Sean Brodrick -

All Eyes on The U.S. Dollar

by Sean Brodrick on July 23, 2009

I don’t know about you, but I found gold’s performance on Wednesday disappointing.  Sure, it gained, but it should have gained MORE considering the pullback in the U.S. dollar.  I didn’t expect overhead resistance to kick in until $963, but it might come earlier.

One factor that may be weighing on gold is that traders can clearly see the U.S. dollar is approaching technical support. Take a look at this chart …

dollar1 All Eyes on The U.S. Dollar

This weekly chart of the U.S. dollar Index shows the score.   Will it hold at (1), or fall to (2)?  To give you some perspective, a year ago we were at (3).

I picked up a nifty chart from Jon Nadler over at Kitco.com.  It shows the year-over-year performance of gold against a whole bunch of “hard” investments ….


Commodity

Quarter-on-Quarter %

Year-on-Year %

 

   

Gold (London PM Fix)

2.0

    0.5

Silver

6.3

-21.0

Palladium

16.0

-46.0

Platinum

4.4

-43.0

Aluminium

18.3

-47.4

Copper

26.7

-41.8

Lead

36

-0.3

Nickel

70.2

-26.2

Tin

43.4

-35.9

Zinc

19.6

-17.0

Brent Crude

46.5

-51.6

S&P GSCI

25.6

-47.8

S&P GS Agriculture Spot Index

3.4

-35.0

S&P GS Livestock Spot Index

-2.4

-15.6

CRB Index

12.5

-24.3

DJ AIG Index

11.6

-47.4

Source: Global Insight, Bloomberg

Mr. Nadler writes:  “Gold’s performance Q-on-Q was eclipsed by other commodities, by oil, and by equities. The bright picture for bullion comes when one considers what may have happened to a portfolio that did not happen to contain it during the past year. ”

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