various financial vehicles to be rated properly while it was completely known that this was going on to all involved. Hence our pension system is now half its prior value. They have been promoting spending thru debt, along with all other world leaders for 70 years. Meanwhile we have given away a large part of our manufacturing base and potential income for a borrow and spend economy.
We need to cut the corruption between politics and money.
We need to stop all lobbying. We can pay for expertise and training of congress as needed prior to voting on laws and debates.
We need to stop all campaign funds and opt for fed and state funded campaigns under completely new rules where political figures don’t set the rules. Do all campaigns in one month on TV in debates where political figures must answer questions or get removed from competition.
We need to vote on one law at a time so that we voters can understand how our elected officials are voting.
We need to start by removing all current political figures to get the message across, probably this would be done best through non traditional political party politicians.
We need to overhaul our political system and cut the known ties between money and political action.
There is so much corruption in our system, through money connections, that its no longer working for the people.
Recently noticed your blog page Larry. Good Job!!! We the people are guilty of electing the same politicians every year into the same positions to yield to the same lobby influence to give what they tell us we are entitled to have. THEN after creating the problem, they campaign against it at the next election and we vote them in again.
WE NEED TO GET OFF OUR COLLECTIVE BUTTS AND INVOLVE OURSELVES IN THE REDUCTION OF CORRUPTION IN EVERY SINGLE LEVEL OF GOVERNMENT !!!!!!!!!
The debt will never be reduced as long as the elected officials are the same influence peddlers as have occupied the offices of every level of government since the FDR administration.
Even Reagan with the tax reduction plan was influenced by the crooked people already in place by the voters who worked diligently to subvert the plan to reduce the debt.
What is the ‘Department of Energy’? What is the Department of Economic Development? What is the Department of Housing and Urban Development? All government reward departments where people are put with a job that is a reward for their support of the elected official.
Pick up the book ‘Culture of Corruption’ by Michelle Malkin. It is an eye opener on just this administration. The preceding administrations are just as guilty.
The real guilt lies with the voting public as they are the ones who pay no attention to who gets elected and how the office is managed while the official is in office.
We are reaping the benefit of the weeds we have planted.
Sid Coy
I am worried!
We need stop being a proudly spoiled and deeply uninformed, inconsiderate, oblivious people . Because of T.V. (which I refer to as the lobotomy box) the average I.Q. in this country as tumbled to a mere 98, barely 18 points above retardation.
We must also stop being obsessive, compulsive, and fanatical in our reactions and all we do. The Nine eleven calamity is a classical examples. We stick our nose and far reaching greedy fingers all over the world, but when someone reacts or causes trouble in our own land, we rain cluster bombes and torture innocent and debilitated people. We are a country that needs a good swift jolt and I consider it a healthy compensatory mechanism that our economy is going down the drain, and it is my persuasion and conviction that nothing should be done to save our economy and we need to re-learn compassion, tolerance and empathy in total penury and paucity.
Dr. Anthony R. Asturi
9722 Laurel Oaks Drive
San Antonio, Tx. 78240
ingarabMD@aol.com
There is only one solution - the Americans should sell all the land west of the Mississipi to the Chinese.
Congress is the problem. As long as there are no term limits, age limits, … limits of any kind on expenditures of Congress, the problem seems unsolvable. Congress is composed of hundreds of “Madoffs” bringing financial ruin to those who put their trust in them. I fear that Obama’s legacy will be that he spent the US to death.
Larry, I could not agree more with your analysis. The US $ is heading south at a pace that will economically kill most americans before they have a clue.
We are doing the following:
1. raw land and one house.
2. cash.
3.silver coins and small gold bars.[howver, the majority is in SLV and GLD]
b. oil stocks
c. reverse etf’s on the dow, financials, consumer and interest rates.
I expect to invest even more into commodities, and asia.
I hate politics, am semi retired and want to see this economic disaster stopped. I believe we as a country should not move into another new world currency, but should take bankruptcy, re-issue new money based on gold and silver. Gov’t should not be allowed to spend more than we take in, be restricted to enforcing laws, contracts, infrastructure, and national security. Stay home and protectect our borders– add a flat tax and decimate the IRS, Federal reserve, social security etc.
We should stop being a nanny state, Stop imagration now, kick out all illegals immediately and expect families and the churches to handle well fare.
We must bust up these huge international corporations, bring our jobs home and move people into homes that they can afford. [it seems we have a lot of empty ones out there.]
Other wise, see you under the bridge, bring your own cardboard box..
There is no way to repay this nation’s debt. We are de-facto bankrupt. The world knows it.
We all know it; you, me, the US government.
What can we do about it? There IS NO SOLUTION. That is what bankruptcy means.
What can we, you and I, do? Now that is quite a different question and it has an answer.
You and your readers will not like the answer. The answer is to take your remaining wealth, if you still have any, offshore to a location where national fiscal solvency is the norm and will continue to be. Most of you reading this will not do this. You will remain in the pot of water that is heating until
you are boiled nicely.
Some of you will go places like Mexico or Belize or Ecuador. They are cheap places to live, but…
they are barely hanging on and will fold when the US goes under.
No, you must go live in a resource rich country. You must exchange your dollars for their currency. And lastly, you must invest in what they sell to the world.
If you stay in the US and invest in other countries, our government will tax and or inflate into poverty because they are trying to save the country. If you take your money abroad and live there as well and that country has a reciprocal tax treaty with the US, you will taxed at the new country’s rates, which should be reasonable.
I am sorry to advise you thus. But this is your personal solution. It will not solve the US debt problems. It will, in fact make them worse! If you feel remorse about that, ask yourself if you deserve to pay for the folly of our government and those citizens who have cheated and spent us all into oblivion. If you are, in fact, are one of those, you deserve to suffer. If you saved and spent as wisely as possible, you deserve better.
There is very little time remaining to leave the US. The door is being closed by the government in the form of ‘exit’ taxes on expats. If you plan to leave. Leave soon. The fools running things will close the door with you inside at some point.
I am sorry it has come to this.
You others who realize what is coming are already making plans to leave. The rest are just sitting there in the headlights waiting for the impact.
After the collapse of America and its eventual recovery, you can come back…IF that happens in your lifetime. By then there will be a whole different paradigm in place.
By then you will not recognize the country you left.
Aloha, Tom Beach
Given the weak school curiculum in the US, where no financial education is taught in elementary schools, it is to no surprise that Americans live so far above their means “Monkey see, Monkey do” Goverment spends more than it has, citizens emulate the example. Credit needs to be much stricter. No one should be allowed to purchase a home with less than 20% down payment. Credit cards are NOT to purchase things you do not have the cash to pay for. Credit cards are for emergencies NOT SHOPPING SPREES!!!! Get it??? Save your money, invest it well and if you want something buy it outright. Over the years I only bought things at deep discounts. YEs I shop at Ralph Lauren, Brooks Brothers, and J.Crew, but only when a sale is going on. My kid is the best dressed in school, I buy his polo Ralph Lauren on sale in advance for the next year. So, you can have your cake and eat it too. Simply put: first tule: Save, Second rule: Buy what you like at dep discounts if you need it or if you can pay for it with cash, Third rule: Do not buy on credit!
I AM A CANADIAN - VERY CONFUSED AND LOOKING FOR HELP! Am nervous about the US$ AND CANNOT FIND CDN. INVESTMENTS OTHER THAN COMMODITIES. OR COMM. RELATED STOCKS.
Thanks Larry,
The only way to protect myself, and my family is to get real money and needed resources.
It’s a very sad day for America. We are in a trap that would take more than a decade to get back sustainable recovery. May God help us.
Steps to Reduce Federal Deficits:
1. Across the board tariff on all imports of 5%.
2. No environmental restrictions, impediments for construction of nuclear power plants,
drilling for gas and oil, construction,operation, expansion of coal power plants.
3. Revoke alternative minimum tax relief so all will pay minimum of 25% income tax
regardless of credits and deductions and income level over $25,000 individual, $50,000
couple.
4. Let state of Alaska decide where oil and gas drillers can work.
5.IRS audit every taxpayer, corporate, small business returns.
The resulting drastic reductions in imported oil and gas and increases in income tax collections
will greatly reduce the federal deficit.
I was holding a lot of cash for your predicted decline in stocks. Since that has not happened I am looking to get into gold and other commodities but not sure I should risk too much in commodities due to history of volatility. So where to go for safety and growth is hard to decide.
I bring a bit of a different slant to this conversation. I am a ‘conscious channel’ and I have spiritual guides who have been with me for years. Beginning approximately 2 years ago, I began to be told of the Massive Change occurring on Earth now. A few sessions have been all about the collapse of the US dollar, introduction of new fiat currencies, revolution in the streets around the world in response to the many financial disparities on Earth, and a subsequent collapse of the worldwide financial system. In this way, I see another level of truth , and this viewpoint is coming more and more to the forefront by the day. I appreciate and can validate Larry’s viewpoint concerning the US Dollar…. as well as the many worldwide implications of it’s collapse. Time frame for these events to speed up is now until next Spring, by the way. By summer or 3rd quarter of next year , the dollar will be gone. The real question is ; “What to do’? This is a whole other conversation, one which I have with many clients and friends. Massive Change is here… The Shift of The Ages…
I thoroughly enjoy Money and Markets no-nonsense, tell-it-like-it-is approach to economics. Well done.
As for all this American debt and endless deficits, one can only shake his or her head in consternation. I understand much of this pattern began in the Ronald Reagan presidency years when (to paraphrase) he said that DEFICITS DON’T MATTER. Such arrogant stupidity!
Well, the chickens are coming home to roost, aren’t they? (If I believed in mythological deities, I’d say GOD HELP AMERICA — and, by extension, the rest of the financial world.)
How about buying american stocks with a large part of their earnings over seas?
In my house we are carrying no debt. We have no mortgage. 66% in cash.(soon to be mostly in commodity based currency) Mostly following the investment suggestions of you and Martin and Claus, with the portfolio. (with an occasional flyer of my own). No losses in the dot.com debacle, no losses in the real estate/banking debacle. My hats off to you gentlemen for your sage investment and non-investment advice.
I’m afraid the term, common sense and moral decency has mostly disappeared, in meaning, from the culture. Without a sincere return to the fundamentals of these two things, the degradation of our country will continue and it will end up on the trash heap of history.
I am a single mother of two and have worked 2 and sometimes 3 jobs just to make ends meet. I watch helplessly as this thing unfolds, wishing I could buy gold, but can’t. I put myself through college only to be up to the hilt in debt and I never had much debt before. Frugal is the only way I know how to survive. I think America needs to wake up. It has become such a “me” society that I am not sure it could change…look who it voted into office. I don’t believe that there is much hope for America. Gold/Silver/oil are the only way to secure a financial future. I wish I could use the money the state takes from me monthly to buy gold/silver/ oil. I feel like the mandatory retirement savings is worthless. I am praying for the state of our Country.
Larry,
First of all thank you for telling the truth.
Secondly, the U.S. Govt. needs to immediately reign spending on whatever it still has control over without destroying the internal economy of our nation. The first thing that needs to happen is that we need to stop all Bailouts and audit the FED - find out where the money went and prosecute if necessary - that will send a good message to our foreign investors. Secondly, stop all foreign aid and pull our troops out of all foreign nations abroad including Iraq and Afghanistan - the empire building needs to come to an end. Our military should be dedicated to defending our people and our borders. Next all illegal aliens within the nation need to go - enforcement against infiltration and identification of those here illegally needs to be be vigorously moved forward - stop the obvious social services to those who are here illegally - provide them a one way ticket out of here! Next we need to face the obvious as you have pointed out to us - we need to reduce the size of our Federal government to the most basic essentials; defense and law enforcement. All of the Social programs need to stop immediately with the exception of those provided to the most helpless among us - unemployment needs to be phased out over two years. Those who are now receiving Social Security need to be cashed out - a one time payment based upon their remaining estimated life. Next all Social Security deductions need to be gradually phased out over say two years utilizing the payroll deductions to provide for the buy-outs. Next the Income Tax needs to end - substituting a sales tax on all things besides food - including Corporate Income taxes which would encourage investment by foreign corporations and produce jobs for our people - tax consumption - not production. That would require a Constitutional Amendment which would now pass easily. In addition the Federal Reserve needs to be abolished - the Treasury needs to print the money - get the private Banks out of our Government. After the FED is abolished set up a 30 year timetable for paying the Banks back for the irresponsible spending our “Leadership” in Washington has burdened us with. Next we need to immediately(as fast as we can implement) convert all gasoline driven automobiles to run on natural gas and follow T. Boone Pickens’ format for unplugging our energy dependence on the Middle East as fast as we can. The supply side needs to be worked first - we need to grow our economy by removing taxes and ignorant regulation that prefers snail darters and “endangered” species over the interests of people - leave it to the States to regulate Commerce - abolish the EPA. Next we need to make it illegal for the Federal Government to balance the budget - Government borrowing becomes illegal.The war on drugs needs to end but be confined solely to internally enforcing the laws against illegal drugs inside our borders and showing no mercy to foreign gangs or drug dealers. We need to develop clean gasified coal technology and become a net exporter of energy to the world. The subsidies for corn based ethanol needs to end - if it can stand on it’s own two feet go for it,if not - let it die. The export of our intellectual capital and jobs needs to end. Goods imported from China or anywhere else including energy will have a tariff - they will pay rent for selling in the Mall known as America. If trans-national treaties have to be ended - so be it.
These ideas have been out there for years - they would work if we had enough courage in Leadership in Washington to do it. Unfortunately we have self serving Politicians who will not stand up for our people and our nation - career politicians that will not take any risks for the benefit of our Nation - selfish individuals who care only for themselves and their next scheme to fleece the electorate.
Thanks,
Bob Williams,
Valdez, Alaska
While we are truly broke and recovery is difficult, if not impossible there is still one step that must be taken for the future of whatwver country we might be. That is to change leadership. Our constitution works but needs to be amended to disallow deficiet spending. But leadership must go! We can set term limits or simply vote out the damn liars. They all preach great things at election time about how they will clean up the economy and wor kfor a secure future but they never seem to vote that way or even talk that way in Washington after the election is over. Prior to the last elecction congress had an approval rating of under 10%!! BUT MOST OF THEM RETAINED OFFICE! Most citizens feel that their own congressman is doing a good job, so it must be all the others that are ruining this country. The only solution is to get rid of all of them. Clean house (and senate). We don’t want to do it by revolution so TERM LIMITS seem the only way. Those in legislative position will not vote themselves out of a job (especially since they are not qualified to do anything else) so it must be forced on them someother way. In local politice we have referendums that over ride elected officials decisions. Can we do that to Congress?
As a true contrarian, I am expecting an imminent strong rally in the US dollar, certainly before year’s end. When this many people are against something, that’s a signal for me to take the opposite stance. ( P.S. : I don’t owe anybody a dime, never even had a mortgage, paid cash for my house, never lost a dime on the financial markets, retired early. That’s what a contrarian can achieve. )
Dear Larry,
I have been a legal U.S. resident since January, 1970. I have been successful as a worker, entrepreneur, and before I retired, as a Head Start director. During one of my last visits to the Philippines (1997 & 1998), I could not get my $100 American Express exchanged into pesos. I had the belief that American Express checks were safe and negotiable even in Timbokto! The money exchanger said that they had a bad experience with a “foreigner” who used an American Express check to purchase goods but the check was returned unpaid. Supposedly, the bank who issued it went defunct! Larry, this was in 1997! These things happening now with our American dollars are not new to me.
I read one of your bloggers’ comments about living in the Philippines. During one of my visits in 1998, my cousins who stayed there and worked for a living or ran their own businesses became far richer than me even when at that time I was making good money running a successful preschool business. IRS caused me to go bankrupt; doubling capital gains when not paid on time.
Yes, Larry. I believe I will be able to smile again when I repatriate to the Philippines.
Mor power to you!
The Govt needs to stop spending as of yesterday.The market needs to crash.We need to build a manufacturing base.Number one priority is to strengthen the dollar.let the banks fail.Give the $ back to the people.End the FED! We might be to late.
Global Climat change the monster under the bed?
What a farse..anyone who has locked onto this lie needs to see a shrink. The monster under the bed is disobedience which is causing the other problems. You know the light that comes on the dashboard of the car tells you their is a problem under your hood ..and its nothing to do with global climate change. The WORD declares that HE once blessed you and now HE will cause the land to VOMIT….yes , VOMIT you out and will continue to do so until man decides he will turn from his disobedience. Then HE will heal their land..The WORD also says not to overspend and borrow or you will become enslaved to your debtors… Wisdom will flee from you…and I think we see that now with whats going on in Washington they are completely selling the country out to foreign debt holders… you will have asia, or the UN running the USA in a few years.
looking forward to reading
I PERSONALLY AND MEMBERS OF MY FAMILY,WHO WILL LISTEN, HAVE BEEN ACCUMULATING
SILVER AND GOLD, PRMARILY SILVER - COINS, BARS ETC. PLUS OWNING GOLD AN
SILVE STOCKS. WE OWN NO U.S. PAPER OR THE PAPER OF ANY OTHER COUNTRY.;
LUDWIG VON MISES SAID “THE ONLY ENTITY KNOWN TO MAN, THAT CAN TAKE
A VALUABLE COMMODITY (PAPER) AND MAKE IT WORTHLESS BY PRINTING ON IT, IS
GOVERNMENT)
Hi Larry. I like hearing your bird’s eye commentaries from asia. keep up the good work.
I subscribe to elliot waves asia forecast, so Ive been looking at the various indexes for each country. I dont see the specific elliot waves the same way they do, I have my own ‘vision’…. but it helps me to get some overview.
As for the crashing dollar..I think it’s a tricky balance thats going on, and will continue…. controlled by the central banks and governments orchestrating some plan that the public is not allowed to know ahead of time, so we can only guess…but this balance involves letting the usd decline so that the us markeys rise…thats important to us investor confidence,that the us market doesnt crash again like last year…. Any decline in the us market right now, MUST be kept under control and Held at a support level no lower than the august 17 low,….I want to say, the july bottom, but I sense that any major movement down to the july bottom, would incite investor Panic, and the government would have another bigger crisis of confidence on its hands…so I believe that these issues, totally manipulated and controlled by the governments and central banks, goldman sachs at thr trigger, etc…. will be orchestrated as they intend to do….I believe , for the present time….we will see a top in the market by the end of this week….all markets…sept 17
and next week beginning some sort of ‘controlled’ correction,zig zag more sideways than sharply down….but depending on the country in question, all markets correcting…some a little sharper than others….but probably holding at the august 17 low,or sept 2 low…. followed by the next wave UP heading into october 1.
I understand your commentary was about the real life value of the us dollar, and that means something….I’m not sure what exactly.
My outlook as I analyze the charts…is that at some point in this Balancing Act, between the dollar (down) and the market (UP)….they will reverse the process, when they believe the market is ’stable enough’ to engineer the next correction….and then we will see the us dollar rebound back to a median zone…which my analysis says is around EUR/USD 142 area. 140 to 143…140 to 141 as a benchmark median zone.
The australian and canadian governments just mentioned that an overly strong audollar and canada dollar is Not good for their export economy…. they dont want it out of balance either. Its all a Balancing act.
I look for a major reversal in the usd,bringing it back to the 141 area,but maybe gradually in the next month, slowly, in waves that dont scare the public or incite panic in the markets.
this kind of sideways sliding down is characteristic of a 4th wave. many indexes are in a 4th wave set up now. finishing either a wave 3 or wave 5,or wave A up, looking for a wave B down….so I expect to see a ’surprizing’ us dollar recovery in the coming month,or two.
I’m curious as to your outlook on asian markets now…. they all look like theyre about to correct down a bit….but setting up to move forward strongly in the new year.if they HOLD at the recent lows.
and just remain stable for the next few months.
kind regards,Thomas
Hi Larry,
The government to get out of the mess will:
- report CPI a tad less than actual.. reduced social security/gov. pensions
- gradually reduce the value of the dollar
- implement a value added tax to effectively tax imports
- a carbon tax
- slash medicare costs… government will determine what is cost effective
- encourage illegal immigration… more people to pay for medicare, social security and FUTURE VOTES for the give-away politicians
- reduce the number of taxpayers paying federal taxes to less than 50% so they are promise benefits and always win…. if you don’t pay taxes government spending is great.
What we need to do:
Don’t vote democratic or republican… vote for representation that will reduce government spending
I’ve called my representatives, I’ve written turn around ideas since 2006 and the politicians ignore everything. I’ve even written plans for input to the Heritage Foundation. Nobody was listening! Its as if they have a PLAN to destroy the country with the greatest of haste. Part of NAFTA plan???
Everything they do is opposite to sane economic sense.
The erosion of constitutional rights, all the things that other countries did to seize power are being done here.
All of the G8 countries are using some form of quantitative easing in other words expanding the money supply so relatively we are all debasing except we are debasing faster. I suspect that when the treasury sells bonds that there are not enough buyers as foreigners are running away from us, so not to be seen as having a failed bond sale they have made back room deals to have them all bought and the government then buys them back giving some bond buyer banks commissions both ways. So where do you put your money. Most everything I own is dollar denominated.
I notice you moved to Thailand. That is a way of protecting what wealth we have left. Abandon a sinking ship. China could precipitate a dollar collapse at any time. My pensions are all in dollars.
When I visited Russia in 1997 the ruble was 5500 per dollar. R3000 just to use a public rest room.
So that is what happens to your pensions. Worthless. Interest rates are low so how do you make enough to live on? Many countries are still tied to the dollar like Panama and the islands in the Carribean. Canada is fairly healthy but if the US goes under Canada will be hurt.
Even the Mexican Peso is looking good. Where do you put assets to protect them from a crash which I think is coming. Its got to be outside the USA. I need a plan. I had a Contrarian portfolio that lost me money. Then the TFA only has a few percent of my portfolio working at any one time, the rest is idle cash. I feel like it should be working harder as time is running out. I need a survival plan and I don’t have one. I’m very concerned.
I have one drug stock that is soaring. I expect it to continue up for some time and actually in the green for the first time in years but do I play it prudently or go for broke? I don’t think we have time to be timid.
Why are you in Thailand? Permanent move? Residency? Abandoned sinking ship?
There is a way out of the USA problem with existing debt. (1) Allow gold to first reach values such as $5000 per ounce. (2) Issue a new currency that is freely convertible into gold by using the Ft. Knox gold as backing. (3) convert whatever paper money is offered into gold without questions. (4) charge any person converting a regular long term capital gains tax on paper currency converted into gold. (Note: the value of paper currency dollars is now based on the 1930’s value of $35 per ounce. Therefore any value over $35 would be considered a long term capital gain!!) I think this would establish a value to American currency, and also would discourage many from making the conversion because of the high capital gains tax. Once the American currency was considered “Good as Gold” there would not be a great demand for the actual gold due to the tax. In order for this to work it would be necessary of the USA to totally stop deficit financing, otherwise the plan would not be acceptable to the world financial market. The plan I propose is registered as the “Leitner Conversion Plan “.
Larry..
I can’t begin to say thanks to you and your group for enlightening me further on this severe and serious dilemma this country (and our people) have fallen into.. I think the only answer is for me to start buying as much Gold and Sllver and I possibly can.. pay off all my credit cards .. lower my debts. prepare for a rough storm that has hit people in declining empires since ancient times.
When I was in Guangzhou, China last October (the very beginning) people were asking me “What is your Government thinking?? are they and the banks trying to commit financial suicide?”
Thank God we have the information from you and the Weiss group!
Bud thompson
why haven’t our esteemed leaders in Washington responded to what is clear to all outside US where are our economic leaders? why are they not screaming for attention? Can you send your recent missive to Washington leaders: blast email Congress and White House?
Larry—I am a retired US Air Force pilot from three foreign wars. My personal friends & relatives are not as fortunate as I am having your direct knowledge from Asia of our United States economic blunders. I am trying to them by passing on your observations and directions.
Please make your Free Investment comments conveniently available for my re-transmission via email.
As to my own actions and for my own protection with respect to the severely faltering Dollar , I am investing 25% in metallic gold, 25% in gold/silver ETFs, 25% in China water and metal stocks, 10% in contra-long-term Treasuries, and 15% in ten-year annuities.
Larry…it is so scary…and this is against the backdrop of American pundits saying that it is all good and hunky dorry…which confuses people from doing what you are asking us to do. The American is lead to believe that all is returning to norman…there is nothing to worry about…and there is a return to consume, consume lead by government spending. The real picture is — I think that we have to return to live more like people lived in the 50s — smaller everything, wear-and-tear marks on personal possessions, neighborhood potlucks, things that stay the same for years. The American on the street simply can not save America — they can only try to manage themselves — and learn that government and our financial institutions have truly gone from ‘important’ to ‘impotent’. We have destroyed a legacy in one generation — our parents did not leave us the debt that we are heaping on the next generation — and what happened to the boomer generation who was supposed to save the world and has been more egregous than ever before?….it make me sick too.
Joan Perry
Author, “A Girl Needs Cash”, Random House
President, Take Charge Financial!
Hi Larry’
I also work in asia and will soon be in Bangkok for a physical at Bumrungrad. Stay in touch and I will buy when I get there! Our family is a long time client of martin’s !
tom bailie
Should we be buying the inverse dollar ETF?
Right or wrong, I’m moving toward buying gold and/or gold mining stocks. Is that good or bad?
Money is something that has no real measurement in physical reality so it can be created to any imaginable number. A cup of coffee may well be sold at ten dollars.Our price system economy tends to collapse inward in an accelerating spiral without artificial stimulus such as war or real estate bubbling easy credit ,government spending etc.The tendency to collapse is inherent since our high energy high technology can saturate the market and at the same time replace the worker. We can solve the employment problem by decreasing our reliance on technology ,such as going to a more labour intensive agriculture, many more people were required to feed a much smaller poulation just a couple of generations ago. Our money economy works best in a scarcity environment . The Chinese and India economies are booming since they are operating in such an environment. Unfortuanetly in a mature high energy high tech money economy such as ours artificial stimulus is required to keep it functioning with the resultant ever increasing deficits.It is unfortunate that we can’t have a money economy that can be brought into balance ,rather we can expect an ever increasing tendency to collapse with the resultant accelerating artificial stimulus.
Well, I couldn’t agree more, but I’m not the one to be telling this to. My husband & I, in our mid/late 50s, are living on the pittance I make at my part-time job and are buying nothing. No debt, not much income, living within our means, though it’s not much fun.
Someone needs to give our politicians, from the local level up to national level, this dire news. Don’t expect them to listen to mere mortals like the voter/taxpayer, though. They think and act like we’re a bunch of selfish idiots, and I guess we Americans, in the aggregate must be just that, if we collectively elected this pack of fascists.
But there are just enough Americans who want something for nothing to keep the whole foul bunch in office.
Crummy, huh?
Hi Larry - the only way is we need to get out of the war and people need to wake up and realize this is a planned demolition it’s a global fascist corporate takeover - the American people need to wake up and start realizing what is happening to this country now! - and stop this before it goes any further -
Hi Larry, I have to be honest and say I really don’t see a way out of this without some form of National bankrupcy. Maybe a new currency (Amero) together with Canada & Mexico. In the mean time keep buying GOLD….J
After reading all that depressing information, It makes me sick to know that, even with the falling economy. Here in California, we now have a bunch of new policies for the cities to extract more and more money from the all ready struggling people. For example. Now we have weekly street sweeping. A persons vehicle can’t be parked on the street between hours of 12:30 to 3:30 pm. People have to scramble around to find a spot on the opposite side of the street, and at the same time, a lot of people are at work, or try to carpool to save money, only to come home and find a $50 ticket. Then which doubles, if you cant pay within a few weeks of receiving the citation. A lot of people are frustrated by the fact that all prices on every thing is steadily going up, while jobs across the board are being cut. I feel like we are purposely being put into this crisis by a hand full of our so called leaders. We spend so much money in other countries and support almost every body else other than us Americans. Were being crippled and punished at the same time. People in my ghetto neighborhood are starving. People can’t stand to see their families suffer like this, so people seem to be forced to get this rare money by any means necessary to feed their children. These leads people to commit crimes and acts that normal people wouldn’t do but under the circumstances are forced to find a way for survival. 9-5 jobs are cutting it anymore. Our prisons,and lower class bottom feeders, are really also weighing us down. No more hand outs. Everybody has to pitch in. No more free goverment chesse. Every body has to work, some how, some way. Middle class people are getting burnt out trying to be responsible people holding down a job, but only to have so much garnished for all the lazy ones. People are sick of all these deductions. You try working over time only to find that it all goes to taxes. It’s like, the more they make, the more they take. It’s just jacked up. We have certain families who rule our economy. Who like you say, flood these dollars into the economy but hold no value! Keeping us all in debt. That was the way the system was set up. It’s not meant for us to get out of debt but to keep us tied down. Those are the real tyrants, some of our own people. Playing both sides of the table in order to gain world domination.. While this all goes on,,,,,,,, The people continue to suffer!
Larry: Re Passionate Plea from Asia:
I’d appreciate your addressing whether stocks will be a good inflation hedge in the inflationary environment that will result from the scenario you have painted.
Mike
The first thing we should do is get out of the two wars we are fighting. Between the costs pertaining to the war in money and lives it is dragging us down considerably.
___________________________________________
The we is USA . What about the withdrawal symptons of an alcoholic . YOu have been fighting wars right from the entire last century like a drunken alcoholic Yu cannot just leave . Its similiar to withdrawal symptoms of a consumer economy . An entire generation has forgotten how to work . They never worked except in tehcnology and banks which are just cosy air conditioned offices and nothing else .
Larry why such panic? Don’t you realize you just said that every America family are now millionaires? My gov’t says that debt = wealth so why should I doublt these brilliant leaders?
Don’t you belive in continued American ingenuity to get us out of this? Don’t you think the Gov’t knew what they were doing when they spent trillions to save the last American industry - Wall Street ?
Keep the faith man - I have every confidence that those brilliant Wall Street bankers that make hundreds of millions per year can certainly create enough new fangled investements, derivatives etc to cheat the rest of the world out of their money. We also have Helicopter Ben printing enough money to pay all of our debts and even buy our debts. This fool proof system is sure to save the country. And what’s with these Chinese not wanting our money any more? If that’s the case I have some $100 trillion dollar Zimbabwe notes I can throw in the pot to help Ammerica appease them.
OK if you don’t trust these fantastic solutions then you can play it smart and leave the country or you can stay and enjoy living in a banana republic. Investing in gold, silver and oil can also lessen the eventual pain that our gov’t is inflicting on its citizen’s with ultra reckless fiscal and monetary policies, but there is no real solution for the economic bind we are in now.
I think all the troubled banks should be closed and liquidated for bad performance. All banks which received TARP funds pay back immediately or liquidate and close. Continue to prop up the automobile Industry, I think the auto industry here can get back into the mix once the auto industry makes the neccessary adjustments to develope fuel efficent cars. I’m ready to buy a car right now, but the prices are ridiculous for family cars averaging 27,000-37,000 with 32 mpg fuel consumption.
I think the Health Care Reform Legislation be shelved until we can afford it, which is maybe never, Instead put in initiatives to start up manufactoring in this country. Install a 10% flat tax for all til we get this debt under control. I love this country and want to see it throught his hard time, but for now invest in gold and immerging foreign markets to survive.
Angie
Annapolis, Md
Dear Larry,
Last year I was in Indonesia. I had brought new US $100 bills with me to spend. I went to at least ten money changers and banks and NONE would exchange my US bills for local currency. One banker even crinkled up her nost in disgust as she shook her head no! “NO WAY” was the response of another banker. I tried, unsuccessfully, for two days to change my US bills. Thankfully I had my ATM card which I used to take local currency out of the bank’s ATM machine.
Thanks, Terry Sheehan
Larry,
I am also in deep trouble for I’ve been trying to help my daughter who’s lost a big chunk of income and my son in Arizona who’s been laid off due to slow/fallen market effect in his profession. To make matters worse I just went through a divorce. I have little to invest so I’m just trying to pay my debts off so I may have soon.. I’m afraid by the time I do this it may be too late or the dollar devaluated so low .. any strategy or advice? I see need to start buying or investing in Gold and Silver..
Bud from Sacramento
I am cutting back here and there, where possible. Investing cautiously into higher returns but with solid companies that have a more realistic solid future. Shopping around for basically everything
From Washington, remove ALL elected officials when their re-election comes due (and with them their “advisors” and lobbyists), remove immediately the congress people who have and are committing incredible crimes against the US (Rangle and Frank for starters) and begin with a clean state. Stop printing money immediately and allowing new bills that put us, our children and grandchildren further in debt. Give back all money committed this year and not yet spent. Term limits: one for Senators, two for Congressmen and women — no more. Allow no more “earmarks”, at all, ever. Bet that would clear a lot of our debt. I personally am tired of the President hopping from here to there on Air Force one for his own purposes; signing the stimulus bill that he said was so urgent and left sitting on his desk until he was ready to fly to Denver to sign it, a “date night” in New York, going to visit Bill Clinton in New York for lunch, etc. When you’re broke, as he says we are, you can’t keep on spending money. Math alone should tell you that. Most of all, listen to the American people and what they do NOT want!!
Why doesn’t the Obama administration ever respond to the problem of the increasing debt?
I will continue to buy gold and gold stocks to keep my head above water!
Larry, Gold ownership is an extremely personal matter. The government will confiscate gold. Anyone as unwise as to spill his guts is a fool. The fuss about non-petroleum energy is where we will end up.
About 2044 the real energy will become apparent- fusion. Work on this is going forth in England even as I write thisI. Even with current technology We must develop large capacity storage capacity
to redistribute off-peak power no matter what the source. My long term money is going into storage.
My short term money is going into overseas investment. R. Parkhill
Somehow I keep wondering whether or not there’s been a long term plan behind all of this, as it has happened in history before on occassion - could it be a game of “Bait and Switch” orchestrated by the most head honchos of the world’s money control game? Surely if there were a way to make big money in keeping an balanced spreadsheet, this would not have happened. Bigger bucks abide in the game of how can I get what’s yours without you seeing what I’m doing…It would not surprise me in the least if either a large war and/or a change in currency (U.S. dollar replaced by something else valued differently to allow a huge diminishment of U.S. debt) were to happen within the next 5 years or so. Hope I’m wrong, but I see no other way out at the present time.
Sirs: Drastiscally reduce or eliminate any over seas spending; including Iraq, Afghanistan, close out military activities & shutter bases overseas, pay only a proportionate share to the UN, reduce $ pay- ments to 3rd world countries. Tax foreign profits on any US corp @ domestic tax rates; make severe $ penalties on any corp doing busines w/ US on a non-competitive basis along w/ any lobbists involved. Line item veto given to pres. “real” tax breaks to any company that manufactures a product that is 100% USA - no BS like Chinese parts being assembled here. Fed gets out of education but subsidizes science & engineering. Eliminate Homeland Security - keep FEMMA. Close the border to Mexico - bring back Green Card program. Eliminate prevailing (union) on any US job or project.
Stop subsidies to all business; coal, ag, timber, etc. w/ the $ free-falling they don’t need it.
Hi Larry…I’m one of the old geezers whom the young voters think is out of touch with reality. I’ve been writing booklets for years about the unconstitutionality of the Fed and how it is owned by private, and mostly foreign bankers; the fractional reserve banking scam; the need for revisions to the constitution to limit terms to one only (make it longer if need be, especially the ridiculous two year terms for representatives which cause them to be eternally dependent on lobbyists for campaign funds); the need to limit the length of campaigns and the amount of money spent; the use of publicly owned radio and TV only for campaigns instead of having to flood the air with their bullshit while driving up the cost of advertising for legitimate businessmen.
I could go on and on with things like the need for some kind of voter testing. Since I believe that the single most important quality of the people we vote to represent us is their knowledge of true
economics, not the Keynesian crap that most students have been exposed to, I think that voters should be required to prove that they have some knowledge of economics. I’d be willing to bet that many of those who voted for obama can’t even balance their checkbooks or figure out what rate they’re paying on their credit cards. (even some of those Ivy Leaguers)
Worse than that, the vote of someone who has never held down a job or run a business, or mugs people on the street is just as good as yours or mine. There is something basically wrong about that. Why should someone who has never contributed to the betterment of society or paid a pennysworth of taxes have the right to cancel out the vote of someone who has done so for many years?
OK, so I’m an old curmudgeon, but look up the meaning of the word “alderman”. I know that will be an unknown word to some who have never lived in a city where elected officials are called that. It means an “elder” man; one who has the right to govern because he possesses the wisdom accumulated in the aging process.
Some of your readers have wondered how our country can pull itself out of the mess our idiot leaders have burdened us with. The answer is, it can’t. No country in history which has debased its currency to a great extent has remained intact for very long. I have predicted that this country will some day split into at least three separate entities. Others have predicted at least ten. I can visualize that the middle of our country, where much of our nation’s food is produced, say between the Appalachians and the Sierra Nevada/Cascades will one day split from the East and West coasts, due to economic, cultural, and political differences. I’m sure that if it were done as a secession it would meet with massive Federal intervention, unless the army and navy were too busy fighting the Chinese invasion. (I remember reading a few years ago about a visitor to China watching amphibious landing practice by the Chinese army. When he asked one of the soldiers what they were doing he replied “practicing for the invasion of California” .) Think about it. If you were running China how would you feel about loaning the U.S. trillions of dollars and facing the prospect of not getting it back? They are already dumping the dollar and using the money to buy out our natural resources and businesses. Their bubble seems to be bursting a bit, and they have millions of young guys in their army without female companionship because of China’s recent practice of killing off baby girls. There are probably thousands of them who would like to go to war somewhere just to find a girl. An army full of impatient peasants can be a worry to politicians. They might decide that they need to keep them busy.
Well, as I said, I’m an old guy and will be in another location myself in the near future. My only personal concern is the fact that the Dollars I’ve saved for my old age will soon have the buying power of a quarter, or perhaps a dime in a couple of years. After all, I,ve heard that the Dollar of the 1950s now has the buying power of a nickel. (and I’m old enough to confirm that)
If you’ve read this far you probably think I’m a Republican. I’m not. I have the same utter contempt for them as I do for the Democrats. The same goes for the big business and banking crowd and their lobbyists as well as the unions and bureaucrats. I’d better throw in the academics who have filled our present lawmakers’ heads with false economics. They have all contributed to our downfall.
My main concern is for all of our children and grandchildren, and their offspring. What kind of a country will they be living in? I urge all young people to get some good books on Austrian Economics and study them so that you will at least know what you’re up against. Question what you are told in school. Many of your teachers have their own agenda and your best interests are not their main reason for being in the teaching profession.
Good luck to all. I’ll pray for you.
Hi Larry,
I was just wondering, if the $1 Million government debt per household is really true, we can easily conclude that the US is close to bankrupt. But the government owns assets as well, how much is that worth? $30 trillion?
In short, the situation is not as bad as portrayed, but if the US continues to spend like this, the GAME will be over soon.
In order to tackle the issue, we need to have the real numbers and facts in front of us, and compare these to other nations. I also thought that Europe was in the same boat as the US?
How to resolve the issue?
1. Check which countries which were in a similar situation and learn from them how they solved it? Did Japan resolve the issues adequately since 1990? Argentina? Brazil? …Learn from experts abroad!!!
2. Create mild inflation through expansionary monetary and fiscal policy, until US GDP shows signs of growth again. In the mean time, the dollar value will continue to fall, but will further help sustain hard asset prices. Stabilization of the economic situation is Key to this country!
3. US companies should exploit growth outside the US, and the low dollar should help export driven industries. I am disappointed that the US has given up so much of their competence in manufacturing…I even noticed that in the industry I was working in and this is a long term problem!!!
4. Like any country that goes through a crisis, if the US can revert it successfully, the dollar value will increase again and foreign investors will continue to borrow the US money.
5. Work out a long term solution to replace oil usage by gas usage and other alternatives, as gas, wind and solar is abundant in the US!!! The trade balance (and global warming) will improve and it will support the dollar.
It is far too complicated to resolve this in just 5 bullet points, so just my 2 cents….
Keep up the good work, and keep analysing the figures.
Bart
I read your 9/14/09 news letter on the “passionate plea from Asia” I am shock and amazed @ your lack of understanding of the american way of life, or should I say the American dream..
I have written several messages to our congress about wall street & mainstreet..My gut feeling last year “circa” 9/12/08 was let wall street go away, save the regional banks by reducing taxes by 25% across the board. This would have given each taxpayer money to save or spend, both options would have strengthen our banks and local economies..
On the other topic about those “little people” think we are a joke, why do they flock to our shores to educate, work here? My feeling is our way of life, abeit not perfect is far better and much more desirable than some swamp boat in a polluted river.
Sure people in Washington are trying to save their jobs by helping those same people that got us into the leveraged position we are now in. But we can change all that by electing goverment officials
with a sense of pride and ethical standards , which I may add are totally lacking in WDC.
I would like to add your math anaylical abilities are so flawed and misleading, on the debt issue
may be out of control, but that`s a temporary problem, easy to fix.. just tax those crooks in Wall street , add an immgration tax, send illegals home, reduce goverment services, and size
Rich
I wish you would email your 9-14 letter to every member of congress and to the president.
What is soln…..What do U suggest US government shold do
Larry, First I want to thank you for the information you provide through Uncommon Wisdom emails. And for the most part I agree with you on your economic philosophy of Real Wealth. I truly appreciate your research and dedication to providing information on current investment opportunities in areas such as natural resources and precious metals. As to ideas on a solution or solutions concerning where America is today financially, economically, I believe our government is not politically in a place where it is ready to listen to or make sensible choices to solve our serious debt load problems, or to even choose to do anything about the depreciating value of our U.S. dollar. With those realities in mind, I believe there is only one result, and that is, hyperinflation. And that, of course, will cause nearly all in America, both small and great, to abhor the choices made by our government in recent years that have brought us all to this point. Fiscal responsibility will become something desireable again. But many will suffer so badly here. It is sad that it is coming upon America, but unavoidable, I believe, at this point. Sincerely, Carl
Larry–As a retired person, I am fully invested in the stock market and in precious metals. Since the dollar has depreciated about 95% since the FED was established in 1913 and that depreciation is accelerating, I see little sense in holding savings in dollars. My stock holdings are in oil, gas, gold silver and other resource companies as you have recommended. Also I hold stocks in certain financial companies, MLPs and REITs which pay high dividends as I need to supplement my income. I agree with you that investing in natural resources is the best way to preserve and grow one’s savings and I appreciate your continuing advice in Uncommon Wisdom. Also, as a geologist, I am comfortable investing in natural resources. Although I took a big loss in my stocks in last year’s crash, by holding on and re-investing I’ve now gained back nearly all that I lost.
Prosperity seems to be moving west to China and East Asia and the future doesn’t look good for us. We need to get this country back on a sound Constitutional footing. We should get rid of the FED and get back to a Constitutional money system based on gold and silver and institute sufficient regulation to keep Wall Sreet and the banks honest. We also need to stop spending hundreds of billions of dollars to keep our troops in all of those foreign countries and bring them all home, as Ron Paul has advocated. We can no longer afford “empire building”. Also, we must stop the petty Democrat vs Republican bickering, realize that both parties are controlled by the same people behind the scenes and vote out all of both parties who have betrayed Constitutional principles. I realize that’s a tall order!
I guess U didn`t like my comment on your september 14th, piece on “passionate plea from Asia”
next time report the real story not some made up by comments from those same pople that flock our shores for education , goverment grants, and jobs.
Let me state it again..We, Americans, cab elect reponsible officials, to tax the Crooks on wall street
*send the illegals back home
*tax the immgrants
*reduce goverment serices, and staff
Need to find a solution which is acceptable to all communities. (yes, I am talking about the world community) Just telling Americans what to do is not going to help. What you are recommending: tighten your belt, literally means squeeze rest of the world. That means: chances of wars and political unrest in countries which are too big to fail. It is not worth it.
Just think little sensibly and go little deeper. We need to have a open hearted summit and bring about resolutions which have not been brought before for discussion. Including some wild solutions. Yes, there are many solutions. yo have just have to have the heart and mind to talk about them openly.
Thanks Larry for your right on analysis. I have been following you and Martin for many years. Saved all my equity investments by getting out in 2000 and putting in all in Precious Metals IRA and Energy IRA. Two years ago put remaining pension fund ( that not annuatized ) into Non-Us stock fund. Keep up your high quality posts.
Increased inflation is a logical tool to help manage our soaring debt. We’re buying international energy stocks, investment grade foreign bonds, selected foreign common stocks with healthy dividends plus a focus on commodities that China will not be able to provide for itself in the future.
As one of your faithful readers I can only ask why we are not even more into gold and other commodities. Is that the only safe harbor over time?
Larry, There is a simple way that this immense debt will be liquidated. The very way that the money controllers have planned: Pay the debt with other newly printed dollars, after all, each hundred dollar bill costs only about a cent or so to make. Of course this will accelerate the devaluation of the dollar (as also planned) by the “money makers”. (”money makers”= the creators of fiat money). Who will suffer from this? All those who have gambled on the durability of fiat money. When they accept this paper, they are gambling that they can turn it into some other thing of value before it depreciates further in value, so it is always for these dollar holders a race against time. We should not feel sympathy for these people, they knew what they got into when they took the paper. As for our average citizen, hopefully their income will match the value of the dollar as it continues to tank. Theere is nothing we can do to forfend against this, we are totally in thrall to the money makers.
Hey Larry, I heard George Lakoff (Berkeley linguistics prof, political analyst, cognitive scientist) http://www.georgelakoff.com about his new book, The Political Mind. It will calm you. Also, if you need some pocket change, just contact me. Thanks for your Uncommon Wisdom reports.
Ruth
Larry,
Part two - what I am doing with the family finances - presently have all debt including mortage paid off - putting 50% of my take home pay in a 401 K every pay day all - 401K in FDLXX - Fidelity Treasury only T-Bill MMF. ( thanks to SMR advice). Saving 10% of my gross after the 401K deposit for contingencies such as food shortages, energy shortages, etc. Continue employment as a Lead Technician until I die or the Oil Companies run out of money at the Valdez Marine Terminal in Valdez Alaska - for Alyeska Pipeline Service Company in Valdez, Alaska - for the World’s finest employer.
Getting out of the mess we are in as a nation boils down to hard work and smart decisions for the benefit of the nation - not a select few - unfortunately we have only a few smart enough with the will to lead us out and the present Socialist President with all his Communist Czars don’t qualify.
Keep up the good work.
Bob
Larry, you are echoing a very small but more noticeable segment of our mature population who recognize the import of what you are writing. It is not Republican, Democrat or even Libertarian , in fact , it is apolitocal , but potentially apocalyptic for the US Government’s business “as usual” mindset.
Obama ran on Change and Hope as themes to overcome the negative psychology cloud that the Bush Administration let enter our country . Obama now knows his agenda is not resonating with the population who built and prospered in 20th century America, and actually the same reaction from intelligent younger Americans. Health Care may have been a platform for election but the real issues among all population groups are jobs and income, yet there is little beyond lip service being delivered under various stimulus ventures.
Jobs and the resulting income will cause more people to retain the home they own, buy a car, spend discretionary money, and guess what—the vast majority will have employer sponsored health insurance.
More direct to your point of the rest of the world failing to finance our deficit spending , I think this is the first administration in US history who could look the world in the eye and say, “We aren’t honoring our debts” , thinking it is the right and necessary thing to do , bringing on economic Armageddon.
The hope is that there will be a peaceful and legitimate second American revolution to reorganize the institutions that currently govern us by holding elected officials responsible to the real citizens by imposing term limits in Congress . Why does the current Congress not have the guts to realize the havoc they have set in motion without any diminishment or oversight on the totally unacceptable actions of both the prior and current administration executive powers? They are collectively the Sunshine Soldiers and Summer Patriots.
The focus on “fixing or reforming” health care (without tort reform) as a priority over employment, education, illegal immigration, Social Security/Medicare, unwinnable foreign wars, and other matters is incredible and indicative of a very naive President, now very much out of touch with his constituents.
A new movement to regain control of the government by the people will be difficult but if America is to remain a world leader , it is essential . Fiscal responsibility is only one element of the task.
Seems more lik ea pasionate plea for Americans to wake the hell up….FAST!
What I have done personally is to carry no debt, with the exception of my house and God willing, will be able to continue at least that much. I am afraid to save much for the knowledge that our paper money is already useless….
M. Smith’
Greetings, Larry:
How? My answer:
-Immediately stop these wars, that oil-interests, along w/ Israeli interests started, stop it NOW.!!!!!!!!!!!
Unless America does not know what to do w/ their YOUNG, other than dispose of them….like in wars…
/I am so shocked the Bushes were not impeached by the way../
Stop Wall-Street corruption…CEOs starting companies just to be able to claim bankruptsy, these crooks flying their OWN airplanes w/ swimming pools, or having helicopters on their yachts….How sick!!!! How corrupt.
These animals /excuse me kitty/ these dirts distroy our country, and by the way, they are all over the world. Like lets say one of the richest “richest” man in the world is from/making money in India? India?
Mother Theresa must be turning over in her grave.
YES, more regulation, oversite is necessary, put a cap on ALL ALL CEO pays, at all ALL companies, that way they can not say …oh…”we can not find talent”…WHAT “TALENT” ?!!!!!! ….
Just a footnote:
Many working Americans, like lets say beauticians never got healthcare, or any co. benefits.through their lives…yet in Surprise, AZ, there is a fine medical building, where if You drag Yourself into, practically dying /place behind our beauty shop, my Bp. was 200 over 100/ they turn You away, for the place is a free FREE “clinic”only for MEXICANS, LEGAL OR ILLEGAL..for .yrs and yrs../LONG BEFORE PRESIDENT BARACK OBAMA took office/…..and on our little tax dollars , the ones , just next door, who work hard for nothing, loose their teeth their health, and their miserable jobs….. those full time workers, who are totally left out……..
Dee, from AZ
Americans should be wise up, and pretty much ignore the govt/wall strret propagandistic statistics, by diversifying into gold/silver coins(anti$ real money). And aboveall, just brace ourselves! We’re all bankrupt….the nation and all under these monstrous debts. Simply we just can’t possibly pay off the debts! So, DEFAULT is the only likely scenarior down the road; and we don’t have to walk very far down the road.
I think the best thing to do is get out of “Dodge.” The lunatics are taking over and there is no escaping. We are screwed!!
Larry Edelson,
Yes I do have some comments.
What about the possibility of “forgiving” mortgages one million dollars and lower ? (it has been done per the “Bible”. After seven years, loans where forgiven) As we are seeing the home values are now falling and should cover the majority of home owners.yes stats are showing an up tick in sales, but small). This would destroy the mortgage industry as we know it, but it would cauterize the major hemorrhaging(in every financial endeavor) that is occurring. We have a confidence crises. And if there is no turn around we are in for blood shed. With Bailout after bailout, the base has not been addressed ,and that is the US Citizen.
I have been following Dr. Wiess’s news letters since July of 2008 and I am seeing a slippery slope of our financial system. This will not end well. If mortgages, one million or less are forgiven an incredible turnaround will occur. First the biggest and may I say crucial issue is confidence. If no one believes Wall Street/Congress/Bankers can not pull anything off then it will be stagnant for years (example the Japanese Economy). Yes the Dow/Nas it is rising but this is a sucker rally and large institutions will bail out soon (it is written in the stars). Second, “forgiveness factor” will straighten the “Base”(As in the pyramid). Consumers will be able to concentrate on growth like nothing we have ever seen before (growth equals prosperity). We at the current pace will be over taken by China within years maybe months. If something radical is not done we will have a new master and he will be Chinese.
This will not go well with the American citizen and civil war WILL occur. First our Government will collapse due too the revolt. Second bloodshed will be the order of the day and race wars/ethnic wars ETC … will be raging and this country will become a tribal village. The bigger picture is very ugly.
I am not part of a think tank but, I would not be surprised if they have envisioned this scenario.
My suggestion are revolutionary indeed and needs more debate however we are approaching a “tipping point again” and there will be no return to normal. One of the tipping points that caused this mess in the first place(mind you tipping point, not what where the mounting policy’s) was that of fuel. Citizens had a choice between $5.00 per gallon and a roof over their heads and gasoline won the day (one must drive to work to pay for food). Do I need to make aware that Gasoline is creeping up again to unbearable levels ? (tipping point part two ?).
Victor Kwasnikoff
The only way we can stop the spending is to vote against all incumbents dems and repubs. In 2012 cantact anyone running for president and tell them that they will not get your vote unless they swear under oath that they will veto all spending bills. This will alow only the important spending to be passed with a required 2/3 overide vote. if you are in a state that alows a write in vote you can vote for Lamont Cranston. If you don’t know who Cranston is google the quote “who knows what evil lurks in the hearts of men?”
Bill Howard
I knew you would not post my comment because you are just like the Main Media you condemn. Making money and issuing a plea for change are two different things. Change has to come with a change of values. Making money is largely a mechanical thing with a little intelligence applied.
Remember: if you are not part of the solution; you are part of the problem.
Our local newspaper said there were ‘tens of thousands’ at the Taxpayers Revolt or the Tea Party in Washington, DC but NBC and CBS wouldn’t cover it. A friend just sent me something that the foreign press produced (the U.K.) and there were photos of a massive crowd that looked as big as the crowd at the Inauguration last January. The article said there were a MILLION persons present just in DC. There were many more big tea parties around the country. As long as the government doesn’t take over the Internet as they want so much to do (like China and Iran) then there is hope. One of the great signs in Washington on Saturday read, “King George didn’t listen to us either! Perhaps the sleepy majority is waking up.
I think everyone I listen to on the tv, read in print, or read on a computer screen is either a liar, a complete idiot, paid off, has no morales or the combination of that.
That really includes all the so called economic professors of havard or CNN or all government officials.
The only one that tries to not lie too much is the head of the FDIC Shiela.
Go to any bar and talk to anyone right now and they will tell you more about what is happening and how to fix it than anything you will get on the net, tv or print.
#1. Dollars do not mean anything they are just a virtual representation of work. PERIOD!
#2. The economy really is how much can one person make and how many people do you have working.
#3. To grow the economy you have to increase how much one person can make with less waste of material and environmental impact.
#4. To grow the economy you have to increase the number of men and women working and the number of hours they work.
Anything that does not help item #3 and #4 does not help the actual economy. Anything that hurts item #3 and #4 hurts the economy.
If lending money has the effect of making more Americans go to work then it helps. If lending money has the effect of making more Americans work more hours than it helps.
If legislation has the effect of making more Americans go to work then it helps. Like minimum domestic content laws.
Thats it folks. We are closing down domestic automobile plants in America were one man or women makes about one car per day. Yes you heard that right, one car per person per day the most advanced economy and profitable economy in the history of the WORLD! We Americans are subsiding companies with the stock market to take dollars overseas to build automobile plants which take 10, 000 workers to build less than 400 three wheel cars a day. Or 20 people per day to build a little more than a 3 wheel bicycle with a motor in India with F.
So credit is not the problem and never was. It is all a lie.
If you have a job and can pay the credit terms you can get credit.
If you have a job and make minimum wage you can not get credit because you can not pay for it anyways because you do not make enough to live on. PERIOD!
The problem is jobs and the enormous stealing of everything that is in America that is not nailed down by the stock market and our government while the rest of the people in the world are laughing at our stupidity.
Wake up America, the stock market is a shell game, PERIOD!
Wake up America, NOT one penny has been lost in the so called mortgage crisis, use a pencil and paper and figure out interest and pmi and downpayments and stop being an idiot and realize that banks can not lose money on home loans until over %50 of the people stop paying and even then the governement and pmi picks up the tab!!! IS everybody that stupid!!!!!
It is all about jobs and freedom everything else is a big fat LIE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Hi, Larry! If our outstanding consumer credit numbers came in at 5Xs lower than expected, you would think that American consumers are headed in the right direction by reducing debt and saving more. This should have been happening 20 years ago!
If consumer spending accounts for 70% of the total economic activity, and is shrinking/deleveraging at this rate, it seems to late to turn it around or change the system. Kind of like California, where the spending cuts can’t keep up with the ever decreasing tax revenue.
H. Paulson said that we needed the bail out money so the credit markets wouldn’t freeze. Well, he got his bailout money and the credit markets are freezing over.
Larry, thank you for your reports!
There was a time when I admired the US - no longer - any one group who votes in an incompetent like Obama (a product of lunatic affirmative action) deserves what they get. But this is just a start: what the world is witnessing is the shift of America into a third world country. As more and more third worlders flood into the country with no sense of what the Founding Father were talking about only with the one desire in mind - to get what the US government can give them - the balance of power in the country is shifting.
I grew up in Africa and frankly Obama African ways (I am not talking about color) makes me homesick, in a perverse sort of way, for the incompetence of Africa. Consider: spending government without consideration of where the money will come from (no fiscal responsibility) ; promising whatever is needed for the sake of an argument (without any commitment to keeping his promises), personally spending (think Michelle’s $500 sneakers while visiting the poor) as if they are a privileged class (that’s what affirmative action does).
The parallels with an incompetent African leader are startling.
In just the way we look at the chaos of Italy and wonder how the could be the ancestors of the Roman empire so we will look back at the US in 50 years and be amazed that it was a once powerful country capable, even, of putting a man on the moon. The tragedy of the US will be a case study for bankers. How a once great country destroyed itself through allowing an incompetent president to bankrupt it.
I can’t understand how the the US can keep issuing 10 year Treasury Bills at an interest rate of aproximately 3% and the world keeps buying US dollars at that rate. (Then again China hold 2 to 3 trillion of US treasury bills and Japan over a trillion more so ironicly they have a vested interest keeping the US Dollar strong) Obviously, the interest rate on US treasuries has to increase and I can understand why it hasn’t done so big time during the past several months.
Larry, can you explain this apparent conudrum?
I’m in full agreement with Randy Goodlett about our best and only defense at this time in our history being prayer and fasting. Glenn Beck said the same thing on his show on Saturday and will expound on it tonight. Randy said it all very eloquently. Obama and his hellish henchmen are looking to take full control of the economy and the people of the United States. We can either sit back and let it happen, like good sheeple, or we can fight back with our voice and numbers. The 9/12 events tell the story, of how the majority of Americans feel about this administration. Keep this alive and growing! Tell everyone you know! Be a part of the solution and talk intelligently about what’s happening in our country. Thank goodness for the 20 year old Hannah and 25 year old guy that just may be responsible for taking down Acorn with the video that they did. Show this to your kids. Inspire them to be a part of the solution too. They’re the ones that will be living in this crazy world after the baby boomers are long gone. Sooner than later in Obamacare! Get on your knees and pray, like you’ve never prayed before. God responds to a humble, praying people!!
If the Government would take another $5 Trillion and literally give to every body who has a job or had a job that is over 18 years of age, that would put beween $30 to $35,000 in the pockets of those who can’t find work, have mortgages to pay, need a car,have bills to pay and so on. People would start banks accounts, travel, buy things and the whole economy would blossom. Giving it to the banks only helps the banks, not the economy. Business would grow, banks would grow, people would go back to work to keep up the demand and so on. ADS
Larry,
By the look of the lengthy comment section, it looks like you hit one heck of a nail right on the head.
Three years ago I was CFO of a General Contractor and saw the recession coming. When the interest yield curve was inverted it was time to look for something else to do for a living. This year my past employer is hoping to do 10% of what we did three years ago and has had to lay off over 90% of the staff…and I’m out earning a good living by helping all types of companies make money by utilizing my financial brains.
Where we live, in the boonies, you can hear the most frightening of talk in the local barbershop, drugstore, and grocery store. Some say that civil war will breakout between those that work for a living and those that live off the government. Some say that America will no longer exist in a few years. Some say even worse. Such talk that I never in my almost 50 years of living did I ever think that I would hear from rational, hard working, and intelligent American people. The fear is everywhere that we have screwed up as a nation and have elected a President-for-Life. Every day you can meet people on the street that have bought guns for the first times in their lives. Oh what a predicament we have put ourselves in by wanting “Change We Can Believe In”.
We have thought of moving to Australia, yet we have not one, but two sons that are US Marines and the thought sickens us.
Five generations of my family have fought…and died…for this country. Why should we give it up to the ultra-liberal, and so obviously lost, left wing radicals?
So, we shall stand firm and argue for term limits, debt reduction, fiscal restraint, wise monetary policy, and the return of Godliness and Common Sense to America.
God Bless,
Randall Turner, MBA
The only way to reverse our US economic free-fall is to reduce existing debt, establish a moratorium on future frivolous government spending and increase exports of US products overseas. Simple parametrics through sensitivity analysis modeling can reveal the concerning trend we are facing.
Curb Government Spending
It is clear there are hundreds of government programs that either should not receive government funding or should have their funding significant decreased. These programs continue to provide specious arguments for their necessity of funding and should be eliminated or significantly downsized. Just has a household would obviously cut back on utility spending or cable service, so should the government on programs that are either over funded or duplicated.
Moratorium on Government Spending
The US has relied heavily on international debt. These international countries are now pulling back and investing in other more stable economies. Just as one should not leverage their spending by using 7 credit cards, the United States should not borrow from Peter to pay Paul. We need to remove the politicians from monetary decision making process in an effort to stabilize our economy. Politicians have graphically proven, through example, the art of monetary mismanagement.
Increase International Exports
By observing countries such as China, it is clear the fundamental basis for a stable and healthy economy is through strong exports. The Small Business Administration needs to stream line the SBA 504 and 7A Programs giving companies the ability to purchase facilities for manufacturing and R&D. Through ownership credits and tax credits manufacturers can then invest more in their R&D and ultimately bolster exports. It is very simple - more needs to go out than comes in.
I appreciate the opportunity to participate in this forum.
George M. Prince
Founder & President
Prince Commercial Real Estate Services, Inc.
Celebrating 14 Years (1995-2009)
2601 Main Street, Suite 540
Irvine, California 92614 USA
949-852-1300 Ext.23 949-852-8300 Fax
License Number: 01065864
gprince@princecommercial.com
Drilling our own oil ,Alaska -off Fla -out west–etc., would save over 400 BILLION a year with the capital, wages and taxes going toward our debt. Drill here , drill now. Push your legislator..go free
I’ll begin to worry when Walmart stops buying cheap stuff from China or when the chinese stop selling it to us for dollars.
i’m with john williams on this. used to laugh at conspiracy theorists, but not since 9-11. to believe our leaders are so stupid that they have unwittingly blundered into the mess that now exists is fantasy. THEY AREALMOST ALL LAWYERS AND THEY ARE NOT STUPID!! both political parties are selling us down the drain. to believe that a repub president or congress would be any different is sheer nonsense as is evidenced by the gw bush years. what can we do to get out of this mess? there is only one way out and it may be too late for that.
Well, I’ve only been able to find 15 hours of work per week, for almost 2 years straight, at piddly little jobs making either $7.50 an hour or $8.50 an hour - because of having returned to school. And though I haven’t been in school since April and don’t plan to go this fall, I can’t find more hours in Jacksonville, FL. So many people are looking and so few jobs are available. I’m not married and have no other source of income. So, not living above my means is pretty much impossible right now. It costs more than I make to live - just needs and necessities. But since I didn’t come from a family of money, and my parents couldn’t afford to pay my way through college, and I never got scholarships even with my good grades, I’ve had to borrow to go to school. No other way. I’m not a minority race or anything like that. I’m 36 now, and my whole adult life has been a constant struggle to find decent paying jobs. And I’m actually pretty smart. The good thing about all this is that it has amounted to me living my own personal Great Depression my whole adult life. I struggled with the feelings of entitlement and frustration and not being have nice things for a long time. But after all this time, by the time our economy started to fall, I was already prepared and used to living this way. I have some pretty clevel ideas on how to survive and get by. But unfortunately, I do have debts to pay back - mostly student loans. And I have no idea how I’ll do it. I fear our future (our country) is quite bleak. Our current administration seems smart enough to know what predicament we’re in, and yet he’s showing no real, true signs of concern. I think we’re done for. Our current government isn’t going to do enough of the right things to change our situation, and maybe that’s their agenda, who knows? But We have to get used to having a lot less. We have to take a real cold, hard look at what is truly necessary and what isn’t. We’re so unused to that, as a nation, that I don’t think we’ll make it in time. It’s going to take worse conditions before the majority really “gets it”, in my my view. And I surely hope I’m wrong. But I currently work in a mall, and I don’t see any real difference in people’s spending habits. It’s very worrisome.
I have been buying some metal stocks, the best one is fcx-m which paid 15% on my first purchases, some gold and silver coins, some preferred stoocks a little ge, pipeline stocks and am considering overseas bank accounts converted to other currencies, also everbank had some cd’s denominated in other currencies. What are yoour thoughts?
With a total Federal debt and unfunded obligation of over 1 million dollars per US household, it can also be said that this expense is actually closer to 2 million dollars per each “tax paying” household in the U.S.
In 1900 the US budget was about 1 Billion dollars for close to 100 million people at about $10.00 per citizen. In 2009 the US budget will be close to 3 1/2 Trillion dollars for about 3 million people at about $11,600 per citizen. Are we 1,200 times better off?
We have reached the point where the Federal debt and unfunded obligations exceed all the wealth and value of real estate in the U.S. If the US government could reduce spending by 40%, or increase Federal taxes by 40%, or some combination of the two options, this situation could be addressed. This is not a partisan issue. It is an issue that will impact all US citizens and precariously position the nation for a ruinous economic future that would make this past year seem like a walk in the park. We are at the final crossroad. It is the tipping point, the crucible, the last chance to alter course. For further information please consult the Peter G. Peterson Foundation, headed by the former (non-political) Comptroller General of the US David Walker.
Consider this last point. In the 1970’s the U.S. Department of Energy was established ostensibly to address our dependence on foreign oil. Today the number of employees populating this bureaucracy has grown by thousands. Again I ask, are we any better off? With a Federal budget that sprinkles hundreds of billions of dollars on unnecessary expenditures, e.g., tens of millions of dollars for breeding Salt Marsh mice in San Francisco and for constructing tunnels under interstate roads for turtle crossings, there should be no doubt. Without dramatic, bold and expeditious action by the Congress, the existing worsening situation will soon become agonizingly irreversable for us, our children and our grand children. Our government may then feel compelled to take final drastic action to save itself at the ruinous sacraficial expense and standard of living of its citizens.
I’ve been telling those around me, “Americans spent their tomorrows yesterday”, for quite some time now due to easily acquired credit, with no thought given to repaying the burden of credit. To analogize this to my children, I tell them to picture themselves in a box with a cover on it. If they run up debt, the cover cannot be pushed off, because of the weight of the debt service firmly holding the escape hatch down. This is now a country, with millions trapped inside individual boxes feeling alone, desperate and helpless, inside a box, with no hope of escape.
Responsibility begins in the home. To those of you who have nurtured this, I commend you. To those who haven’t, it’s never to late to teach, that everything doesn’t have to be learned in, ” The school of hard knocks”.
We should return to constitutional government–which authorizes no wealth redistribution. If we were to end all entitlements–which is just ridding ourselves of unconstitutional wealth redistribution– we would have a balanced budget and then some to spare. Then we could switch to the FairTax and end income and all other federal taxes and have a resurgence of the American economy, pay down our debt, and return to an ongoing national prosperity.
Larry, Very nice summary of events that are too big to divert. At least we can prepare and make some money by understanding these events. Expediency always gets us in trouble as individuals and as a country. Long term perspective is boring and painful.
Jobs are the key to saving our economy ! Bring the corporations back to this country where they belong and stop all this out sourcing and then we will have plenty of jobs again to re-heat the economy ! Stop the minipulation of the markets, frequent trading etc. In order to preserve individual wealth they need to enforce the buy and hold rules ! Outlaw lobbying to clean up all the corruption in government ! AMEN!!!
Canada was in a far worse possition in the early 1990s with even higher percentage of foreign ownership of debt, a record low for the C$, declining competitiveness and promises of balanced budgets turning out ever-increasing deficits under the Conservative governemtn. Paul Martin, as Liberal minister of finance, turned all that around producing better trade and economic statistics, a dollar that rose and ever-increasing budget surpluses. To see what to do, just study what Paul Martin already did. He saved this country.
How to restore order? Easy.
1) Outlaw the Fed
2)Stock up on lots of sharp pencils and clean paper to redesign system.
3) Make new system the law, changeable only by popular referendum
Well I am going to be honest here: Eight months ago I stopped paying for anything except my son’s college education and monthly necessities like rent, food and car insurance. I am not paying any more credit debt period, nothing! I believe that 60% of Americans will come out of this ten year recession with heavily damaged or no real credit worthiness and therefore I believe it will be easier to regain credit at that time than pay the exhorbiitant interest rates I am currently paying to maintain my credit rating and that rate is going to go up. I don’t want to own a house in the future; at least not in this country. I rent and move to were the next job is.
In the last year I have worked in three different cities nationwide and have a much easier time finding high paying jobs [130K per year] being able to move anywhere at anytime. Two years ago I put away about 30 ounces of gold bullion in a family safety deposit box and now I am buying 20 ounces of silver every month and putting aside for the coming crash.
Once thing I do pay is my taxes as you can’t run from the IRS in this day and age.
The last thing I am doing to do is officially begin the three year process of becoming a citizen of another country, Caribbean area, where I intend to move once my son’s college is paid for in three more years.
I have been ranting about this countries spending habits since Reagan educated me on possible future we were digging for ourselves. Now the future is here and I don’t feel responsible for the financial suicide we are committing. Once my son’s college is paid for….My A$$ Is Gone Offshore! and I am not planning on moving back.
There you have my plan.
Hi Larry,
You asked for comment on spending versus saving.
I believe the answer lies in timing. While we are in a recession, consumers need to spend to help get us out of the recession. As we know, consumers represent about 70% of the economy.
When the economy improves, i.e., GDP @ 2% or better, we need to start saving.
Best regards,
Jim
Thanks for asking, Larry: :) NO MORE — bailouts at taxpayer expense; programs that cost the taxpayers billions while “saving” millions; lobbies; campaign contributions with strings attached (if you give $$ over a certain level, you sign a guarantee that you will not ask for nor accept any favors); a LOT more congressional accountability, rotating committee chairs, and — a constitutional amendment that would set one presidential term of 6 years, NO REPEATS, so the incumbent could actually work for 6 years, rather than work for 2 and spend 2 trying to get re-elected. Maybe even require that the parties alternate the presidency, which would take campaigning totally out of the equation. The Founding Fathers envisioned that Congress would govern with the tempering influences of the Executive and Judicial branches, but that can’t happen if the members are so busy feathering their own nests and paying back favors that they can’t or won’t do their job they were hired to do. And, ladies and gentlemen, we DO hire them. Let’s keep reminding them about that.
What am I doing? Reading a lot, trying to learn from it, I’ve moved what little I have (left) to a different manager, suing my (former) manager (because I can’t string him up by his non-existent private parts), selling my home and as much personal property as I can to raise money, and hoping the foregoing will be enough to see me through the rest of my life (P.S., I want to live a looong time).
its clear that the us goverment has been taken over by JP MOrgan and the private banks. what they are up to we don’t know, but they seem intent on totally wrecking the us economy, and are well on the way to doing it.
May be a silly question to someone who understands the situation far more than I do. Is it likely or more preferable that international currencies consider in the future revaluing their currencies against a more stable currency, such as the Chinese Yuan, if indeed that is more stable?
I love the remark from Peter who said there is only one solution; sell all the land west of the Mississippi to China. On a serioius note it seems to me that is the course we are on now. China ( will) soon own us. As Larry and Tony keep repeating over and over every day, the Asians are buying all the good stuff in natural resorces, oil, and gold. I own what they are teling me to buy and am doing very well on every recommendation. Our county is on the path to what Lincoln said ” the country will not be taken by the outside if the fall of the land comes; it will be from within.” How tragic every thing within - government, big business, banks - are the straws that are breaking the back of this country. I try to inform people.
In answer to the question, The U.S. and All Americans
Between a Rock and a Hard Place
Either …
• U.S. consumers and the U.S. government must slash spending drastically, accepting a deeper economic decline or …
• They will perpetuate the borrow-and-spend cycle, destroying the U.S. dollar and, ultimately, our standard of living.
I’d like to hear your thoughts on how we might get out from under this mess we find ourselves in — and, more importantly, what YOU are doing to protect yourself, your family, and your retirement from the dollar’s demise.
Stop the spending and let us feel the pain now and put it behind us.
Obama should look back through the stimulus packages and cut all the pork! Use an executive ‘do over’ after we have felt some pain and are ready to move ahead with drastic measures.
Determine which executives were in on the greed and saddle them with huge tax burdens. Pass those promised executive orders regarding excessive bonus to executives of bailed out companies or failing companies.
Terminate the czars that have been hired.
Disseminate the facts in this article over television. (Maybe on Fox Network)
It was very powerful to read about what other countries think of us!
Thank you for your work!
I’m investing in ETF’s and dividend paying stocks of countries that have natural resource export based economies such as Canada and Australia. The whole world wants and/or must buy what they sell, no matter what (grain crops, iron ore, copper, zinc, nickel, oil, uranium, gold, etc). Plus their financial systems (especially Canada’s) are solid.
Beats me why anyone invests in US hi-tech companies which could be blown away by some newer/better/cheaper technology at any moment, or US banks which are just a shaky house of cards.
I am trying to protect my family by signing up for your Real Wealth Report and plan to try to follow your advice. We fly to Singapore every June to visit our Granddaughter, and it gets more expensive every year.
Larry,
You are the only finance person I have EVER written a letter to. I’ve been reading your comments and listening to your talks, and have concluded that you make the most sense of the whole bunch of “gurus”
I read your “plea” comment with much interest. While most readers thought the content was scarry, which it is,
the facts you describe are irrefutable, yet the reasons for their development over the last 90 years are NOT surprising at all. In fact, the “world scene debaucle” which we are now seeing, is quite overdue. The biggest shock that I got from your readers comments was that NOBODY picked up the real reasons. I have been studying/watching the world economy for more than 25 years, and can see that all the pieces of the giant picture puzzle are now being rapidly put into their slots. My views and conclusion are even scarrier than yours. I do not dare to post them on your page for all to see, but would dearly like to write to you DIRECT, if you are interested. I live in Australia and am 69 years old.
Take care of yourself and your family. Thats all that matters.
Kind regards,
Robert
Let’s face it we have reached the end of the robe, in my opinion and there is no way I could think of to save this? What a shame.
Herbert Riedl
Hi Larry,
With some of the major banks short in gold and silver, price in the millons do you think they will take the precious metals market down.
look forward on your view.
Thanks.
Ian.
I think it will be the Federal govt. destroying the dollar and such in order to keep the game going. If they decide to cut benefits and spending, It would signal the death nell to the political party in power, and since they are politicians it will be put off the table until the problem is to big to hide.
As long as “the one” and democrats are in charge nothing is going to change, except for the worst I’m afraid. Hey did you hear “O” is proposing sweeping new regulations in the banking sector, yes I am feeling a bit snide today.
do you reckon the british pound will get any weaker against the australian dollar .i’m moving there shortly and am worried the pound will be worth even less in the nex few months your opinion most appreciated best regards jim
Earl,
The Fed prints the money out of thin air, then loans to us (the USA) with interest. Doing it this way is like charging yourself money to give yourself a loan. We could print our own money, like JFK started to do through an executive order. Too bad he died after only a few bills were printed. Hmmmm LBJ stopped the presses, but Kennedy’s executive order still stands to this day.
Thirty years ago I stopped buying anything that depreciates on credit. I’ve paid cash ever since.
I think comsumers are as much to blame as the banks. Anyone should have been able to see that that No down payment, not payment of principle was completely illogical. Many people have dug themselves into a hole and want to blame anyone but themselves. NUTS!
Larry,
Always enjoy reading and hearing your analysis of the markets. I understand with the devaluation of the dollar that a person wants to have their money invested in ” real ” assets such as gold, natural resources etc. which you recommend. What is your opinion on single family rental property? My business is buying single family at a discount, fixing them up, and renting. Since a house is a real asset I would think if the value of the dollar goes down the price of the house would go up and people are always going to need a place to live. What do you think?
What we have to do is simple. Follow what someone who has been through an economic crash before had done. Refer to books on what the people in the Soviet Union did, or the People in Argentina after their economy collapsed, and our own Great Depression. I find Dimitri Orlov to be spot on with his suggestions: 1) GET OFF THEIR GRIDS! Do everything you can to get off their electric, food, gas, water grids asap or make friends with someone who already has. Their grids are how they will siphon off your remaining wealth. 2) YOU’VE BEEN LIED TO - Get over it and do something constructive like learn a new skill that will be useful in the replacement economy after this bubble economy is no more. 3) LOCALIZE YOUR LIFESTYLE. Learn to use food and necessities from your own geographic area. Our transportation system is one that Bulgaria would be ashamed of.
And Larry, China is no panacea of virtue. China was caught with their hand in the cookie jar so tp speak when a ship carrying Chinese weapons was intercepted in route to re-arm the Janjaweed who have been systematically clearing out whole villiges in the Sudan under the guise of Islamic fundamentalism. This may be true to the murderers. However, a better explanation is that they are clearing the land so millions of Chinese can move there! That also exlains why there are thousands of Chinese engineers in and near the Sudan building an infrastructure to support millions. It’s not for the dwindling number of natives. It also solves the problem of further environmental degredation on the Chinese mainland due to all that manufacturing. They can export the factories to their new ‘colony’ and they’ll be closer to the raw materials they’ll use, etc . . . An ugly page torn right out of our own playbook as far as the American Indian is concerned. So, How do you feel about making money on China now?
Furthermore, you indicate that China is not copying the US. I disagree. Their new ‘consumerism’ is itself a bubble that will burst someday. And perhaps sooner than you think. Those resources they’ve cornerd are the last remaining resources on the planet, and once their gone into all of their automobiles an flat screen TV’s thanks to their stimulus program, they’ll be as resource poor as we are right now and equally unble to show anything for it. It will all prove to be a shameful waste.
Laying the foundation for the NAU and amero? I’m not a conspiracy theorist just an ordinary investor concerned about the destruction of the dollar.
Larry,
I hate to say this but I believe that America’s financial future is doomed. In my opinion our decline started when we allowed manufacturing companies to close and give other countries our jobs. If I am right, why did CEO’s and elected officials let this happen and why is it never reported in the news? Don’t people realize that when one job is eliminated, in addition to earnings (wealth) from that job being lost, but earnings (wealth) from available jobs is reduced because more people are competing for fewer jobs. The result is a gross decline in standard of living.
Larry, While I enjoyed and agree with your article today, I find it odd that you are asking your readers what we are doing to protect our assets. The reason we subscribe and read articles from Martin Weiss and his associates is for them to advise us and what to do in the current situation.
Two investments I have made is to invest in Gold and silver( bullion as well as recommended ETF’s),as well as TBT in anticipation of interest rates going up as a result of all our borrowed money. Since the gold &silver ETF’s as well as TBT are long term investments I have also sold covered calls. I sold the calls with strike prices 20% above my purchase price and the ARR on the calls have been between 8 &12%. Any other recommendations are welcomed. Thanks, Ivan Ekhaus
1. Make all OTC derivatives contracts retroactively illegal.
2. Trace down the winners in the game of the fradulent securities, expose them, put them on trial for fraud, collect the ill-gotten gains. Do it with a vengence. Show the Asians (and the American people) that our laws mean something - they sure don’t right now.
3. New currency, backed with gold. [No gold in government coffers? The chase to retrieve our stolen futures ought to motivate discovery. Real theft and fraud has taken place here - whether through sophisticated means or Ponzi schemes.]
You’re right and it’s crazy that the powers that be in this country are too busy trying to buy votes with health care entitlements or tax cuts to the wealthy. This country needs to make some tough choices which may include a quick increase in interest rates once there is a sign of recovery to quell inflation and decreases in spending by our government.
The only positive at this point is that people are saving attempting to pay off their debt.
Dear Larry:
First, thank you for your numerous advisories. They have been most helpful.
By asking “how do we get out of this mess?” you obviously identify your penchant for asking the hardest of questions. The problem of protecting (and growing) one’s family wealth is, obviously, becoming an ever more complex issue.
First, anyone with property holdings sufficiently large to trigger an estate tax upon death (currently that trigger sits at $3.5 million) is well advised seeking legal advise on how to restructure their personal estate in a manner that reduces or eliminates that taxes significant threat to family wealth.
Next, if one operates on the belief that the value of the U.S. dollar is doomed, than exchanging today’s dollars for goods or services that have a strong prospect of sustaining and/or growing against that decline is also well advised. To that end, as you have often noted, holding precious metals has historically served as a hedge.
Another available market choice is to actively exchange any U.S. currency one does not require for the conduct of day-to-day living for foreign currencies that are well positioned to rise in value as the U.S. dollar continues its decline over time. There are numerous ways this can be done.
For example, CDs can be purchased from some institutions where (1) the principal is guaranteed (as with all traditional CDs) and (2) returns are defined in terms of the future value of a basket of foreign currencies (such as the BRIC currencies) rather than by any specifically guaranteed interest rate. Further, some domestic banks, for about a 1% charge, will hold your cash savings denominated in the foreign currency (or currencies) of your choice.
Along a similar line of thought, trading off-shore in equities that are denominated in currencies other than the U.S. dollar allows for a play in both the underlying company and in the movement of that foreign denomination (as against the U.S. dollar) at the time of sale. This strategy provides investors a double shot at increasing their wealth.
The choice of one’s local bank is also critical. Though it can be argued that the FDIC has access to about one-half trillion in credit line funds to insure our nation’s domestic banking system, the realities are (1) the FDIC is currently broke and (2) the FDIC’s current insurance obligations exceed four trillion dollars in current bank deposits—a number it has no financial means to address in the event of a general run on the banks. As sad as it is to say, it has almost become safer in today’s banking environment to keep one’s money under the mattress than to entrust it to a bank where depositors are assigned the legal status of being unsecured creditors. In no instance, whatsoever, should one hold any single banking account that exceeds FDIC insurance guarantees. The same advise—though admittedly inconvenient—can be given respecting the “insurance protections” that surround security brokerage accounts.
As we all know, Americans are famous for the number of lawsuits they institute. This problem is likely to get worse as the economy continues to falter. Therefore, I would also suggest that, if possible, holding a good percentage of family wealth abroad—especially through privately held foreign companies, trusts, or private interest foundations (in which one’s family owns and controls the beneficial interests)—will make it more difficult for individuals in our litigious society to either identify or successfully attack personal assets via the mechanism of a law suit.
Simply put, the data based information technologies that are used here in the United States by lawyers, creditors, hackers, identity-thieves, and others to seek out your family’s asset holdings over the internet, operate far more poorly when those assets are based abroad. Though I am not a lawyer, I hasten to add that no one should ever use this strategy as a devise to avoid disclosure of resources or income to the IRS as required by existing law.
Further, even if one’s foreign property holdings are eventually disclosed through a local court’s discovery processes, often a litigant suing your family will not be able to pursue the matter through the legal maze(s) encountered in distant, foreign jurisdictions under treaties allowing reciprocity in the enforcement of judgments. This might be true for several reasons. For example, someone suing you domestically may not have the financial means to continue the process abroad. Second, the statute of limitations in many foreign jurisdictions begins to run at the time a suit is brought here in the United States. This means that the time for filing a judgment overseas can expire even before a judgment is procured in the states. Once that statute of limitations has run, a party is barred from enforcing their domestic judgment(s) extra-territorially in the foreign jurisdiction where the property is held. It is important to note that there is nothing illegal about either having assets stored overseas or using the laws of foreign jurisdictions in intelligent ways to protect you family.
Moving on, part of the answer to your “what can be done” question must be addressed at the national level.
The humorist, Will Rogers, famously stated that “we have the best Congress money can buy.” That witticism—from the early part of the last century—unfortunately, contain “truths” that continue to plague our nation to this very day.
Perhaps a good starting point for reestablishing common sense in our government’s fiscal policy is to work toward the wholesale firing of Congress in each election cycle. Using the power of the vote to disengage our lawmakers from the powerful, money interests that finance their reelections might assist in reeling back the numerous inappropriate and absurd spending practices we read about daily that are too often passed as political paybacks.
Next, supporting efforts to expose and extinguish the destructive nature of private institutions posing as government entities that, in reality, have nothing to do with “we the people” would also help.
Here I recommend we begin by ridding the country of control by the central bankers (i.e., the Federal Reserve). That institution—for any of your readers who may not be aware of its history—is nothing more than a private consortium of bankers. It has been said, quite correctly, that the Federal Reserve is no more federal in its standing than Federal Express. Despite that, it operates as a fourth branch of government. Congress gave the Fed the power it holds today. Congress can revoke it. Working to promote that end is, I believe, well advised.
Finally, as I just indicated, many in our society have no knowledge of the history that ceded our nation’s monetary controls to the Federal Reserve in 1913. Worse yet, many think that those who might presume to speak of unwinding the Fed’s tentacles from the throat of our Republic’s business hail from an unpatriotic or lunatic fringe. To these folks I would simply recall the words of two presidents.
President Jefferson wrote in a caution (that should now seem glaringly transparent to millions of Americans):
“If we American people ever allow monopoly banking to control the issue of currency, first by inflation and then by deflation, these banks and bureaucracies that will grow up around them will deprive we the people of all our property until our children will wake up homeless on the continent which God gave us for stewardship.”
President Wilson, after signing the institution of central banking into existence in 1913, wrote as follows:
“I have unwittingly ruined my country. A great industrial nation is controlled by its system of credit. Our system of credit is concentrated in the hands of a few men. We have come to be one of the worst ruled, one of the most completely controlled and dominated governments in the world . . . no longer a government of free opinion, no longer a government by conviction and vote of the majority, but a government by opinion and duress of small groups of dominant men.”
Divesting those “small groups of dominant men” of their control over our treasury, strikes me as a good starting point in reclaiming our national heritage of freedom and abundance.
Best Wishes,
RLR
Larry–I’m retired and when I retired in 1997 I planned on interest rates of
only 4%. I thought that that was very conservative as as CD’s then were running 7%. I never thought that our govt would force rates so low to cover all the financial folly of both the private sector and govt itself. So much for doing the right thing (living conservatively-saving money for the future) so that we could live in retirement. I feel that the govt really screwed people like me. Now they want my healthcare. They can have it as I hope that I die tomorrow.
I appreciate you information, and I am hungering for a solution in addition to reduced spending, I am very disappoint with the behavior of our politicians as you can see clearly in the consumer protection laws, “I recently attempted to buy a product on line and ended up in a repetitive billing practice that I can’t stop and the bank has placed that burden on me, this has occurred inspite of the steps I took to prevent any problem prior to the receipt of any product. I believe the ordinary citizen is willing to do what it takes to heal the problem but there has to be a shift (restoring an integral system) in the practices in leadership - we need representation, honest representation, national and purposeful representation with the agreement and support of citizenry (consumers).
Dear Larry
Good information on your blog. It appears that the US dollar will be destroyed by the Federal reserve whose duty it is to protect the value of the USD. The country has lost its way morally, and financially. This disaster will I fear show up ultimately in rioting in the streets New Orleans style.
My reaction to the slow demise of America is to buy gold and silver, and Canadian dividend paying stocks. I am watchig the market for signs that these investments should be sold. That is probably some time in mid 2010.
The US is such a self centered country only a small number of wise Americans can see the decline happening. I was hoping the new President could get the country back on a sane path, but he seems to have no idea of how to guide the country financially.
I see the outlook for the US as accelerating decline guided by American arrogance and myopia. Todays announcement of a tarrif an Chinese tires, without any justification under trade law is a perfect example of this.
This is just as dumb as George Bush going to war with iraq illegally without the backing of the UN.
In times like this I think precious metals are going to turn out to be the best investment. George started an expensive hot war. Barrak may get a trade war going, at the beginning of a depression!
regards
George
Hi Larry, Great work you do….keep it up. Personally I’m beginning to worry about the direction of the leadership of the country. Especially when I talk to people in their 80’s who have seen a lot of hard times and there very worried about the nature of our financial system running the country (ruining our country?)
Anyhow, since I used to be an expert in logistics and personally know that any given community in the US only has 4-5 days food supply in the grocery stores, it would be very wise for everyone to stock up with at least a 3 month food supply for your family. As far as investment advise, that’s why I subscribe to you.
Greetings Larry
As always, I look forward to your articles and follow your advice often. I just sold my gold etf. Put the profit towards credit debt and will keep the principal for now. Ive been slowly accumulating natural gas lately, started buying too early but my average looks good for the long haul. No planned moves on it for 1-2 years. The rest of my portfolio is in a small cap bear at the moment. When that makes me a profit, I will buy more metals and mining…also some green tech for the future…and some Asian stocks…. I prefer to trade in my own currency (CDN) but sometimes have to delve into the NYSE…
I like GPR/EPL/RUS/SIR/AZD/NENE/NPD/EDU…Still looking for a good Asian uitility company that pays a dividend…
Im a young investor, new to the stock market and investing in general. To be honest, this market scares me right now. It was easy when I started in Nov/08…but its becoming much scarier now. I dont feel that the global markets are representative of the real economic situation. Its confusing, as the US continues to manipulate the public and continues to print money with no plan for payback…So Im going for things that I KNOW will appreciate in the coming years…natural resources/metals/green energy and Asia…
I look forward to further articles
Sincerely
CB
Whaddya mean WE borrowed, Kemosabe?
I only borrowed because the prices of everything went up my whole life, while my wages have remained steadfast and static. I merely tried to offset the “inflation” of my Federal Reserve Notes turning to dust once the gold was removed from Fort Knox (& under the World Trade Center?) and silver was outlawed.
Did you lose your 401K or investments last year when our “leaders” voted themselves (& Wall Street comrades) the treasury? Many lost theirs! But no one at the top.
If not for computer/plastic CREDIT, we’d be in hyperinflation like Russia, Argentina, African dumps, Austria, Bosnia, Brazil, once even China, etc.
China is buying resources, not asking for credit. They don’t want to buy our bonds (have over a trillion $) or hold our FRNs (had over a trillion on hand in 2008) and are actively trying to sell them, while telling Chinamen everywhere to buy some gold & silver themselves. You’ll note the US Gov does not tell Americans to do so.
China will mine more gold & silver and drill their own resources as possible, but with over five times as many people as the USA in the same amount of land space, they don’t have time to goof about like the Washington DC lobbyists and politicians do. Perhaps the old robber-baron plan was to use up the mid-East’s oil before drilling ours, but the current mass-lefty-liberal green intervention has no science or common sense behind it, let alone any desire to protect our security or sovereignty that GIVES them the liberty to be Hollywood-celebrity cult-of-personality numbskulls. Our manufacturing has been sold out over 30 years. SO we’ve got nothing; we’ll have still less, soon.
And don’t ignore silver would be the new gold, if not for faux manipulation by the bankers. We’ve used up the silver in industry, and we can’t mine that much more from the crust, let alone in a timely fashion. But the robber barons have hoarded gold throughout history and will NEVER let that value fall.
None of this is an accident. Roosevelt said nothing in politics is. Wilson said there are men behind the scenes about whom we dare not speak above whispers. Lincoln held State Legislatures at gun point. All three changed the money system. Bush/The Dick Cheney and now Obamarx have usurped and claimed unauthorized powers, trampling our rights, sovereignty & security (worse than Clinton in Chinagate). We’ve had 21 years of horrid anti-American presidents, JUST NOW. Many States now have the motto: We Made Bad Presidents.
We’re deluged with minor emergencies, diversions, false science crises, dog-wagging wars—all to keep us from torching, pitch-forking, tar & feathering our corrupt elected officials. Only if we clean them up can they clean up the appointed bureaucracies. I was going to tell you, but died from bird flu a few years back.
UNELECT ALL INCUMBENTS, time after time—total term limits. If we make it to another election cycle, each time, it’s the only thing short of revolution that has a chance. (AND THEY HOPE it will be just long enough to rob us to death. Evidently the elected officials somehow hallucinate it is worth it, as if they will survive and be protected. They sold us out.)
Don’t ask We The People to pay for this mess (like Geithner & Obamarx expect), even if we were lazy and complacent and dumbed down and distracted with sports & recreation, bread & circuses. The curse came FROM the elected officials who refused to do their assigned jobs and honour their oaths. THEY will be the death of us. (However, we SHOULD have policed them & the rich all along.)
If we don’t stop the sell-out, we will all go down together. Expect the final stroke to come no later than right after the politicians fill their pockets and move to other countries, out of harm’s way.
But don’t expect any countries to bail us out with aid and charity the way we helped them for 50 years!!! Don’t expect foreign aid from them. They’ve got their own problems, which will get worse when we can’t pay for goods, like we’re seeing in China now, who changed their whole economy to pamper and profit from us. When we choke, all the folks we were buying from will, as well. Vlad Lenin and the Russky boys said they’d sell capitalists the rope with which to hang us. They said fascism is capitalism in decline. It doesn’t matter that socialism-to-communism NEVER worked nor can work, and that all workers ALWAYS want to run across USA borders where the living is good and you got to keep a piece of your earnings. The ignorant ALWAYS prefer the baloney of Marxism.
I think it was Reagan who said you tell a Commie ’cause he reads Lenin & Marx (that’d be Obamarx’s minions). You can tell an anti-Commie ’cause they UNDERSTAND Lenin & Marx (that’d be today’s conservatives).
If we collapse, we’ll be the smoke while the other countries will just be the mirrors. Then we’ll be the ashes, and there’ll be no phoenix in OUR lifetimes. Just socialism and slavery.
I say let’s hold accountable the politicians: from now on, every year, the new fall fashions include tar & feathers.
$ 72,000 Australian CD
160,000 Sep/IRA - B of A Money Market
25,000 B of A Time Deposit Account
100,000 Partner in 2 Apt Bldgs
60,000 GLD, DBA, SLV, AUY, BPT, EWZ, PHO, APA
20,000 American Equity Annuity - 5 years left
Don’t know what to do. Live in CA & considering moving to OR. House worth $1.300,000.
Should I cash out all other stocks and go into gold? How about new BRIC CD Everbank is offering?
Single 71 year old still trying to make money in Real Estate Sales. Biggest problem is what to do with SEP/IRA. Need help.
Have subscribed to your Real Wealth Report for 3 years. Never used stop losses so have lost money. Any suggestions?
Donna
Since I don’t have a million dollars to pay my share of the debt, and also assuming others do not have it either, I will do like a lot of people. I will simply do without. It does come to mind though, the bartering system will probably flourish. Being retired and living mostly on social security, my most pressing need will be food. I am going to stock pile garden seed so I can plant and grow something to eat. Then barter vegetables for other needs.
Our leaders have brought this mess on us, yes both republican and democrat. I for one, will vote all of the incumbents the next election OUT. It is my hope that others will do the same.
An involvement with antques of varied types discloses that considerable funds of the “baby boomer” generation is being “invested” in top grade antiques including guns, stamps, furniture, art work and of course anything that is sterling or known gold content. This seems to be the case as such items are not controlled, difficult for any government agency to find and tax. Many such items are “portable” and the value is fairly well established among those with knowledge of such objects. The conclusion seems to be that in difficult times owners can dispoe of such items easily and quietly. There is also a sense of near doom with some who are cashing instruments of uncertain value or that may be controlled by others who prior “track record is chcked at best. This is probably not a major factor as yet but historically has been a haven for many from Nazi Germany to the 1980s. Something to think about as those with money find such things as a more certain store of value and with not the medium of exchange that cash is much safer. Thanks for your consideration.
Let the system flush itself out of all excesses.We are better off feeling the pain now,then totally destroying our way of life.I know about the CFR,TRI LATERAL COMMISSION,BILDERBERG GROUP,AND WHO RUNS THE FERERAL RESERVE,so, I do not think we have much say in what is going to happen.All we can do is figure out what ‘THEY’ are thinking,and go with the flow.
Each of us has to act as an individual, save where we can and move a portion of our funds into physical gold and silver. Widespread abandonment of the banking system will, most certainly lead to a systemic failure, and the collapse of the dollar. That’s going to happen anyway. Those who have “domestic assets” readily convertible to dollars when the collapse comes will be able to profit from the collapse. Those unprepared will suffer from it. (Foreign assets will likely suffer from consfiscatory tax rates as the collapse comes closer. Some foreign banks are already refusing to deal with US “persons” due to an aversion to dealing with the US IRS.) China’s recent policy change, encouraging private investment in physical gold and silver, will surely put long term upward pressure on the price of precious metals while doing damage to precious metals “price manipulators”. If China buys “US Hard Assets” such as land, buildings, factories, etc., our governmental entities … cities, counties, states, etc., will tax the assets sufficiently to service local debt. Ordinary folks will not suffer. If the Chinese, or any other foreign based entity, buys the roads, water systems, power production facilities, sewage treatment facilities, etc., we will all effectively become slaves.
Do what the Asians are doing. Invest in gold. Cut up the credit cards. Live within my means and save and invest for my retirement. Any investment must have a foreign element. I am no expert, this just seem the common sense thing to do.
James
The trillions should have been spent to bail out the consumer since ours is a consumer based economy.
Government should:
1. “rebate” x-number of years worth of income taxes back to every household. Upto an amount similar to what they already intended to give to institutions as bailouts.
2. require households to use x-percentage of that rebate to pay off debt.
3. remainder can be used as the household sees fit.
The end result would be:
1. Increaed velocity of money
2. The institutions currently being bailed out not needing to be bailed out.
3. Household debt improvement
4. Household morale and confidence increased
5. The overall increase in money velocity would also reverse unemployment, the real estate implosion, boost retail sales, etc..
Current government action is destroying the dollar This plan would also but we would be able to acomplish 2 to 3 times more for the same amount of destruction.
I’m not even an economist, so I can’t believe politicians are too stupid to see this simple solution, which leads me to think their plan is being implemented for other nefarious reasons.
I hope I am wrong…
my father subscribes to your service, i see many of your articles and agree. i have been a mortgage broker for 16 years and recently took a job with bank of america. i wrote an interesting mortgage recovery plan. could you direct me toward or have interest in reading a 2 page tentative mortgage solution? i did not see an address to send to.
thank you
max
Hi Larry -
My wife and I just returned from a trip/cruise to the Baltic. We had the same experience in several
places where the dollar was not accepted at kiosks where we wanted to do business. I do not
recall a period in my lifetime where this rejection of the dollar has taken place. The good news (I guess) is that many of our trading partners hold dollars and have no place to dump them — at
least not to the extent that they’re holding. The bad news is we’re headed to a different foreign
exchange currency — which you called over a year ago.
Keeping it simple. Cutting expenses to zero and buying gold and silver every chance I get.
In my opinion, the only hope of financial salvation for your country would lie in appointing a commision to identify the top ten technical breakthroughs needed today to form the basis of new worldwide industries, and then using some of the monies already approved by Congress to achieve those ends. Sort of a modern day “Manhatten Project” that resulted, as we all know, in the development of the atomic bomb. Identify those areas where breakthroughs would result in new worldwide industries, lock your top minds in each of these areas “in a room”, so to speak, and provide them with the financial wherewithal they require to achieve those breakthroughs, essentially until they do. If you could go to the moon, which was felt at the time to be impossible, you can do this. Then patent and vigorously protect the resulting technology so you benefit and control the process no matter where the actual manufacturing is done. At the very least, licence the processes as Toyota does with it’s automotive hybrid technology. At the moment, you still have the technological lead, at least I hope you still do, to acheive this while no one else does, but that window of opportunity will not last long. Nor will your financial ability to accomplish this, so if it isn’t tackled now, and I mean right now, the opportunity will be lost to others and the “American Dream” will truly be over.
First of all note that my e-mail address has been changed.
I am at a loss as to how we can change the climate in Washington DC. I’ve written to my congress people. IF you get a response, it always is don’t worry we know what we are doing. I have told them they have lost my vote. That seems to not phase them. We have just lost our way and I sincerely believe we will continue until ‘hell’ freezes over.
For my family and I, the only thing I can do is follow your investment advice. Also keep adding to the savings account. I hope your bloggers have answers, I don’t.
Keith Thistlewood
Hi Larry,
You are hitting it right on the head. Gold and China ETF are the best in my portfolio for the past year. Hoping against all odds our US government will succeed.
I am in Illnois this week, read the Chicago Sun Times article covering pensions for state workers.
The monthly cost is $800,000,000. They named a page full of people that recieve in excess of $300,000 per year pensions.
My subscription to your articles is very impressive. One suggestion is to list forgien bond ETF. Don’t use this as a hussle for another letter.
Les
Capitalism needs to give way to Democracy … which has been lost in the USA since Kennedy …
From over here in Australia I look at what made the USA a fantastically successful achieving nation and it seems to me that the vast natural resources were well exploited by a people from a wonderfully diverse genetic pool. Your vast abundance of natural resources are now greatly diminished so you are left with your people as your saving grace and only hope. You are well educated but with an incredibly narrow view of the world but if you still have the will to win, your science and technology can do it for you. I wish you well as our future and security makes us fellow travellers to the future.
From reading all the posts to this site, from what appears to be a very educated audience, clearly:
1. US economy & current policy makers are FUBAR;
2. Clearly precious metals & some commodities are the only insulation from the sinking $ ship;
3. Get ready for China & others to make their power play in the near future to bury the $ forever;
4. With the third world countries development will come less dependence on US goods & services;
5. Soon the only thing of value left in the US will be our real estate properties, land & territories AND our military ability which will be cherry picked, snatched up & leveraged by foreign investors;
Final rub to it all is it’s going to be every man & woman for themselves. Prepare for US economic Armageddon and ultimately the USA entering into Global Chapter 7!
Use all our thermo-nukiller bombs against all the creditor countries leaving no one alive to call the loan. That will cut our debt in half and create new jobs to replenish our arsenal. Those countries include China, Japan, Taiwan, South Korea, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, UAE, Bahrain, Qatar, Malaysia, Singapore etc. I would leave the European countries alone. For one thing, they are our Kith and Kin and the example of the former may induce them to forgive our debt. And after the radioactivity subsides, occupy the lands of the destroyed countries and pay off the domestic creditors with parcels of land (or oil leases) in those countries and you have a clean balance sheet. We can then start borrowing all over again. I don’t want to wait 430 years to get out from under the hock.
Inayat Lalani
p.s. I understand that the neutron bombs are even better. They just destroy life but leave buildings and other nice things intact. We would have more value, then.
Hi Larry, thanks for your update today, about the weakening $US.
I am truly perplexed by the US economy now, and especially the stock markets. Prices are way overvalued, and there is no healing going on in the markets… this looks like another bubble being pumped up, which will eventually pop.
As a “home gamer”/private investor who manages his/her own account, I was going down my checklist this afternoon. It went something like this:
Unemployment up (and government lying about it) – check
Consumer strapped (and credit markets shrinking) – check
Real Estate values continuing to slide – check
Government spending up – check
The money the government has already spent on bailouts of GSEs and auto cos., probably gone forever – check
Bad paper on banks books still not resolved (I have read this is in the 30+ trillion range?)- check
More money being printed (US treasuries sales) – check
Higher taxes coming soon - check
Corporations, and Retailers sales continuing to get hammered - check
Markets up (again) – check
It seems to me that the machines (computers) at the large investment banks are still in full control. And they continue to say “stock markets up.”
Stock values have completely decoupled from fundamentals at this point in time. Even stocks in companies (such as C, AIG, COF, DHI) that don’t make any money, appreciate in this market. Investing in the fully manipulated casinos called the US stock markets is a 100% win, if you are long now.
The markets are going up .6-.8% every day now. That is a 182% annualized appreciation in values, based on my crude calculations. The question is, how long can these propped up markets maintain this pace? Will they ever correct?
I bought a small amount of SSO as a hedge last week. I hope this position gets crushed, as I am about 65% short at this time. I am also long gold via GDX puts.
I am going to spend until there is no more dollar—just kidding! Really, there will be a blow off just like in John Law’s France.
It all will come to a head in a year or two. Are you ready or will you be holding monopoly money?
Invest in Gold and commodities! Get involved in the tea parties! Your government officials will let the dollar free fall so the national debt is near worthless. All the other countires are wising up and there will soon be a crisis of confidence in the US Dollar, sorry to say.
It is all an economic cycle as the US is replaced with other economic and political models, probably Asian or BRIC economies.
Sir
Are there solutions to the problem ? of course there are , the real question is , are you READY for the solution , are you ready for the hard work ahead , you may be hated , or scorned by many , many may lose their jobs to same the nation , this will have to close , or that service may have to go , remember
always , the enemy is within , hard choices will have to be made , are you ready to sacrifice ?
Regards
john
Very Sobering article. Thankyou for telling it like it is. The buck stops here, we must get out of a debt economy starting now. No more building of huge beauracracies to solve the problem caused by a greed based free market system. A free market system is the ONLY one that can work and it can ONLY work with moral individuals - folks of integrity, love and respect for others (everything laid out by the forefathers ot our nation - - read it, President and leaders of Congress and the Senate, the Judiciary… and every citizen of this land. It is the system all laid out in the Old and New Testaments and shows the design and system God set up). It’s the only one that can work. Even if you don’t wan to read it - just start with the Golden Rule - DO UNTO OTHERS AS YOU WOULD HAVE THEM DO UNTO YOU. Give - don’t take. Stop lying, promoting ourselves, and doing anything to win - yes, stop cheating. One can criticize the big business barons of the past but at least they poured their money back into the culture with Art museums, libraries, and huge behests to most every city of any size in this country. Now everyone wants to stash money money money into Swiss Bank Accounts. The bottom line seems to be money and there are no holds barred on getting it - families go down the drain, workers, associates in order to make money. There is a better way and thank God there ARE a bunch of folks out there finding it and having real joy and peace and success in their lives. Look for them and they will show you how.
Hi Larry
I have been a ardent follower of the articles that you and your mates at Weiss put out for the worldwide audience.The answers to the dilema of the US is not very simple.The whole picture needs to be taken into account before a solution can be worked out.We need to analyze why the US administration is so keen on saving these instituions who arent very keen on saving themselves.On the contrary they are spending and taking risks beyond their capacities,gambling if you like with money which the administration has given them by going overseas,cap in hand,to the likes of China,India,Brazil,Saudi Arabia and the others.Larry,to put an end to the woes of the American average Joe Blog the administration needs to prescribe a bitter pill and not play politics with the lives and aspirations of the citizens of the free world.It should stop being the protector of these gamblers who for a few dollars take risks with the livelihood of the masses.The free world doesnt need these greedy people who just for the rush take ginormous risks.Even now there are solid banks and other financial instituions who are so secure and safe doing their normal business and building on what they have without trying to be the number one risk taker.The like of Lehmann and others come up with products which if taken aprat the paper on which it is written wont float on a pool of water,but avarice guides them and when the small risks in the beging take off they are just plain tempted to keep on increasing the stakes.What did “Mr Ponzi” Bernie Madoff say’ I was surprised that I wasnt caught out earlier” or something like that.
I like Mr. Poelke retired in 1997. I had no debt and a nice home paid for. I had sustantial assets that with pensions and just retruns on conservative investments would more than provide the resources for all living expenses and several luxuries including taxes, insurance and travel. Mr Bermake decided to take us out of the economy. He wants 0 interest rates and so he wants the retirment of all of us retiree’s. I contend that all retiree’s 55 and older have more money than all the 20, 30, 40, and 50 somethings combined. Most of us want to maintain our life style that we worked very hard for without dipping into the corpus. Many of us could do that with our small pensions and the yields from our conservative investments. If we could recieve any reasonable interest rates on our investments we could help the economy. My last 10 years before retirement, I averaged 85 hours per week. My example is that I was going to buy a new car this year and some new furniture, and spend a subtantial amount on some travel. We have done none of the above and do not have any intention of spending one penny that we may have to take out of our principal. This was all going to be cash spending. I have not used a credit card for 30 years that I did not pay the balance on in less than 15 or 20 days. I wonder how many billions is not going into the economy because of retiree’s 55 or older that want to retain the corpus of their assets. I don’t mean some one laying in a nursing home. When I can’t get 1% on a one year T-Bill or 2 % on a CD. I am not in the economy.
Mike
Dear Larry,
Thank you for sharing your incisive and in-depth realistic presentation of the the truly troubled economic situation of our country. Sadly to say, however, a majority of the Americans just don’t seem to grasp (or refuse to) the potential catastrophe we are now faced with. But, please continue to report the facts so that the majority, hopefully, may come to their sense.
Dear Larry,
Most of your blog respondents can only raise issues. They do not comprehend the ‘universal’ significance of what has been happening to the USA since 9-11.
We ponder from downunder as we sadly watch this third and final act before the curtain comes down on the 20th Century made American Empire. As it was for Great Britain after the First World War - after she betrayed Israel 6 times - there have been many sunsets. Likewise the USA. She too has turned her back on Israel and the clock is ticking. No one can deny the massive transferral of wealth underway from west to east. America’s financial blessings will continue to diminish, perhaps at a faster rate than previous empires due to technology and accessible online information. Sadly, those responsible at the helm of your financial behemoths, who ‘merchandised their anointing’ have not been brought to task and the folly continues with delusional leadership at all levels underscored by the same ignorance of a deceived nation. I have visited your nation three times and do not expect your readers to understand due to the power of this great deception. History in this instance, is repeating itself.
I enjoy reading your articles and your colleagues articles as well. I have found them to be informative and they have been helpful to me in my trading. For me, I am sticking to real assets (gold, oil, silver, real estate, etc.), blue chip companies (MCD, KO, PG, MMM, etc.), and conservative use of options (selling covered calls, calendar spreads, and selling puts on stocks I don’t mind acquiring at the price I’m willing to acquire them). Most of the stocks I’m interested in are dividend paying stocks. In addition, I have set up entities (corps. and LLCs) to better protect myself.
DH
If by some magic we were able to restore the ability of the masses to earn a living — decent living — that would begin to put money back into the economy. We are hemorraghing and on life support because we have an anemic economy — why are you not pushing to re-create a manufacturing sector. No strong economy in the world exists strictly premised upon being a service entity — most of the comments I read here are scratching the surface; if the US doesn’t begin making more of what it services, the economy will NEVER fully recover — and yes the dollar will continue to have zero value. Along w/re-creation of a strong manufacturing & servicing economy the Wall Streeters that created this economic madness w/those risky sub-prime mortgages must submit to regulatory standards that I’m still waiting to hear have even begun to be visited. I know this is not the correct forum to voice these thoughts; there’s got to be another way to force systemic change. It doesn’t hurt, however, to express an intellectual opinion.
Larry,
The truth is that we will never get out of this debt burden. We can expect it to rear its ugly head in the not so distant future. It will be a painful blow for sure but you can protect yourself to a certain degree. Tim, ( who responded earlier ) had it right in that you should have a “supply” in place to get thru a period of social unrest that would coincide with this calamity. A couple of months supply may or may not be enough to stave off a shortage of food, fuel, and cash. I would definatley have a well placed safe in your residence with as much cash in it as you think that you would need. Now, I am not saying to run out and get all of this in place tomorrow. You will however be able to see the signs pointing towards the debacle. Runaway inflation, massive new taxes, a chokehold of new regulations that will be targeted, but will miss the target. This administration seems hell bent to revamp health care. They say that if you can’t afford the new plan that tax breaks will be offered to you. How many of the 40 million or so that they claim would be helped even pay any taxes? How would these tax breaks be paid for? Answer : By the middle class in the form of new taxes. Redistribution of the wealth for sure. They will just pass out more free money ( NOTHING IS FREE ) someone always has to pay for it —- I am buying gold / silver on the dips and selling the rips …..
hi larry, i have been buying gold and silver for the last eight years to balance off my cash reserves. at first i thought it was insane but you have been right all along.
bill
Larry,
I do alot of reading and studying of our current crissis situation and I have come to the conclusion that there is only ONE way out for us as a country. Our current Governement administration in washington strongly believe that the way out is to spend more and dig the hole deeper. They couldn’t be more wrong! I understand that without major stimulus and governement intervention the markets and our financial system would be in turmoil right now or worse. BUT… I also understand that all they did was kick the can to the future, and I might add it would appear the sooner future rather than later. I only see one way out of this for us as a country, its simple but no one wants to do it, they must be forced into it, “STOP SPENDING WHAT YOU DON’T HAVE”. That includes our government. The average Joe has done it, we are saving more and paying off our debts as best we can, but our governement has just picked up the spending slack and then some. We need smaller government (on ALL levels including state and township etc.), equating to less future deficit and eventually less tax burden on individuals and Small businesses ( i know I am a small business owner gettting my *** handed to me every month paying my “fair share”). We need to get rid of our burdens not make them bigger, so businesses and individuals are free to prosper again. This is the only way to truely stimulate the economy and we might not get a very long and slow draw out recovery like we are doomed to now.
thanks for listening and keep up the great news letters,
Chris
Larry, In Australia we all got worried and felt panic when our Dollar went to 49.3 cents to the US dollar 15 years back after our Prime Minister infamously referred to us a Banana Republic. The truth is it helped our exporters and we built ourselves up rapidly from there dodging the Asian Crash in 97. The US needs and Obama wants a lower dollar. Yes it feels scary but many thousands of Aussies (and European’s too I guess) are right now heading to the US (my family included) to spend our holiday money with our American big brothers. More American cars are also appearing on our roads. You guys still make cool cars and most (including the Chinese for sure) will ignore the odd quality niggles compared to the Japanese cars to drive a Chevy or Buick etc. Take heart, you guys are the worlds most optimistic people and can find a silver lining for sure.
Dump to quality Canadian Gold and Silver stocks (metal in the ground and lots of cash) as the money is out of the dollar and into something that will hedge inflation.
I guess you could also buy Swiss or Canadian gold ETF’s and just park the money until you wanted to convert it back to dollars which you would need to spend fairly quickly when you rolled out the dollars to buy something or “you might need to burn the dollars to keep warm!”.
I have been a subscriber for many years. I appreciate your views and very much enjoy your real wealth report.
Clearly, Obama is taking us to socialistic road which will make our economy in ruins in th near future. China is prospering with capitalist road for the past 15 years and Obama is taking us to socialism.
I like your opinion on why we are still fighting in Irag and Afghanistan when Our economy is in terrible shape with 12 trillion in red.
Haven”t we learned enough in Vietnam defeat?
Dick Chung, Arizona
Simple! But no one sees it! Government (at all levels) has grown to an unsustainable size. Benefits for government workers, their salaries, pensions, insurance are totally out of whack with private employee benefits. Government earns, owns, makes no money - government is a cost center.
Here’s the solution: Eliminate immediately all government employee benefits. Fire every other government employee at all levels of government.
Ask (I would be glad to do this) private citizens to pick up any work that needs to be done (through volunteered hours. I’ve worked for government two times, have several friends, many family, neighbors, etc. in government positions. Bottom line; government employees don’t work like private citizens, and their benefits, over a lifetime, dwarf any private citizen’s benefits.
Our government has too much corruption, too many “rights”, gets paid too much, has only limited value. Wash it’s mouth out with soap, put it to bed hungry, send it for an audit, and subject it to the “interrogation” practices we put in place at Guantanamo.
We would fix this country’s problems pretty d…. quick!
I’m invested only in gold and oil–two commodities that I believe will rise with the fall of the dollar. I subscribe to “Real Wealth” but I do not agree with your assessment of China and Asia in general. They are on a steep economic downfall which will equal the U.S. This whole mess will turn into a giant quagmire by the end of 2010. Obama has started us on the road to protectionism as a payoff to the unions but that’s what Roosevelt did in 1928 and we know what that brought on. I’m very afraid for our nation and my family. I pray for America!
hello there, as i predicted, the U S D would enter into free fall, the globe would get sick pf the free spend attitude, the holier than thou of the u.s. as an economic power the U S is no longer,.
the now economic powers are India, China,Russia, Asia and Australasia,.
also capitalism as we know it is finished, a new form of socialism will flourish, that is history in repitition. the euro was floated , if accepted, to be the one world currency, what its name be eventualy, we wait to see. Wall st. and the chicago future ex. will no longer be the controller of world commodities, they will not be needed.
these were my predictions, and others, 12 mths hence, it had to happen, in some ways, not only predictabe, but as if they were planned, the modern romans , as it were,
cheers linz
I was in Costa Rica when President J. Carter gave a speech in June 1979 at the Global Monetary Meeting in Tokyo. I heard his voice–one cannot miss that twang- state over short wave radio from Japan, the following: “It is the policy of the US Government to lower the American Standard of Living to become more in line with the rest of the world”. I couldn’t believe he said that. I then tried to hear it again over the American Forces Radio Network, since they always carry the news from the major networks. Guess what? NOTHING was said about the speech. Nothing Nothing!! I later tried the search engines to get something. I did get the color of dress from Mrs Carter and other women wore, and other trivia. I tried the Carter Library too: The speech does not exist, I was told!!
Is any one surprised? Has the American standard of living declined since 1979? I suspect it will fall below the Chinese stand of living. Guess what: Get rid of the corruption in Washington; Remove their pension plans, force them to pay and retire on social security (SS) and use the monstrosity they created. Do not put an upper limit on SS tax. Make every government official pay and retire on it. Finally, tax the use of money so it is a broad tax and minimal, so everyone pays his share and can afford it. Now, the system is killing the few who has the will and ability to pay by the confiscating, endless taxation. If every entity of the USA has to pay a transaction tax to the US Govt., for the use of the US money, then a capitalist system will appear because investments must create profits or it will disappear by useless transactions (every one must use the money supply/system sometime or other to eat, invest, and live). Even the states must pay a tax to use the money or create their own. The US Treasury will reimburse the states based on their economic transactions. If the state does not encourage economic activity, they get NOTHING. Even the underground –drug money- will eventually pay the tax, because it must be used for something. This way everyone/everything pays his/its share, no graduated rates, just a small low percent. What say you? Thanks for reading this rant! cm
What am I doing, aside from looking for a job? I have always tried to be smart about HOW I purchase items, house, car, etc, I’ve always tried to stay away from debt, keep cars well after the credit union loan has been paid off and don’t buy a new car every 3 to 5 years. I stay out of credit card debt by paying off my balance every month (as long as I have/had money coming in), I’ve paid less $100 in credit finance charges over my life time. I have two 401k’s, I cant tell you how much exactly I’ve lost due to the financial state of the country/world but it was around 40%. Over the years prior I had made some bad investments in my former company’s stock and lost around $40K. Very soon after the crash in October of 2008 I put all of my liquid savings into gold, all of it. I think that’s the best financial move I’ve made and think its nuts to put ANY money into stocks. My biggest expense is college, at a cost of approximately $130k per kid, we have one in and another one in the queue and couldn’t get any scholarship other than $500. We are trying to pay for it w/out taking out a loan, but that will be impossible if I cant find another engineering job. So our choices will be pay interest on about $190k loan on one income. Now, we are better off than a lot of folks out there financially, but I’m worried and both the wife and I are savers with percentages well above the 5% nat’l average and we still are having troubles. At least we have one area of growth as long as the dollar keeps falling and that of course is gold.
(51, unemployed 3 weeks, Lake Forest, CA)
Dear Larry,
First, thank you for sharing your inside knowledge with us and for the no-nonsense reporting from the field. I really enjoy reading your column. Here’s what I’ve done: I pulled out of the market before the real estate crash in 07 and rolled over my 401K into physical gold, and bought both gold and silver with nearly all my savings. Years ago I purchased gold, and that investment has grown quite a bit. I sold my house in the city and moved to the country, where I have land to grow most of my own food this summer, planted a hugh garden, along with 14 fruit trees. I have been stockpiling food and supplies, cut back on all spending, even cancelled my cable tv due to biased news coverage. I am sick of our government’s lies and deceit. I believe 9/11 was an inside job and don’t trust the new administration, as they are puppets put in power to serve the world elite. Most importantly, I’ve learned to be happy without all the possessions. I’ve adapted the lifestyle that “Less is more” and happy to report that it’s working for me.
I’m looking to buy more gold in the near future as the dollar continues to fail.
Thanks to Martin and your group for keeping us readers informed.
Best regards,
Marguerite
Hi Larry. Historians for 20 years have predicted the events as you are seeing them happen. (”Rise and fall of the Great powers form 1500 to 2000AD” by Paul Kennedy) This book predicted the last remaints of the american armed forces will be forced off Korea by 2020. We are seeing the flow of capitol from west to east, as predicted.
I see yourself and Martin as our white knights here to help the educated preserve wealth as our economy and country continues to go thru a change from a superpower to a Great Power. There is nothing you can do to help save the USA from itself. We must go thru this cleansing process to become a more austere country. Both the Dems and the Republicans will have to make sacrifice in the future, but they must be shown the damage first before they are willing to compromise.
Your mission is to Lead us out of the desert, just like Moses.
Hi Larry
As customery, a great arrcticle. Tatally acurate and frightening indeed. However, what I find paricularily sad is that many of the responses here seem to show little comprehension regarding the economic and political policies that we as a nation have persued in the last 30 years and that it is these policies that have created the conundrum faced by us today. For those that find it so convenient to place responsibility for this mess on the sholders of Obama, I would like to bring to light that he had only two options.
The first was to do nothing and allow our entire financial system go into total collapse, which would have brought us into a depression and a tsunami of bankruptcies and unemployment that would have made the depression of the 1930’s look like a banquet.
The second (which he opted for) is to have the government interfere and moneterize our way out of it through incurment of huge debt, printing money and risking devaluation of the dollar. Which choice would you have made? Everything destroyed now or a few decades of of a high likelyhood of difficult economic times. I don’t profess to know any more than anyone else, but I know for me personally that if I were to get extremely bad news from a doctor, I would not throw in the towel now and do nothing. I would do everything possiple to get better even if I had to persue high risk or unproven remedies.
Thank you
G Manning
Quite a disturbing take on things, but we’ve seen it coming for quite some time.
For me, it’s about increasing holdings in physical gold and silver and perhaps even some euro/pound items. Let’s just hope our fascist overlords stop upsetting all the countries with whom we do business so that this can be a slightly gentler landing….
Larry:
What can I tell you. I am a Mexican living in the US for the past 4 years. While in my last year of college in Mexico in 1982, our “great” President was going to defend the peso like a dog, (which ended in an inflation of over 150%) when we were in a situation not less critical than what the US is right now. My generation is being called the “forever crisis” generation. After being a “successful” business man working my ass off in Mexico I decided to look for better opportunities in this country and now I find myself immerse in the same situation I have been for the last 27 years. The way I see it is that the crisis in this country will take several years to disappear if that is something that can happen.
Most Americans have not been in a real crisis for many years, and now this is a paramount crisis that we are experiencing right now and we will need to learn with it.
The how to get of this crisis question is to never quit trying, look constantly for opportunities, and change faster than the crisis itself. I have been at this for 27 years, and looks like it is going to take “a little more time”, so I am ready to do whatever is necessary to get myself, my family and both countries (I have businesses in both countries) out of this terrible mess made by a few greedy guys and the stupidity of goverment.
Thanks for your advice which is highly needed in this convoluted times. Keep the good work.
Fernando
quote from Richard above.
” In my opinion our decline started when we allowed manufacturing companies to close and give other countries our jobs. If I am right, why did CEO’s and elected officials let this happen and why is it never reported in the news?”
Read a book called “Blowback” by Chalbers Johnson (written 18 months before 9/11) and you will learn the the US military exchanged jobs to foriegn countries in exchange for SOF(status of forces) agreements.
Dear Mr Edelson,
Thank you for your stark outline of where our country’s profligate spending is taking us. There are so many things wrong today that it is hard to find a starting place, but lets start with we the people. We have become a nation of “let government do it” while we spend and play, with no thought for the future or consequences of our actions. We have elected people to congress and the white house that reflect what we have become - greedy, shallow, irresponsible, amoral, and lacking foresight. It is possible that we have an illegal president who is a marxist, a congress bent on destroying this country, and a supreme court that will decide cases on empathy, not law.
The 1st thing that needs to be done is to replace allmost our whole congress, but not with people of like type. We MUST elect people to office who are responsible, who have the courage to make the CORRECT DECISION, NOT the PC one, who have this ENTIRE countries best interest in mind, and are in office to get the job done right, not personally enrich themselves.
The 2nd thing will be standing behind the TOUGH DECISIONS AND ACTIONS that will have to be made by our newly elected representatives and senators. This is going to take fortitude, patience and sacrifice.
The 3rd thing (many things actually) in my opinion, will be bringing our military home from 180, more or less, bases around the world - we cannot be the world’s policemen any longer. We MUST get rid of the federal reserve, we MUST UNDO this financial mess obama and the congress has gotten us into - no more endless dollars pumped into failing businesses and institutions, no health care monstrosity, DEAL with the MEDICARE AND SOCIAL SECURITY PONZI SCHEMES, DRASTICALLY REDUCE the power and scope of government - start with by eliminating the departments of energy, education, labor, commerce, agriculture, interior, and transportation, AND ALL the cultural agencies, and when that is done lets look at eliminating foreign aid and participation in the U.N. as it is today.
This is just a beginning, we still need to eliminate barriers to success for businesses and people and encourage entrepreneurship, we need to lower taxes and change the entire way we collect taxes, and we need to encourage manufacturing in this country once again.
We must also develop OUR ENERGY ASSETS, and reduce our dependence on foreign sources of energy to nothing.
On a personal basis, my family is looking at investments that will protect us from the destruction of our dollar, and we are looking at possibly having to survive in a radically different country. We do not trust the existing government AT ALL!
George Neely, is all too quick to cast blame upon the american people. The present debacle is clearly the result of big government statists who follow Kenesian economic theory and Marxist escatology.
The way out of this mess is to vote the bums out in 2010 and 2012 and 2014 and vote for people who demonstrate an understanding of Austrian Economic theory, and a commitment to traditional Americanism philosophy which intails the LL&P of Happiness. But first we as individual Americans must exorcise ourselves of the “entitlement” mentality that the new deal proffered upon us.
Larry,
Interesting article as per usual…. From Australia it looks like USA R.I.P.
TP.
Larry,
The fact that you have jumped ship and moved to Thailand, disqualifies you to some extent, having left the job to us back home.
What do we back home do? 1., Make a concerted effort to buy only what we really need, and to not buy anything made in China. 2., Get our friends to so the same. 3., Work to promote local manufacturing, and local businesses that buy American/Americas.
If enough of us do the above, we can help pull us out of the recession and reduce Chinese debt.
Chuck Haines
As long as politicians aspire to stay in power and be reelected year after year, they will continue making short-term decisions to stay in office even if the long-term consequences are disastrous. I would recommend that a senator could serve only one term of perhaps 10 years and representatives only one eight year term and the president only one term of six years. These elected officials would be barred from consulting or lobbying for the same number of years that they served in the above offices. This is the only hope that I see for restoring the government. Government employees in all branches would have the same retirement programs and medical programs at the rest of the US citizens..
Larry,
And fellow Americans
Let’s see
1) Give away the Internet
2) Give away the GPS system
3) Monitor the world for earth quakes
4) monitor the worlds oceans and weather from space and surface
5) give countries money instead of credits to buy US products
6) 7) 8) 9) 10) ECT………
Quit giving away the Model T, the Telephone, the Electric Light. Export Export Export
You see we still pay for and invent breathtaking exportable things and just let them be given away. Or stolen!
We all should be very comfortable, happy, and safe. But instead we try to pay for everyone’s
Buy Gold Buy Silver and learn to like what you see coming. For many it will be a shock.
Sincerely
D.A.
I don’t have a solution regarding on how to get out of this financial mess that this country is in right now and appears that the fed is making it worse with it’s spend and spend policies. Could we get rid of the Obama and his cronies sooner then the next 40 months before it gets a lot worse. The only solution I can suggest to fix the current problem is both the government and the people is to curtail the spending frenzy.
The only way out is to think outside the box. Those with money should donate to free energy researchers so that we get our energy directly from the aether instead of burning fossil fuels. Such devices exist but are being suppressed. Support Ron Paul type liberty candidates who will stop American imperialism around the world and get us to a sane fiscal policy. Neither the George Bush neocons or the Obama liberals have our best interest in mind. There are many other steps that can be taken but that is a start.
There is no more credit demand.
The Asians need to realize the facts: We are out of competent (willing and able) borrowers. Expanding credit demand is impossible; those who can borrow won’t, and those who want to can’t pay.
The Asian handmaidens who engaged in mercantile policies were just as blinded by their belief that they could “sterilize” their export money flows as we were in believing we could buy a $500,000 house on an $8/hour income.
Both were equally complicit, and the Asians now are faced with two choices: Sell while you can get whatever value is left in those “securities”, or watch them turn into dust.
Yes, Americans are to blame. But so are the Asians.
Sorry folks - actions have consequences. Would you like some of your money back, or none?
to respond to the personal question of what am I doing it is this. simply staying solvent and out of debt while saving as much as possible. i have been doing this for the past few years anyhow so it is natural to avoid alot of the troubles out there.
I am also listening to my children more and involving them in fianancial discussions as well as stable habits in money handling and realizing we really dont need many more plastic things from walmart. who does, really? christmas gifts will be silver and gold coins, bullion and other hard assets bought on the dips of course. thats what we are doing. simply buying assets when the time is correct or just enjoying what my life is full of already.
and finally, the last thing i have done on purpose is to befriend people that lived through the depression and learn as much as possible from them to understand how to manage difficult times.
that may be good advice for the country as well.
Hey Larry,
Although I’ve not written before, I have been following yours and Martins articles and videos. They have been very interesting and insightful. Thank you for sharing your wisdom and knowledge. I have been concerned about my retirement income for a long time. After watching my 401K lose 30% of it’s value twice in the last 8 years, I started investing in real estate to boost my retirement nest egg. You can probably guess how that turned out. However, I also started investing in gold bouillon and rare coins. That is the only investment that has held it’s value so far. I still own some real estate and I hope that the market will come back in the near (5-10 years) future. I really don’t know what else to do other than pay down my own debt and look for a house in Canada. LOL
I am still concerned about my financial future and don’t see many other options besides working until I’m 80.
Thanks for listening,
George Washburn
Larry,
in response to your questions you posted in today’s issue of Money and Markets I would like to point out the following:
Way out of this mess? Federal Reserve must return to the policy of protecting the dollar first by letting the interest rates rise the same way Paul Volker did in the early eighties. That will slaughter the pig (sick economy based only on unchecked consumers credit) and lay the foundation for starting over on the right footing. I am afraid that this is not going to happen with liberals in charge, therefore we will likely witness destruction of dollar as you indicate.
How do I protect my assets? I started to follow Martin’s advise last year and got out of most of the stock market funds with minimal losses. I have noticed your track record of predicting short and long term trends and intend to follow your advise in stock and ETFs choice and market entry and exit timing. I do tend to make my own mind in final selection of the investments. Currently, 20% of my liquid assets are in gold (ETF, mining stock and one mutual fund I have hanged on for several years), 5 % is in equities (stock or ETFs), 11% is still in US or Canadian bonds and remaining 64% is still in cash in bank CDs or MMFs or in bank accounts with gov’t insurance coverage. About half of the cash is in US dollars, the other half in CDN dollars. I am on a look out to buy Rio Tinto either on dip or on breakout from current formation, Sinopec (same conditions) and UNG (looks like it found the bottom). I will also add to my gold position but am following your recent advice to be aware of false breakouts in this tricky market, as I am already sufficiently exposed.
Keep on communicating to us, I like your videos and technical analysis. Best regards.
Anthony Lukes
I am considering changing half of my cash in bank to Norwegian Krone, and/or or other European
currencies, before ours implode.
What if your thinking on this? I read about it recently, in Agora communications.
Jne Kuoppala
My husband and i are both working toward entrepreneurial careers (at 66 and 59). I have been studying copywriting for 2 years and have my first clients. He is putting together a series of seminars (he’s currently a consultant with a dwindling client base). We have made good progress toward paying off debt, but each time the goal seems within our grasp, we suffer another temporary setback. Our biggest mistake: “investing” in real estate, a home that our daughter and her family are renting (for the amount of the mortgage). We had been worried about identify theft on the large sum of money in our savings, but did not fully trust the stock market; hence the investment. Now we are wondering if we will ever get it back, or lose it entirely.
As I understood it, Larry asked for ideas on how the COUNTRY could come out of this disaster. From the answers, I would surmise that most people have completely given up hope on that idea and are searching for ways to save THEMSELVES! If we ever do come through this, we’ll need to rebuild our country from scratch. That includes what an earlier poster said. Throw ALL the bumbs out!! They are almost all bought. In return, they’ve sold US and the USA down the river. At this point it looks like a mass round-up is called for under the charge of treason! It’s certainly NOT what my grandfather and father fought to protect. I never thought I’d find myself grieveing for the loss of my country. My nestegg is buried in the woods. And in my special box there’s a treasure map for my kids.
O.K. What to do?
What can I say ? Help. Thanks
What can I say? Thanks. Dallas
“When everyone is thinking the same thing, no one is thinking.
I always believe : “The stock market is filled with individuals who know the price of everything, but the value of nothing.
take for instance! China that every economist is parading around as the saver of the world! a country that have no human rights, no openness in its world affair!
as a currency manipulator, so many SHENANIGANS ? pure politickin’.
many from near and far perceive China to have the position of strength over the world economy. But with an economy so dependent on a manipulated currency and maintaining unfair trade advantages,
I always believe “It’s not up to
China are the BRIC countries ] [ Brazil, Russia, India and China] to chose are determining which currency will be the world reserve currency.. in my understanding of the trading currency, in the end the market is the judge..
on the dollar! and the debt of our beautiful country, the feds will keep printing; this will no doubt about it.. this in turn will reduce the value of the bucks. as you point out here many time over.. but you must also noted this will at the same time reduce the the value of most public debts along the way..
since most debts are in dollars..
the problem this will cause is inflation can take hold with rising interest rate.
this will make new debts very expensive in the future.. and can slow down growth.
next! standard of living in the great united state of a America, will decline? to where? no one knows! our dollar will buy less,in the world! Taxes: will rise? to infinity!
to close up the missing income from low job growth..
next! to come control on gold! restriction on currency? no doubt about it. it will be a new era/ of change.
At this time, wealthy people from here and around the world. will be leaving the USA. to the new world powers like the BRIC nation, to invest and live… like Singapore. Panama, Thailand,and so on…. a sign of the time…
I know for sure nothing can stop it… the day that we give the Feds control of our money, in 1913 we were doom…..
finally! the dollar as the world currency, will no longer be the reserve currency. a new scheme of paper money will take it place.. in the long run no country in this world that used paper money is a safe bet: No. The feds will try to print their way out of this mess. This will reduce the value of the buck, as you point out. But as most of these debts are priced in dollars, it will also reduce the value of the public debt.
The main problem is interest rates will rise! as inflation takes hold. of this great nation. This will make new debt very expensive and slow growth. most standards of living in the US will slip by the way side… as US dollars buy less in the world. Taxes! will rise to infinity? Next! I am sure the government will put control over our currency and restrictions on gold ownership…
This will cause many wealth family! to flee the US. To live in places like Panama, Singapore. Thailand.. and so on… the dollar will no longer be the world currency…will cease to be the reserve currency.
yes, we have all these problems.wasn’t globalisation just a way by design to undermine middle class america.academia,bob reich telling us how it’ going to be good for us.the soceity of artificiel intellingence and simbolic work. wall street,mostly a bunch of parasites leveraging people’s savings to the hilt.where are the nurenberg trial and firing squads.middle class has been paying the havy price ,7000 for any illegal kid going to school,emergency rooms in hospitals while a class of looser b.s. us how great and indispencible they are.we are lead at all the top levels by a bunch of guys that just d’ontcut it.what have we learn:the world challenge(j.j. servan scheiber 1980 the trap sir james goldsmith a day of reckoning pat buchanan.
Decreasing expenditure on the US military would not only help the US stay afloat but have the added bonus of increasing US prestige around the globe.
Why this obvious change hasn’t even been seriously suggested attests to the US’s long held obsession with world dominance at the point of a gun. An obsession which is making the US one of the most despised nations on the planet.
Cleaning up your act involves changes to foreign policy as well as financial regulations.
Hi Larry.
There is no doubt that we play with fire.
I think that there are solutions for our recovery.
The only thing is the decedents like to pursue the common sense?
1. Bring our entire troops home and stop unnecessary spending in war machine.
2. Return to dollar-gold exchange practice even 1oz to $1000 is better than none.
3. Increase banking interest rate to 8-10 percent/year.
4. Implement fiscal discipline for all government and non-government agency.
5. Start seriously repaying our national debt.
6. Rebuild our industry including heavy industry.
7. Stop printing money like crazy the other nations tried this and went bankrupt.
8. Get respect to money, first by the top echelon of our country next by average people.
There is excellent American proverb,
If you use the same way to solve any problem and look that we do it, you should not expect different results.
With my best regards,
Jesse Z. J.
Without commenting on the job that the troops are doing overseas I would like to express a concern about something I just heard today. A local police officer turned down a job in our Town to work overseas beginning this November as a security officer making $16,000/month. The source that I heard this from said that he will be working for a company that is contracted out by the Department of the Interior (DOI). Just when I thought that this was bad enough and expressed my concern of this to a fellow worker, he said that a freind of his is making $240,000/year as a security officer overseas and spends most of his time on the golf course and tennis court and has had to draw a weapon once. I do not know for sure that this one is a DOI contract, however I would suspect as much.
Federal spending is out of control, both contract positions and wages. The federal pay scale and retirement benefits are considerably higher than most companies around. Most federal projects could be completed for 1/2 to 1/4 the cost. This will add to the burden of the economy at some point in the near future.
We are increasingly loosing our safe avenues of even hedging against the dollar, for instance, DXO just closed under pressure from the CFTC… so what other commodity ETFs are next? Even securities denominated in dollars are frighting because a foreign company may go up in value, but the dollars drop in value is undermining the gains…
Physical gold and silver is becoming more attractive, but what is it becomes illegal to own gold AGAIN???
It’s tough to navigate through this for a little guy, can’t afford to loose the little money we do have.
We have been using credit as a way of life for years and it is beginning to catch up. it is ironic that the government thinks freeing up credit and everyone borrowing still more, is the way forward. How about encouraging people to save. Banks and the government providing decent interest rates. Can you remember when you saved up for a car or the down payment on a house? Jon.
I do live with in my means. The problem is nobody else does my co-workers don’t my boss does not matter of fact nobody ,but my parents do and that is because they are broke! I’am saving money and buying silver and gold and a little bit of platinum when I can. I listen to what you say and it makes a lot of sense the thing is 95% of stupid lazy u.s. citizens don’t . I’am a member of the weiss and the foundation alliance . I wish they would give me some profitable trades I bought the slv about two weeks before they recomended it. what do you think of the fertlizer stocks right now. mos pot ipi and tnh? thanks for your time Larry…. Chris B 9/14/2009 9 p.m.
Larry,
Thoughts on getting out of this mess? We ARE getting out of this mess … by crashing and hitting bottom just like any alcoholic or drug addict often does and then develops the desire to make big changes. We’re just starting the crash, but I’m afraid it’s the only way out in my opinion. Our government is overrun by much more corruption and greed than most people know. While the SEC and Treasury seems bad supporting the looting trillions from the American people, the corruption in the FDA (for example) and other agencies is just as bad. Some people seem to think that 20 more years hanging on with massive amounts of (still continuing) greed, corruption and looting throughout much of government and parts of society as well as bombing, attacking and threatening innocent people around the world is a “good” thing. The real *good* news is that we’re starting a massive crash that will force massive and positive change — it will be painful, but necessary. By the way, if there’s another way for massive change in the U.S. without a crash, I’d be thrilled.
I have a 25×50 garden plot for food (which I learned takes some practice to make it really useful). Storage place for food and water. The overwhelming majority of my savings will be in physical gold, silver and foreign currencies (as there is no possible way I have any physical gold or silver now). I have some Federal Resever Notes ($’s) in a safe place in case of bank closures or I need fire starter/confetti. I purchase locally-grown and locally-made products.
The biggest danger to this transformation, in my opinion, is the Federal Reserve, the big, criminal banks on Wall Street and the U.S. Congress. Therefore, I propose the “Save America Act” with the following goals:
1. Eliminate the Federal Reserve.
2. Put the CEO’s and other officials of the big banks in prison for the myriad of broken laws and looting and break up these criminal enterprises.
3. Add a tax for the American people to fund hookers (24/7) for our House and Senate members for keeping them the he!! away from the Capital Building and making any more ridiculous laws. Replace them with 536 chimpanzees. (And no that’s not meant as a racist remark. I just think they could do a better job without selling themselves off to the highest paying lobbyist).
The out of control rot in Washington, which is most of the best representatives (?) money can buy, and the rot in the Oval Office don’t give two whoops in hell what happens to the economy as long as they can line their own pockets. obomination has bigger ideas stemming for the elitist cabal in charge of this nation, of being one of the top men in the new world order.
Warren Ogren
Not only is our savings account losing value along with the dollar destruction, but the banks no longer pay interest on short term deposits. As you say, our government spending is out of control–but the swindlers have apparently taken over! When Paulson was treasury secretary and the credit crisis hit a year ago, he was in near hourly contact with his replacement CEO at Goldman Sachs. That favored broker got $!0 billion from TARP, $12.9 billion through the AIG conduit, and then $29 billion in FDIC backing after swiftly becoming a chartered bank. If we don’t deal with these swindlers and the totally corrupt rating agencies, even our own people will refuse to take the US dollar.
I recently came across your blog and have been reading along. I thought I would leave my first comment. I don’t know what to say except that I have enjoyed reading. Nice blog. I will keep visiting this blog very often.
Patricia
http://forextradin-g.net
Gosh, maybe we should make sure that we don’t elect greedy financially backed Administrations or parties such as the Republican President and his cohorts that facilitated this mess…What are your thoughts on that? You won’t touch that one! Here’s a thought we should withdraw from the Middle East and end our foreign aid to some of those so concerned countries in SE Asia and elsewhere that you mentioned…Perhaps we should cancel the only benefit we have realized to date from our illegal war in Iraq, that is the contract to develop their oil resources over the next ten years. Then we should after cancelling those contracts, let the Chinese, Russians, and Japan develop them? Then your argument would shift from Gold, to Oil contracts…
I say screw the financial markets particularly hedge funds that deal in commodities, and invest in the banks, that would turn things around in a hurry…wouldn’t it? That’s right kick the fat cats right where it hurts signal that the US consumer knows something! Americans have awaken to the real problem, restoring their faith in the Home grown US banking system first,,,what a shift in thought that would be. Of course brookers and fiancial so called gurus would be rendered void in thier tracks…The US consumer would benefit immediately while the rest of the world would have to rely on their own intiative to live? No foreign aid, no longer having to police the worlds resources from ignorant tyrannical forces because SE Asia, Europe, Australia, Russia, Japan and China would all now have to jump in to do their part to stop the Bastard’s of this world?
Of course some of these countries would fall and a new leadership would influence the world. In that hypothetical case, those who have placed us in this mess would wish that the big boy across the ocean had not come to it’s senses and protected it’s own interests first rather then letting the rich financial institutions from shifting our resources to the foreign shores. Then those who have such disdain for our life style and spending habits, would plunge further into chaos and ignorance while the tyrannical movements in this world would have a new day…Lets all start studying our Chinese, because a world run now by the greedy financial know it all’s can’t stop that imerging tide can it?
Yes, Americans investing their savings within their own borders, no longer buying foreign products waiting as the US develops it’s own industrial base again? How creative, actually saving money and placing it back into our own financial system…What’s your view on that kind of radical thinking? You would’nt like it because your superficial commodities markets would fall on their perverbial inflated financial structural butts…
So Larry,
Lets just say the USA, starts an private company, who’s books are kept up on a public
web-site—and this company works with the Government to collect $20.00 per month,
from every citizen. The money goes into a pot. All health-care needs are paid for out of this
pot. From age 18-to- 65 if you are in this country, you pay into this pot. If you are coming into the country you have to have your $20.00 per month, Speak (proper) English, and have a job within 60 days of entering the country or your going back to where you came from. Prison Inmates would be required the same $20.00 per month or they would automaticaly wave their health care by breaking the law. Mal-practice would be, between the individual Doctor and the pacient. (Lawsuit-Whatever)
Wouldn’t this be enough pooled money to cover our current health-care scare and put a surplus in the kitty for some other related costs. If you couldn’t pay your $20.00 per month
you would go in debt to the kitty $20.00 per month ( a private company) not the US Government. So the Private company would add collection % to the amount they recover
every year. If you don’t know the language, have a job, student, diabled, retired, or here on a mission for religious reasons, you will have to leave. I know I should wake up from this dream. Sorry to wast your time.
Chuck
Larry, the unfortunate way to balance our budget is to go after the “sacred cows” which have been doing a number on us for years. For instance; the military budget of $500 Billion dollars is a disgrace. I have 14 years of military flying and overseas duty to feel comfortable saying we could cut our military budget by 25% and never know the difference except in the offices of the “military-industrial complex” that President Eisenhower warned us about. I’ve seen such waste that it would render any citizen speechless. For example, a recent documentary in the Atlantic Quarterly stated that we could accomplish our naval responsibilities with 8 fleets. We have 13. That’s a lot of Admirals we created. That’s the name of the game in the military…promotion. We are building $300 million dollar fighters when it is obvious that the age of manned fighter aircraft is over. Drones and missile technology are the future of aerial warfare. Our military force exceeds the TOTAL of the next 43 countries COMBINED. Enough is enough.
Thanks for your work
Hi Larry,
As a subscriber to Real Wealth, Uncommon Wisdom, The Safe Money Report, The Foundation Alliance and recently, The ETF Trader, I have benefited greatly from the advice of The Weiss Group for the past ten years. Our portfolio has averaged about 7% consistently since 2000. I thank you, Martin and your team for your invaluable advice over past decade.
Jennifer (my wife of thirty years) and I have no debt; we own our own home and vehicles. We live modestly. I am a retired member of the NYPD, disabled in service at The World Trade Center on September 11th and its aftermath. Despite that financial setback, Jen and I were able to get our son through law school and accomplish most of our financial goals, including giving. Now, all that we have worked so hard for, all our lives, is threatened.
I have heard that inflation is “the cruelest tax.” After reading the grim statistics stated in your article, I can not help but feel dismal about our financial future. This is incredible, since we tried to be good stewards of our money: we avoided consumption and we lived within our means. I served my community and my country. But my government is spending money in a way that will cause, I believe, a debasement of the currency I rely on to maintain our lives - and I am not in the position (other than tightening our lifestyle and wise investments) to inflate my way through the next wave of this crisis, as the government seems intent on doing.
Again, thank you for your efforts on our behalf, and all your subscribers. I hope we can get through this, but I think those in power simply do not see the problem, nor the urgency at hand. It’s like a house on fire: you and I are running for fire hoses, and Washington is buying paint! - John
We need to raise taxes BIG TIME on all the wealthy slobs that have been sucking this country dry.
Super article Larry, didn’t realize the US was borrowing THAT much. Here is a possible solution to the US debt problem. The US government takes over the whole financial system, prints a whack of new money, hires the brightest and the best financial experts and makes a killing on every stock market in the world, sucking money in from around the world to pay off the debt. Sound crazy? China as a socialistic or communist country can do just that and is probablly doing variations at this very moment. The whole idea behind rigid right wing capitalism is for the companies to make all the money and the government to be starving.
Hello, What am I doing ? Every month I pay off my credit card balance in full. I am debt free. I have been accumulating cash - and now am beginning to purchase SLV for an interest in silver, and UNG for depressed price availabilities to participate in natural gas. For the first time ever, I am eyeballing New Oriental, China re: English Language School and College Entrance Exam corp. As our government, Washington D.C. has become more and more ‘another world’ with virtually no lobbying interests for the consumer, This must end before we fall permenantly into the ‘pit of absurdity.’ Every week, I see clips of our currency printing presses working overtime. We all should be able to get the picture — hopefully before it is too late — and call / and or email our Senators and Representatives in Washington. I have never done this in my life, but I am sure doing it now ! I’m beginning to use less of our natural resources to conserve - water and energy uses. Thankyou Larry, and the entire Weiss team for bringing our thinking to reality. God has richly Blessed America already — now it is our turn to wake Washington up to spending within our means. Cheers and Keep it comming ! Tim
simple just don’t buy from China , or only when you have to , do so … If you buy products made in The USA , or other countries that actually trade fair , then you are saving …Look for goods / products made in The americas , canada - so on . or europe .. Chinas economy is export driven so they have keep their money , deflated , otherwise , they would have a implosesion
Hello Mr. Edelson,
I love your emails and I have great respect regarding your knowledge of the stock market.
For the past year, I have read and/or, viewed all your video’s. I find them very valuable.
I am a novice investor and I would love to subscribe to your services however, due to lack
of money and being unemployed I have just one request. Would it be wise to purchase
the ETF UDN for my IRA? I know you are a busy man so, any assistance would be greatly
appreciated. Out of all the stock market emails I get everyday (approx. 80), I only read and
follow 3. You and two others who, I trust and admire. I would like to Thank You for all the
knowledge you have provided me throughout the year, I am a better person for knowing You.
Sincerely, Ed Roberts.
I’ve spent a couple of hours reading about half the comments above. My recommendations are simple:
1) Move to the Philippines, the third largest English-speaking country on earth (Australia and Canada have more land, but the Philippines has more people, across 7,107 beautiful islands, and the spirit of construction, growth and progress is everywhere.
2) Move all your money to the Philippines. Any commercial bank will gladly help you do this.
3) Encourage your friends and neighbors to do the same. The cheapest airline from the “lower 48″ is Asiana; complete details on immigration, retiring, and working here are available from the website “www.pcgny.net” with links to all the Philippine Consulates in the U.S.
My wife is Filipina, and it’s a friendly, hospitable country. I’m never going back to the U.S.
We have a word in Tagalog, the official language of the country: “Mabuhay!” (welcome)
Hi Larry I have been in Martins club for about three months now, I like you am lliving on and off in Thailand. I agree with you about the decline of Americas reputation, The only thing that can save America is to have massive migration form Asia to the states, so the cheap labour can make Americans get back to work and compete with the Chinese, I think the Chinese would swamp the country and takeover, what a thought, just like in the days of slavery. My phone number is 0823580995 .I am here for another 25 days or so. I will be in bangkok in the next week or so. Cheers Chris R Netherton technical Director of the National Flood school UK
Dear Mr. Edelson; There are several solutions that will take a long time to slow this train down before it goes off the cliff. The first thing to be done is for someone in Washington to pull their heads out of their asses and get the U.S. Congress to put the U.S Dollar back on the gold standard. One George Washington U.S. dollar for every 100 of those keystone shaped gold bars in Fort Knox. What does that do? First it revalues the value of the U.S. Dollar back into the stratosphere. Then every nation on the planet holding our national debt comes calling and China being the largest holder of our debt, Treasury T Bills, Bonds or anything else will exchange their 2 trillion or so dollar debt they are holding for gold which we will supply. What does that do. Well you say,” But we don’t have that much gold in Fort Knox!!”. That is the whole point. The demand for gold will soar!!! The Chinese will take as much gold as our gold mines will turn out as fast as they can turn out the oar. More gold mines will open. Thirty Million people will be put back to work in gold mines. New gold mines will open in Alaska, California, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Utah, Nevada. Where ever someone thinks he can pull gold out of the ground a gold mine will be opening because demand will be somewhere around 100,000 dollars and ounce because of the scarcity. Not because gold is one dollar for 100 bars of gold but because the scarcity of gold when all those countries come knocking on our door and demand 2 or ten or twenty trillion dollars worth of gold using our national debt that they are holding. What does that do for us. We get our money back and they get the gold. We get millions of people back to work in the gold and metals industry, minerals industry, oil industry, other industries and the National Debt begins to come down because more people are tax payers. The tax rate comes down and spreads out so lower taxation spread out over more people means more revenue coming into the government because more people have well paying jobs besides flipping hamburgers and less people are on unemployeement sucking money from the Treasury.
We get our money back from China so we can do more Research and Developement into solar powered cars and trucks, 18 wheelers, diesel electric locomotives that are turned into solar powered locomotives. R&D into more green stuff like solar powered engines, wind energy, fusion reactors, medical research for cures for everything, anti-matter powered engines on earth and in spacecraft. Everything would change for the better if those fools in Washington would just take a 100 year vacation in Tahiti and leave us the Hell alone. Everything would change for the better if we would just go back on the gold standard. You know the one the Roman Empire was built on. Doofus morons in Congress and the Federal Reserve and the White House can’t leave well enough alone. They had to take us off the gold standard and now look where all you stupid Americans are. In the toilet watching your country go down the drain. When it does then the Republic of Texas will just start printing it’s own money called Sand Dollars and bid the rest of you embiciles good ridance. You can buy our oil then for 10,000 dollars a barrel; not the measely 2 or 3 dollars a barrel for the past 100 years.
Sad but true, just had a wonderfull holiday in US overland on train best steak good coffee great friendly people. I am well positioned gold stocks etc just had discussions NZ company who are holding all their considerable cash in US dollars . Good gold site goldnerds.com.au now analzing US listed gold stocks may be of interest. Thanks Weiss Larry and co Jason Blomfield
american must learn chinese wisdoms otherwise they should choose asiatic background lesders
Dear Larry,
For a little over a year I have watched you, Martin and his
well-rounded gang, who sometimes disagree on a few small issues
here and there (one reason I like his mix), but generally all
agree on what has been obvious to anyone with an economic
background - especially the future economics of the U.S. I have
a background in designing financial systems for multi-million
dollar firms and these days I own 100% of the stock and run a
$460B renewable energy firm, so I have to study history, read
hundreds of pages of reports, new laws, opinions and extrapolate
a wide variety of trends and in-between, watch global banking
and energy events unfold. Many people under me depend on what I
learn and the decisions we make at the top at GPP. My advisers,
Board and V.P.’s range from top-notch scientists and energy
engineers to former bankers who have worked with the IMF and
World Bank, to former ‘deal fixers’ who worked with J.P. and
Goldmans - all in all, I’d say I am pretty well informed, have a
good circle around me, get good advice and am a pretty good
judge of the value of data. I have to be - for 3 decades big
companies relied on both my analysis and my designs and
implementation of those designs to pull their butts out of
fires. I am kind of the opposite of an economic hit man - I have
to fix problems, clean up the mess someone else left behind and
design solutions that produces a balance sheet stockholders and
Boards could live with. Now I do it for our firm and our
employees and contractors. I value the info I get from you folks
at M&M and while I sometimes (very rarely) skim an article from
a few in Martin’s gang, I read your stuff twice - every time. I
like your style and insight. You asked “How do we fix this
mess?” Its actually quite an easy formula, but sadly,
implementing it is as difficult as asking the Queen of England,
Rockefeller and the Rothschild family to pony up the $20T, rethink
their global strategy since the Chinese and many nations are
wise to the game, and then for the U.S. to honor the debt, like
any nation, it must begin a massive program of industrialization
and exports. There is no other way for any nation, firm or
household to survive. Without PRODUCING something others want,
you wind up with deficits, be it oil, energy, food,
electronics or toys: it doesn’t matter. No tickie - no laundry.
No exports - no economy. Trying to survive by wrangling
derivatives (and often cheating your trading partners) or
working the spreads in currencies and interest rates is
obsolete. The jig is up - the savvy foreign nations see through
the game and even poor Evelyn’s family portfolio is probably
taking a big hit. The 400 year old banking/global model they
developed that led to their rise in power is officially dead.
The Gold, Oil, Drugs and War model led to their eventual ruin:
good riddance. They should have focused on corporate and
regional prosperity, rather than attacking neighbors and
stirring up wars. Detroit’s standing in the auto industry -
dead. Silicon Valley’s advantage in software and hardware and
soon to be biotech I.P. - dead, or rather dying quickly. The
folks from India have learned a ton while here, have all but
gone home and are storming that market. China is now the number
one automaker. Unless we re-invent our nation with something we
do well and act as a TEAM and then export the new product(s) to
pay off our debt, the American standard of living will look like
Mexico in a few short years - if that. As M&M predicted,
inflation will be going through the roof, the dollar will free
fall (as your technical graph shows it is about to do) and just
as wheat jumped from $12 to $50 for a 100wgt sack in a week, so
shall many (all) things in the U.S. Detroit - the ghost town of
factories and crack infested streets, is the new model American
city. Sadly, since the President is simply the messenger of the
bankers, it isn’t likely there will be any CHANGE there. It
wouldn’t matter whether it had been McCain or Obama or anyone
else. Presidents are just MESSENGERS. They don’t actually set
the polices and any winner of the 2008 race would have simply
been following the polices of the Fed, J.P., Goldmans, the BIS
etc. and those policies have led to our ruin. Again - the ONLY
solution to honorably resolve our debt is to begin, like any
developing nation, to produce products that are in hot demand
and export them. Sadly, that isn’t the plan: the plan is to
bankrupt the nation (that plan is working well), clean out the
real estate holdings of the poor and middle class (that plan is
almost complete), then clean out the fairly rich and mega rich
(that plan is unfolding), and in the end, concentrate the
holdings in the hands of a few. As one of my V.P.s said, “When
the banks have no customers, the banks go under. When the nation
has no tax payers worth a dime, the nation goes under.” The
policies of the bankers and traders has led us to this day and
the policy makers are too slow to act, and in reality, incapable
of changing course mid-stream on a plan that was laid out 10 to
50 (150?) years ago unfolds. Meanwhile, Brazil, Russia, China
and India - the BRIC brothers, are finally getting the last
laugh. I’ll bet even old Hugo and Fidel are getting a chuckle
out of it. Certainly Putin, who sweated a little in 2008, must
smile a bit as he realizes that the crash of the Soviet Union
and the pain they felt for over a decade is now a wolf at the
door of straw house called the United States. Soon others will
be dumping dollars, from the folks in Kuwait and Saudi Arabia
to, as your article said, people in tiny undeveloped nations
with extremely unstable currencies - none of which compare to
the nosedive crash devaluation the dollar will soon be
experiencing. Therefore, the DEBT we owe, whether its $10T or
$50T won’t matter: we can pay it off with dollars worth next to
nothing. That is the ‘Banker’ plan - “the wheel barrel of money
required to buy a loaf of bread” plan. What kind of economists
do we have in Manhattan, Washington, London, Frankfurt or Zurich
that would hatch and execute such a plan? It doesn’t matter. The
folks in Rio, Moscow, Beijing and New Delhi must be smiling wide
today. Except for their losses by holding dollars, they are
sitting pretty. And the growing number of Americans who are
moving into tent cities, or into cars (that will soon cost too
much to own, let alone move - they will lose them) or onto boats
(I live on a sailboat and love it and am seeing an increasing
number of the newly homeless showing up), are all simply cannon
fodder for the banker’s plans and those plans have led to the
ruin of a great many nations - mostly those that were in the
British, German and Rothschild’s sphere of influence and now
China is spearheading the new world order the bankers THOUGHT
they would control - and simply cannot.
Beijing is in the drivers seat. Ask anyone who is monitoring
their global purchases. Life isn’t going to be perfect for the
Chinese. Sure, they have plenty of problems to deal with; some
would suggest a looming civil war over human rights, but I doubt
it. With a burgeoning middle class, its unlikely too many will
rock the boat much over there. The Chuppies (great phrase Larry - quite kewl) are
having a ball. I live near San Francisco and they show up here
constantly, walking tall and cocky with their families in tow -
probably examining their newly acquired real estate holdings. As
one of my V.P.s said, “There will be no bullets fired in the war
between the U.S. and China - they will just walk ashore and show
up with either the cash to buy the house or already be holding
the title.” That is the new America. PLAN B: PRESS RESET AND
CHANGE THE RULES. the pork barrel at the expense of tax payers and
the lack of a gold standard ends. Spending on foreign banks,
bonuses and insurance firms stops. The money earmarked for
developing our nation is actually focused on projects at home
that create energy self-sufficiency and develops export
products. Our firm (GPP) has a zero emission fuel that has tremendous
export potential, so we figured we would try to get funding for development
through new DOE loan guarantee programs so banks like ExIm will talk to us, but hey -
the DOE isn’t answering the phone unless your name is Vestas or
Suzlon - two other foreign firms. So we knocked on the banker’s
doors in Beijing and they are glad to talk to us, provided we
develop the fuel and technology in China, basically leaving the
U.S. and the U.S. economy out in the cold. I wrote to the DOE and
told them “CAN YOU SEE THE WRITING ON THE WALL HERE?” and we were
snubbed by a cocky, arrogant power hungry fat-cat desk-jockey who
can’t see the forest from the trees. That’s the wisdom in Washington these days and it isn’t changing anytime soon. My
suggestion to all Americans - and probably European nations too
- be prepared for a few decades (minimum) and more likely a few
centuries, of not just playing second fiddle, but more likely
poverty that is so severe and wide spread, and a standard of living that is
so low compared to a few years back, that the life of peasant
farmers in China will look like a dream vacation by comparison.
That is the long-range trend I see and I have never been wrong
about long-term trends when economies are in the hands of either
idiots or wise men. The future at this point is just too obvious
for anyone but a blind man. Press reset and change the ethics,
pay scales and focus of the banks and politicians
(hahahahahahaha - good luck) or expect a continuing disaster of
unprecedented proportions. For me, I’ve got the boat and am
headed out. I doubt I will ever come back to the States again.
I’d rather live with Native Americans in a poor village in
Patagonia and fish for my food than ever look at another crooked
banker or smiling politician again. They simply disgust me -
every single one of them - either for their ineptitude and
irresponsible fat-cat, arrogant attitude, or for their greed and
corruption. The vision our Founding Fathers had was sterling - a
real breakthrough in the evolution of human rights, sovereignty,
land ownership and the old motto, life, liberty and the pursuit
of happiness for all men. We broke the slavery issue, have a
Black President, Indian programmers, Latin American Governors,
Asian Scientists - the vision was a great one - and is now
unwinding and the warnings our Forefathers gave us are coming
true: “Our children will soon wake up homeless in the fields of
the continent our forefathers conquered.” - Thomas Jefferson
speaking of the future under the rule of the European bankers.
Go figure.
How can we win this dilemma. It seems to me at some point soon noone will accept our money as legal tender. Then what? We are senior citizens with some GE stock and a house with a small mortgage on social security. The stock is way down so that selling it now would resuly in a big bath. When do you see hyperinflation coming into view? I am very concerned and the government keeps getting worse
p.s. we invited American Land Owners to OWN THEIR OWN BANK and earn profits from interest revenue from loans to renewable energy projects as well, which amount to about half of the gross revenue streams. This is what foreign banks are already doing to the American wind industry - funding it and earning a nice profit along the way. They are holding most of the paper on these projects. THE RESPONSE? The American Land Owners loved the idea, but hated the thought of actually having to WORK (push a pencil) to run a bank, even when we told them we’d help them acquire the entire team to take them from Charter through due diligence, loan proceeds and loan guarantees and produce an ROI of 200% - 1000% and get all their initial capital back in the first year (carbon markets). Wait - where else are you going to get those kinds of returns or safety or trended product (energy)? Nowhere, but the deal still wasn’t good enough to get them off their butts. Sadly American politicians aren’t the only people used to earning a dime without working for it. While it is true there are a great many hard working, knuckle busting people out there, the reality is our past has come to haunt us. We are a soft, slow, noncompetitive society and perhaps a few centuries of deep poverty will give us the backbone to get back into the game.
Hello Larry:
I fully agree with you. I MYSELF HAVE NO PROBLEMS for the simple reason that I live within my means which at the present time is from my Social Security payments. About 25 years ago I said that the
average American household is about 5 to ten thousand dollars overdrawn on their credit cards, this is totally
irresponsible - the Banksters however loved this and encouraged it - hence it gave them an unconcionable
income. Some folks I know bought new cars “Oh its only 10% down plus my old car” thats the car salesman’s
commission. After the “Deal” he couldn’t care less. That is just an example, that applies to buying of new
homes, going on vacation “play now pay later”. This applies accross the board, greedy sales people selling
the sky to credulous folks, I THINK THOUGH IRRESPONSIBLE WOULD BE THE PROPER TERM. How is it
that people on the lowest end of the economic scale can afford to provide their kids with $500.- Ipods and
cell phones, having them gapping whilest walking right into the traffic totally oblivious of moving traffic. Guess
their are as connected to reality as their parents. Certain things I have not been able to do on my house for
the simple reason that I do not consider it a priority above some other items.
Now when it comes to food prices I would ask you whatever became of the Sherman antitrust act and with
the Banksters and Credit card Companies: What became of the Usury law? If I have a couple hundred thousand in a bank and they pay me for their “Prime Money market account” a whopping 0.3% and at the
same time offer me a loan “Special” for 9.8% don’t you think their is something foul in Denmark? These are
Banks which got bailed out to the tune of 15 plus Billion Daollars. I believe it was back in Jeffersons days that
someone asked: “What is a bigger crime, to rob a Bank or to open one?” Jefferson of course had a lot more
to say in respect to Banks. Hence I live by myself and do my own cooking and shopping I know what prices
for goods are. When a Corporation comes out of nowhere and buys up several Supermarket Chains, and
following that some items which I am very familiar with, after their store’s Grand Reopening sell for more than
three (3) times the price in force before the grand reopening. Now how can they get away with that: I asked
several customers during my shopping trip in one of their stores why they buy particular items, the answer was
usually: “Oh you know it’s the price of gas”. I reminded them that the price of gas (at that time) had come down to around $1.50 and that the prices are that high because THEY are continuing paying that inflated price and if they substituted something else they would lower the price of these items very soon. It is in a way
the uneducated shopper who promotes such criminal behavior. Some consumers I find annoying, they walk
from isle to isle yacking on the cell phone like robots taking orders what to pick up from a wife or other entity.
Then they pay with their Credit Card, not in they slightest concerned what the total is. That much for the
Shoppers or Consumers.
What I said about the Banksters earlier, I believe that this was already mentioned by one of the members
of the Weiss Team. Unfortunately this was not done 30 years ago when it might have been posible to
educate some folks that a Credit Card was a matter of convenience so one didn’t have to carry large amounts
of cash, but that purchase had to paid off with the next from the credit card company. But here comes the
kicker: The credit card companies and Banks have no interest in seeing the customer pay off his bills. Think
about the USURIOUS penalties, added interests, compound interests that they are allowed to add, but I guess
that is “Spencer Halls Happy Land of Manhatton”. May be those folks have to knocked down before they ever
wake up.
As far as the whole country is concerned, I don’t know how a bankrupt country can fix a bankrupt economy. Hope you remember what Eisenhower said in his farewell speach ………………………………………
they will totally bankrupt this country on the pretense of keeping them safe from everything. As the Weiss
folks said, it would have been much easier more economical to let these gamblers at Wall Street and the Banksters go bankrupt. Out of the ashes we would by now see some “Green Sprouts” emerging with an
inbred sense of responsibility.
The Washington plans scare me. Who in his right mind would hire the foxes who through there nefarious
actions destroyed the contents of the whole chicken farm, to rebuild the same??????????????
My self, Im just an independent Bar owner, not big anough to employ eny one but small anough to keep afloat in these trubeld times.
The way i see it the state of all nations has been brought on by the greed of the of senior managment and directors of companys in all sectors dealling in finance.
Not so maney years ago companys used to be proude, to tell you how rich and secure they were by having vast amounts of money to fall back on in times of crisise as we are in now.
One only has to travel around the Carabean and even europe to see the vast amounts of money that have been spent on pleasuring them selfs at the cost of the worlds population Yachts and relastate, bought with vast bonuses, and unbelevable credit turms for the rich.
Im just a small man who lives within his means but proude to belong to the 95% of the worlds population, that owens 5% of the worlds welth, and not the 5% of the worlds population that owens and had controle over 95% of the worlds wealth.
If i went for a lone of £10,000. at this moment in time and pre credit crunch i would be expected to pay a far greater amont in interest than the pearson who wanted to borow £10,000,000. And yet even though i was less of a risk to the lenders.
As i said earlyer i owen a small Bar and live with in my means of what i know my busines can aford to pay me at any one time but also building up capital for these times, like the world finds its self in at the moment.
Gread in the finacial sector have caused the problems devising ways to pay more bonuses, from providing loans. Providing loans, especeally in the two years priyer to the crash, Knowing full well that the bubble was about to burst and there was a free for all.
Its time now to exsept the blame and the punisment, and if the financial institutes of the world wont claw back these vast amounts of money back in to the system then its time that the Governments of the World do throught Taxation, back dated. the abolishment of off shore banking and Tax havens, all financial dealings should be in the public domain to be scrotanised by all.
Were i am standing, i used to look up to the financial world and the people who ran it, but i dont now i look at them and see who have commited a crime against the whole of the world, and as always its the small man or woman that has to pay the price, for somthing we have had no controle over. If i was to commit a fraudulant act then i would exspect to pay for my actions.
The banks of the world have been baild out at a cost to us all. So why are they still been alowed to holding on to the money that has been put in to the system to get the econamis of the world working again,.
That means cheaper credit to the man on the street who will spend the money and biy the goods, that will inturn keep the weels of industry turning so they can repay their loans and debts. the world is in a position to make things work again for the benafit of all not just to provide a few with fraudulant Bonuses.
If the interest rates on credit cards and and personal loans to 10% or less to the man on the street would spend, Credit should be given on the abilaty to pay, and not to use interest rates of 20 and 30% which only cuts the monry that can be spent in the shoppes and business.
A fair deal for all not just the tuesen few, that have never done any thing to deserve it but bring the world to the kness.
Nicholas Wilkin Lancishire UK
The solution is simple and not so easy to execute.
1. Put the Federal Reserve monetary system through bankruptcy.
2. Establish a National Bank that now issues credit rather than debt.
3. Sort out the banking system. Good regional and local banks get support the rest go into the trash.
4. Cancell all derivitive contracts.
5. Begin a full blown national revitialization of infrastructure and the production of tangible goods.
6. Waste no time, spare no effort since the wolves are at the door.
Drastic and I mean really drastic cuts in CEO pay. Raises in working people’s pay so they can actually live decently on what they earn without borrowing.
I am living within my means, following (or trying to:) the Dave Ramsey financial plan, and saving for extra expenses (such as car, etc). Unfortunately, for the first time in my life, I know numerous people now from all walks of life that are in drastically bad shape. They are losing jobs, homes, and unable to buy food for their families. Many issues with houses in my own neighborhood, which used to be very stable, with long term family owned homes, and now has many rentals, re owned properties, etc. These are scary times. I love your publications!!!
Every one in the west is living beyond his / its means. Individuals live beyond their means. Governments live beyond their means. The nation of USA is living beyond its means.
In many countries debtors commit suicides since they are unable to pay debt. In the west, it is the creditor who will have to commit suicide since he will go broke with the western debtor being unable to pay him. There is no sense of shame associated with not repaying debt in the US. This is something you need to change.
The root cause was cheapening of money by dropping interest rates. Change that and you will change everything.
I think its too late for the USA to change it habits and policies. It is quite clear that the government are happy riding this thing out by printing and praying.The government have ignored the structural shifts that have taken place in the economy since the 80s. It has promoted and relied on an asset inflation to fuel it recent boom and now it has gone bust. Its good to see that the savings rate has jumped but can that alone save the states? The USA used to be an innovative country, inventing and producing but the last several decades its has depressed its educational system. I hope there is a way back, i hope they can find good paying jobs for all those who have been laid off, but i dont think so, and its a situation that we all have to become used to.
The US can convert it liabilities into assets. Student loans, welfare, being in prison and now defaulted loans can be seen as debts owed to the government. They come due when the government owes you money such as tax refunds, pensions, and social security. The mechanism is already there to collect that money for student loans. All underwater loans held by Freddy and Fannie go from non-recourse to recourse loans. Those that borrowed will have the pride of paying back what they owe. How will they live - either work longer or get charity from the compassionate conserversities who did so well under the Bush tax cuts.
In 1979 I went through a financially devistating divorce. Then in 1982, due to injuries in an auto accident, lost my flying career. I made many hard choices, started a heavy equipment buisiness, and was debt free in 9 years, and have remained so since. Our politicians refuse to make any hard choices, as well as many Americans. WE MUST DUMP ANY ELECTED OFFICIALS THAT ARE NOT FISCAL CONSERVATIVES, AND CONSTITUTIONAL ADHERENTS. AND WE MUST GO TO WORK! NOT IMMIGRANTS, AMERICANS. WE MUST DO IT FOR OURSELVES! Fat chance.
Hi Larry,
I am not convinced what you say is true. Have you consider on the other side of the coin: how much assets do Americans and Amerian company own overseas?
Yes, the ordinary Americans have suffered but the the national wealth has not.Declining value of the dollar may tip in favour of US taken sufficient time dimension for the economy to readjust itself.
Am I right?
Tommy
Sydney
Larry,
Tough medicine time.
Spending side:
We need a cap on lifetime government medical benefits, indexed to the actual ability of the tax stream to support the payment stream. Most free-market plans have the cap already. They “index” it by arbitrarily changing the cap or increasing rates, yearly. We need a 75% cut in the military budget. We need spending that becomes wages paid to local residents - building transit, insulating houses - and less spending on tech goods. We need spending that leads to productivity: transit, renewable energy, education, training, roads, public works.
Tax side:
We need more federal income tax on the highest earners. We need more federal income tax on capital gains. We need fewer loopholes like “trusts”. We need the estate tax. We need to raise the social security tax cap. We need to reduce the illegal use of illegal residents for illegal work, and increase the work done by our youth and our poor. We need to ban tax incentives for specific private actions, like factory location decisions.
Culture side:
We need more work and less play. We need more exercise and less partying. We need more steamed broccoli and less fried meat. We need more scientists and less sex kittens. We need a world where good health and hard work are in style, but anorexia and addiction are not. We need more Scrabble, more soccer, more gardening, and less TV.
RUN FOR THE HILLS There is no hope.
Dear Larry
The problems are obvious, but the solutions are not. It is like trying to get the health back of someone who has smoked, drunk, and eaten in huge excess for his/her whole life, and now thinks a quick fix will do. The fact is that Eisenhower in 1960 warned about the Military Industrial Complex, which now absorbs a huge amount of our wealth while making us no friends at all. The fact is that the Federal Reserve Bank has created many bubbles and refuses to be audited. The fact is that the media works hand in glove with the government to, in the words of Walter Lippman, a major jouirnalist of days gone by, Manufacture Consent. For Wars and for government and corporate fraud and abuse. The fact is that, as you well know, Larry, medicines in Asia cost usually only10-25% of what they cost in the US. And US residents are restricted from protecting themselves by bringing in a decent supply from overseas. These are just some of the corporate and government abuses. There will be a lot of pain ahead–as the old show said, it’s “truth or consequences”. We need a total breakdown of the current political system, to reverse all these trends. Think Rome or USSR.
These are a few words that I wrote to my small copy list when forwarding your latest effort to them.
Over borrowing, spending and consuming since 1945 has put our economy and our country in a very bad financial situation. When the final gold backing for our dollar was removed in 1971, the major owners of our corporate wealth engineered an easy credit, cheap money policy via the fiscal and monetary tools at their disposal - ownership of the Federal Reserve and most of our politicians - to artificially stimulate America’s consumption to the binge status. Why? Because the banks they own profit from the borrowing and their other corporations profit from the spending. Most of this equity is in tax-free foundations and offshore numbered accounts so please don’t think that they are burdened with taxes on these profits.
Now, having borrowed and spent ourselves into a financial coma, we are suffering an economic collapse which some observers call the beginning of the “New Dark Ages”. One thing should be very clear in regard to our government’s attempt to “help” the situation: If overspending is the cause of the problem, overspending is certainly not the solution to the problem. Overspending will, of course, increase the transfer of wealth into the pockets of the super-rich and, as we are slowly learning the hard way, it’s all about increasing wealth - theirs, not ours. Please don’t be fooled by the small, temporary economic expansion currently underway due to extreme corporate cost-cutting and release of some of the taxpayers’ stimulus money.
These tactics are like giving a drug addict a fix which will make him feel better now but take him further away from a cure.
Bill Madden
Good day Larry from graham in Australia, I’m sorry to see the mighty USA flounder, slip and now fall. from where i am watching from it seems you must forget the political reasons to be in the middle east .. YOU NEED CASH AT HOME get out of Iraq and Afganistan, mothball your war machine, defer all defence spending and aero space research. defer the national health plan. the public must only buy the essentials , no christmas or birthday presents for 1 year no vacations too, …. good god the more i think about it, the more i wonder if you can really pull your self back into the right side of the ledger, I wish you well,kindest regards, Graham
As a country we must do the following things are we are doomed:
1. Drop the Coperation of the US and go back to the consitution govt.
2. End the Fed Reserve and the IRS and print our own money and have the banks to pay the US interest on the money they use, which will end the need for the IRS.
3. Produce our own energy from oil and natural gas
4. Put terrifs on all imports to bring back our industry and get America working again
5. Not necessary but it would be nice to throw out all the European banks, especially the Rothschilds and our own Rockefellows
As an individual what should one do:
1. To Protect your wealth all you have is gold and silver
2. Leave the US, for why would anyone want to remain in a country whose govt is trying to kill you with Chemtrails, flu shots, Florine in your water, a drug industry and medical industry who only treats symptons with only toxic chemicals and on the other hand trying to stop its citizens from having axcess to minerals, vitamins, and herbs to cure you of diseases.
In summary we need a true leader who is not a coward and who puts america and its citizens first and forgets about the rest of the worlds until we are strong again. We also need a govt that is honest with us and one that will tell us the truths about everything. Also since the Supreme Court Justices have taken it upon themselves to create new laws there should be put a term limit on there stay of no more than 6 years.
Hi Larry!
I greatly appreciate the insight you bring to your newsletters. I learn a great deal from them.
A thought occured to me a while back. The deficit problems we have today and have had for the past many years are not the fault of the president or the people. I think we get caught up with the most visible people in government, like the president. The real culprits are in the Congress. They are the ones with the spending power.
So, what we need are not politicians running this great country of ours. We need the other “P” word: Patriots. Where do we find such characters? Well they are you and me and all the other ordinary hard working citizens of this country. We cannot afford any longer to have career politicians. I think the people of this country need to step up.
For me personally, I am reducing debt and following your advice. Unfortunately, I scaled back my gold holdings a month ago. I am hoping to see a dip in gold so that I can buy back in.
Best and Kind Regards,
Chuck
Good morning (afternoon to you) Larry. I read this morning’s report with great mixed emotions. Sad, because of what we have done to ourselves as individuals, and anger because of the stupidity and the extreme greed of those who have (had) the knowledge and control (Government and Wall Street).
What can we do? For one thing, we now need to save as never before. We need to spend wisely and not as drunken sailors with reckless abandon. All pork barrel spending must immediately cease. Line item veto power must be given to the President. Americans must learn to vote OUT any elected official who does not adhere to a code of conduct. Checks and balances must be instituted at all financial institutions and this includes Wall Street and their obsession with power and greed. And most of all, Americans must learn once again to do for themselves what they should and can do without relying on others, especially our Federal and State governments.
And finally, to halt the runaway costs in our Medical system, Americans need to learn to take better care of themselves by not eating themselves into Diabetes and Heart ailments, stop smoking, and stop their dependence on alcohol and drugs. This is NOT optional !!
Larry
I am not an economist but an avid reader of Market Oracle, current events and a small business owner.
If I were King I would do the following to save the World financial system.
1. Out law Derivatives and all instruments of financial mass destruction.
2. Put the entire Western Banking system in receivership.
3. Outlaw the Federal Reserve.
4. Reaffirm the US Constitution.
5. Make a new financial currency pact with China, Russia and India. I would side line London banking to a lesser role.
6. The US Government would once again print it’s own money and extend credit at 5-6% interest to both public and private individuals. The dollar value would be based on a combination of gold and a basket of currencies. The interest income from the extension of credit would be used to pay off our debt to foreign countries. The balance would be used to fund infrastructure projects. Like Nuclear energy, power plants, mag lev trains, roads, bridges, drinking water, manufacturering.
7. Gut the US entitlement programs. Maintain flat tax at 20% private and corporate no loop holes.
8. Get Government out of business and abolish these never ending credit bubbles.
9. If you abuse your privilege as an officer of a bank or financial institution you die.(DON’T STEAL)
10. Protect all countries borders Language and Culture.
Thank You
Kevin McCracken
Oct is the month the debt ceiling is to be increased.What would happen if American tells congress no.Like a teenager out of control,tough love will say NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO! The pain will come,so be it.The borrowing and out of control spending must stop.Instead of mopping up water on the floor turn off the water spigot.
Hello there i read your post and what you wrote there was something that is was coming ,and the worse to come there are waiting for massive protesters all around the usa ,it was all set to happen to this government i am sorry for this country that has some interesting things and people are good here is political class that is worse ,i hope when protesters come to the streets let them express them selves not retaliations against them cause cubans in south florida said this is country where you have freedom of speech will see in the near future ,
now they are suffering of what extreme capitalism is now they know ,now they woke up and are living the real life of every single human man is living in some part of the world where all the natural resources where suck like thirsty vampires ,where all rain forest where tear down so they can be place in some fancy floor on Coral Gables,Central Park Penhouse ,.
They are so brutal that dont respect global warming putting are selves and are next generation in a complete risk for entire humanity ,poor Obama good feelings poor support know he know he can not rule this country without the cancer of big monopolies and corporations ,good intentions sorry english is not my natural language i read all your artical keep posting
Larry,
I am a retired Canadian.
My first observation is that you folks have been digging this debt hole for a long time. Why is all the blame being laid at the feet of Obama? Bush didn’t exactly help the situation!
I admire his (Obama) effort to finally address your wretched health care system. I regret that he/you feel obliged to include the profit motive in it but obviously your government can not take on any more financial burden.
I I am puzzled that you continue to support a system that regards the people at the top of your banking system as gods. It was their greed (let’s not pretty it up and call it risk) and lack of accountability that precipitated this mess. And now your system sees fit to reward them once again. Why?
WE are reluctant to stand up and physically show our disapproval on political issues although we have been known to voice our opinions in the streets. Politicians - but more especially your powerful, influential media - pay attention to masses of angry, disillusioned people acting together. Your plea, Larry is to citizens and politicians - perhaps it is time to bundle all your grievances together (ETF them) and “walk your talk” down Wall street or Pennsylvania Avenue.
Heartfelt best wishes on this - it affects us too!
Would have liked to have visited your offices in Bangkok when I was there.
Keep up the “excellent” work.
Real Wealth subscriber.
Sharon
We all need to take personal resonsiblity and paying off our own debts and be discipline with our spending living within our means. Also we need to watch very closely those in federal,state,city and county governments that continue to attempt to destroy not only our future but our children and grand childrens future financially.
We need to get serious about this and draw a line in the sand.
To me and some of my friends it seems so obvious- as a country, doing what we have been doing and continue to do will weaken or destroy our economic creditibility and our currency. Our leadership, The Fed and the Obama Administration, have their blinders on and persist in dealing with the superficial aspects of our economy and not addressing how we can actually strengthen it by addressing fundamentals such as taxation ( We have a tax system that punishes our domestic companies and rewards companies which move offshore), regulations and requirements, unionization and litigation. We are continually lulled by false hopes but it seems to work, at least for now- we want to believe. Which is finally my point, the situation will have to get worse before it gets better… we have suffer before we get motivated to actually make significant changes. That is our nature and our history. JS
Our government employees and the members of the House and Senate consist, with a few exceptions, of lawyers who were not good enough to maintain a profitable lawpractice. They became professional politicians, drafting laws that create costly programs without adding anything to the bottom line. the business of this country is business.We need te elect businessowners, CPA’s and other seasoned financial people to the House and Senate, who understand that you can’t spend money you don’t have.Again, the business of this country is business, not doling out money to people who don’t want to work.
terrible but what to do?
Energy may only represent a few percent of the budget of any nation, but it’s also the ‘bed-rock’ foundation of any modern economy. In my view the only hope for America now, is to correct the ‘Laws of Physics’. A little known fact, is that an obscure technician by the name “Thane Heins” has recently astonished the entire scientific fraternity, with an elegant and compelling experiment that defies Lenz’s Law. (An electrical equivalent of ‘friction’ based on the time-old dictum that you can’t get a quart out of a pint pot, ie The Laws of Thermodynamics)
Science is slow and methodical, I doubt there will be startling official publications from august journals like ‘Nature’ all too soon, but for those who are aware of the implications of Thane Heins research, there looks to be ‘light at the end of a long dark tunnell. I have personally witnessed the flurry of recent activity directly related to Thane’s discovery. I will naturally be conducting my own experiments, and probably sharing my failures on the Internet, so that others need not waste time repeating my mistakes. Thousands of others may do the same? and a small handful of researchers may hit ‘pay-dirt’ and stake their claim to more than a minor footnote in the annals of History. Humanity will have turned the corner, and the Galaxy will await our exploration. Mankind’s footprint will encompass the heavens. CHEER UP UNCLE SAM!…..THE BEST IS YET TO COME!
Runaway inflation is always worse than deflation. The government should raise the interest rates, cut its spending and stop printing money. New social programs like Obamacare and unproven eco programs like Cap and Trade should be scrapped. Our free markets should be free to expand and taxes should lbe kept to a minimum to encourage investment, which is the engine for the creation of jobs. Earmarks and pork should be vetoed. Corruption in government should be vigorously investigated and prosecuted, especially in our elected officials. Also fraud should be vigorously investigated and prosecuted in all government programs, i.e., welfare, social security, medicare, military procurement, etc. Critically limit our financing of foreign governments (i.e. contributing to the IMF funding of Iran)and being the police force for the world. Get America back on solid economic grounds.
Larry, I have heard folks say “what’s all the fuss about, things are not that bad, in fact we are coming out of recession and everything will be back to normal during 2010″. Well I think you are absolutely right, the worst has yet to come. The majority of folks don’t seem to realise just how much this global financial catastrophe is going to cost each and everyone. Any green shoots of recovery will be instantly extinguished by an increase in taxes levied to pay for all the bailouts. The world is at a cross roads, either we continue to work with a broken financial system or we take the sensible decision to reset the system and start again. After all it was done for Africa, why not do it for the rest of the world and lets all get back to work. http://www.movethezero.com
gold &/or silver
Larry:
I don’t think there is a way to get out of this mess that can be crafted by politicians of either party. This is a multi generational cyclical long wave trough period. In terms of long wave cycles and looking at history through a 100 year lens, rather than the short term sense of history that the body politic uses to evaluate things, this trough is more the norm than an aberation.
The real widlcard in the investing environment today is the pending fiscal failure of government at the municipal, state and eventually the federal level. We have never lived with a fiscal failure of government in this country. The only way to get through this period is for individuals to figure out ways as individuals to find our own way through this period of time, which is likely to last for anywhere from 5 to 10 years.
I think investors inclined to follow the “Religious Model of Investment”, i.e. “Buy and Pray”, will probably suffer the most. I think the “Dairy Farm Model of Investing”, i.e. “Nobody Ever Went Broke Having Too Much Cash Flow and Too Little Debt”, is more appropriate for these times. The focus should be on liquidity, flexibility, dividends, interest, rents and covered calls. The cash flow is the “milk” and folks have to rid themselves of cows that don’t produce milk, focus on the ones who do, and look beyond the borders of the USA for worthy cows. Ones cows may go up and down in value, but if the milk keeps coming in and we live within our milk envelope, we can survive this period. Maintaining liquidity to focus on opportunistic asset purchases during the down turn will probably pay off in the future. Our investment watchword during these times is simple “GOT MILK?”.
I do believe there is an answer. A Constitutional amendment forcing a balanced budget. Do what Kennedy started to do by having only the Treasury issue currency as the Constitution dictates rather than borrowing from and paying interest to the privately held Federal Reserve, have the new Treasury notes pay off all the Federal Reserve notes and debt, thus eliminating the debt and therefore no more interest to pay. Let the currency float so gold can establish it’s true value, then back the currency with gold at that level, even if it’s $10,000 per ounce. Do away with the reserve banking system or limit it to 50% rather than it’s current outrageous leverage to stop inflation and require banks to make their money through sound lending and savings. Let the Treasury Department be the bank of last resort so the banks pay interest to “we the people” and the Treasury pays interest to no one. If the government has to spend more than it has, it must immediately monetize it rather than create debt or borrow from anyone. This should be a great inhibitor to keep us out of wars unless they are absolutely necessary as well as keep Congress in check from pork barrel spending. That’s just IMHO.
I’m just an old, raggedy, disabled veteran with a fixed income that pretty much keeps me in clothing, food and shelter…not much more. Am I to be even more financially burdened by the President’s and Congress’s shenanigans? God, I hope not, but I’ve never witnessed such a political and social mess in my lifetime of 73 years. Someone has to anti-up for this crap. We are sorely without enough of non-”what’s in it for me” citizens who can agree on and plan for what’s best for this nation. Left and Right groups just ain’t gettin’ it done.
Currently I am confused as hell and frightened of the prospect of anarchy that, to me, will come if we don’t take corrective action to cool our wild spending and smug self-rightiousness on both sides. God forbid! There’s too much good in the majority of Americans for this to happen.
Good article and many good comments and suggestions. I would take exception to the use of the word “we” over and over in your article. Some of us don’t believe in debt and avoid it like the plague. We may rent, we may drive second hand cars, we may get discriminated against by insurance companies for our non-existent credit ratings but when a lot of other people are stressed out about debt, we’re not. “Owe no man anything,” is good advice from the Bible. Why do (all?) of the states have to balance their budgets but not the federal government? Citizens have to balance their checkbook, why should we expect anything less of our public servants? If they’re not representing us then they’re tyrannizing us and should be treated like any other thief.
This is in response to your 9/15 afternoon MaM
Yes Larry, every single one of those responses identifying that nasty smell
are what we use to call the firing cone. All 500+ shots taken forms a pattern
around the bull’s-eye.
In our organization we called for the cause of the cause that made a catastrophe.
Stepping back and looking at the last six months, the sequence of under
which things unfolded was either convoluted thinking or a group of events to
be made that didn’t matter which order they took place. If thing were
on the up and up, the medical plan would have been addressed first.
He, Obama, has this giant push to get all these things done before the 2010 election
because if it gets done and the Democrats loose seats, it wouldn’t matter, the damage is done.
My opinion Larry, there’s a hidden goal to this so called administration to bring
America to it’s knees so America can not fight off the one currency planned
for the world. Which by the way, will eventually develops into a one world government.
This time last year, people would think it would take years for someone to
do what Obama did in 8 months. Again, by the way, Hitler ruined Germany in 6 months.
Stimulate economy with 12 month income tax holiday (except SS).
Return TARP money (stop printing & giving it away)!
Reinforce energy independence (petroleum, coal, nuclear). Produce >70% of needs.
Eliminate ridiculous CO2 taxes (cap & tax). Reinforce free enterprise again.
Investigate , charge and remove from office unlawful Congress and Executive personnel.
Give lawyers in Government a 6 year sabatical.
I am really impressed .You are fresh in thoughts,bold in expressions and inimitable in presentation. Pl keep it up.
Mike,
Why not consider sending the 2nd child abroad for a 1st college degree, and letting them come back and do the Masters degree in the States?
Larry.
If you are saying we can pay off the national debt with a 5% saving rate (in 429 years) then what will happen if tax rates go up an additional 10%? Will we pay it off in 1/2 the time?
You’re use of a 5% savings rate is a misconception. You should restate the debt in terms of taxes since that is how the government gets money. I’m already paying 40%, so if I pay 50% what will the deficit look like?
Perhaps the government has not given up hope of repaying the debt. Perhaps they plan massive tax increases to repay the debt……more likely they will continue to spend, spend, spend then followup with tax, tax, tax!
I notice that you didn’t mention the borrowed money to fund the two wars for the last 8 years. Remember, there was a budget surplus before the war. Don’t blame the current situation on the American people for over spending. The Bush administration urged Americans to go to the malls and spend, just after 911, remember? The only guilt that I can see is that of the American populace that voted Bush in for a second term. Now that is stupid!
Now those same idiots who backed Bush are hoping tocontinue supporting insurance millionare executives by keeping the status quo. I guess they are so stupid that they love to give away their money in the for insurance that they can’t cash in on because of the small print on their policies.
Sad.
The most effective way to stop the spending is to stop those spending it. Get behind candidates who stand for smaller government and less spending. Give your time to phone banks, walking precincts, donate, whatever you can, to level the playing field in Congress. One at a time we must unlodge those who embrace the socialistic concepts not allowed in our Republic. Work for term limits. Write your representives and tell them what you expect of them. Tell them you will not vote for them again if they continue to support this run-a-way President and his gang of Czars. The President has dismissed the American people as not important in his plan to turn this country into a giant community service organization–probably to serve his envisioned kingdom–not the USA. One little oust at a time adds up to a balanced Congress. Then we can start working on the problems, because no one is listening under the current Congress.
Larry,
This continuous descent of the U.S.Dollar is indeed terribly concerning.
It appears that this freefall can only be contained by gold investments. Even gold may be eroded by its association with the dollar. Maybe the pirates of old were not so amiss as it seems: Bury your valuables under a palm tree and hope to return one day for retrieval!
Regards,
Tom
Larry, As China is encourageing it’s citizens to buy physical gold and silver, thats what I’m doing. My only speculative position is cash for the possibility of a C wave down asset crash. In which case, I’ll buy more tangibles. I’m not sure about the mining stocks as they are paper. Thanks for the article Chris
How about the following?
1. Allow all illegals to become legal but only if they are willing to pay $5,000 apiece for ‘Green Card’ and again $5,000 for citizenship (if they meet all other requirements)
2. Turn Internet over to USPS and charge 1 cent per kilobyte (10 cents max) per e-mail sent and received. That would still be a great bargain considering the pre-internet days. It will stop all the spam and bring some discipline back to the eager keyboard pounders.
3.Force all Mutual insurance companies to demutualize, give each bogus shareholder (policyholder) a small part of the proceeds and let Uncle Sam appropriate the rest. I am serious. That policyholder (i.e. those who are still living) own the share of the Mutual insurance companies is the biggest fiction in the history of business. No body owns that ungodly pile of dough because when a policyholder dies, his estate only gets the face value + accumulated dividends and not a dime more and the board of directors are free to do with the loot as they please (usually huge bonuses for them).
This should be allowed to happen only after Congress passes a law mandating balanced budget (just as the states do). A constitutional amendment might be even better.
Larry,
you opened a can of worms here, it sure is interesting and educational to read all these letters. Thank you so much!
Herbert Riedl
The only way out of this monetary mess is to go green in Congress (remove all ) and start with someone that cares about America. Hopefully this can be done in Nov. 2010
HI LARRY, THANK YOU FOR INSIGHT UNAVAILABLE TO THE STATE SIDE BOUND. LARRY THE MILLIONS OF REAMS ISSUED ON “LIVING BEYOND OUR MEANS” PROBLEM STEMS FROM A VERY CLEAR BASE, THE ENEMY OF AMERICAN PROSPERITY IS IN A FEW WORDS GOVERNMENT, WAR, 800+MILITARY BASES WORLD WIDE, DEFENSE INDUSTRY, MASSIVE COMPLIANCE, AND UNIONS.
YES THERE WERE MANY OTHER WASTEFUL ECONOMIC FORAYS OUTSIDE OUR BORDERS, YET NONE IN TOTAL COMPARE WITH THE COST OF EGO DRIVEN CONFLICTS, THE LOSS OF AMERICAN LIVES. THE DISPLACEMENT OF USD OUTSIDE THE COUNTRY. THIS AGE OF AIRCRAFT, MISSILES, SUBMARINES, THERE IS NO NEED FOR MORE THAN FOUR BASES, EUROPE, JAPAN, DIEGO GARCIA, THE USA. NO BOOTS ON FOREIGN SOIL.
THANK YOU, JOHN ROSSI.
One of the most straightforward, telling letters I’ve read so far. It made me cry–literally.
“Sometimes you don’t know what you’ve lost ’til it’s gone.” Cat Stevens
The USA better wake up and smell the coffee NOW–or is it already too late?
To protect and grow their nest egg Americans should buy all the silver they can afford. Sell all of it when the price of silver equals the price of gold. This should occur in 6 to 7 years.
If the left wing in our great country is not stopped our nation will be distroyed. Contact as many elected represenatives al possible to let them know how you feel
Larry, I am reading your market comments from outside the US. The impact of the financial crises here is to strong to make jokes about it (like asians seem to do). The sentiment here is closer to disapproval and “hard to beleave”. The impression is that money (banks) rules the “world” (US) backed by politicians that try to save the system only for their own profits by sacrificing most of the population. Seems that the suggestion “we need patriots” instead of greed politicians is more than true.
This impression became even stronger when I heard about faked assumtions published by the USDA regarding supply of acricultural commodities. If true, it would trick farmers of their own country hard, especially since lots of differents pests (fungi, grashoppers…) produce already a lot of pressure. How can officials do something like this?
All this is surely not only a problem of the US, but here the excesses seem to be most dramatic.
An ex-pat American financial expert wrote in Canada’s major newspaper recently that if the US were to introduce a 5% national sales tax (Canada GST is 7%) & tax cigarettes, gasoline & alcohol at the same levels as Canadians currently pay it would raise almost $1.5T (trillion) annually. If Americans were to pay 10% more income tax on annual income over $500,000 or a 1% financial speculation tax were to be introduced the US would be out of the hole in 10 years. But just like the massive inflation generated by the US Civil War that was NOT paid for by the wealthy Yankees, the rich have NEVER paid enough to keep their country on a sound fiscal basis. Don’t blame Obama.
All of the teams articles are excellent, but this is perhaps the best. I’m retired, on a fixed income. We have cut down on all but real neccessary credit purchases. We didn’t even take a vacation this year.
U.S. consumers can no longer drive this country’s economic engine at the pace we’re going.
I have been seriously thinking for a long time of gold/silver coins as an investment vehicle. That’s got to be better than Federal government securities.
As a Canadian, a citizen of a country whose major trading partner is the U.S., I certainly hate to see the U.S. in self-destruct mode. I believe there are solutions. The problem is that there are really no politically acceptable solutions!
The U.S. government really should:
1.) slow, stop, and eventually reverse its slide into socialism; gradually reduce the size of the federal public service; raise personal income taxes while reducing corporate taxes and taxes on dividends (to encourage investment, i.e. harness the power of greed
2.) allow interest rates to rise slowly to protect the dollar
3.) develop an exit strategy to gradually escape costly involvement in foreign wars
4.) attempt to change demographics by encouraging immigration of skilled healthy individuals under the age of 30 (i.e. people who will work and shop!)
Socialistic approaches like raising minimum wages and heavy-handed government involvement in the economy can only lead to the death of the entrepreneurial spirit which brought greatness to the U.S.A. in the first place. Simply pushing prices of stocks and commodities higher by increasing the number of dollars in circulation can’t provide a long term solution - just a temporary high before the big currency crash!
Allen Simpson
Halifax, N.S., Canada
WAKE UP PEOPLE!! Turn off your tv sets and tune into real news not spun by the major
propaganda machines like CNBC, ABC and Fox News. We have truly been living in the
matrix, in the sense that this American Government was hijacked officially with the passage
of the Federal Reserve Act of 1913. The elite, central bankers of the world are the
shadow Government and they operate in TOTAL secrecy! We taxpayers pay the debt
on money that is created out of thin air! Start by educating yourself on how money works:
read the Creature from Jeckyll Island By G. Edward Griffin. After you vomit, you’ll learn
who really rules the world. This is a deliberate terror attack on the dollar, perpetrated by
the money masters for complete control and servitude to them. Unfortunately, they own
the majority of the gold in the world. They manipulate the stock market, oil pricing, gold
and silver pricing and it was them who created the ultimate destruction machine: derivatives.
But the Chinese are fed up with the fraud we committed on them by selling toxic assets
and shorting gold ETF’s. They hold upwards of 2 trillion worthless dollars and want no more.
Don’t be surprised if China, Russia and India collude together to send the US on a long boat
ride to hell. We can look forward to another war, food shortages, high unemployment and
taxation through the ying yang. The dollar will be replaced with another fiat currency,
all the while wiping out the middle class in the USA. Learn how to grow a garden, raise
chickens for eggs and barter, have absolutely no debt and own physical gold and silver
and most importantly, get your spiritual house in order.
Learn to do without because the high times we enjoyed in America for 20 years was a false
sense of wealth. I don’t like to be such a pessimistic person, but before “I woke up”, I was
a republican and didn’t question the system. I did notice that some things just didn’t make
sense to me, especially after the 9/11 attack. It was 2 years ago that I did endless research
for the truth and what I found in the truth was downright disturbing.
God Bless
As I said in my last comment, we can make a multi-trillion dollar profit by restructuring the major financial firms that we have in place, AIG, C, FRE, FNM, etc so they operate at a profit the same way Chrysler was.
However we also need to look at how we failed in the first place. Clearly the Glass Stiegal Act should never have been repealed.
In addition there must be in place a FISCAL policy board, patterned after the Federal Reserve Act, that is independent from the Government in the same way as the Fed is. This FISCAL policy board would have legislation that would call for implementation of cost savings measures so long as the mission of the government agency is not impinged upon. The funding of the FISCAL policy board would be paid out of cost savings actually realized and agreed to by the affected agencies of government. For example if the FISCAL policy board implemented changes that saved the Government $100 billion over a five year period on one of its proposals that won acceptance by Congress, then 5% (five percent) of these yearly savings would be paid to fund its continued operation. It could be thought of as “Pork Barrel” legislation in reverse.
There are many examples of this type of work having been carried out successfully in the past, one of which was the “Grace Commission” with my cousin, J. Peter Grace as it head.
Sincerely,
Morgan H. Grace, Jr.
I think as americans we need to start making painful concessions time to put our hour in order instead of trying to take care of the world making donations while borrowing more money. Those 2 wars to start with are draining the country of so much and let’s leave the others who have no debts to take care of others and make huge donation. I wish our leaders would accept the fact we are broke they don’t seem to understand it the continue to spend like drunken sailors with no plan to sort this mess out
ALL IS LOST, THE SHIP IS SINKING FAST , LIFE BOATS ARE GONE, SHARKS CAN BE SEEN IN THE WATERS. DO WE JUMP ?? RIDE THE SHIP DOWN ?? GRAB A LIFE VEST??? PRAY FOR GODS HELP AND HOLD YOUR BREATH.
Are you serious when you say that they are not reluctant to accept the dollar? This is definately a sign that the gig is about to be up. Yes I know we are quickly becoming the laughing stock of the rest of the world. When the Chinese quote OUR founding fathers when talking to us about fiscal policy you know there’s problems:
“He who goes borrowing, goes sorrowing” said Mr Cheng -former vice-chairman of the Standing Committee and now head of China’s green energy drive.
This is just getting pathetic and I think those of us who are informed know that it’s pretty much over now and that we should prepare ourselves for a rough landing.
We are living in very bad times. People fish by dredging the seas, disturbing the eco system and tossing the excess dead sea animals back into the waters. That waste make doesn’t sense. Monsanto dominates food patents. We eat seedless sterile grapes and melons because we are too lazy to deal with the seeds that mean life. Companies are insisting on using terms such as cold pasteurized instead of irradiated or omitting information altogether such as genetically modified. There is a push for less information on labels at a time when we need more. Are we going broke? Yes of course we are - banks are charging excessive interests which in a moral world is stealing. We keep thinking some agency or government is going to peotect us forgetting we have the responsibility of protecting ourselves and that’s best done collectively. Freedom requires the free to protect themselves if they expect to remain free. No one else can live or die for your freedom you must be willing to do that yourself. People are running scared and being vaccinated for everything under the sun because a few people die. It doesn’t make sense because a few people will always die after all we will all die of something eventually. We tolerate the cruel misuse of animals we call food and it is not okay, it is not okay. Greed must be stamped out in every human heart by each one of us. Its another work we have to do ourselves. We must learn to embrace cooperation, respect our fellow man and become bio-friendly towards all biological life. Every morning I focus my attention toward God. It helps 100%. Take three steps back and remember everything your grandparents said to you. Stop pursuing material things - it leads to debt, distruction and debt slavery. Human beings need God, the persuit of higher understanding, food, clothing shelter and the company of our fellows. We don’t need al the junk, crap and unnessary worry. Read and understand nutrition, plant a garden grow some of your your own food. You’ll learn alot about who you are. Let yourself be natural - don’t medicate the life out of your body.
Dear Larry,
Our monetarist system is broken. It must expire now. You’ve described the situation in vivid detail. So, we junk the old and usher the new in.
First, close the banks. Put the insolvent ones through bankruptcy reorganization. Write-off all the “toxic assets.”
Second, cancel all residential and the coming commercial property foreclosures. Renegotiate the debt and subsidize when necessary.
Third, establish a new national bank. This bank will operate under a credit system, backed by the full faith and credit fo the United States Treasury. It will issue currency through the solvent banks for great infrastructure projects, ie, cleaning rivers, building and repairing bridges, and building and operating maglev trains.
Fourth, restart the Bretton Woods fixed currency protocol. End currency speculation. Have the four largest world economies, the U.S., China, Russia, and India agree on currency exchange rates. Other economies, ie, Japan, Germany will join. Together, they’ll finance the modernization of Africa and other countries and continents.
Fifth, let’s get to Mars.In the 1960’s John Kennedy lead the world to the moon. We need a great science project to spark human creatvity!
All this sound far fetched? What about the Renaissance!
Sincerely,
Harold S. Wittner
Let the dollar fall….stop all oil imports….drill domestically.
Eradicate Capital Gains Taxation
Repeal the 16th and 17th Ammendments to the Constitution
Expand house of Representative to its original proportion 1:50000
Fair Tax
Otherwise…bendover and KYAGBYE….its gonna be nuclear
I will answer the question “what are you doing…”
I’m 61 and my wife is 63 and we started planning to live without SocSec about 3 years ago.
Our home is paid off. Never had a mortgage, built it myself, cash, pay as you go over a period of 15 years. (building dept gave me an award as being the “most persistent owner/builder for 2004) We never really bought into the home as ATM mentality so we never “cashed out any equity . On paper we have lost many thousands of home equity. I say, so what? Our home is still just as good a roof over our heads as it ever was!. Never lived beyond our means, thus no debt.
Had some retirement savings at market risk, in a 403, so in the summer of 2008 we used it to purchase a complete solar PV system for our home plus enough to irrigate our huge garden. We will have electricity for as long as the sun rises in the AM! Plus plenty of vegies from the garden. No more power bills and thus cap and trade will not affect us. (PV modules, largest expense of system, last 50 - 75 years)
We spent spent Bush’s “stimulus tax refund” plus other tax refund to purchase a small 30hp farm tractor.
In summary, we are WORKING to provide for our own future the best we can, not wanting or expecting gov’t help.
This is what all of America needs to do, live within or below ones means. The gov’t is on a road to self-destruction, the outside world can observe this and are laughing and steering clear.
However, as I told my neighbor the other day, I’m still optimistic, currently considering buying a foreclosing property on our street.
And when it is all said and done, the land and real tangible assets will not evaporate like the US dollar will.
Life will go on, no matter what.
Thousands of years ago the writer of Proverbs wrote that the prudent person will see trouble coming and take refuge, while the naive continue on and are punished. And also, “Much wealth is in the house of the righteous, But trouble is in the income of the wicked.” Our land is full of corruption and in due time we will reap the income, TROUBLE.
Be prepared. Don’t wait for gov’t to “fix” things. Gov’t can’t and will not because gov’t is the largest part of the problem.
These tumultuous times have been challenging, but we are trying to stay ahead of the curve by subscribing to Real Wealth and the MCP. We have very little invested but it is working for us. We are happy with the input we have received from RW, but have had less success with MCP. We are also enjoying some security with physical Gold and Silver. I have invested in a farm in Tenn. with extended family and we are
working diligently to master farming with an eye toward becoming even more self reliant. This country was founded by people who sought the freedom to work, live and prosper without government interference. Today government is way out of control. This makes it imperative for people to take control of their own lives…form small communities and join together to weather whatever madness is coming down the pike. Best of luck to all.
Nancy
Larry,
I agree with your assessment of the world and particularily the U.S. situation. For those of us who were once so called ,middle class, our only chance it seem, is to digitently save as much as we can. The question is how? Your e-mails are invaluable as to what is evolving in the finasncial world, for those of use who read you daily, we respect your financial prowess. I for one thank you and your group to lead us to safer financial shores, You are respected and greatly appreciated for your guidance, Thank you ,Ken of Silverdale,Wa.
Larry,
Good clear article thanks. I have NO investments at all in shares or stocks anywhere but am now considering getting involved with 10K sterling. As an Englishman, would it not be agood idea to buy weak dollars ? I ask this because i can’t see the dollar being ‘worthless’ forever.
PAul
your goverment and the uk goverment need inflation our should i say hyberinflation to get out of there stupid bets, are mr brown cant even create inflation but he will in a moment god help us when he does your dollar will not be the mother currency china will see to that you americans caused this and of course we followed why do you think china is buying your companys and gold i am afraid you and us have to wake up.
terry shead
personally, I have reduced expenses and debt, while investing mostly in energy, materials and natural resources with a bias toward foriegn and particularly BRIC countries.
I find it interesting that most of the posts prescribe what the government should do, and few indicate what they are doing personally. So much for personal responsibility. Many just rant and complain. Solutions to our dilema will not be successful until we as individuals take responsibility for both the problem and the solutions.
I must first propose we gather up ALL our politicians from the TOP down and sell them into slavery to the Chinese as floor moppers using only their tongues.
Next we employ our citizens to mine resources of all types to create gold and silver and rare earth minerals to finance our imports.
We can employ millions to create natural gas burning autos for worldwide use and of course drill and use clean energy to power our electric grid.
We have solar power and wind energy for all households to create another massive job creation.
Then we can farm our own gardens to grow a portion of our needs to enjoy better health and reduce our health costs.This has an effect of getting us off our butts and in better health too and needing less meds.
But right now, take ALL money from banks and buy real money like gold and silver before it’s too late !
It is obvious by the number of people who responded to your request for answers that as God loving humans we can take better care of each other than the DAMN guvmn’t !
Larry,
You asked for comments on what we are doing to protect ourselves……we’ve liquidated 401Ks, our Roth IRA, all mutual funds and most stocks. We are now in cash and physical gold, hoping the equity markets continue to inflate so we can sell remaining stocks with minimal damage. We are keeping the gold mining stock.
BTW, we have STOPPED SPENDING on anything other than food. I also found a bank that pays 4.1% on checking deposits under $25K, a good vehicle for paying monthly bills.
Larry
I firmly believe that the current debate about health care has little to do with health care. Instead it
if the middle classes saying that they have had enough. They are losing ground at a faster and
faster pace and see mandatory health care of any form is going to put them further behind. They
are tired of the 60% or so of working Americans supporting 100% of the population. Go to any
hospital emergency and what do you see; people on welfare and illegal immigrants lined up and you
just know they won’t be paying their bill so it falls on higher insurance rates and higher bills for those
willing and able to pay. We have to get a grip on subsidies and grants which do little to enhance society but keep adding to our burden.
Richard Tremayne Mesick, Mi.
The economic kaos we see now was planned out years ago. This is how a new world order will be shoved down our throats. There were warnings about this years ago. The question should be, how do we Americans stand up and resist the coming police state?
If we could have avoided the eight Bush years, what shape would our economy be in after eight Obama months?
Larry, Having lost 75% of my portfolio holding gold stocks, I sold nothing and have regained about 75% of the lost portion. I will hang onto gold stocks (madness in normal times), watch them closely, and get into “something else” when the inevitable occurs. But what is the “something else?” The entire world will soon feel terrible pain and experience serious civil unrest. The tragedy of Obama is that he studied the Constitution and not Economics. What he has been handed has been hatching ever since 1980 (read Simon Johnson, an excellent economist).
The rulers of the universe have destroyed it and we’re all aboard. Now we know what the decline of the West looks like. I agree totally with the gent who said Americans live in the Matrix. This morning I heard someone the tube describe all economic indicators as “Good, good, good.” Made the talking heads very happy.
DLP
Excellent article. I am also dismayed…perhaps distraught. There is no way to fix this but to allow the dollar to collapse, declare a force majuere (sp) and then refuse any restructuring from the World Bank. We will need to provide our own new currency based on silver and gold. We have no choice but to decouple from the world economy and default. The debt is too formidable and beyond our ability to ever…EVER pay it back. The best we can do is resort to trade-in-kind and reestablish our own internal domestic manufacturing base.
Larry,
Just read your article on Weiss Research, Inc. site. You are right on. This situation is deeply disconcerting not only for current US citizens but more importantly for the next generation. A Greek philosopher once said, “Democracy is doomed to failure because eventually the populace will vote themselves the treasury.” It is sad to say but we have finally reached the time in US history where this has taken hold. But we must think globally and act locally. What I am doing is shifting my portfolio out of US equities and into investments I would never have considered before. I am holding more gold ETFs, more non-US gold mining stocks, more short ETFs on US equities and although is concerns me, more short term government bonds. I am also buying default first position mortgages that are many times below the underlying asset value.
Larrry,
Since the value of the dollar is sinking, shouldn’t we invest in foreign stock markets as well as commodities?
Geithner lied to the American media when he said back in May that he was taking a “business trip to London.” He actually was just getting on his connecting flight to Greece at Heathrow to attend the next Bilderberg meeting of world bankers. Geithner was definitely at the last Bilderberg meeting in Athens, Greece, back in May of 2009, and this has been confirmed by Spanish journalist, Daniel Estulin who has devoted the last 17 years of his life to tracking these bankster criminals. He was caught on mike by Estulin actually agreeing to replace the dollar as the world currency. The dollar will be supplanted; this is now a done deal, a foregone conclusion, and the Obama administration knows this and is deliberately not telling any of us. I am not pessmistic by nature, but I am 100%realistic. With the Politically Correct MSM in America refusing to criticize a black President for ANYTHING, only We the People can take back our government. With both parties controlled by Neocon warmongerers and a GOP that believes un-Constitutional nation-building and empire are manifestations, albeit perverted, of American patriotism, I really see no end in sight with these two parties. Neither party cares one iota about the US Constitution; they wipe their collective hindsides with it and reflexively think their job as Senators and Congressmen is to devise endless Socialist schemes with an endless supply of Monopoly funny fiat money. Both parties routinely engage in un-Constitutional corporate bribery and prostitution. Both parties support an un-Constitutional FED which manipulates the interest rates to deliberately thwart the free market which only delays the inevitable depression and makes the inevitable depression much worse needlessly as a result. This ISN’T REPRESENTATION OF THE PEOPLE, BY THE PEOPLE, & FOR THE PEOPLE, but rather REPRESENTATION OF WALL STREET, BY WALL STREET, & FOR WALL STREET. That’s what the TEA Parties were all about this past Saturday in DC with over 1.5 million Constitutional Conservatives marching on DC. Honestly, I believe this is the beginning of another American Revolution which will be spawned by the dollar’s demise and the chronic ignorance of an overwhelming number of blacks, rednecks, and Hispanics in this country who have been living off of the government dole forever. There will be racial riots and hunger riots as the dollar is overnight reduced to nothing. Likely, some States and/or regions, in order to give We the People more political muscle, may even secede from the Union citing abuses of certainly the 10th and likely also the 2nd Amendments. The apostate government in DC will implement martial law when the riots and revolt take place. I can only hope that American servicemen remember that their oath they swore was to defend the CONSTITUTION from all enemies foreign and domestic - NOT this President or this un-Constitutional federal government. Regardless of what happens, America will never be the same. Her currency will be worthless everywhere. Both of these braindead parties have refused to implement VAT’s on imported goods and do not rebate VAT’s on exported American goods. This has led American manufacturers to locate factories overseas when they determined they could make a profit by exporting their goods to America from other countries whose leaders have COMMON ECONOMIC SENSE instead of hanging around and relying on braindead, IVY LEAGUE politician lawyers, many of whom have never held a job in the private sector a single day in their lives, to actually suddenly understand Economics 101. The US trades with 137 countries. EVERY SINGLE one of those countries has VATS and many of those countries rebate VATS on their manufacturers who export goods overseas. America does NEITHER; this is Economic Insanity! We have lost as a result much of our manufacturing base - over 300,000 American manufacturing jobs NEEDLESSLY. We woulkd have to look back to 1952 to see the last time America had this small an amount of jobs in manufacturing . China is generating REAL WEALTH because she does not have a braindead government of IVY LEAGUE-EDUCATED LAWYERS who have never worked a day in their lives abandoning their manufacturing base. America will only be able to GENERATE REAL WEALTH when the manufacturing base returns to our shores. America cannot sustain wealth or grow wealth as a nation with a purely service-oriented economy! This is Economics 101. Another real danger of any nation with a weakened manufacturing base is that if a major world war breaks out and we need to build munitions and arms how can we retool our factories if our factories AREN’T HERE??? It is insidiously criminal and an INDICTMENT ON THE APOSTATE SOCIALIST GOVERNMENT IN DC that the largest employer in the United States is the Federal government. In America, everyone glorifies dingbats with business degrees, lawyer degrees, communications degrees, marketing degrees, finance degrees, and journalism degrees, but engineers are reviled. That’s to be expected in a service-oriented economy. In the rest of the world, an engineer is respected and often has a tilte akin to Doctor or Esquire. None of this is surprising but rather symptomatic of a country that has abandoned its entrepreneurial spirit.
My wife and I have our passports ready. I do not believe America can effectively change with her ignorance supported and reinforced by a press that has become a propaganda machine for the insane policies of the two apostate parties in DC both of which along with the MSM media have their Presidents and administrations controlled directly by the CFR on Wall Street. Third Parties have been completely BLOCKED Un-Constitutionally from the political process and the airwaves in America - on tv, radio, and newspapers. We the People have no voice unless we get out in the streets and protest, but then the MSM misreports our numbers and characterizes us as racists for daring to say anything bad about a black man. They are assaulting the First Amendment every time we turn on the tv. These TEA Parties and townhalls will get noisier and noisier and noisier as the spout whistles louder and louder the more they avoid us until the lid blows off the teapot! This movement will not even be stopped when the apostate government declares martial law. Hopefully, these TEA Parties will coalesce into a powerful COnstitutional COnservative force in America. This apostate criminal cabal in DC will not go away without a fight either. The governmment has silently prepared FEMA camps around the nation for detention knowing what is about to happen. They have claimed they are only for national emergencies in the event of nuclear war, natural disasters, and the like, but we know what false flag events and lies this government is capable of. Does anybody honestly believe the BS about TWA Flight 800??? This plane was beyond the shadow of a doubt exploded by Ramsi Yousef’s contacts that the FBI allowed him to communicate with from inside prison; it completel;y backfired on the FBI when he spoke in Urdu instead of Arabic.
Our ancestors came to this once-great land to escape tyranny and oppression. It’s about time for us to follow in our ancestors footsteps. I predict that there will eventually be a mass exodus from America if the Revolution is not successful. Americans will not accept tyranny lightly without an all-out death match and/or a run for our life.
The only thing I can seem to do is to work hard to pay off debt, and to try to stock pile some canned goods and small appliances to be prepared for replacement. I plan to stock up on fire wood (we have a fire place with a fan), and am considerring making my upstairs into an apartment for family in need or crisis. I am trying to make wise, neccessary, forward looking purchases. ie bicycles for transportation, etc.
What the individual can do, and what we have done here, is to route around the potential problems.
Instead of filtering all our wealth and wants and needs through their phony paper scams, we eliminate those middleman skimmers, and go directly towards getting as independent as possible in life’s necessities as a priority. We “invest” in ourselves. You get independent (and we are now for the most part as a deliberate strategy) in your water supply, your food supply, your shelter, and rely primarily on your own security. Then you are more insulated against sudden economic and political shocks, and the “ROI” is pretty good as well.
I suggest any and all practical tangibles, starting out with where you live, which should be someplace with adequate onsite (not just muni) water sources and food growing potential, and get going on the food production. Then salt to taste, anything from solar panels to long term storage food to various tools, fuel stores, greenhouses, tractors, etc, along with the means to protect your wealth, the means and the skills and the *will*,
You simply cannot rely on future promises of money from chronic serial liars, said liars being wall street, any government, and the big casino banks, who spend all their time trying to convince you to swap your wealth for their variously named IOUs. They all suck, they all lie, and you’ll get burned eventually if you trust them, IMO.
You should put *some* of your tradeable (shaky) paper wealth right now into hard round and shiny historical money, but until you have your actual day to day NEEDS covered better, don’t short change yourself by overloading your “portfolio”with dubious paper promises. (personally, I own zero paper promises..I simply am not interested in having dealings with the economic mob gangsters)
Get your basics covered first, that’s the best long term investment you can make. Until you do that, you are still taking a huge risk. Life can change fast, over night, so “future proofing” needs to take your actual needs first, not necessarily your wants.
There’s an old fairy tale, with a lesson that is as true today as when it was first told, the moral is, don’t swap your milk cow for magic beans, no matter how attractive those beans might be presented to you by the bean salesconman.
Since the govt is no longer going to back money market funds , where is a safe haven for $ in 401k’s
I have become 100% debt free. I moved most of my 401k to a 5 star bank in CD, the rest in MMKT. I keep a few thousand in cash at home at all times, have also been collecting silver and gold coins and keeping them at home. (I am a small time invester :) I also bought a couple of guns and some ammo. And have built up a supply of canned foods in my pantry, as well as other “disaster” related items like propane, charcoal, medicinces, etc. My goal is to build up a very substantial cash reserve as well as incremental silver and gold purchases. Just keeping it simple.
Proverbs 11:4 it says, “Riches profit not in the day of wrath, but righteousness delivereth from death.”
The words of The Honorable John J. Ingalls, Senator from Kansas who
> delivered the following in 1877:
> “No enduring fabric of national prosperity can be built on gold.
> Gold is the money of monarchs; kings covet it, the exchanges of
> nations are effected by it. Its tendency is to accumulate in vast
> masses in the commercial centers, and to move from kingdom to
> kingdom in such volumes as to unsettle values and disturb the
> finances of the world. It is the instrument of gamblers and
> speculators, and the idol of the miser and the thief. Being the
> object of so much adoration, it becomes haughty and sensitive-and
> shrinks at the approach of danger, and whenever it is most needed,
> it always disappears. At the slightest alarm it becomes to look for
> a refuge. It flies from the nation at war to the nation at peace. No
> people in a great emergency ever found a faithful ally in gold. It
> is the most cowardly and treacherous of all metals. It makes no
> treaty that it does not break, it had no friend whom it does not
> sooner or later betray. Armies and navies are not maintained by
> gold. In times of panic and calamity, shipwreck and disaster, it
> becomes the chief agent and minister of ruin. No nation ever fought
> a great war by the aid of gold. . Gold paid no soldier nor sailor.
> It refused the national obligation. It was worth most when our
> fortunes were lowest. Every defeat gave it increased value. . But
> silver is the money of the people.”
About 10 yrs ago, I worked for a major retailer (13 yrs) in the US. Applied for store card I did not want. (think commission for cashier). Denied. Why? According to phone rep, my employment wasn’t stable enough. 11 yrs of service at the time at 45 hrs/wk. At this time, this company was still sending “live” credit cards to people. Call a number, verify identity, active. Simple as that. My mother and youngest son got live cards in the mail. I had quite a time cancelling and removing them from their database. My mother had died 9 yrs earlier, my son was 7 then. My employment at that company was not stable enough for a card. My company was bought by another retailer that had declared bankruptcy 2 years before. The Asians shun us for good reason. My pet could have gotten credit with that company, if I had a pet. Me? Not so fast. The US dollar value sinking? What a surprise…
Larry - you are doing a great job. Thank you
Dave
larry, years ago i had congressman chuck bates warn me about what the bank cartels plans where. i respect you and martins advice also. i followed your advice and loaded up on metal when it was still 350 a oz. if you truly want to help america you would push for the repeal of glass owens, the bill creating the so called federal reserve. this crises is of there making thanks for all you do
Larry,
You are wasting your breath. I am an American living in Kunming, China. Any idiot could see what was coming in the states. I actually left 10 years ago, and have no plans to ever return. America is a corrupt circus, entertaining its housebound morons, who will never change until the rug is pulled from under them. The politicians should be strung up or shot, or both, but who’s going to do it? Not the American Idol watching monkeys out there in TV Land! I say good riddance to bad rubbish, and I’m sure most of the world agrees with me. Let’s all just pop open a bottle of bubbly, and enjoy the sinking of the USS Idiocasy.
Cheers and best wishes from Asia…the only place to be.
Scott
I believe the question you asked is, what am I doing to cope with this mess.
Moved all my IRA funds into gold, silver, copper mining and energy stocks.
Cut all spending to the bone. Only buy what we need, pay cash.
Sold the second car - eliminated a car payment, reduced insurance, operating and maintenance costs.
No more healthcare insurance.
Declared Chapter 7 bankruptcy.
Learned to grow a garden.
Started a small business.
Applied for my Canadian citizenship.
Wrote a book about the basics of money, work, and life - and how to gain control of it all.
Moved from Florida to Colorado, and considering points north - maybe Vancouver Island if things get too desperate here, and my citizenship app comes through.
I write and call my senators and congressmen regularly.
And I am active in the Tea Party movement.
That’s all I’m willing to share here……
Answer to question on how to solve debt delema,Easy start buying american, look at the labels,china dont buy it ,foreign cars dont buyem put washington retirement on social security. Rope is cheap hang the wall streeters and bankers that received bonuses for gambling with our economy ,send em straight to hell. Get rid of the darn illegals[very easy.] fine the companies that hire em ,no money ,they will go home on their own, their causing to many problems ,put the people on welfare to work, they wont have time to be in a gang’ crime problem solved .Move to nat gas asap huge job gains thereafter, oil prices will plunge there after. As for the debt it will never go away it will haunt us for years like a ghost under our beds. If ever their was a time that the peoples money is being stolen it is now more than ever and the exctinction of the middle class and as our flag waves us goodbye so long seeeeya later sung like a sad song so good it hurts.
I am 71 and a half, have had to return to work within one year of when I thought I could retire, and have started a second part time job. I now work 58 hours a week as a casino dealer(I don’t gamble) and feel I will have to work till the day I die. Wall Street bankers have robbed me of my savings, and the government makes my dollars worth less every day. I am in my own financial Armaggedon.
The Bush years created a false sense of growth, only the top people made out(Ceo’s, bankers and Wall Street types) the poor got poorer and the middle class lost a lot.
The USA as I knew it is lost. Only people in government service federal, state and local are guaranteed their pensions which are always inflation protected. The bloated pension system will go bankrupt but will always be supported by the taxpayers. Crooked Congressmen continue to make out and get richer after they leave office.
Am I mad? Yes, I am furious at the ’system” that ruined the lives of ordinary citizens.
Thanks for listening.
Liquidated:
Few years back sold house and stuff - good move.
Simplified:
Cut back to essentials only. Simple-living renter. No debt - always good.
Positioned:
Accumulated physical PM while seeking refuge abroad - good move.
Admit, some of my remaining paper positions did not fair too well last Fall = PAIN
Lesson learned.
The extreme magnitude of so many negative metrics are frightening enough. But what is more frightening to me is public tolerance of the lying, spin and propaganda meant to herd the public and money. The tolerance of rampant in-your-face corruption and racketeering throughout the system AND government - the absence of prosecutions for obvious crimes. Public tolerance of “royal” behavior of our so-called representatives who arrogantly flaunt their power and ignorance - behavior one would expect to see from a mobster. The extent to which so many in our country have become “good party members.”
I fear we’ve lost our republic to a systemic disease.
What’s left is some fascist beast that simply feeds on others.
If the country can marshal up perhaps 5 million people to march and fill DC, stay there - shutting it down until these career criminals all resign, then perhaps we have a chance to recover our government.
Until then, I’m getting out of this theater before they yell fire after locking the doors (cap controls).
Would be very interested to see some discussion regarding mechanisms by which the gov’t might implement cap controls, banking reorganization, currency/debt defaults.
Would they really shut down the electronic payment systems in a bank holiday to prevent capital flight - risking greater panic and a total shutdown of the economy?
Larry, First of all we must abolish the Federal Reserve. Then we must go back on the Gold and Silver standard! Then we must abolish any future interest of any kind.
hi larry. you asked about what the man on the street is doing.
i’m buying gold and ammo. i don’t have a family to worry about. i don’t have a home, i rent. i have student loans to pay back but i’m not worried about that.
i intend to sit right here where i am and protect my village.
It is obvious to any reasoning person that a free market and capitalism creates wealth. The U.S. government needs to sell off all its’ assets - yes, All its’ assets - using the revenue to pay down the debt. In the process, they need to quit being the ’sugar daddy’ and let individuals through voluntary cooperation fix our own problems. And finally, quit passing laws that regulate voluntary behavior and let the courts solve the dissagreements between individuals where a jury of their peers is quite effective. — Governments create nothing, especially wealth. Only unfetterred capitalism and free markets can bail us out of this mess. And given the oportunity, they can.
The American people must rise up against the deceit our elected and un-elected officials that are pulling the strings over our eyes . Quite frankly, I believe it is too late to do anything about it. When I try to discuss what is going on to others, their eyes glaze over and don’t believe things will fall apart. Many people will loose their lives through the chaos during the free-fall correction period. I am not sure how America will rise up though the ashes after the fall. After we loose our freedoms, it will be very difficult to get them back.
I believe much of the problem is a political one. We got into this situation by having our Govt not living w/in its means … and many of the public embracing the
entitlement programs promised by gov’t. Couple that w/the political corruption that exists rampantly at the Federal level (including the Fed) which is entrenched w/special interestests that ‘game the system’ at the expense of the public/taxpayer. This is all a result of not following the principles of the Constitution which basically nullifies pork spending and entitilement programs — its existence is to guarantee the same basic freedom and opportunities to all.
To fix, I echo those statements above …a “revolution” of sorts is necessary.
1) A full audit of the Fed — it is likely Americans will be shocked at what has been going on in their secret dealings. If necessary abolish out — it isn’t approved via the Constitution anyways.
2) We are wasting too much $ trying to prop up our empire — immediately end the Iraq and Afghanistan wars and bring the troops home. Ditto for most/all of our military bases outside US.
3) End all pork programs. Plan ways to end-of-life entitlement programs. No more programs that offer gov’t freebies. To implement this, it will require a public whose willing to become politically engaged to elect for change — not re-election of corrupt incumbents who are resistant to the necessary change.
4) Prohibit or severely minimize all lobyist contributions to those in power at all levels of gov’t. This will level the playing field so that others can run for office, not just the well-heeled. Congressional term-limits would be good too.
5) Pay down the current public debt. Looks like Washington currently is electing to do this via Monetization instead of sound fiscal policy. Citizens should protect their $ by investing in gold and other hard assets/commodities.
… citizens should also:
1) Reduce their debt … to 0 if possible.
2) Buy a firearm for self-protection in case civil unrest develops (or to resist a tyrannical gov’t takeover on the outside chance it happens)
3) stock up on food.
4) learn how to invest in negatively-correlated funds
5) keep $ on hand for emergencies, but not too much — use precious metals, other currencies as a hedge.
Larry, the dollar will begin to collapse when the federal government’s revenue (currently $3 trillion in taxes) is less than 25% of its debt. Since our debt will be $12 trillion by the end of the year, that eventually is here. Foreign investors will soon reduce or stop their purchase of government bonds. The government will be unable to sell all of its bond offerings (this happened last month). The Fed will buy the unsold bonds; this is known as printing money. This will cause heavy inflation once this country gets out of the recession. The inflation will drive all bond rates up much higher than during President Carter’s tenure. This, in turn, will cause massive bankrupties, both of businesses and individuals, and will again lead to recession, if not depression. Our socialized economy will not change as long as the bottom 50% of our population pay virtually no taxes; these people will continue to vote for universal health care and lots of other bennies. The only realistic solution is to pass a balanced budget amendment and an amendment which would prevent the President from commiting troops abroad except upon imminent invasion. Ken
IN MY OPINION:
This all started when Congress and the Treasury Department forced the Financial Institutions to make available loans and mortgages to financially unstable persons.
My wife and I saw this Depression coming ten years ago (I use the word “Depression”
on purpose, because that is what we are experiencing now). We did one of Dave Ramsay’s “Debt Snowballs” and paid off all credit cards, and loans. We are presently working on paying off our house mortgage 7 years early. Easy credit is what killed this country, plus the trillions of dollars of “fiat” money the Treasury Department printed
to “stimulate” the economy. This “Stimulus” money is a despicable mistake that the present and past administrations has forced down our throats, money our GNP can never sustain. The U.S. dollar has become like the Russian ruble, unwanted, and useless outside our borders. Most of the illegal immigrants have left town because there is no work for them anymore, those that are left no longer cluster around the Western Union offices to send their extra money out of the country. I have even seen the words “useless” and “worthless” hand written on some denominations of our currency. Nobody wants to counterfeit our money anymore, because it is a waste of material and time.
I hear through the major news networks that our economy is improving. Perhaps it is, but I’m betting that we haven’t seen the second part of our depression strike the economy. We have survived “Depression Part One”, but will we survive “Depression Part Two”? Banks are still failing even as I write this (Colonial Bank was the most popular bank in the South, yet it was taken over and closed down by the Fed for some very astonishing practices. Then it was bought from the Fed by the British Bank and Trust very, very cheaply. Ring a bell? BB&T, a foreign bank?). Is this a sign of an improving economy? Not!
I also hear that there will be no cost of living increases for those of us who are retired, and on Social Security. I think that these Social Security people ought to get out of their Ivory Towers and live in the real world where prescription drug prices have skyrocketed upwards, following food prices, clothing and utilities (my wife and I sat down and figured that we are spending at least 12% more than we did last year on EVERYTHING, except for fuel, which really doesn’t count, because we really cannot afford to go anywhere anyway).
As far as the posted unemployment rate we are fooled into believing, are they counting all the people who are unemployed, or just the people who are still on the active unemployment lists? I love America, but I’m no fool. I do not listen to what people say, or promise anymore. I watch them to see what they are doing, and what I see isn’t doing me or my neighbors any good at all. I want to name names, but then again, I do not want to end up like that Foster guy in Ft. Marcy Park several years ago. All dressed up, dead, and definately no place to go anymore.
It really is simple.
Obama must go.
Larry,
I concurr with you 100%. These are scarry times. Keep in mind, however, anyone with half a brain out there will tell you that America did not get into this mess overnight. This has been planned since the very creation of the Federal Reserve back in 1913. America has within its walls the very thing our founding fathers warned of which in a nut shell amount to a group of private bankers who control our currency which is “more dangerous than standing armies”. The American Revolution was fought because the founders didn´t want to be subjects of a “usery” financial system. So the way out of this now is another revolution. Town Halls and Tea Parties just are not going to do the trick. I would allso recomend faith in Christ Jesus since it is my belief that this crisis now looks allmost biblical in nature. Remember the word of the Lord. “A mans life does not consist of riches alone” Luke
Not so fast on the USD Larry…
What do you, your mother, and everyone else’s mother have in common? You’re all convinced that a dollar collapse is imminent and have taken the same steps as everone else to protect yourselves - buy gold, gold shares, euros, bahts, rubles, whatever.
You’re all sleepwalking into a trap together. What’s really going to happen is that Trillions of dollars of debt will continue to collapse, and people will find that they won’t have enough cash to pay debts. Probably about 1 printed dollar exists for every 20 dollars of debt - not including medicare and SS debts. So we’ll soon find that inflation will not bail us out; rather there will be a massive shortage of dollars and most people/companies/governments will be forced to default due to the inability to pay.
Look at the dollar index again, Larry - but this time get a longer-term chart, and maybe an RSI indicator. We are still nowhere near the March 2008 low, yet the sentiment is as bearish as can be. This tells me the dollar is about to stage a very surprising and devastating rally. Devastating because it will hurt our exports and make everyone’s debts more painful, even impossible, to pay off.
So what am I doing? Pay off debts, save physical cash, get out of the stock market soon including gold stocks. When gold drops over the next few years, buy then because eventually hyperinflation will happen - when people are convinced 10 years from now that it won’t
This scenario looks primed for a t-bond collapse. What would be the best way to take advantage of a T-Bond collapse without subjecting my money to institions (clearing house banks etc) that I don’t trust? Am also considering Canadian Oil to hedge against dollar collapse what do you think? Thanks Greg
Hi Larry,
understood you’re in Bangkok, I’m in Bangkok too (Rama 3). Would be an honor for me to meet you someday !
I believe G & S is one of the best ways to protect oneself from a coming hyperinflation. In history G & S has always accounted for money mismanagement and set the records straight at the end. So, what we see today and in the coming years is no different. Infact G & S not only provides protection, but an tremendous profit opportunity which I primarily focus on.
Btw, what’s your view on the impact of a falling dollar and a possible hyperinflation in the US to other parts of the world e.g. Asia and especially Thailand ? Would you recommend a different strategy ?
cheers,
stef
Kick the Obama Administration out of office. Our country has been ruined in just a few months. I’m so sick of the people in office , that can do something about it, not doing anything about it. What is it going to take? Obama should not be in the White House, he is not a citizen of the U.S. I’m sure he is laughing at our stupidty.
Wow, the preceding comments look like the biggest concentration of anti-dollar/pro-hard-assets sentiment I’ve encountered yet. A fascinating read! That said, I’d probably side with cautious contrarian voices of Bonnie Donaldson and ChrisP calling for a bone-crushing dollar rally. Just keep in mind that FRNs are nowhere as abundant as dollar debts and, broadly speaking, there’s no commitment to “print” them anytime for any collateral.
And while I disagree with legitimacy of intellectual property, I love the point made by “rudolph alvarado” - that the Chinese et al. have been given an easy ride. Now what if some political pressure was exerted on them to force them pay the license fees overdue? The flow of dollars seeking licenses could easily tilt the US trade balance back into surplus, save for other side-effects. The commodities game is getting old and boring while the intellectual-property game is relatively unexplored.
I am a believer and I like your article. Thanks for confirming all I read from Gary North, Bill Bonner, Addison Wiggin et al. Almost half my modest wealth in in CHF and about 25% is in gold and silver heavily weighted in gold.
It is a shame but the man on the street (or woman) has no clue as to what we are facing. Our way of life is being destroyed and a very high percentage of people are going looking for sustenance from our government who has no money and no clothes.
Larry,
Some say that precious metals are being overbought and will experience a retreat soon. What do you think?
150years ago England had the Poor Laws with the workhouse system to accompany them . Men had aggricultural work for six or seven months a year and the workhouse for the winter if their means could not tide them over until spring tilling and planting gave work again . About 90% of English workers were linked to mining or farming where muscle counted as much as intellect .
Nowadays nobody gets paid for hoeing turnips .Modern employment requires a higher proportion of IQ.The proportion of our population that has a sufficiently high IQ to be of use in modern industry is possibly around 70% There are few jobs at the notional level of turnip hoeing , there are large numbers of people in Britain who are on dole or welfare handouts who can never find work.Go figure!
Larry: What would be the status of Inflation Protected Securities under your scanario of a dollar collapse
The problem is that uneducated voters will always elect the politicians who tell the biggest lies. Until lying stops working and the whole thing falls apart, that is. Then the people either come to their senses and elect a more responsible politician (we saw this with the election or Reagan and Thatcher in the early 80’s). Not that Reagan was a great economist, but he did appoint Paul Volcker who was. I seem to remember interest rates of 21% - now that would be a great time to buy long dated T-bonds with your retirement funds! So my objective is to preserve my funds and wait for THAT opportunity.
The panic button! I just retired major debt along with the major tax write offs. Now the IRS is going to rip me off so bad I can’t afford to pay off my minor debts. I own my home only if I pay my taxes. Otherwise the local gov’t owns it. I’m just a renter down here on planet earth. I thought it was a free world and there was a U.S. Constitution to protect me and my individual rights but who is standing up for that besides the NRA for gun rights. You guys are great, informative, and knowlegably accurate. I may work my way out of this depressed state if i”ll just keep reading money and markets. My signature credit “is” good for about 30K. Maybe I should just borrow that and invest in some of your recommendations. I wouldn’t know my head from a hole in the ground about how to do it. But what have I got to loose? I don’t really own anything and don’t have any rights. Maybe I could outrun this China bear! I figure I might have about a six month window before they come get my wife and kids. Then I could just jump from a completey sealed 12 story window like Rockerfellas secretary. I know there is not a dime’s worth of gold in Ft. Knox also, and where it all went but I’m no major voice of threat. So I’ll just have to jump on my own and die with my own private illusions of grandeur. P.S. I think I may feel better tomorrow when I come out of this sedation from dental surgery and put some more business on the books!
I buy american when I can , Invest in gold and short term T-bills . We as a country need to save and invest in ourselves. Gear up , tool up, and start making it all here in the great U.S.of A
I agree with several posts that USA needs to reinvent itself, take back manufacturing, return to self-reliance. Live within our means. We are given lessons in maturity and responsibility through this crisis and it is up to us to learn what is being taught.
I, personally, am conserving as much currency as I can. If a depression results cash should be king; if an inflation occurs cash should be king. (I can’t wait for those 25% interest rates!)
Citizens didn’t cause this debacle. The people in Washington DC caused it and the corporations who own the members of Congress caused it - and they should be the ones to pay for it.
We should get out of all international trade agreements. The system is flawed and needs to be scrapped.
We can put an immediate tariff on all non-essential imports - use half the money to pay down the debt and half to finance the rebuilding of our industrial base. We should put a flat tax on the gross sales of corporations and eliminate the entire corporate tax system based on deductions - except for deductions for wages and property tax.
Actually, as I’m sitting here thinking, there are so many things we need to do that it would take all day listing them. The most important thing we need to do is to get rid of the wh*res and traitors in Washington DC who put us in this position.
Hi Larry, sorry this is several weeks late. The US has financed the growth of the world since 1945. A lot of countries owe us for their existence. While I do not profess to have the specific details, I would suggest that an engaging president like Mr. Obama research the funds advanced to the nations of the world and determine if there is any way to call in our ‘chits’ that built the world we know today. Another idea is to start trading oil for food, straight across. The OPEC members are as drunk on the power of their oil as we are dependent on it. It is time to shake-up the paradigm. The UN treats us like second class citizens. We should announce soon that we are withdrawing our financial support from the UN. While it is still recognized as an important piece of world peace, it is a one-way street against the US. Fine, stop writing the checks and freeze the UN’s attempt to have the US finance their headquarters re-construction. Outrageous. To get $10 trillion from the rest of the world may not be that difficult if we get creative with all the IOU’s the world gave us for helping them achieve what they have today.
What new industry can be started here in the USA?
Minimum wage was raised effective January 2009 Why? We now Have 10% unemployement. Its time to cut minnimum wage let the unemployed work for what ever they can get! They need Money!
Stop Buying Foreign Or Union Labor Produced Products!
With Tecnology Today We can Build It Faster Better and Cheaper Without Unions or Foreigners Building it For US. Or cut Union Wages and Benefits.
China is sef sufficent now and they can prosper within the free world without US helping.
We have done enough its time to get oUrSelves in order. United we can stand and be self sufficient.
We have become like the mother with so many children she didn’t know what to do.
We are so busy worried about the rset of the world we forgot about ourselves.
ACORN! In caes you don’t know they are the enemy within our country. They have sabotaged and
destroyed wealth and prosperity in our country.Congress and the Senate has helped them every step of the way. Are they suckers or just plain infadels. Fire all of them and cut there pay to match what we can afford to pay them based on performance.. Next our constitution needs to be restored.
Create a University for the Brightest and let them learn the constitution and all they can do with it to create the economy of the future. And the perfect goverment of the future within those confines.
We must act now tommorrow will be to late. Ihave been a small business man in tampa fl for thirty-one years and June of 2008 was they point of impact. We are stuggling like never before and will likely loose it all if we don’t see a turn around. The IRS has been auditing me for over a year now this is pure harrassment in an effort to bankrupt US . The Leftist”s in our government are out to destroy everything we are working for, don’t be fooled . we must purge our congress and senate and start over. we need new Management and fresh brains that are not corupt. Acorn and anything like it is poison for our republic. Stand for what is true and right for all Americans. An action must be developed. How will we create the economy of the future ? I have my ideas and at least 180,000 other people agree with me, If you want a new industry a new paradigm a new economy then follow the genius’s But without God and an once of faith we will fail! Be positive and believe we can make it happen for all of us.
I LISTENED TO THE SPEAKER OF THE HOUSE ON CHARLIE ROSE. SHE PARROTS WHAT OBAMA SAYS. I WAS HOPING THAT THE PERSON THIRD IN LINE WOULD AT LEAST SHOW SOME FISCAL RESTRAINT. SHE DID NOT.
I agree about the demise of the dollar. With the reckless spending in Washington and the feeling that the administration doesn’t seem to know what it is doing, it amazes me that the dollar is doing so well. I have some Chinese stocks and silver but the bulk of my assets are in natural resource companies in politically safe areas like Canada and Australia. I hope that the looming disaster being exacerbated by the current administration doesn’t destroy everything like a Black Hole.
I agree with Nicholas Rose….and wait for that opportunity…
The answer is simple but hard to achieve. Stop wasting trillions of borrowed money on PHONY WARS. Slash military spending of borrowed money and eliminate ALL foriegn aide.
The next step is to remove the 38million illegals from our soverigen soil and start paying local legal labor true market wages.
Next uop a 100% confiscation of Global Cooproration assets and revenues until the above problems are resolved.
Reasons:
We create balony wars to get increased non competitive markets to the global corps
the Global corps cannot grow without ever decreasing expenses IE LABOR and RAW MATERIALS
As the later part of gen “x” I have seen both sides of the coin. At 32 years old I am neither too young to understand, nor too old to remember. This is our country, and as long as we allow the weak to lead us (un-necessary welfare, Illegal immigrants) we will find ourselves at the same mercy as other super-powers of their day.
we change are economy form debt= groth to a trade system where, The value of a dollar is no longer determind from a guy guesning. Nor will it rely on loans for growth. the new system is to every resource produced per year= money - resource decline value. I will be posting everywhere as soon as my idea is ready.
a system should not fail because of a bank. Banks fault banks fail
IT IS TOO LATE